Service Plays Saturday 10/31/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS LOCK

HUGE play :
Cinncy

Smaller
Georgia
W V
Clem

[B*mb07]

Marco
4% (159) NAVY/SMU OVER 58.5

Navy will not be able to stop this SMU offense who could point up 40 themselves in this game which means if I get 3 scores out of Navy we easily hit this over. Navy should have a field day running the football as SMU has allowed 189 or more yards rushing in 5 of their 6 games this year. To make matters worse SMU suffered their first loss in what was the biggest game of the season last week and if they come out flat trying to stop the option attack will be even harder than normal. The last 5 meetings have all produced 60+ points. This one will be no different as my projections have 67 or more points being scored. TAKE NAVY/SMU OVER 58.5 as my 4% CFB TOTAL DOMINATION GAME OF THE WEEK.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe with write ups

---

College Football
12:00 PM EST
Rotation # 138
Cincinnati -7 over Memphis
Cincinnati showed how great their defense was in their road win last week against SMU. This team plays like an NFL team and I just don’t think Memphis has the identity they once had in the past. This is a young head coach that was left some talent, but a few of the guys opted out this year and I don’t think the skilled players are good enough to beat this Bearcat Defense. Brady White is not the most mobile guy so I expect the front seven to do a good job at frustrating and sacking him. This game is all about defense. The Bearcats successful defense puts their offense in position to score. Take Cincinnati.

College Football
2:00 PM EST
Rotation # 178
Houston +3 over UCF
UCF is a track meet offense, but with that comes costly penalties and on the road that is always a cardinal sin. This Houston Defense has the talent in all three levels to compete with the Knights and on the offensive side Clayton Tune is looking like he may have a future at the next level. This is a tough team at home and they have plenty of skilled players of their own to match the talent UCF has. The Cougars have the edge on special teams as well. Take Houston.

College Football
6:00 PM EST
Rotation # 151
Boise State -14 over Air Force
Boise State/Air Force Over 49
Covid hit some teams harder than others. Because Air Force is a military school the players all went on to deployments or studies and simply can’t opt back in. The entire defense is literally gone. This team has not been exposed yet, but it’s coming today with a great QB in Hank Bachmeier. Boise has a ton offensive weapons and are balanced at both throwing and running. They should put up 50 tonight as this Falcons Defense does not have the bodies to match up. Take Boise and the Over.

College Football
10:30 PM EST
Rotation # 153
Nevada -13.5 over UNLV
Nevada/UNLV Over 60
Last year UNLV stunned Nevada on the road. The Wolfpack have payback in mind as they head to Las Vegas. This is a new coaching staff for UNLV and a few of their players had covid and are questionable once again this week. Nevada is an offensive minded team and in their Air Raid Offense should put up a ton of points against a very young defense. The Rebels only bring back one every game starter from last year and just have so many new faces on that side of the ball that I don’t think they will keep up. The UNLV offense will be good for a few scores as they have talent and proved they could score against this team last year, but the new system and their weak defense will eventually be too much to keep pace with the Wolfpack on and this game will get out of hand. Take Nevada and the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The judge
cincy over 57
w vir -3 1 half

[Bear's Fan]

Maddux added

10 Rice/So Miss UNDER 59
10 MSU/Michigan UNDER 53

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

• Game: (137) Memphis at (138) Cincinnati
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 12:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: To be announced
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Cincinnati Total Over 30.5 (-110)
  
  Call this another one of those play it like a 5% type spots….where I just can't find any reason on the EARTH this total is listed at what it is…nor can I understand the total dropping at the rate and vigor with which it has….but enough is enough, time to lock in the wager, no matter how much kooky talk it is….as game total opened in the 60 range and is now in the 55 range and dropping.
  Memphis should be able to at least do a little bit of work on the offensive end, they run fast and should get many chances, but on defense they are nearly ranked 100 in DAY and DPD and this is following a game where the Bearcats hung 42 on SMU, a better team, offense, and run slower
  
• Game: (139) Purdue at (140) Illinois
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 12:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Illinois +8.5 (-110)
  
  What an excellent and amazing value spot...we get a team at home following a hideous blowout loss to Wisconsin in the opener 45-7, while Purdue was without key pieces (including Brohm and Moore) and got an upset W over Iowa! Good for both teams and amazing news for the public who sees an EASY ROCKER on the road favorite against the dumpster fire Illini, right?? Not so fast my friend, Lee Corso would say, as I don't even think this should be outside a FG, EVEN with Purdue getting some of those pieces back. The weather in Champagne today is iffy, Lovie's team is MUCH better than they showed against Wisconsin, and might even flat out win this game...will anyone sharp be shocked at all were that the case? Thank goodness we can look past pure scores and lay points based on just that fact...thank you Joe Q. Public for allowing this to be the open price and then EXPAND!!! KOOKY TALK!
• Game: (179) Iowa State at (180) Kansas
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 12:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Over 50.0 (-110)
  
  Don't threaten me with a good time....as we often say with our plays....as this has now dropped to a flat 50 POINTS?!?! Kansas has shown they can get theirs...usually late...but double digits in each of these huge monster expected blowout losses....and yes, 7 or 10 points is all I project we need...as Purdy and Co. can get it really going against the missing Jayhawk defense. You can accidentally snag 42 or 45 points when playing Kansas, even on the road...and this dropped RIGHT TO WHERE WE ARE READY TO HAMMER The fact this keeps happening week after week is quite shocking to me...and yes I also think the Cyclones can get to this number all by their lonesome a la K State from last week!
• Game: (139) Purdue at (140) Illinois
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 12:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Under 57.5 (-110)
  
