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KANSAS CITY -5.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
Look, everyone wants to take this game. And if you do, there's really only one side to go on, and that's the Chiefs -- even though Kansas City's line is inflated about two points going into Monday's early evening kickoff. Still, the Chiefs have not lost consecutive games ATS in a calendar year, and they're 4-0 ATS following their last four ATS losses. Patrick Mahomes is also 9-3-1 ATS in evening games with six straight covers; he's also undefeated ATS on Mondays. So while it's tough to take Kansas City as nearly a six-point road favorite against a good Buffalo team, the Chiefs should have their way with the Bills' secondary as Mahomes should get plenty of time in the pocket. Give me KC as the team that bounces back.
22-20-1 LAST 43 NFL SIDES | +30
17-8-2 IN LAST 27 KC ATS PICKS | +802
5-3 IN LAST 8 BUF ATS PICKS | +156
Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
3:07 PM
BUFFALO +5.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
The Bills come off being torched in Nashville, but they didn't have All-Pro cornerback Tre'Davious White for that game. He's expected to return Monday and his presence can't be overstated. Kansas City, meanwhile, will be missing Sammy Watkins and perhaps two starting offensive lineman (one for sure). The rainy, cold weather also would seem to help the home side and slow Patrick Mahomes down a bit.
7-5 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +145
Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
12:23 PM
OVER 55.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
This is a massive total, but it's fully justified. Even though Unders are on a 15-9 NFL run the past two weeks, as regression finally arrived, this game matches truly explosive offenses against suspect defenses. Look for the Over to stay perfect in Buffalo games this season.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS | +89
2-1 IN LAST 3 KC O/U PICKS | +90
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