Friday 10/30/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-29-2020, 02:00 PM

Weekly Bankroll Builder: October 30 Stronach 5 Play

October 28, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau

Back to battle in this week’s Stronach 5, and we’ve got another 100k guarantee, and a prospective pool that should far surpass that. To refresh, the Stronach 5 is a Pk5 wager spread across as many as four tracks and up to three surfaces (dirt, Tapeta and turf), inside of 90 minutes, with a $1 minimum and ridiculously low 12% takeout. I’ll be putting together some prospective tickets in this space each week for a wager that is undoubtedly as good as it gets for the bettors.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update, as well as on Twitter. ***

Leg 1: Laurel Park Race 7 (3:28 ET) – 3upfm 16k N3L* at 5 ½ furlongs (turf)

I’m probably playing with fire, but I’m only using the three logicals in the opener, as #9 PROUD MANDATE, #2 GOLDEN CAN, and #3 HONORABLE LILLY just seem a bit better than a mixed bag of gals, and the former has a closing kick, while the latter two have some speed, so I think I have it bookended as well.

Pk5 A horses: 9,2,3 (listed in order of preference)

A drop in class and getting to the turf could wake up #6 MAGICAL ANNA, and Lynch is 21% in turf sprints, so that’s a plus, while #7 TWEET AWAY ROBIN is my price, as she drops from a N1X, trues turf, and didn’t run poorly after a bad start in her lone turf start at GP.

Pk5 B horses: 6,7

Potential B add-ins: #12 Pins and Needles, #4 Missimard, #10 Elsie’s Kid, #14 La Shrimp, #16 Scarfree

Leg 2: Gulfstream Park West Race 8 (3:41 ET) – 3up 12.5k MCL at 1 1/16 miles (turf)

This is an extremely weak group, littered with lifetime maidens, so I’ll go with #2 EL SOLITARIO, who drew best, has run well on the turf, and has started just five times, and #10 SUPER EDGAR, who didn’t draw particularly well but should like getting back to the grass. (As an aside, take note of the scratches, since #12 Karamojo is a lead pipe single should he draw in, though he’s two-deep on the AE list.)

Pk5 A horses: 2,10

There are more than a few you can use here, but I’m only going with #4 PUERTO VARAS, since he draws much better than the parking lot at Tampa last time, and has run just twice on turf, while being competitive both times. You could use #9 Alperes and #5 Noble Nebraskan, but at 0-for-22 and 0-for-18, respectively, they can beat me.

Pk5 B horses: 4

Potential B add-ins: #9 Alperes, #5 Noble Nebraskan

Leg 3: Laurel Park Race 8 (4:00 ET) – 3up N1X at 7 furlongs

I’m taking a stand here and using only #5 MOOSE LODGE and #4 STONE COURAGEOUS, as the former has run just twice and closed both times at Mth, which is tough to do, and gets an extra furlong here, while the latter wins this with his last, a fast 2nd, though obviously he could bounce too since it came from nowhere, but with Smith calling the shots I’ll give this one the benefit of the doubt.

Pk5 A horses: 5,4

This is another spot where there are more than a few alternatives, but I like my top-2 and I’m ok going it alone with them, especially since the rest all look basically the same on paper and would blow up the ticket if they get used.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins: #8 Absolved, #9 Paul the Waiter

Leg 4: Laurel Park R9 (4:30 ET) – 2yo 40k MCL* at 6 furlongs

I’m a sucker for an MSW dropper, which is what I get with #8 BIG CYPRESS, who didn’t run all that well on debut but will like this group a lot better, from a nice attack post too, and getting McCarthy is a coup as well. Clearly #1 HELLO HOT ROD is a must-use, as Russell is 30% on debut, and the there are a slew of positive works on display too, though the rail is no bargain. I’ll also play #3 DOUBLEOSEVEN, since he closed nicely behind a rousing winner, should get some pace, and I expect him to be a lot closer off that trial run.

Pk5 A horses: 8,1,3

I could easily slide #5 CLEVER AND GREAT up to the top line, since the debut 5th came in a very fast race for the level, though he does rise in class, which is why he’s a supporting actor (before the scratches). Capuano is only 9% on debut, so I’m a bit leery of #7 ESCAPABILITY, but the works whisper ready, most notably that 10/4 bullet, so I think you have to fit him in somewhere.