  Correlated Under play as we have the Illini keeping this tight throughout and maybe winning...and this is exactly why I like it, weather, defense, lots of incomplete passes, and Lovie's side having extra time to prepare for a very specific offense from Purdue!
• Game: (137) Memphis at (138) Cincinnati
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 12:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: To be announced
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Gerrid Doaks Over 99.5 Rushing Yards
  
  Try and find this prop, out there at some outs like Bovada or DK where you can find the most available plays....but this play is just fantastic value against a Memphis D that ranks right at the bottom of the nation through 4 games in defensive yards allowed per play and specifically against the rush, also I expect UC to light up the scoreboard, both Ridder's arm and legs, but Doaks to break at least a couple bigger runs and slide easily into the triple digits with carries regularly in all 4 quarters... His role has increased each of the past 2 victories of USF and SMU and achieved this mark, but with just pounding it for about 5 yards per carry...and this is where I see a difference today....18 to 22 carries for right in the 120 yards range and thus very solid value!

[Hombre de Burro]

Brian Edwards Vegas Insider:
Ole Miss -17 @ Vandy
Alabama -18 1st half vs Mississippi St
Kansas St +4.5 @ West Virginia
Missouri @ Florida > 61.5
Arkansas +12 @ Texas A&M

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

DOUBLES:
Boise State -14

SINGLES:
West Virginia -3.5
Duke -9.5
Penn State +12
Nevada -14
Cincinnati -6.5
Northwestern +2.5
Temple +4
Louisiana -17
Ole Miss -16.5
Appalachian State -31
Mississippi State +31

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

10* CBF Late Steam Add

Houston +3 (-118)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

21-5 ATS NCAA HIGH NOON HANGING
Kansas State

21-0 ATS NCAA PERFECT CONF INVESTMENT
Boise State

17-3 ATS CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH
Louisiana

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Krackman CFB

Michigan under 53
duke -9.5
northwestern +3
lsu -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence preferred picks 5* game of the month is on Auburn

[Hombre de Burro]

Lee Sterling Paramount Sports:
35 Oklahoma St vs Texas
30 Cincinnati vs Memphis
25 West Virginia vs Kansas St, Georgia @ Kentucky, over Virginia Tech @ Louisville

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAELS

• Game: (179) Iowa State at (180) Kansas
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 12:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Total Under 51.0 (-110)
  
  #179/#180 3% UNDER 51 Iowa St/ Kansas NOON ET
  Iowa St HC Matt Campbell is 6-12-1 O/U as an AF and his teams do not run uo the score avg just 32.5 PPG and Iowa St in avg only 66 plays per game. Kansas comes in avg 13 PPG vs B12 foes and 3 of those game were with Pooka Williams running the ball but he has since opted out.
• Game: (133) Indiana at (134) Rutgers
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 3:30 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Indiana -12.5 (-110)
  
  #133 5% Indiana -12.5 Rutgers 3:30 PM
  I MAKE THIS GAME IU -21! Both teams off upset wins. The difference is IU played the second-best team in the conference while Rutgers played a team that is a total wreck this season. Indiana is a team that was +35 YPG in B10 action LY and this season compared to Rutgers which was -241 YPG and has a new HC and both coordinators. Hoosiers are a hungry group that had 11 straight losing seasons before getting to 8-5 LY. IU also learned to win on the road beating Maryland, Nebraska & Purdue. Rutgers lost 21 straight B10 games prior to LW and the only reason they won was because they were +4 in Turnovers (since 1989 89% of all teams win when +4 in TO’s).
• Game: (185) Mississippi at (186) Vanderbilt
• Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 4:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Mississippi -17.5 (-110)
  
  PLAY IS OLE MISS -17.5!!
  #185/#186 3% Ole Miss -17.5 Vanderbilt 4 PM
  Pent up frustration for Ole Miss and Lane Kiffin. Play close vs Bama, get behind 20-0 vs Arkansas but close the gap to 26-21 and then loses in the last minute vs Auburn. Kiffin is 6-1 ATS as a DD Fav off a loss and I think he runs it up. Vandy is #93 getting outgained by 193 YPG and are #98 in yards per play diff as they are -3.3 yards per play. Vandy; last two games were both 41-7 losses and this one will be worse.
• Game: (151) Boise State at (152) Air Force
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 6:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Boise State -13.5 (-110)
  
  4% Boise St
  Boise is the class of the conference and my numbers have this game higher. Air Force was to return only 9 starters and then had over 30% of their roster to opt-out. The Falcons scored only 6 points and gained 298 yards at San Jose St and now play in B2B weeks.
• Game: (113) North Carolina at (114) Virginia
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 8:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H North Carolina -3.5 (-120)
  
  FIRST HALF #113 3% North Carolina -3.5 (-120) Virginia 8 PM
  First half play as Virginia has trailed in the First Quarter in all 5 games and the tar Hells talked about how in their last road game, at Florida St, they started so slowly it cost them the game. UVA still looks like they’ll play all 3 QB’s which means no QB gets off to a great start adding to out 1H play.

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris:

6 unit: Ohio st/Penn st 64u
5 unit: Texas +3.5
5 unit: Texas A&M -12.5