Tuesday 10/27/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 27

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TAMPA BAY (51 - 28) vs. LA DODGERS (55 - 22) - 8:08 PM
BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. TONY GONSOLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 51-28 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 35-19 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 39-16 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-10 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SNELL is 25-12 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 149-154 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-2 (+0.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SNELL is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

TONY GONSOLIN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GONSOLIN is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.77 and a WHIP of 1.504.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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MLB

Tuesday, October 27

World Series

Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles (LA leads 3-2) (@ Arlington)
Snell is 2-2, 3.33 in his last five starts; he didn’t finish 5th inning in his last two.
— Rays are 10-6 in his starts this year.
— Over is 3-1 in his last four starts.
— Snell allowed two runs in 4.2 IP (88 PT) in Game 2 vs LA.
— He is 2-3, 3.03 in eight postseason games (6 starts).

— Tampa Bay lost six of its last nine games.
— Rays are 51-28 this season.
— Under is 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— Tampa Bay lost its only previous World Series, in 2008.

Gonsolin appears to be starting for LA, so its a bullpen game.

— Dodgers are 55-22 this year; they’ve won six of last eight games.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 34-13 away from home this season.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— Dodgers haven’t won World Series since 1988; they lost World Series in 2017-18.

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MLB

Tuesday, October 27

Trend Report

Tampa Bay @ LA Dodgers
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games

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Game 6 Odds: Rays vs. Dodgers
Tom Wilkinson

After four straight high-scoring games that went over the total to start the World Series, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Tampa Bay Rays played their first game to go under the total on Sunday night.

It didn’t look like Game 5 would go under after their were five runs scored in the first three innings, but both bullpens were spectacular and combined to allow just five baserunners and no earned runs in 7.1 innings of work.

A day off on Monday means that both bullpens should be fully loaded once more for a decisive Game 6 on Tuesday, October 27.

Betting Resources

Matchup: World Series Game 6
Venue: Globe Life Field
Location: Arlington, Texas
Date: Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020
Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Line Movements

Money-Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -140 / Tampa Bay Rays +130
Run-Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+140) / Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-160)
Total: 8 (Over -120, Under +100)
Updated Series Price: Los Angeles -650, Tampa Bay +475

The L.A. Dodgers will start Tony Gonsolin in Game 6 but a committee approach is expected to be used on Tuesday. (AP)

Game 5 Recap

Tyler Glasnow struggled with his control again in Game 5. Glasnow threw 102 pitches in five innings, allowing all of the Dodgers’ runs in a 4-2 loss for the Rays.

The Dodgers only had six hits, but they made them count as Joc Pederson and Max Muncy both hit solo home runs in the win.

Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw pitched well for the Dodgers. He allowed seven baserunners in 5.2 innings of work, but he only allowed two runs to pick up his second win of the World Series.

After watching the 'over' cash in the first four games of the World Series, we finally saw an 'under' ticket cash in Game 5.

The game was actually on a good pace to lean to the high side as Los Angeles led 4-2 after five innings, but the bullpens showed up late and neither team scored in the final four innings.

The 'over' is 5-0 in first-five inning wagers in the World Series.

Los Angeles did cash on the run-line again, going 3-0 when it wins in the series.

Starting Pitchers

Blake Snell
Tony Gonsolin

Manager Kevin Cash will ask Blake Snell to lead Tampa Bay to a victory in Game 6. Snell was in good form when he started for the Rays in Game 2, striking out nine batters in 4.2 innings of hitless baseball. However, he couldn’t get out of the fifth inning. After putting away the first two batters, Snell went walk, home run, walk, single before being pulled in favor of Nick Anderson.

The fifth inning has been a constant source of disappointment for Snell in the postseason. He has not made it to the sixth inning in any of his last four starts, allowing nine baserunners, six earned runs, and three home runs in the fifth inning. Generally, Snell pitches well until the fifth inning, so Cash might jump the gun and use his starter for four innings before turning to the bullpen for the last five frames.

The Dodgers will match Snell against Tony Gonsolin, just like they did in Game 2.

L.A. manager Dave Roberts used Gonsolin as an opener in that game, but he could go deeper this time around. Gonsolin pitched just 1.1 innings last week before handing the ball off.

That was Gonsolin’s shortest outing of the postseason. He hasn’t looked great though, allowing five earned runs in 4.1 innings against Atlanta in Game 2 of the NLCS and two earned runs in two innings of work in Game 7 of that series. Gonsolin was much better during the regular season, posting a 2.31 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in 46.2 innings of action.

Game 6 Bullpen Analysis

We didn’t see Nick Anderson or Pete Fairbanks for Tampa Bay in Game 5, so one of those two relievers is likely to be the first out of the pen. Cash told reporters that he planned on being aggressive with his bullpen on Tuesday, and that probably means he will yank Snell if he gets in too much trouble early.

Anderson, Fairbanks, and Diego Castillo might all be used for more than an inning since they are the three best arms, and there is no tomorrow for the Rays if they lose Game 6.

Dustin May might be the only Dodgers’ reliever that will be unavailable in Game 6. May threw 30 pitches in Game 5, so he is likely to get some additional rest along with the day off on Monday.

If the Dodgers have a narrow lead, it will be interesting to see what Roberts decides to do in the final innings. He wants to trust Kenley Jansen, but the long-time reliever has been a mess in his two World Series appearances.