Pk5 B horses: 5,7

Potential B add-ins: #6 Stimulus Maker, #2 In the Top Ten

Leg 5: Golden Gate Fields Race 3 (5:15 ET) – 3upfm 12.5k N2L at 6 furlongs

I’m not in love with the 1-for-12 lifetime record but there’s little doubt #7 TIPPY TOP is the best horse here, and the big class drop from 50k starters should only help, so if you need a single at the end you could do worse than landing on her. With that being said, I’m going to hope for a more patient ride and use #4 THRILL’S LEGACY, who pressed when well behind ‘Tippy last time, but was a lot closer to her two-back when settling early and making a late run, and the risk-reward will be there today too, with a new jock getting aboard as well.

Pk5 A horses: 7,4

There’s a lot of inside speed, so it’s a good sign the fleet #8 NICE AND TRUE draws outside of it, and she was a close 2nd at the level off the claim, while facing winners, so she can improve, and if the droppers aren’t right, then she might have a big lead in midstretch.

Pk5 B horses: 8

Potential B add-ins: #2 Persuasive Lips, #3 Charging Home

The tickets:

Main Ticket: 9,2,3 with 2,10 with 5,4 with 8,1,3 with 7,4 = $72
Leg 1 B Backup: 6,7 with 2,10 with 5,4 with 8,1,3 with 7,4 = $48
Leg 2 b Backup: 9,2,3 with 4 with 5,4 with 8,1,3 with 7,4 = $36
Leg 4 B Backup: 9,2,3 with 2,10 with 5,4 with 5,7 with 7,4 = $48
Leg 5 B Backup: 9,2,3 with 2,10 with 5,4 with 8,1,3 with 8 = $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 06:10 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Pick Late 4 Analysis

October 30, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
It is opening night of Breeders Crown weekend at Hoosier Park. There are 15-races ready to roll with four being Breeder Crown events. The 0.50 late Pick 4 starts in Race 8. The first and third legs will feature top 2-year-old fillies and colts. The sequence has a $40,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 12

2-JK Alwaysbalady (7/2)-Put it all together last week with a 55.3 last half on a sloppy track. Comes off an impressive win and now Gingras chooses over #3, Caviart Audrey. Last could have been a fluke but my guess is things may have finally clicked for this Takter 2-year-old.
5-Scarlett Hanover (4-1)-Seem to like an off-track and just missed by a head of beating #2. Burke trainee is ultra-consistent finishing in the top two in 10 of 13 starts with 6 wins. Draws well and this gal should be there at the wire.
7-First Start Hanover (3-1)-Did all the heavy lifting in the elim and faltered in the final yards. Not sure if faltered is the correct way of putting it, maybe more like eased up. Dunn may have been saving some gas for this week and it is best to respect that possibility.

Race 13

4-Mystical Carrie (3-1)-Home town favorite is 8 of 21 at HoP and has had a nice year banking over $170k. This looks like a 2-horse race and will lean slightly to Carrie because of past experience on this surface.
7-Marloe Hanover (5/2)-Races against tough fillies on different size ovals. Hasn't had the same success as last year but still looks to have the best chance of downing #4. Had a 150.3 mark at the Big M as a 2-year-old but has been mostly working on smaller ovals this season.

Race 14

2-Perfect Sting (7/5)-Always B Mike colt is a perfect 9 for 9. Raced huge last week in 150.4 in the slop and drew off down the lane. The showdown with #3 should be fun to watch.
3-Southwind Gendry (8/5)-Gendry has won 9 of 11 and only losses have come when breaking stride. Has won 2 times at HoP, once on a fast track and last week in the slop. It's hard to split the top pair.
6-Summa Cum Laude (10-1)-Most will use the 2 chalks only in the Pick 4. But this Burke trainee could make things interesting. Has the speed to possibly get the top or at least make the 2 favorites work for it. Should get a good trip, Sears can keep her close and take a shot down the lane at a juicy price.

Race 15

1-JB's Shooting Star (15-1)-Comes of a nice win last week and does best work racing near the top of the stack. Smith should have her forwardly placed and could benefit with the post edge at a solid price.
4-Quite a Sight (10-1)-Widger takes a seat and will toss last versus tougher on a sloppy track. Fits well here and at the morning line odds offers some value and should be in the hunt.
9-Buzinga N (15-1)-Raced well in the slop last week and could blast out to get a good early seat. Has the gate speed for Bates to work a smooth trip and could use a big brush to roll by late.
11-It's Time For Fun (7/2)-Using from the 2nd tier and leaving the morning line chalk #10, who is only 2-26 in 2020, off the ticket. Wilfong could win coming off cover and #2 may leave which could help this mare get a better seat.

