Sunday 10/25/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358442

    #31
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Century Mile - Race #3 - Post: 6:15pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 84

    Rating:

    #5 MAKEOURDAY (ML=15/1)


    MAKEOURDAY - I like this gelding a lot here. He shows a lot of consistency, finishing in the money frequently. This front-runner should benefit from this race's shorter distance. This gelding has been posting some excellent workout times.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CYCLONE DAN (ML=9/5), #1 NORM'S PLACE (ML=3/1), #3 SERAPPY G (ML=4/1),

    CYCLONE DAN - You always figure that this animal has a shot to be victorious, but he falls short most of the time. NORM'S PLACE - If you keep betting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be dissatisfied regularly. Improbable that the speed figure he earned on October 11th will hold up in this race. SERAPPY G - Didn't do a whole lot last time out. Probably won't make a winning move in today's event. No good fortune for this vulnerable equine in a sprint event over the last couple of months tells me that this gelding is in a thorny circumstance



    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #5 MAKEOURDAY is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
    EXACTA WAGERS: Skip

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358442

      #32
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 82

      FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 8 HOT SOUP 8/1
      # 7 STAR RACER 9/2
      # 4 LUCAS MCCAIN 8/5
      My pick in this race is HOT SOUP and the potential return justifies the dangerous nature of the long odds. Is a solid choice - given the 82 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. Has been running admirably and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. STAR RACER - Change in Lasix (with second time Lasix) may be the difference to a turnaround. Must be carefully examined based on the quite good Equibase speed fig recorded in the last contest. LUCAS MCCAIN - Looks quite good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races recently. The Lasix change (with second time Lasix) may spark a reversal of fortune for this gelding.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358442

        #33
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 6 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 91

        FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 5 DESTINY'S JOURNEY 3/1
        # 8 ATINA (ARG) 7/2
        # 3 MONGOLIAN WINDOW 8/1
        DESTINY'S JOURNEY gets the edge as the bet in here. Win percentage one of the best in this group. Will almost certainly go to the lead and could never look back. Posted a competitive speed figure last time out. ATINA (ARG) - This mare has posted some nice finishes in her last couple of efforts. Has to be considered here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. MONGOLIAN WINDOW - She has a quite good distance/surface win record - 1 out of 3. Has longshot potential and could score at high odds.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358442

          #34
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



          Gulfstream Park West - Race #1 - Post: 12:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 86

          Rating:

          #9 STAR WEAVER (ML=7/2)
          #7 KEEP A EYE ON MIKE (ML=4/1)


          STAR WEAVER - The morning line odds on this gelding are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Danner. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. Last time out on the grass, this horse was great. Anything close in this field, and this one should win. KEEP A EYE ON MIKE - Speed ratings on the grass point to this animal as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this dist-surf. I believe the addition of the 'shades' today will help this gelding focus his attention on racing.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ALLURING RUMBA (ML=3/1), #2 PAPA LUKE (ML=5/1), #3 SUBJECT TO CALL (ML=6/1),

          ALLURING RUMBA - Today's race is 5 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance race in the last two months. Not the greatest of signs. This filly notched a speed fig in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's race. PAPA LUKE - Equibase speed figs of 86/76/64 are pointed downward. SUBJECT TO CALL - 6/1 is not enough of a price to take on this horse.



          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #9 STAR WEAVER to win if you can get at least 7/5 odds
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [7,9]

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Pass
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

          SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
          Skip
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358442

            #35
            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



            10/25/20, BEL, Race 9, 4.55 ET
            10/25/20,BEL,9,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 STAKES. Athenia Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $100,000. INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.
            . . . .
            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
            100.0000 5 Altea (FR) 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JW 67 29.85 1.61/$1
            098.8938 8 Tapit Today 6/1 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. 128 26.56 1.26/$1
            097.9515 7 She's Got You (GB) 4/1 Castellano J Brown Chad C. C 67 29.85 1.61/$1
            097.8169 2 Call Me Love (GB) 7/2 Rosario J Clement Christophe E 67 29.85 1.61/$1
            097.2706 3 Feel Glorious (GB) 8/1 Alvarado J Clement Christophe 128 26.56 1.26/$1
            097.2083 1 Mitchell Road 9/2 Saez L Mott William I. FL 128 26.56 1.26/$1
            096.5963 6 Sweet Bye and Bye 3/1 Lezcano J Dutrow Anthony W. S 66 39.39 1.49/$1
            093.8736 4 Story Time 30/1 Davis D Sweezey J. Kent 67 29.85 1.61/$1
            Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 29.09, ROI 0.94/$1
            . . . .
            100.0000 5 Altea (FR)
            [Category]Condition
            [TurfNot_MdnMClm]LastRaceDistanceIsNotLessThanToday with
            [TurfNot_MdnMClm]NotMorningLineFavorite(not entry)
            If Race Is Off Turf

            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
            100.0000 6 Sweet Bye and Bye 3/1 Lezcano J Dutrow Anthony W. SF 255 35.29 1.04/$1
            099.2331 2 Call Me Love (GB) 7/2 Rosario J Clement Christophe E 255 35.29 1.04/$1
            098.7275 1 Mitchell Road 9/2 Saez L Mott William I. L 104 47.12 1.23/$1
            097.2720 8 Tapit Today 6/1 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. W 74 50.00 1.28/$1
            097.2526 7 She's Got You (GB) 4/1 Castellano J Brown Chad C. C 74 50.00 1.28/$1
            096.5958 5 Altea (FR) 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. J 255 35.29 1.04/$1
            095.2992 3 Feel Glorious (GB) 8/1 Alvarado J Clement Christophe 255 35.29 1.04/$1
            094.2631 4 Story Time 30/1 Davis D Sweezey J. Kent 30 50.00 1.55/$1
            Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 31.00, ROI 0.90/$1
            . . . .
            100.0000 6 Sweet Bye and Bye
            [Category]Condition
            [AllDirt]HorseNotAge3

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