Tuesday 10/13/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 05:33 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Finger Lakes - Race #2

#1 Poker Game	Class dropper has been facing much better without making a dent in a quartet of starts off the Tasso claim, so this drop makes sense, the post helps too, as does his tactical speed in a race without a lot of pace, and either of his last two figures would make him a big threat here too; look out.
#5 Simma Cum Laude	Logical contender looked good beating N3L foes last time after two in-the-money finishes at the level, and note the blinkers went on last time too, but the rise in class could prove troublesome, like it did the last time, not to mention there's not a lot of speed in this corner either; may run out of room.
#4 Mac's Revolution	ML favorite is another who just beat N3L runners, and he did it in his first start too, but that was by far his best run in quite some time, so the bounce is a real threat here, which means taking this 9-5 ML, or even a hair better, just doesn't make him that appealing; comfortable making him prove it.
Race Summary	That 7-2 ML would be a gif ton the 1, as you could make a case for him being the favorite, so play him aggressively to win and place at 5-2 or better, while getting some added value by keying him in the early Pk4 as well, since he looks primed to get back on the beam off the stiff drop in class.

Finger Lakes - Race #5

#7 Shero	Newcomer posted a smart debut win at Mth, and while facing winners is never as easy task, the upside here against a meek group is too good to pass up; look out.
#3 Becca Takes Charge	Heavy hitter dropped in class and just missed at the level last time, has tactical speed to sit the trip, and won't have to improve much, if at all, to win; big chance.
#6 Cross Keys	Underlaid ML favorite was all-out to break her maiden, with a slow figure in the mud too, so while she still has upside, she needs to step it up; tread very lightly here.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 7 but this looks like the type of field where a fresh new face isn't a bad thing, so play her aggressively to win and place, and make sure to use her number to kick off the Pk5 as well, since she tipped her hand in her debut, and there are several reasons to think she'll do even better here.

Finger Lakes - Race #7

#3 Anselmi	Price player was a close 4th to the heavy chalk last time, in what was her route debut too, so there's no reason she can't build off that trial run and improve here; upset special.
#4 Lady Macho	Aforementioned heavy favorite was just a neck behind at the level last time, but she did blow a big late lead, and the price will be too short to come along today; trying to beat.
#2 Becky's Mission	Spa invader didn't fire on the turf but the dirt sprint 3rd two-back was solid, and she now makes her first two-turn start on the main track, which she's bred for; figures in the mix.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 3, and it's not like she was all that far behind the 4 either (about 1 1/2 lengths), so there's plenty of risk-reward here, so give her a look in all the slots, and in the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, since a win would go a long way in blowing up both sequences, and she has a better chance than the toteboard will indicate.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 05:34 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

#10 I'm Machen Too	He's just a runner on any footing, but he has turned in a couple of really nice turf efforts since trying that surface in his last two starts. Can make it three in a row.
#3 Great Plan	May complete a chalky kind of exacta in a race where these two may decide it, but he'll likely give a tactical edge to the top choice.
#6 Confection Fortune	Forward player will try to get in the mix early and hang around as long as he can, but he's far likelier underneath than on top.
Race Summary	I'm Machen Too and Great Plan seem tough to get past in this spot, but the former may offer a touch better price on the board and has done nothing wrong in two career turf starts.

Mountaineer - Race #2

#4 Golden Treasury	Gets some class relief off the modest sort of run with better, and she has been very tough when racing at this level locally. 9/2 ML offering would appeal.
#2 J Z's Diva	Class relief should give her a chance to wake up, but so far her 2020 form seems a touch below the 2019 form, and she might get a bit overbet.
#7 Dewyalovemenow	Hit or miss form is a concern, but her best tries keep her in the mix with these, and she can probably find another decent spot near the top.
Race Summary	Golden Treasury drops back in at a level at which she has been very tough with the locals in the past, and she'll can work out a decent trip from midpack.