0.50 Late Pick 4

2,5,7/4,7/2,3,6/1,4,9,11
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 06:12 AM

Jeff Siegel's National Best Plays - Oct. 30, 2020

October 30, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s National Best Plays for Friday, October 30, 2020

*

Belmont Park – 4th race: Post time: 2:16 ET
8 – Emma and I (20-1)

The 2-year-old daughter of Exaggerator was given an easy run in her debut earlier this month and actually performed better than her line indicates. Was shuffled back to last on the turn and trailed to the top of the lane before showing good energy in the final stages to wind up seventh, beaten only five lengths. She returns in a similar state-bred turf event while stretching out to a distance she’s bred to enjoy, so at 20-1 on the morning line she represents good long shot value across the board and in rolling exotic play.

*

Belmont Park – 9th race: Post time: 4:57 ET
10 – Superfecto (8-1)

Lands the cozy outside post in this seven furlong allowance sprint in his first outing since an impressive maiden win in early May at Gulfstream Park, and his recent two bullet workouts indicate the R. Nicks-trained colt is fit and ready. The lightly-raced son of Constitution should fold into an ideal pace-stalking trip, and if he returns as well as he left this promising 3-year-old colt can win again despite the class hike. We’ll play in in the win pool and in our rolling exotics and or near his morning line of 8-1.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 06:57 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #3

#4 Well Kept Secret	MSW dropper dueled then tired badly on debut, but that was going a tricky 7Fs, and this drop is a seismic one; look out.
#7 Suspended Campaign	Underlay will be bet hard for Brown and is another MSW dropper, but the no-show last time was tough to take; trying to beat.
#6 Lucky Sitka	Terranova firster (10%) drew well and has a slew of works showing, and Saez landing her is a positive too; looms in the mix.
Race Summary	There's a lot to like with the 4, as she takes the biggest drop in racing and this is likely the spot she was looking towards all along as well, so play her in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she figures to move forward in a big way off that tightener in her debut.

Belmont Park - Race #5

#3 Hardcore Folklore	Potts claim (19%) cuts back off a solid two-turn 3rd at Mth for 8k, has the figures to play with this tougher group, and the fact Irad is here says it's go time; look out.
#8 Washu Warrior	Versatile sort wired last time and might be the speed here too, and the win was a fast one, though that makes you wonder if regression is coming here; second-best.
#1 Ethan Hunt	Class dropper has been facing better and the return to the dirt last time netted a decent 4th, and this slightly longer trip should help his chances too; exotics appeal.
Race Summary	That 7-2 ML seem fair on the pick, as Potts can move them up, and it's not like the locals are any great shakes either, so play him in all the slots, and especially to end the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he looks to be in a good spot, and a win over the 8 would knock out a lot of budget tickers as well.

Belmont Park - Race #8

#2 Sirenic	Lightly raced runner bombed at the Spa but now rises in class off the Weaver claim, which is a rare thing for this barn, so obviously they liked this miss, and with Castellano riding there's some intent here too; upset special.
#7 Flat Awesome Jenny	Stalker goes off the claim for Atras (28%), which has been a potent move in NY, and the barn has been on a recent tear too, and it's not like she'll have to improve all that much off her last to have a big say; looms very scary.
#8 Glass Ceiling	Class dropper was a solid 3rd in an N1X last time, so this group for 32k should be to her liking, and if she repeats that run she's going to have every chance, at what should be fair odds as well; foolish to ignore here chances.
Race Summary	You need some imagination to come up with the 2, but there's reason to think she fires here, and at 10-1 or so that would be enough-risk reward to string along, so play her in all the slots, and give her a look in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since a win would go a long way in blowing up both sequences.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 06:58 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #3

#3 Lugamo	Took a nice step forward as the chalk when rolling in the first local try, and he should be able to get a great trip from up close with these.
#5 Nice Ace	Tricky call. He has done nothing wrong in three starts, but he has a slightly turfy pedigree, so the move to the dirt from the Presque Isle synthetic footing is at least a mild worry.
#7 No One to Blame	Has some ability from off the pace that should work in his favor in a race where some of these forward players will be suspect late.
Race Summary	Lugamo pressed briefly before assuming command for an easy score to land the maiden win last time out, and another similar trip may be in store for him here.

