Wednesday 10/14/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Coastal Carolina/Louisiana over 58

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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Wednesday: HOUSTON/TAMPA BAY OVER the total of 8 runs

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Kenny Towers

Your Free Pick for Wednesday: LA Dodgers (Urias) -185 over Atlanta

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Scott Rickenbach

Oct 14 '20, 6:05 PM in 16m
MLB | Dodgers vs Braves
Play on: Dodgers -170 at Mirage

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Rotation #973 Wednesday Free Pick Los Angeles Dodgers Money Line (-) vs Atlanta Braves @ 6:05 ET - I know the Dodgers are a bit pricey (-170 or more) on the money line for this one but that is why you are reading about it here rather than as a premium release or as a top play. I just don't see the Dodgers going down 3-0 in this series and last night's rally, though the fell a run short ultimately, gives LA plenty of momentum heading into this one. I also feel that Los Angeles has a significant pitching edge here. Though the Braves Kyle Wright had a great post-season start last week, lets not forget his regular season numbers. For Atlanta this season Wright went 2-4 with a 5.21 ERA. The right-hander has a 6.22 ERA in his MLB career. Conversely, the Dodgers Julio Urias is 4-2 with a 3.42 ERA in his post-season career and 12-7 with a 3.20 ERA in his regular season MLB career. In 2019 he had a 2.49 ERA in the regular season and Urias absolutely rates the pitching edge over Wright in this one. Factoring that in with the 0-2 deficit for LA in this series and yesterday's big rally against Braves bullpen and you have the ideal spot to back Los Angeles here. Free Pick DODGERS

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Sal Michaels

Oct 14 '20, 6:05 PM in 16m
MLB | Dodgers vs Braves
Play on: Dodgers -182 at YouWager

Free Play on Dodgers -182

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Brandon Lee

Oct 14 '20, 6:05 PM in 16m
MLB | Dodgers vs Braves
Play on: Dodgers -175 at William Hill

PICK - Los Angeles Dodgers -175
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 973
I know the price is a little high, but I can't help but go with the Dodgers one more time in Game 3. I just don't see this LA team going down 3-0 in the series. This team was too good during the regular season and in the playoffs before this series to not think they won't respond in this spot.
One thing I love with the Dodgers going into Game 3, is the fact that while it wasn't quite enough, their offense got going late in Game 2. I think we are going to see that late inning surge carry over early in Game 3. Look for Atlanta starter Kyle Wright to have a tough time pitching anywhere close to his 0.95 ERA over his last 3 starts.
Dodgers are 36-10 in their last 46 games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3 and are winning in this spot by an average of 2.6 runs/game. Give me the Dodgers -175!

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Frank Sawyer

Oct 14 '20, 6:05 PM in 16m
MLB | Dodgers vs Braves
Play on: Dodgers -185 at jazz

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR WEDNESDAY, 10/14:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. One of the last plays on my cut list for today is with the Los Angeles Dodgers with the money-line versus the Atlanta Braves listing both starting pitchers Julio Urias and Kyle Wright. Los Angeles (48-19) is in desperate straits after losing the first two games of this series after their 8-7 loss to the Braves last night. The Dodgers have won 10 of their last 12 game after a loss by two runs or less. They also have won 4 straight games after allowing at least eight runs in their last game. And in their last 7 games when avenging a loss by just one run, Los Angeles has won 5 of these games. Atlanta (42-25) has lost 7 of their last 10 games as an underdog priced in the +125 to +175 price range. They also have lost 8 of their last 9 game with Wright making the start at night. The Dodgers are priced above my -150 threshold for me to endorse for clients — and I do not like the -1.5 Run-Line bet for this game — but I do think LA is the right side while listing Urias and Wright. Best of luck — Frank.

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Will Rogers

Oct 14 '20, 6:05 PM in 16m
MLB | LAD vs ATL
Play on: UNDER 9½ -106

The set-up: The Dodgers are on the ropes here after losing their second straight in the NLCS by a score of 8-7 last night. I believe that Game 3 sets up as much more of a "duel" though. LA turns to Julio Urias, who was 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA in the regular season. So far in the playoffs he's allowed just four hits and zero earned runs over eight frames of work.
The pick: Kyle Wright was just 2-4 with a 5.21 ERA in the regular season, but he's saved the best for last by going 2-0 with a 0.95 ERA in the playoff so far for the Braves. Expect these in form starters to battle deep and consider a second look at the "under" in this one.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the UNDER Dodgers/Braves.

