Service Plays Saturday 10/24/20

[WeWantMoehr]

Tony George

8 Units - #355 West Virginia (-3) vs Texas Tech *5:30 EST - Big 12 Game of the Year
The key here is DEFENSE. For once WV does play defense, and Texas Tech is a bit of a mess and cannot stop anyone. Texas Tech has QB issues and Bowman is now out, he seems to always be injured. Hang on - West Virginia's defense is ranked overall #1 in CFB. Need I say more, and their offense is ranked 17th. Did I mention Texas Techs defense out of 77 teams now playing in Division I football is 73rd. You simply do not get this much line value at -3 with the defenses being opposite - one is great and the other one, for lack of a better term, sucks. Tech need every second on the clock as a 40 point favorite to beat Houston Baptist by 2 this season, at home! All you need to know, drop the hammer on West Virginia. You can buy the hook down for -120 if this line climbs by gametime.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer:

7 - Rice -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOC SPORTS

COLLEGE

7 - Miami-12.5
4 - Marshall-16.5
3 - Wake+9
3 - Nevada+4.5

[citybeat]

• 73% -- 5% CFB MAX BET UPSET
  Game: (349) Iowa State at (350) Oklahoma State
  Date/Time: Oct 24 2020 3:30 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Iowa State +3.5 (-110)
  
  3:30 PM ET -- College Football
  349 Iowa State
  350 Oklahoma State
  PLAY --> 349 IOWA STATE +3.5 (-110)
  PLAYABLE at +3 or better
  BET SIZE --> 5%
  PSA: 5% MAX BET does NOT mean bet all the money you have. It also does NOT mean bet money you don't have. It simply means 5% of your bankroll is the most we will ever bet on any single play, and that is what we are betting on this one. BE SMART! BET SMART!
  Oklahoma State is being overvalued, in my opinion. All the press is about how great the Okie State defense has played. Umm, the Cowboys defense has faced the offenses of Tulsa, West Virginia, and Kansas. In other words, they've basically played nobody. And this defense is built to defense against the typical Big 12 offenses that use mostly 3- and 4-WR sets. Iowa State's offense does not fit that mold, as the Cyclones use a lot of 2- and 3-TE sets. These tight ends are big, can catch, and of course block in the run game. Okie State coach Mike Gundy is on record as saying this Cyclones offense is a "challenge for a defense to be able to contain."
  Throw out the Kansas game because everybody pounds Kansas. Okie State was only +7 yards against Tulsa, and -11 yards against West Virginia. Both of those teams are at least a tier below Iowa State.
  Iowa State is off to a 3-0 start to the conference schedule, including an upset win over Oklahoma. But it still seems like the Cyclones are being downgraded due to its season-opening home loss as double-digit chalk against UL Lafayette. ISU has revenge motivation for a TD loss as home chalk of more than a TD against these Cowboys last season.
  Okie State and Mike Gundy are just 4-4 SU and 2-5-1 ATS as conference home favorites of less than four points. Iowa State and Matt Campbell are 19-8-2 (70.4%) as dogs, including 8-3 ATS as conference road dogs. Gundy might be 3-1 SU against Campbell, but Campbell is 2-1-1 ATS. The lone SU win was in this stadium as 9-point dogs in 2018. The other cover was the only other Campbell-Gundy clash in Stillwater. This is the shortest line for a Cyclones/Cowboys Stillwater clash in 20 years, and it's that short for a reason.
  PLAY IOWA STATE.

[rocky57]

MidAmerican Sports (Raiderman)
CFB
Baylor +10
Baylor/Texas Under 61.5
Iowa State +3.5
TCU +7
Minnesota +3.5
Missouri +5

[B*mb07]

Marco D"angelo

4% (327) GEORGIA SOUTHERN (+6)
Here’s a spot I just have to take the dog as first the first time in the history of Coastal Carolina they are ranked in the Top 25 albeit so many teams haven’t played yet and they are one of the undefeated teams left in College Football. Truth is they have played a soft schedule and are +4 on the season in TO’s. There defense hasn’t been the reason they are undefeated as they have given up a lot of points and yards this year. It’s one thing to be a dog and get away with that but now laying a number against an offense like Georgia Southern’s is just asking too much. This game goes right to the wire and I’m taking the Points with Georgia Southern. Georgia Southern 30-27. TAKE GEORGIA SOUTHERN +6 as my 4% CFB UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK.

