Wednesday 10/14/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Kevin Dolan

Event: (209961) New York City FC at (209962) Orlando City SC

Sport/League: SOC

Date/Time: October 14, 2020 7PM EDT

Play: Orlando City SC 0.0 (-115)

PLAY: ORLANDO CITY +0

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MLB public betting, line movement October 14
Patrick Everson

It's desperation time for Carlos Correa and the Houston Astros, who must win Game 4 of the ALCS to keep their season alive. However, PointsBet USA has the Rays as -145 favorites.

MLB betting odds are on the board for a Wednesday schedule that again includes the ALCS and NLCS. The Tampa Bay Rays go for a sweep of the defending AL champion Houston Astros, and the suddenly desperate Los Angeles Dodgers hope to start making up ground against the Atlanta Braves.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s games.

MLB line movement

Tampa Bay trailed 1-0 entering the sixth inning of Game 3 Tuesday night, then exploded for five runs in the top of that frame and made those stand up in a 5-2 victory over Houston. The Rays take a 3-0 series lead into Wednesday’s 8:40 p.m. ET Game 4, looking to quickly finish off the best-of-7 ALCS and earn a berth in the World Series.

The Astros hope Zack Greinke can save their bacon, but PointsBet USA pegged Tyler Glasnow and the Rays a -140 favorite late Tuesday night. The line then moved to Tampa -145/Houston +125.

In the NLCS, Los Angeles planned to have ace Clayton Kershaw in Tuesday’s Game 2, but he was scratched due to back spasms. Atlanta took advantage, posting a 6-0 lead through five innings and holding off a ninth-inning Dodgers rally for an 8-7 victory to go up 2-0 in the NLCS.

The Dodgers won’t have Kershaw for Wednesday’s critical 6:05 p.m. ET start, instead going to Julio Urias, but Los Angeles opened a -170 favorite at Caesars, with Atlanta +155. The total opened at 9.5, and neither the line nor total moved through Tuesday night.

MLB public betting

In a very small sample size late Tuesday night, the consensus showed 80 percent of picks coming in on the Rays to sweep away the Astros. Meanwhile, NLCS Game 3 was getting two-way play, with the desperate Dodgers landing 53 percent of early picks.

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MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 14

LA Dodgers @ Atlanta

Game 973-974
October 14, 2020 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 18.667
Atlanta
(Wright) 17.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-175
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-175); Over

Tampa Bay @ Houston

Game 971-972
October 14, 2020 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 17.898
Houston
(Greinke) 15.158
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-140
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+120); Under




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 14

Best-of-7 series

Houston vs Tampa Bay (3-0) (@ San Diego)
Greinke is 0-3, 6.14 in his last six starts.
— Houston is 6-8 in his starts, 2-5 away from home.
— Under is 4-2 in his six starts.
— Greinke is 3-6, 4.29 in 18 career playoff starts.
— He is 4-6, 3.36 in 17 games (14 starts) against Tampa Bay.

— Astros scored total of five runs in losing first three games in this series.
— Houston is in playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won World Series in 2017, lost World Series last season.
— Under is 6-3 in their playoff games.
— Astros are 14-27 on road this season.

Glasnow is 4-0, 3.33 in his last five starts.
— Tampa Bay won Glasnow’s last 11 starts.
— Over is 3-1 in his last four starts.
— Glasnow is 2-2, 5.31 in five career playoff starts.
— He allowed one un in five IP in his one start vs Houston.

— Tampa Bay won eight of its ten playoff games.
— Rays are in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Tampa Bay is 28-13 away from home this season.
— Under is 7-3 in their playoff games.

— Rays lost ALDS 3-2 to Houston last season.

National League
Atlanta (2-0) vs Los Angeles (@ Arlington)
Wright is 2-0, 0.95 in his last three starts.
— Atlanta is 5-4 in his starts, 4-3 away from home.
— Under is 6-3 in his starts.
— Wright threw six shutout innings in his one playoff start.
— He has never pitched against the Dodgers.

— Braves won their first seven playoff games.
— Atlanta is in playoffs for the third year in a row.
— Braves are 23-14 away from home this season.
— Under is 5-2 in their playoff games.

Urias is 2-0, 1.75 in his last five appearances (23 IP)
— Dodgers are 5-5 in his starts this season.
— Over is 3-0 in his last three starts.
— He s 4-2, 3.42 in 14 playoff games (1 start)
— He threw four scoreless innings in two relief appearances vs Atlanta.

— Dodgers are 48-19 this year, but 0-2 this week.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 27-10 away from home this season.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

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MLB

Wednesday, October 14

Trend Report

LA Dodgers @ Atlanta
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Tampa Bay @ Houston
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

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MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 14

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TAMPA BAY (48 - 22) vs. HOUSTON (34 - 35) - 8:40 PM
TYLER GLASNOW (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 48-22 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 24-8 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 32-15 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 37-13 (+21.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 31-15 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
GLASNOW is 12-2 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GLASNOW is 13-0 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLASNOW is 16-3 (+14.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 34-35 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 15-21 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-22 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 97-73 (-18.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 54-45 (-10.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GLASNOW is 1-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.583.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GREINKE is 4-7 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 5-10 (-7.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-6. (+1.9 units)

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LA DODGERS (48 - 19) vs. ATLANTA (42 - 25) - 6:05 PM
JULIO URIAS (L) vs. KYLE WRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 194-205 (-65.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
ATLANTA is 42-25 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 77-62 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-5 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-0 (+2.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

JULIO URIAS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

KYLE WRIGHT vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

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971TAMPA BAY -972 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 25-36 SU (-15.8 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

973LA DODGERS -974 ATLANTA
LA DODGERS are 37-25 SU (10.5 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

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Paul Leiner

Horses 10/14" Here's a couple from Monmouth.

Race 3
#6 Beau Bridge $10 wps
$2 exacta box 6-3-1

Race 7
#1 Crafty Don $10 wps
$2 exacta box 1-2-7

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Houston/Tampa Bay Under 8 Runs

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday October 14, 2020

10/14 04:30 PM PT / 7:30 PM ET

CF (169) COASTAL CAROLINA VS (170) UL - LAFAYETTE

Take: over

Reason: A pair of undefeated college football teams meet here on Wednesday night as Louisiana Ragin Cajuns take on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in a Sun Belt conference matchup. Coastal opened the season with a win at Kansas followed by wins over Campbell and then last week against Arkansas State, 52-32. Louisiana was a program best 11-3 in 2019 and have won back-to-back Sun Best West divisions. Coastal has the conference's best offense so far this season, averaging 44.3 ppg and 6.9 yards per play. The Louisiana defense is holding teams to 5.2 yards per play. Louisiana is led by their offensive line and running attack, which Coastal will have to contend with tonight. Elijah Mitchell leads the team with 210 rushing yards and that is even after missing the Georgia Southern game. Big game for both teams as Coastal wants to prove they can play with Louisiana. Meanwhile, Louisiana can likely crack the top 25 with a good showing here tonight. Looks like a shotout here tonight in the Sun Belt. Your free play is on the OVER.

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: ATLANTA/LA DODGERS UNDER the total of 9½ runs

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Roz Wins

Roz's WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 14, 2020
Free Pick
973. Dodgers -1.70 (3:05 PT / 6:05 ET)

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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play WEDNESDAY, October 14, 2020
MLB
971. Rays -1.40 (5:40 PT / 8:40 ET)

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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Wednesday Selection Is

Tampa Bay/Houston UNDER 10 RUNS -115

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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Wednesday : LA DODGERS/ATLANTA OVER the total

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Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Wednesday

Louisiana -7'