Laurel Park - Race #6

#2 Francatelli	Gets some class relief out of a couple of stakes tries, and his form on the main track is sharp enough to compete with these. 7/2 ML price would feel fair.
#5 Hold Me Black	Forward player can get a good go of things, but she might be just a tiny bit light on class compared to a couple of these. In the mix.
#8 Taco Supream	Drops out of stakes company with recent form that stacks up very well with these. He's a midpack threat for the win.
Race Summary	Francatelli probably gets bet below the 7/2 ML price, but he looks like the one to beat here off a handful of races with better groups. He will probably have a bit of pace company, but he seems sharp enough to turn it away.

Laurel Park - Race #8

#5 Moose Lodge	Doesn't meet much pace, but he has been in range of some quick splits, so he can probably sit closer to a soft set of splits today. The one to beat.
#8 Absolved	Tough to love on top at 1-for-22 lifetime, but he is an ultra-reliable underneath player with 10 additional exacta finishes. Useful underneath again.
#4 Stone Courageous	Ran a big one last time out, but he's no sure thing to back up an effort that seems more like an exception to his form than the rule. The price probably won't reflect the somewhat likely chance that he's going to take a huge step back today.
Race Summary	Moose Lodge should be tough to beat, and the reliable Absolved figures to run his race again and impact the gimmicks.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 06:59 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1

#8 NECTAR	Upset chance if she stays flat, has won 3 of 9 starts, key in gimmick wagers.
#2 SMILE BY THE BEACH	Outran odds for two wins and a second in last three starts.
#1 E L CITADEL	Proved versatile, won two in a row at Flamboro, draws rail.
Race Summary	Nectar is an all-or-nothing type play at 8-1 on the morning line. She broke stride in 3 of her last 6 starts, but she won at odds-on three back, failed at odds-on in the follow-up race and was far back from post 9 in her latest try.

Hoosier Park - Race #4

#1 ROLL WITH TIME	Lives up to favoritism with duplicate of prior start under these conditions.
#5 TOWNLINE BIG RIGS	Change of tactics backfired, bad starting spots before that, price attached.
#6 ODDS ON BREXIT	Finished 1-2-3 over Hoosier Park strip already this month.
Race Summary	Roll With Time had bad racing luck the last time he ran at this level four starts ago. He saved ground in fourth off a lively pace, had nowhere to go when a lively outer flow developed and was blocked with run through the stretch. Play 1-5 and 1-6 exactas.

Hoosier Park - Race #8

#5 LADY CHAOS	Had something in reserve in elimination win, tactical speed a plus.
#8 SWIFT SWANDA	Picked up cover on final turn, rallied for second behind top one.
#9 GOTTA BELIEVE	Second at 50-1 from post 8 after odds-on choice went off stride.
Race Summary	The complexion of this division changed dramatically when pre-elimination favorite Donna Soprano broke stride and didn’t qualify for the Breeders Crown final. Lady Chaos sat a golden pocket trip in her elimination win as the field raced single-file to the far turn, but she won with something left and increased her margin on the gallop out. Let’s make her today’s Best Bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 07:00 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park West - Race #3

#4 Dominate Themoment	Has been in longer races and is capable of giving his best early today. Had a :45 1-5 breeze for a half-mile and has other sharp drills to his credit.
#7 Til the End	Was on the board in his last four and has shown look late energy in recent start; one to hold off.
#8 El Pillo	Has been on the front end or close to it in his last three and he was a maiden winner two back. Capable of being a factor.
Race Summary	Dominate Themoment has been ask for more speed in his morning drills and will probably give it a go on toward the front of this one. Has been in some difficult races and on most occasions has been a big player.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #5

#6 The Great Kath	Won four of her last five going into her last won and ran in a tough race, was forced wide and finished seventh; she can break better with these and can be a force throughout.
#7 Daddy's Joy	Was up in time for a maiden win in her first start in Florida; very quick and could be up to the task again.
#8 Got Glee	Capable of breaking well and running with the leader and is a threat to win her second straight.
Race Summary	The Great Kath didn't fire last time but has several races on her form that are good enough to win this; one to catch.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #7