Mountaineer - Race #3

#10 Loving Moment	Won't offer any kind of price, but her baseline effort should prove far too good for these. This is a weak spot for the level, and something similar to her last would leave the rest running for second.
#5 Flat Discount	Steps up while stretching out and trying the turf, so there are plenty of questions, but the debut run with a cheap group was pretty impressive, and she'll get a trip near the top.
#3 Bee Wings	Reliable finisher is one of the more likely upsetters, but his ceiling still seems too low to give the top choice a scare barring a huge step back from that one.
Race Summary	Loving Moment looks like a good single in early multi-race wagers. She'll be a prohibitive price within the race but should absolutely be able to handle this bunch barring major trouble.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 05:35 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

The Meadows - Race #1

#6 RUTHMAE HANOVER	Withstood pressure and inched away late, taken to repeat.
#8 UPTOWN HANOVER	2yo gets break from sire stakes competition, seeks first win of year.
#5 STRAWBERRY DAQURI	Chased 2-1 leader through slow middle half and ran second.
Race Summary	Ruthmae Hanover wheels back in the same spot after she survived a hard duel on the final turn and edged away to victory as the favorite. Play a 6-8-ALL trifecta.

Northfield Park - Race #3

#1 HURRIKANE NORAKANE	Third behind faves in latest, now-or-never land from rail.
#2 PANTHER TIME	Has speed, Merriman and 17 first- or second-place finishes in last 30 starts.
#7 DAENERYS DREAM	Projected lack of pace a concern, use underneath in exotics.
Race Summary	Hurrikane Norakane, a well-traveled 4-year-old, is 0-24 the last two years, but she can break through with a duplicate of her last race. She ranged up first-over against a pair of sub 2-to-1 favorites and flattened out after starting from the second tier. Play 1-2 and 1-7 exactas.

Hoosier Park - Race #3

#4 DOJEA ROCK	Useful try from second tier after six weeks away, price attached.
#10 GOLD STAR HEFNER	Burned money in last pair to fall to 0-22, now starts from second tier.
#6 ALL ON RED	Led long way in qualifier, can make good use of his speed in here.
Race Summary	Dojea Rock was shuffled by a lively outer flow at the half-mile mark, raced 3- and 4-wide thereafter and finished willingly. He gets second-time Lasix and a better starting spot. Play a 4-6-10 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 05:36 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #4

#7 Moonshine Justice	Had shown significant improvement in his last two races, having scored a maiden win and followed with a third in an allowance race similar to this. His best chance is to be on the front end and that looks possible in this.
#6 Nates Heartthrob	Ran an even second last out and has been on the board in his last five races; capable of being in the mix throughout.
#3 Our Neighbor Boys	Has a decent late move and could benefit from following a contentious battle on the front end; one to watch in the stretch.
Race Summary	Moonshine Justice is much improved over her last two, likes to battle out front and should be able to dig in when challenged.

Indiana Grand - Race #7

#9 Blanket of Roses	Was far back and then rallied well for third in his first local start after running Florida, Kentucky and New York early in the year. Gets a good pace setup and can come rolling.
#1 Justinthenickoftime	Has been in some tough races and tired in his last at Kentucky Downs; was solid in most of his races at Gulfstream.
#2 Marquee Thunder	Front-running turf performer has been solid in his last two, and Contreras barn continues to his at 18 percent.
Race Summary	Blanket of Roses will benefit from following a pace that should work in his favor; can rally when called upon.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#4 Martial Eagle	Ran well in two races here this year and most recently ran in tough races at Churchill Downs; can rally past the leaders when called upon.
#9 Artemus Eagle	Engaged after six furlongs and finished strongly for a win over the main track here last time; his last two dirt performances produced wins.
#2 Baozun	Was a late-running fourth at Churchill last time and he's won two of his last four; can close vs. these.
Race Summary	Martial Eagle can be in a good portion off a good pace and is the one to hold off late in the game.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 07:32 AM

Mitchell Newman

Last night' series opener between Atlanta and Los Angeles was a 1-1 game deep into the Arlington night before the Braves got a little offensive in the top half of the 9th and scored 4 runs. The final score of 5-1 was not good enough though for Over players as the Braves once again did the job on the mound and played another postseason Under.

Atlanta has played 6 games this October and 5 of the 6, with each of their last 3 have landed Under the total. They have allowed a grand total of just 6 runs and 5 of those runs game in one game against Miami!!!

Ian Anderson's pair of postseason starts have yet to see an earned run score in almost 12 innings with 17 strikeouts along the way.

As for the Dodgers, they have played 4 of their 6 this postseason Under the total and starter Clayton Kershaw has been on top of his game this October with 14 innings pitched, 3 runs allowed and 19 strikeouts recorded.

I have a feeling the runs are going to be at a premium again in Texas this Tuesday night.

Braves-Dodgers to land Under the total.