[golden contender]

Rob V: Saturday Comp Play

Saturday card has our Exclusive TIER 1 College Football Side, the 17-1 American Athletic Conf. Play of the Year, an Afternoon TV Blowout + BIG SEC and ACC Plays, along with W.S. Game 4 and a 3 game Soccer pack. Comp play below.


The Saturday College Football Comp Play is on Michigan at 7:30 eastern. Michigan has won 16 straight here on this field against Minnesota and have covered the last 4 as a favorite and 6 of 7 in conference games. The Gophers may bounce off their first 11 win season and they lost their last 3 tacklers from last season and breaks in a several new lineman on both sides of the ball. They are 2-7 ats in their first conference game. Michigan is the more talented team and we will back them to get the cover. Make it Minnesota. Huge College Football card up with AAC conf. Game of the Year and TIER 1 Executive Level Top play, along with 3 more best bets a 3 game top level soccer pack and Game 4 of the World Series. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Comp play. Make it Michigan. Rob V- GC Sports

[Hombre de Burro]

Brian Edwards Vegas Insider:
Boston College -3.5 vs Georgia Tech
Alabama -12.5 1st half @ Tennessee
Air Force -7 @ San Jose St
South Carolina +6 @ LSU
Ohio St -26 vs Nebraska

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence

---

From vegas insider
tcu
lsu
missouri
wake forest

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold sheet

---

From vegas insider
penn st
smu
iowa
alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Kezirian
Clemson -28.5
Clemson Team Total Over 53.5
Louisville Team Total over 33.5
South Carolina/LSU Under 27.5 1st half

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
5:24 PM

TAMPA BAY +135
L.A. DODGERS @ TAMPA BAY | 10/23 | 8:08 PM EDT
I've been on the Rays in the first two games of the World Series and I'm not changing up now. My reasoning is simple: the Dodgers are better, but the gap between these two teams isn't nearly as large as the odds suggest. In what's going to be a low-scoring affair, I'm putting my trust in the Tampa bullpen to help me get the win often enough to make this price worth it.

8-5 IN LAST 13 LAD ML PICKS | +383


John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
4:29 PM

TAMPA BAY +135
L.A. DODGERS @ TAMPA BAY | 10/23 | 8:08 PM EDT
Charlie Morton was 2-2 with a 4.74 ERA in the regular season but he is 3-0 with a 0.57 ERA this postseason. He has only allowed one earned run in 15.2 IP this postseason. He faced the Dodgers twice in the 2017 World Series and allowed two earned runs in 10.1 IP, including four innings with one run allowed in Game 7. He also faced Dodgers in 2010 and 2015. Walker Buehler was 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA in the regular season and he is 1-0 with a 2.44 ERA in the postseason. Walker Buehler is coming off easily his best postseason performance this season in Game 6 pitching six scoreless innings. Most importantly, he did not allow a walk which was a big issue with the blister he has been dealing with. He has not allowed more than two runs in any of his four 2020 postseason starts and he has never faced the Rays. I would be a little worried about the blister affecting Buehler’s breaking pitches at this value, take the value in Morton.

3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB ML PICKS | +165
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAD ML PICKS | +65

2-1 IN LAST 3 TB ML PICKS | +60

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barrett Sallee

IOWA -3.5
IOWA @ PURDUE | 10/24 | 3:30 PM EDT
5:15 PM
The Boilermakers won’t have star wide receiver Rondale Moore or coach Jeff Brohm on the sideline. That’s going to spell disaster against an Iowa defense that won’t be threatened by a Boilermakers offense that isn’t exactly what it is supposed to be.

4-0 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS | +400

ALABAMA -21.5
ALABAMA @ TENNESSEE | 10/24 | 3:30 PM EDT
5:11 PM
Tennessee has massive quarterback issues, the offensive line has underwhelmed and coach Jeremy Pruitt seems to be losing control of the team. Meanwhile Alabama is ... Alabama. It’s hard to imagine Tennessee getting to double digits or slowing down Mac Jones and the Crimson Tide offense.