#6 Wicked Temptations	Make a solid move and almost caught the leader last time; it was his first two-turn attempt and he can improve off that good effort.
#1 Tons of Gold	Put away foes upon entering the stretch and drew off an easy N2L score; steps up in conditions and is a late threat.
#67 St Joe Viper	Has good speed and has been in with some tough company; troublesome if he gets on the front end.
Race Summary	Wicked Temptations ran well in his first distance outing and doesn't have to improve much to get the victory here; one to hold off.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 03:21 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields

Golden Gate Fields - Race 5	$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $1 Superfecta (.10 min) / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8) / $1 Rolling Super High Five
Maiden Claiming $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Age 2 • CR: 56 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 3:20P
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. AUTISM ABILITY is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CALL SIGN LUCKY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Tr ainer combination return on investment is at least +20. AUTISM ABILITY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the dista nce/surface.
6	CALL SIGN LUCKY	3/1	7/2
8	AUTISM ABILITY	5/1	7/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	CALL SIGN LUCKY	6	3/1	Front-runner	62	56	76.9	37.3	29.3
2	SUPERDUTY JUSTICE	2	7/2	Front-runner	0	0	65.4	38.9	32.9
3	DOGHOUSE	3	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	71.1	30.3	25.8
9	RUSSIAN DIPLOMAT	9	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	58.8	42.7	34.2
8	AUTISM ABILITY	8	5/1	Trailer	0	0	18.0	53.1	46.1
1	LIGHT MY TIGER	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	54.0	19.0	9.0
4	LOVESICK BLUES	4	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	8.5	0.9	0.0
10	THE SHYSTER	10	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	7.6	20.9	6.9

Unknown Running Style: MEXICAN WARRIOR (20/1) [Jockey: Camacho-Flores L - Trainer: Preciado Guillermo], ROMERO RULES (20/1) [Jockey: Barber Ryan - Trainer: Moger Jr Ed].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 03:22 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine

Woodbine - Race 7	Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Crossover PK5 (Races (2) MOH- (7) WO- (3) MOH-(8) WO- (4 ) MOH
Claiming $5,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $18,500 • Post: 7:45P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DEEP FREEZE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average w inning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SHEER FLATTERY: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. HIT THE TICKET: Horse has the highe st average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). STREET LEGAL: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
3	DEEP FREEZE	3/1	9/2
11	SHEER FLATTERY	4/1	5/1
10	HIT THE TICKET	20/1	10/1
4	STREET LEGAL	8/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	STREET LEGAL	4	8/1	Front-runner	87	84	85.2	79.6	72.6
3	DEEP FREEZE	3	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	91	93	109.2	84.8	81.8
7	I IDOLIZE YOU	7	20/1	Alternator/Front-runner	78	75	77.7	72.0	46.5
11	SHEER FLATTERY	11	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	91	79	93.4	84.6	77.6
15	GIANT MINE	15	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	84	74.8	70.6	55.1
12	CENAR	12	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	80	79	72.2	53.2	31.2
14	HEYDON'S CASE	14	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	94	86	67.4	67.4	46.4
5	LEONARD'S BAY	5	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	79	80	67.2	71.4	52.4
10	HIT THE TICKET	10	20/1	Trailer	93	94	75.0	86.8	66.8
9	COASTAL HIGHWAY	9	20/1	Trailer	90	85	74.5	77.4	58.4
6	RED BO	6	6/1	Trailer	91	78	56.2	79.0	68.0
8	GREENFIELD	8	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	84	79	58.4	75.2	59.7
1	MIRIAM'S SKY	1	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	83	81	47.7	54.1	33.1
16	WHO'S GOT IT	16	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	86	84	84.2	73.4	55.4
13	MOON MAGIC	13	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	81	77.0	69.6	45.1
2	TISHINA	2	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	89	82	71.4	72.1	55.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 03:24 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #7 - Post: 10:02pm - Allowance - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#5 BRIGINTINE ISLAND (ML=9/2)
#4 BOUNDTOBEBAD (ML=7/2)
#7 STOWE ANGEL (ML=8/5)