3* ATLANTA-L.A.DODGERS UNDER

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 07:54 AM

MLB public betting, line movement October 13
Patrick Everson

Brandon Lowe and the Rays look to take a commanding 3-0 ALCS lead when they meet the Astros on Wednesday night. Caesars sportsbooks opened Game 3 a -105 pick 'em.

MLB betting odds are on the board for a Tuesday schedule that again has both the ALCS and NLCS in play. The Tampa Bay Rays can take firm control of their series against the Houston Astros, and Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers look to bounce back against the Atlanta Braves.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement and public betting for Tuesday’s games.

MLB line movement

Tampa Bay notched a 4-2 victory Monday over Houston to take a 2-0 lead in the ALCS. A Rays win in Tuesday’s 8:40 p.m. ET Game 3 would make it very difficult for the defending AL champion Astros to return to the World Series. Caesars books opened Game 3 a -105 pick ‘em, and there was no movement through Monday night.

Atlanta and Los Angeles played a Game 1 gem in the NLCS, going to the ninth inning tied at 1. Then the Braves produced four runs in the top of the ninth to get a 5-1 victory. But with Kershaw toeing the slab in Tuesday’s 6:05 p.m. ET start, Caesars opened at Dodgers -155/Braves +145 late Monday night.

MLB public betting

The consensus is often a good indicator of what the public thinks, and on Monday night, there was belief that Houston would rebound in Game 3. The Astros were taking 70 percent of early picks against the Rays.

Likewise, the expectation Monday night was that the Dodgers would knot up the series with the Braves. Los Angeles was attracting 67 percent of early consensus picks.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 10:21 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 13

Atlanta @ LA Dodgers

Game 969-970
October 13, 2020 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Anderson) 18.576
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 17.396
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+140); Under

Tampa Bay @ Houston

Game 967-968
October 13, 2020 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Yarbrough) 15.315
Houston
(Urquidy) 16.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-105); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 10:22 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (47 - 22) at HOUSTON (34 - 34) - 8:40 PM
RYAN YARBROUGH (L) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 47-22 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-8 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-14 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 31-15 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 36-13 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-15 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 34-34 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 89-71 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 46-42 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

RYAN YARBROUGH vs. HOUSTON since 1997
YARBROUGH is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JOSE URQUIDY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (41 - 25) vs. LA DODGERS (48 - 18) - 6:05 PM
IAN ANDERSON (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 140-93 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-5 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

IAN ANDERSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ATLANTA since 1997
KERSHAW is 7-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.49 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 12-2 (+8.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-6. (+0.8 units)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 10:22 AM

MLB

Tuesday, October 13

Best-of-7 series

Houston vs Tampa Bay (2-0) (@ San Diego)
Urquidy is 0-0, 3.74 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 3-4 in his starts, 1-3 away from home.
— Under is 4-3 in his seven starts.
— Urquidy is 1-0, 2.89 in six playoff games (3 starts).
— He has never pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Astros won five of their eight playoff games, but scored total of 3 runs in losing first two games in this series.
— Houston is in playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won World Series in 2017, lost World Series last season.
— Under is 5-3 in their playoff games.
— Astros are 14-26 on road this season.

Yarbrough has a 2.14 RA in his last four appearances (21 IP)
— Tampa Bay is 4-5 in his starts, 3-3 away from home, but some of his appearances aren’t starts.
— Under is 7-2 in his starts this year.
— Yarbrough allowed two runs in 8 IP in four playoff stints, all in relief.
— He is 0-1, 2.92 in 2 career games (1 start) vs Houston.

— Tampa Bay won seven of its nine playoff games.
— Rays are in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Tampa Bay is 27-13 away from home this season.
— Under is 6-3 in their playoff games.

— Rays lost ALDS 3-2 to Houston last season.

Atlanta (1-0) vs Los Angeles (@ Arlington)
Anderson is 5-2, 2.05 in his first eight MLB starts.
— Atlanta is 12-1 in his starts, 5-0 away from home.
— Under is 5-1-2 in his starts.
— Anderson has thrown 11.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs.
— He has never pitched against the Dodgers.

— Braves allowed total of six runs in winning first six playoff games.
— Atlanta is in playoffs for the third year in a row.
— Braves are 22-14 away from home this season.
— Under is 5-1 in their playoff games.

Kershaw is 3-0, 2.67 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 9-2 in his starts this season.
— Over is 4-2 in his last six starts.
— Kershaw is 11-11, 4.23 in 34 career playoff games (27 starts).
— He is 5-0, 1.78 in 11 starts vs Atlanta.