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Hunter Price

Oct 14 '20, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Coastal Carolina vs UL-Lafayette
Play on: UNDER 59 -110

1* Free Pick on Coastal Carolina vs UL-Lafayette under 59 -110

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Bobby Conn

Oct 14 '20, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Coastal Carolina vs UL-Lafayette
Play on: UL-Lafayette -7 -110 at 1BetVegas

1* Free Play on UL-Lafayette -7 -110

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Mike Williams

Oct 14 '20, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Coastal Carolina vs UL-Lafayette
Play on: UL-Lafayette -7 -110 at 1BetVegas

1* on UL-Lafayette -7 -110

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Cole Faxon

Oct 14 '20, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Coastal Carolina vs UL-Lafayette
Play on: OVER 58 -118

FREE PLAY on Coastal Carolina/UL-Lafayette over 58 -118

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ASA

Oct 14 '20, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Rays vs Astros
Play on: Rays -137 at betonline

ASA FREE PLAY ON Tampa Bay Rays Money Line (-) vs Houston Astros, Wednesday at 8:40 PM ET

As we have mentioned in the write-up for each of our first three MLB plays in the ALCS (all 3 winners on Tampa Bay): the Rays were the better road team in the regular season and these games are being played at a neutral location and that certainly favors Tampa Bay. In the regular season, the Rays went 20-11 away from Tampa Bay. As for the Astros, they went 9-23 away from Minute Maid Park. The Yankees were the only other team still in the post-season last round that had a losing road record in the regular season and Tampa Bay dispatched them in 5 games. We like the Rays to now exact some revenge (by getting a SWEEP) against the Astros team that eliminated them from the playoffs in last year's post-season. Houston continues to waste scoring chances as they have been devoid of clutch hitting so far in this series. Those struggles are likely to continue today. The starting pitching edge goes to the Rays with Tyler Glasnow over a struggling Zack Greinke. In terms of the Rays solid pitching overall (including superb bullpen) they have allowed an average of only 2.3 runs per game in their 8 post-season victories. They have the bullpen edge in this match-up and our computer math model predicts another solid win for them in this one. Bet the Tampa Bay Rays on the money line in evening action Wednesday.

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Kenny Walker

Oct 14 '20, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Rays vs Astros
Play on: Astros +130 at William Hill

Free Pick on Astros

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Pro Computer Gambler

Oct 14 '20, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Rays vs Astros
Play on: Astros +125 at William Hill

MLB SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Postseason, Road favorites -105 to -190 are just 72-81 -36.01 units (+18.1% roi to fade) SU after 4+ games without any errors. -- Active to fade the RaysZack Greinke might be the best home performance pitcher in the game...maybe even the history of the game. I've said this a lot before, and we've of course taken that many many times, to the bank.
The lines know it by now; so in other words, you can usually bet that if starting at home, his team will be favorited. Back with the Royals, less so.
I think if you isolate games post early career where the line is usually predictable, there is an interesting small subset of the Zack Greinke starting at home field gold mine: that is, when he is an underdog at home.

First of all, he's 158-87 SU (64.5% , +46.28 units) at home. Career. Straight up. No other filtering.
On the road he's a trap: 108-124 SU -26.93 units

So maybe to rephrase my previous statement, the most striking thing about Greinke is the strength of his dichotomy between home and road performance.

It makes playin on and against him, what I would consider, a system in its own.

People see him rock at home and then get suckered into a bargain looking line where he is now on the road. A great bet is the fade Greinke on the road as a public favored dog or small favorite as will normally be the case.

On the flip side. People shy away from the heavier chalk at home where the value actually is.
So when I see him at home as an underdog, I instantly see an enourmous amount of value with that in itself.

Let's see what history says though since he's been a home dog:26-31 SU +0.29 units career as an underdog - Break even. But possibly irregardlessly supported by the overall premise (that he is 158-87 SU +46.28 units) at homeIf we isolate games post- playing on the Royal (ie. early career where this trend wasn't yet very apparent and didn't have impact in the sports betting market yet) this is 8-4 SU +38% roi!