4-0 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS | +400
5-0 IN LAST 5 BAMA ATS PICKS | +500

2-1 IN LAST 3 TENN ATS PICKS | +79

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barrett Sallee

Best Bets

UNDER 70.5
AUBURN @ OLE MISS | 10/24 | NOON ET

Vegas expects this to be a shootout, and for the life of me, I can't figure out why. Auburn's offense is a joke and, while Ole Miss has weapons, it's hard to trust a team that turned the ball over seven times last weekend. Auburn will rely on Tank Bigsby to keep the Rebels offense off the field, grind it out, and send this one WAY Under.

MINNESOTA +3
MICHIGAN @ MINNESOTA | 10/24 | 7:30 PM ET

The wrong team is favored here. Minnesota quarterback Tanner Morgan, wide receiver Rashod Bateman and running back Mohamed Ibrahim are three of the biggest playmakers in the Big Ten, and it's hard to imagine Michigan's offense having success in what should be a high-scoring affair. Take the three points but you might want to consider a little money line sprinkle on the Golden Gophers.

OKLAHOMA -6.5
OKLAHOMA @ TCU | 10/24 | NOON ET

Sooners quarterback Spencer Rattler has had some head-scratching moments, but he has helped his team score 30 or more points in all four games of the season. On the flip side, TCU ranks seventh in the Big 12 in opponent red zone touchdown conversion percentage (66.67%). Rattler is fully capable of moving his offense up and down the field, and TCU has proven that it isn't exactly clutch on the defensive side of the ball.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barton Simmons

OKLAHOMA -6.5
OKLAHOMA @ TCU | 10/24 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:23 PM
Oklahoma still may be the best team in the Big 12. Even with two conference losses and an escape against Texas, OU has a lot to play for. Gary Patterson is capable of pulling an upset so the play isn’t risk-free, but TCU has been incredibly inconsistent and Oklahoma is just better. Take the sooners to cover as long as this spread stays under a touchdown.

7-2 IN LAST 9 CFB PICKS | +480
4-0 IN LAST 4 TCU ATS PICKS | +400

3-0 IN LAST 3 OKLA ATS PICKS | +300

OVER 59.5
OKLAHOMA @ TCU | 10/24 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:21 PM
We’re setting an Oklahoma total in the 50s? I’ll take the Over. Oklahoma’s offense isn’t that much different from the one we’re used to seeing. It just needs to take care of the ball. The Sooners will be clicking coming off a bye week. The defense can’t learn to tackle in one week, though. TCU will be able to score some points.

7-2 IN LAST 9 CFB PICKS | +480

OVER 70.5
AUBURN @ OLE MISS | 10/24 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:21 PM
Ole Miss can’t stop anyone. It’s the worst defense in the Power Five. Auburn has an offense that needs to have a feel-good game. I expect it to put its foot on the gas against the Rebels. Ole Miss, meanwhile, wants to get a better taste in its mouth after a seven-turnover performance last week against Arkansas. This game will be played in the 30s at minimum.

7-2 IN LAST 9 CFB PICKS | +480
3-0 IN LAST 3 AUBURN O/U PICKS | +300

LIBERTY -13
SO. MISS @ LIBERTY | 10/24 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:17 PM
With head interim coach Scotty Walden out with COVID, Southern Miss is on its third head coach of the season. It’s also going to be down players with lingering COVID issues across the roster. The bigger factor, though, is that Liberty is just better. Liberty has outgained opponents by an average of 188 yards. Southern Miss has been outgained by an average of 88. Liberty will roll.

7-2 IN LAST 9 CFB PICKS | +480

RICE -3.5
MIDDLE TENN. @ RICE | 10/24 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:15 PM
MTSU has one of the worst run defenses in college football. Rice wants to run the ball old-school Stanford style under head coach Mike Bloomgren. There’s also an advantage to MTSU being banged up with five games of tape available and Rice coming in fresh with no film to offer MTSU for prep. Rice started to find some consistent success late last season and returns a lot from that group. Rice will win by a touchdown-plus.

7-2 IN LAST 9 CFB PICKS | +480