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Marco D'Angelo
3% (951) TAMPA BAY +155 Listed Pitchers: Glasnow vs Kershaw Both teams needed the full 7 games to get here but they took different routes. Tampa Bay took a commanding 3-0 lead before needing to win Game 7 while the Dodgers down 3-2 Won games 6 and 7. Tampa has had two days off while the Dodgers had just one giving Tampa an edge there as their bullpen will be at full rest leaving all options open. The Dodgers have most options open except for Urias who pitched 3 innings in securing the win. I wouldn’t think he would pitch tonight or if he did it would to end an inning facing 1 or 2 batters in a situational spot. Kershaw has been both good and bad in the post season and I just don’t think he warrants this kind of price against this Tampa team. We also find that when Glasnow starts following a win over the last 2 seasons his team is 16-4. We also find that TAMPA BAY is 20-8 after a win by 2 runs or less this season TAKE TAMPA BAY as my 3% WS GAME 1 BEST BET.
Dave Essler | MLB RunLine - Tuesday, Oct 20 2020 8:09PM 952 LOS -1.5(+115) Pinnacle vs 951 TAM triple-dime bet
Analysis: Trust me when I tell you I tried hard not to make this bet. In a game with the home team not getting a last at bat if they're ahead by one, and a game with a low total, it's not easy but everything says it's correct. Although I don't "like" the Dodgers and "want" the Rays to win, it's not going to be this game. First of all the Dodgers have been here before, even though it's not a stadium full of people, and speaking of Stadiums, Los Angeles has just finished playing in this stadium with these sight lines and the Rays have never played here. It's a new stadium and given this seasons' schedule that wasn't ever going to happen, and I think it matters a lot. Next, we have what I think is a bad matchup. Glasnow throws heat, and the Dodgers are a great fastball hitting team. Glasnow also can walk people, and the Dodgers have walked more in this post season than any team that made it to the LCS, and in two less games. So, Los Angeles should score enough. That also means that this isn't a bet on Kershaw finally coming into post season form. He doesn't have to. The Rays have seen very little of him, and the Rays strike out FAR more than any team this post season. Margot and Renfroe saw Kershaw when they were in the NL, but they are/were a combined 8-44 while the rest of the Rays are just 1-16 against Kershaw. As far as bullpens go, Kenley Jansen isn't having another implosion, and the Rays' pen in the series with the Astros had a 1.60 WHIP, which will eventually be costly. So, the Dodgers and their offense will make a statement tonight, and perhaps that makes the Rays' RL a very viable option in game two - we'll wait and see, but tonight it's the Dodgers game to lose.
L.A. DODGERS -177
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/20 | 8:11 PM EDT
Clayton Kershaw was 6-2 with a 2.16 ERA in the regular season but he is 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA in the postseason. He allowed four runs in five innings in his most recent start for the loss but pitched two quality starts before that including an eight-inning scoreless performance. Tyler Glasnow was 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA in the regular season and 2-1 with a 4.66 ERA in the playoffs. He pitched just one quality start out of four this postseason and he is coming off allowing four runs in six innings against the Astros. He allowed two home runs in each of the three starts he made on full rest and 6 home runs in 19.1 IP this postseason. He faced the Dodgers three times in relief in 2018 and allowed 6 earned runs in 4 IP.
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