BRIGINTINE ISLAND - This jockey and handler have a beneficial ROI when they are put together. Have to make this filly a solid contender; she comes off a strong effort on Oct 15th. Multiple wins over the surface right here at Charles Town. Maybe, another trip to the winner's circle in this event. This filly registered a strong speed fig of 81 in her last contest. That speed fig should be high enough to score in today's event. BOUNDTOBEBAD - This filly is a gem of consistency, almost always on the board. Casey brings her back again. I suggest you stay with this hot filly. This horse has increased her speed figures in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet. This filly's last figure is good enough to score here, I'll bet on her back again this time out. STOWE ANGEL - Generally, I don't like to see a filly run against the males like she did October 10th. Good to see she's back with her own sex today. Faced tougher in the last race at Charles Town. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of top contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 LIAM'S LOOKOUT (ML=4/1), #2 OCEAN LILLY (ML=8/1),

LIAM'S LOOKOUT - I don't have a 'use' sensation about this steed in this event. OCEAN LILLY - Based on the pace scenario in this event, this horse doesn't fit in here. With a single front-runner and this equine having to race from behind, she sure has a tough assignment.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #5 BRIGINTINE ISLAND to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[4,5,7] with [4,5,7] with [2,4,5,6,7] with [2,4,5,6,7] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 03:25 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Century Mile

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 PACIORETTY 1/2
# 3 MADE FOR SATURDAY 3/1
# 7 VENDING MACHINE 15/1

My pick in this contest is PACIORETTY. Overall the speed figures of this racer look very good in this contest. The average class figure alone makes this entrant a solid contender. Looks decent for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races recently. MADE FOR SATURDAY - Will likely be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the midpoint of the contest. With a very good 74 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this outing. VENDING MACHINE - Ought to be given consideration - I like the figures from the last competition. Solid average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this racer a definite contender.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 03:26 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10200 Class Rating: 48

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 YOLONDA 30/1
# 2 MISS COFFEYVILLE 3/1
# 5 DEDE'S TRICK 9/2

YOLONDA is the most competitive bet in this contest and the potential return justifies the unsafe nature of the long odds. Going on blinkers can produce noticeable speed increases. Is hard not to look at given the company run in recently. MISS COFFEYVILLE - Has solid early pace and ought to fare solidly versus this field. Could best this group of animals based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 53 - of her last outing. DEDE'S TRICK - Is worth a look and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (52 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Ran a strong last race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 03:27 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

10/30/20, CD, Race 8, 4.36 ET
10/30/20,CD,8,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $89,000 (includes up to $38,700 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of $26,600 Twice Since August 30 Allowed 2 lbs. $23,400 Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Races Where Entered For $50,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	8	Dean Martini	6/1	Gaffalione T	Amoss Thomas M.	JTFEL	157	36.31	1.17/$1
097.2143	6	Sir Alfred James	5/1	Hernandez C J	Stall. Jr. Albert M.		251	33.07	1.13/$1
096.4532	4	Nifty	6/1	Saez G	Jones J. Larry	WC	78	42.31	1.76/$1
096.2631	7	Tough Love	3/1	Geroux F	Williamson Brian	S	251	33.07	1.13/$1
096.2417	1	Straight Shot	6/1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	Wilkes Ian R.		251	33.07	1.13/$1
095.7547	9	Night Time	8/1	Santana. Jr. R	Romans Dale L.		218	24.31	1.05/$1
095.3359	2	Home Base	9/2	Rocco. Jr. J	Tomlinson Michael A.		157	36.31	1.17/$1
094.4639	3	Wild Popit	20/1	Lanerie C J	Morse Randy L.		251	33.07	1.13/$1
092.2036	5	Dabo	8/1	Talamo J	Romans Dale L.		218	24.31	1.05/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 31.03, ROI 0.93/$1
. . . .
100.0000 8 Dean Martini
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]LastRacePurseNotLowerThanToday

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2020, 03:28 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #2 - Post: 6:26pm - Starter Allowance - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,200 Class Rating: 91

Rating:

#2 HASHTAG WINNING (ML=5/2)

HASHTAG WINNING - This gelding is in exceptional condition right now. Finished second last race out and comes back promptly. This jockey and trainer have a high win percent together. Running over a familiar track, where he has won multiple times before, I have to put this animal at the top of my list of strong contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 EYES ON ME (ML=3/1), #6 TIZ SAMURAI (ML=4/1), #3 GRIMGRINNIN' GHOST (ML=4/1),

EYES ON ME - Somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last out at Penn National at 1 1/16 miles. Don't believe this steed will improve too much in today's race. TIZ SAMURAI - Unlikely that the speed figure he earned on October 8th will be good enough in this race. GRIMGRINNIN' GHOST - I'm forecasting a lackluster try out of him today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 HASHTAG WINNING is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None