— Dodgers are 48-18 this year, winning nine of last ten games.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 27-9 away from home this season.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 10:23 AM

MLB

Tuesday, October 13

Trend Report

Atlanta @ LA Dodgers
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Houston
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Houston
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 10:25 AM

Bills vs. Titans Week 5 Odds, Preview
Michael Crosson

It is safe to say no NFL organization has been ravaged more by the coronavirus pandemic than the Tennessee Titans (3-0), after the news broke Sunday morning confirming the team’s 24th COVID-19 case among players and personnel since September 24th, again forcing the shutdown of Tennessee’s practice facilities.

The Titans already had last week’s matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers postponed to Week 7, so it is critical for strategic and rest related purposes that this game with the Buffalo Bills (4-0) kicks off for Mike Vrabel’s team on Tuesday night.

The future of this matchup between the Bills and Titans appeared foggy throughout the course of the week, but after no positive tests to report from either camp Monday morning, it looks like this game is going to make the cut in Week 5. So, a special Tuesday-Edition of NFL Best Bets is on the way.

Betting Resources

Week 5 Matchup: AFC vs. AFC
Venue: Nisan Stadium
Location: Nashville, TN
Date: Tuesday, Oct. 13, 2020
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS

The Buffalo Bills have been installed as favorites in all four of their games this season, which includes a pair of road tilts. (AP)

Line Movements

The Bills and Titans both come into Week 5 boasting perfect records, but the oddsmakers have elected to lean with the team that has been able to adequately practice and prepare all week – setting the line at Buffalo -3.5.

The potential of a shootout is beginning to fill the air in Nashville prior to the Titans’ Tuesday night showdown, as 6 out of the 7 games played by Buffalo and Tennessee so far this year have gone ‘over’ the total. The ‘over-under’ for this Bills-Titans matchup has been set at an accordingly lofty total of 53 points.

Spread: Buffalo -3.5
Money-Line: Buffalo -175, Tennessee +155
Total: 53

2020 Betting Stats

Buffalo

(Rank)

Overall: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS, 3-0-1 O/U
Road: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-0-1 O/U
Offense PPG: 30.8 (6)
Defense PPG: 25.0 (16)
Offense YPG: Overall 409 (3), Rush 93.5 (28), Pass 316 (2)
Defense YPG: Overall 381 (20), Rush 101 (8), Pass 280 (29)

Tennessee

Overall: 3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS, 2-1 O/U
Home: 1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS, 1-0 O/U
Offense PPG: 26.7 (14)
Defense PPG: 24.7 (15)
Offense YPG: Overall 391 (12), Rush 129 (9), Pass 262 (14)
Defense YPG: Overall 422 (28), Rush 166 (31), Pass 256 (23)

Head-to-Head History

All-Time Series Record: Titans lead 28-19

Oct. 6, 2019 - Buffalo 14 at Tennessee 7, Bills +3, Under 39
Oct. 7, 2018 - Buffalo 13 vs. Tennessee 12, Bills +6, Under 38.5
Oct. 11, 2015 - Buffalo 14 at Tennessee 13, Pick 'em, Under 42.5

The layouts and methodology of these two teams has changed dramatically since the last time the Bills and Titans met up, but for what it is worth, the most recent meeting between them was a matchup back in Week 5 of last season, when a Marcus Mariota led Tennessee team managed to muster up just seven total points against Buffalo – possibly the Titan’s most painful loss of the season, 14-7.

The biggest upgrade for Buffalo this season has come from the speedy progression of quarterback Josh Allen, who has completely broken out of his shell in 2020, completing over 70% of his passes with a 12-1 TD/INT ratio.

Give credit, where credit is due though. Some of Allen’s success can be attributed to the Bills’ re-vamped receiving core headed by the newly acquired Stefon Diggs in the offseason – who is leading Buffalo’s pass-catching tandem with 26 receptions (8 catches for 20 + yards), 403 receiving yards, and 2 touchdowns.

Tennessee has the same ground-and-pound identity it possessed last time out against Sean McDermott’s Bills, they are just simply more capable of slinging the ball around the yard when needed with Ryan Tannehill under center this go-around.

