Sunday 10/18/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 8	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta Superfecta (.10 cent mnimum wager) $1 Pick Three
Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 87 • Purse: $4,000 • Post: 9:28P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. 124 LBS. (NO SEX ALLOWANCE).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * APOLLITICAL GOLD: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COPAUINOS BEST: Quarter horse has the highe st last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ALL NIGHT HERO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface. SPECIAL ROYAL EAGLE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5	APOLLITICAL GOLD	3/5	3/1
3	COPAUINOS BEST	6/1	7/1
2	ALL NIGHT HERO	8/1	8/1
6	SPECIAL ROYAL EAGLE	8/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	CARTELS COMET	1	12/1	Fast	79	62	2.4	0.0	0.0
2	ALL NIGHT HERO	2	8/1	Average	90	80	3.7	0.0	0.0
3	COPAUINOS BEST	3	6/1	Average	84	81	4.7	0.0	0.0
4	BOLD EAGLE	4	10/1	Average	78	76	4.6	0.0	0.0
5	APOLLITICAL GOLD	5	3/5	Average	101	90	3.7	0.0	0.0
6	SPECIAL ROYAL EAGLE	6	8/1	Average	89	78	3.9	0.0	0.0
7	SEIS GRACE	7	8/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	80	69	6.1	0.0	0.0

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 64

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 1 LB.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 MARK WHATS MINE 5/2
# 8 RACHEL'S LADY 8/1
# 4 PRETTY MISCHIEF 8/1

MARK WHATS MINE has a very strong shot to take this race. Shows signs of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 61 Equibase Speed Fig which is one of the strongest in this group. Has to be given consideration based on the quite good Equibase speed fig recorded in the last contest. I can't pass on this filly given one of the most favorable rider and handler combos on the grounds. RACHEL'S LADY - She looks very good in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Put up a strong Equibase speed fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. PRETTY MISCHIEF - Will most likely compete solidly in the early speed contest which bodes well with this group of horses. She should have a good showing versus this softer lot.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Hour Wagers - Race #2 - Post: 5:30pm - Optional Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $31,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating:

#6 SADIE BLUEGRASS (ML=7/5)
#2 WOKE UP TO ACES (ML=3/1)
#3 MIDNIGHT SUNRISE (ML=7/2)


SADIE BLUEGRASS - A big drop in Equibase class figure points from her September 18th race at Golden Gate Fields. Based on that data, I will give this one the edge. This filly likes to be near the lead. Today's affair is a shorter trip and should promote her chances. I like to see consistency in a racehorse. Look at this filly's PPs. Almost always in the money. This filly should be at the peak of fitness, this far into her form cycle. WOKE UP TO ACES - Trainer McCarthy gave this filly a good stiff blow out. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. Couton and McCarthy have had fantastic success together over the last year. This equine has the speed, and no one may be able to keep up with her. McCarthy drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to think this animal will be tough to beat at this level. MIDNIGHT SUNRISE - Nice winning percentage this jock and conditioner tandem have been putting together. This filly is in excellent condition right now. Finished second last time around the track and comes back promptly. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a comeback.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BLACK DROP (ML=4/1),

BLACK DROP - This filly notched a speed figure in her last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's event.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SADIE BLUEGRASS - Betting the horse with the best last race speed figure is a good angle. None higher than this filly's last one.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Can't see anything going off the right odds to bet to win

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hawthorne

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - SO - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 93

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $6,500 OR LESS IN 2019 - 2020 OR CLAIMING PRICE $13,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $13,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 ANTARCTIC 8/1
# 2 STOCK TRADE 5/2
# 6 HIGH ON SUGAR 5/1

ANTARCTIC is my selection and is a competitive value-based bet given the 8/1 line. He has been running well and the Speed Figures are among the most respectable in this field. Will most likely be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the midpoint of the race. Could beat this field given the 97 speed figure garnered in his last outing. STOCK TRADE - Ran a very strong last race. Appears to have a strong class edge based on the latest company kept.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Century Mile - Race #5 - Post: 7:15pm - Allowance - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 96

Rating:

#1 REGAL MAX (ML=8/1)
#4 GO AWAY (ML=2/1)
#3 SYNERGY (ML=5/2)


REGAL MAX - This gelding is in nice form, having run a strong race on September 27th, finishing first. GO AWAY - Rode this mount on Sep 27th and Walcott is back again in the irons this time. The jock/conditioner tandem of Walcott and Brown has a strong return on investment together. I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a sharp race within the last month. You have to be keen on that last race speed rating, 87, which is the best last race speed figure of this bunch. SYNERGY - Reyes and Heads perform well when they combine forces. It's hard to beat a +20 ROI for a jockey and conditioner. Ranked numero uno in earnings per race. Another sign that this equine outclasses this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SHIMSHINE (ML=4/1), #5 RAIL HUGGER (ML=6/1), #6 WHISKEY BOUND (ML=8/1),

SHIMSHINE - This stretch-runner looks to have no chance without a speed battle on the front end. RAIL HUGGER - Will probably be way back with too much to do down the stretch. Not probable that the speed rating he notched on Sep 27th will be good enough in this race. WHISKEY BOUND - This gelding probably needs a more conducive pace configuration to make his late move. The fig last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this entrant as a possibly overvalued equine.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - REGAL MAX - Back in my statistics class, I did a study of how key only pace is and the pct of winners that demonstrated this profile. The pct was very high and this pony shows the potential for lone pace.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #1 REGAL MAX on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,4] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

10/18/20, KEE, Race 8, 4.57 ET
10/18/20,KEE,8,1 1/2M [Turf] 2:27:00 STAKES. Rood and Riddle Dowager Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $125,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	1	With Dignity	10/1	Leparoux J R	Wilkes Ian R.	FWC	55	36.36	1.90/$1
098.3867	4	Always Shopping	5/2	Gaffalione T	Pletcher Todd A.	JTE	88	28.41	1.44/$1
097.9922	5	Siberian Iris (IRE)	5/2	Geroux F	Mandella Richard E.	S	55	36.36	1.90/$1
096.5475	6	Naomi Broadway (BRZ)	10/1	Talamo J	Lobo Paulo H.		88	28.41	1.44/$1
096.0763	2	Blame Debbie	2/1	Franco M	Motion H. Graham	L	88	28.41	1.44/$1
095.5674	3	Over Thinking	4/1	Bejarano R	Oliver Victoria H.		55	36.36	1.90/$1

Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 20.45, ROI 1.29/$1
. . . .
100.0000 1 With Dignity
[Category]Condition
[AllTurf]LastRacePurseNotLowerThanToday
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	1	With Dignity	10/1	Leparoux J R	Wilkes Ian R.	FWC	152	26.97	1.37/$1
096.9328	3	Over Thinking	4/1	Bejarano R	Oliver Victoria H.	S	152	26.97	1.37/$1
094.9070	4	Always Shopping	5/2	Gaffalione T	Pletcher Todd A.	JTE	152	26.97	1.37/$1
094.7808	5	Siberian Iris (IRE)	5/2	Geroux F	Mandella Richard E.		152	26.97	1.37/$1
094.2222	2	Blame Debbie	2/1	Franco M	Motion H. Graham	L	143	30.77	1.35/$1
092.2371	6	Naomi Broadway (BRZ)	10/1	Talamo J	Lobo Paulo H.		152	26.97	1.37/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 45.45, ROI 1.94/$1
. . . .
100.0000 1 With Dignity
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]LastRaceWasNotFavorite(not entry)