Players to Watch - Rays

If it wasn’t for Randy Arozarena, the Rays never would have reached the World Series. Almost every hitter has struggled on this roster outside of Arozarena.

He has set numerous postseason records, and he just broke another on Sunday with his 27th hit of the 2020 playoffs. The Dodgers have not elected to pitch around him just yet, but he has reached base 10 times and has two home runs in this series.

Will anybody else step up?

Tampa Bay’s entire infield has struggled from the plate.

Brandon Lowe, Willy Adames, and Joey Wendle are all hitting .200 or less than postseason, and all three players don’t have an OPS above .540. That has really limited the Rays’ run production, so at least one player out of this group needs to have a big performance in Game 6.

Players to Watch - Dodgers

Mookie Betts only has five hits in the World Series, but he has made his presence felt. Betts is a constant threat to steal whenever he gets on base, and he has played excellent defense in the outfield.

We have seen him take more walks in the postseason than he did in the regular season too, allowing the Dodgers’ power hitters to have the potential to make an even bigger impact.

Max Muncy doesn’t have the same recognition as other stars on the Dodgers, but he has been fantastic in the World Series. He has reached base a whopping 12 times, drawing a walk in every game. Muncy has made excellent contact, striking out to Tampa Bay pitchers just three times, and he has the same number of walks and K’s this postseason.

The World Series MVP favorite continues to be Corey Seager. Seager mashed once again in Game 5, and he now has eight hits and five walks against the Rays. This has been a breakout postseason for the shortstop, as he never posted a batting average higher than .237 or an OPS above .743 in his previous four postseasons.

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: LA Dodgers/Tampa Bay UNDER the total of 8 runs

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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Tuesday Selection Is

TAMPA BAY w/Snell +120

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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Tuesday: TAMPA BAY/LA DODGERS UNDER the total of 8 runs

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Mike Williams

Oct 27 '20, 8:08 PM in 2h
MLB | Rays vs Dodgers
Play on: Rays +126 at William Hill

1* on Rays +126

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ASA

Oct 27 '20, 8:08 PM in 2h
MLB | TAM vs LAD
Play on: UNDER 8½ -115

ASA FREE PLAY ON: UNDER 8 or 8.5 - Los Angeles Dodgers versus Tampa Bay Rays, Tuesday at 8:08 PM ET - The Rays have lost 3 games in this post season and have scored an average of 2.3 runs in those 3 defeats. Overall, other than the crazy 8-7 win in Game 4, the Rays have scored an average of only 3.3 runs in the other 4 games in this series. If the Rays win tonight it will be likely be on the strength of the arm of Blake Snell. He held the Dodgers to just 2 hits while striking out 9 in his start in Game 2 of this series. Though this has been a high-scoring World Series with Game 5 being the first under, the fact is that Game 3 only went over because of a late 2-out solo homer in the bottom of the 9th. Overall, there have been a lot of 2-out RBI's in this series but now, in an elimination game, don't be surprised if runs are even harder to come by. Snell pitches very well here in our opinion but will he and the Rays bullpen outduel Tony Gonsolin and the Dodgers bullpen in this one? Don't miss our HUGE 10* Top Game (THE MLB GAME OF THE YEAR) going tonight to find out the answer to that! FREE PLAY UNDER 8 or 8.5 in Los Angeles Dodgers

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Ben Burns

Oct 27 '20, 8:08 PM in 2h
MLB | TAM vs LAD
Play on: UNDER 8½ -115

After the first four games produced 44 runs, Game 5 saw only six runs scored. Both Snell and Gonsolin are more than capable of coming through and with both bullpens having gotten a chance to recharge their batteries, due to yesterday's off day, I won't be surprised to see another relatively low-scoring affair. Consider the Under.

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Sean Murphy

Oct 27 '20, 8:08 PM in 2h
MLB | Rays vs Dodgers
Play on: Rays +1½ -151 at pinnacle

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Tampa Bay +1.5 runs over Los Angeles at 8:08 pm et on Tuesday.
I'll take a flyer on the Rays with an insurance run on Tuesday night as this series certainly has the feel of one poised to go the distance. Down 3-2 in the series, the Rays have essentially been tripped up by a red hot Clayton Kershaw. Apart from that, they've been right there with the Boys in Blue every step of the way. They do have an edge on the mound tonight with former Cy Young winner Blake Snell going up against Tony Gonsolin. When the Dodgers last sent Gonsolin to the hill in Game 2 it almost seemed as if it was a throwaway game as he was pulled from the game in short order and they ultimately fell by a 6-4 score. Here, with a World Series title hanging in the balance, L.A. will certainly pull out all the stops, but I'm comfortable grabbing an insurance run (at a reasonable price) with the Rays. Take Tampa Bay +1.5 runs (8*).

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Steve Janus

Oct 27 '20, 10:00 PM in 4h
Soccer | Seattle Sounders FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Play on: Seattle Sounders FC -150 at Mirage

1* Free Sharp Play on Seattle Sounders FC -150

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Cole Faxon

Oct 27 '20, 10:00 PM in 4h
Soccer | Seattle Sounders FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Play on: Seattle Sounders FC -150 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Seattle Sounders FC -150