Just because the Titans can throw the ball now, does not mean that is the direction Coach Vrabel is looking to head with his offense. He wants to pound the ball with Derrick Henry (82 carries, 319 rush yards, 3 games). He wants his team focused on dominating time of possession and winning the turnover battle. Let’s see if Tennessee can be the first team to stop the Josh Allen-Train.

Handicapping the Total

The ‘over’ is 4-0 in Buffalo’s first four matchups to open the 2020 season, as Bills’ contests have contained an average of 55.75 total points during their young quarterback’s explosive start to the year.

Buffalo scored a mere 19.6 points per game last season, ranking 19th in the NFL. In 2020, the Bills are scoring an average of 30.8 points per game – jumping all the way up to 5th in the league in scoring.

The ‘over-under’ for this contest sits at 53, and I think that bar has been set just a little too low. I envision the Bills leading for the majority of this game, and Tennessee having to play catch-up. Buffalo’s secondary has already been questionable so far this year, and now with White being banged up, I think Tannehill will find success playing catch-up.

It is not personally my “best bet” of the night, but I think ‘over 53’ is a good bet for this game. We should see fireworks between the Bills and Texans on Tuesday night.

Handicapping the Side

The Titans have had 13 players test positive for COVID-19 since September 24th, causing the team’s practice facilities to shut down for the whole month of October. Tennessee got back to practice on Saturday morning, but just three days of on-field practice to prepare for any team is a tough task, let alone take down an undefeated Bills squad.

Tennessee is undeniably well rested, but I believe if any team had to choose between a week of practice versus a week of rest, they would take the week of practice every time.

If the Titans and Bills were both at full strength, and had a full week of practice, I may be hesitant to side with Buffalo at anything more than a field goal spread. But there are just too many unknowns surrounding Tennessee heading into this game. I trust that with the extra rest and preparation time, the Bills will outlast the Titans in this one.

The Bills beat the Titans by a touchdown last time they met up, and Coach McDermott’s team is here to prove that they are even better than they were last year.

I think Buffalo gets Tennessee by at least a touchdown in this one. Depending on your book, you might be able to bet on an alternate spread of Bills -6.5 at +125 odds or higher.

Key Injuries

Buffalo

G Brian Winters: Knee - Questionable
LB Del'Shawn Phillips: Quad - Questionable
CB Tre'Davious White: Back - Questionable
WR Andre Roberts: Ankle - Questionable
OT Cody Ford: Groin - Questionable
LB Matt Milano: Pec - Out
RB Zack Moss: Toe - Questionable
WR John Brown: Knee - Questionable

Tennessee

OT Taylor Lewan: Shoulder - Questionable
WR A.J. Brown: Knee - Questionable

Do not be fooled by the emptiness of the Titan’s injury report as players who test positive for COVID do not get placed on the list.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable for Tuesday’s contest, but I expect him to play considering it was reported there was a chance he might suit up against the Steelers last week had the game not been postponed – and Tennessee will likely be without receivers Corey Davis and Adam Humphries due to coronavirus, so they need him bad on Tuesday night.

The other injury I have highlighted on this report is Bill’s corner, Tre’Davious White, listed as questionable with a back injury. The Titans receiving core has been annihilated by illness and injury so far this season, but like I mentioned earlier, Tennessee will probably get its top-wideout in Brown back for Tuesday’s tilt, which could be trouble for the Buffalo defense if its top-defensive back does not play.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 10:25 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 6

Tuesday, October 13

Buffalo @ Tennessee

Game 481-482
October 13, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
134.427
Tennessee
136.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 2 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 3 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(+3 1/2); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 10:26 AM

NFL

Week 6

Bills (4-0) @ Tennessee (3-0)
— Buffalo won its first four games, scoring 30.8 ppg.
— All four Buffalo games went over the total.
— Bills have converted 24-47 third down plays this year.
— Buffalo is 16-12-1 ATS in its last 29 road games.

— Tennessee won its first three games by combined total of six points.
— Titans are scoring 26.7 ppg; they’ve only had one turnover (+4) so far.
— Tennessee had COVID-related issues last week, didn’t play.
— Titans are 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 games at home.
— AFC South teams are 3-8 ATS outside their division, 2-3 at home.

— Buffalo won last three series games, by total of nine points.
— Average total in last three series games, 24.3.
— Bills won 14-13/14-7 in their last two trips to Nashville.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2020, 10:26 AM

NFL

Week 6

Trend Report

Tuesday, October 13

Kansas City @ Buffalo
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Tuesday 10/13/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Tuesday 10/13/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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