Service Plays Sunday 11/1/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chip Chirimbes

Minnesota +7

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Rainman
Ten -7
Phi -11

[rocky57]

Noble Technology (The Swami NFL) - 10* Top Play Bills/Patriots Under 41

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Ben Burns

*EARLY* SUNDAY MONEYLINE MONEYBALL! (2-0/100% IN OCTOBER)

NFL

Ravens

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Big Al

Conf GOY. Ravens

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Big Al
Road warrior. Titans
Total of week. Jets/chiefs over
Divisional gom. Seahawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wise Guy: Cinn under 24.5 first half

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAELS

• Game: (259) Las Vegas Raiders at (260) Cleveland Browns
  Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Cleveland Browns -2.5 (-110)
  
  #258 3% Cleveland -2.5 Las Vegas 1 PM
  Windy conditions likely means better rush team can control game. Cleveland avg 5.09 ypc (#5) vs a Raiders D allowing 4.61 (#24). On the flipside Raiders avg 3.01 (#22) vs the Browns D allowing 3.79 (#6).
• Game: (269) San Francisco 49ers at (270) Seattle Seahawks
  Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 4:25 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: San Francisco 49ers +3.0 (-120)
  
  #269 3% San Francisco +3 Seattle 4:25 PM
  Seattle is -54 YPG which is #29 while SF is +73 YPG which is #3. Give me 3 points all day long against a defense that is #32 in YPG allowed (479 ygp) & #29 in yards per play allowed.
• Game: (267) New Orleans Saints at (268) Chicago Bears
  Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 4:25 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Under 42.5 (-110)
  
  THERE ARE SOME 43's so SHOP!
  #267/#268 4% UNDER 42.5/43 New Orleans/Chicago 4:25 PM
  Normally will not play into this big of al line move because of the wind BUT I still find value at this number so I will use it. Bears rush attack #3 (3.75 ypc) vs Saints #3 rush D (3.43). Saints are 2-0 O/U on the road but is was against the #26 D of Las Vegas and #22 D of Detroit with both games in Domes. This is versus the #7 defense in yards per play allowed and their first outdoor game this season!

[dawggy]

dr. chuck

• Game: (263) Los Angeles Rams at (264) Miami Dolphins
  Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (-115)
  
  23-3-4 TREND going....oh and yes...the Flippers are going with Tua....
  we cannot beat the Tua in his first start....then we out we out right....we out we out.....dum duh du du dum
  
• Game: (253) Minnesota Vikings at (254) Green Bay Packers
  Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Minnesota Vikings +230
  
  INSANE amounts of value here….we get a team that has just 1 win on the season somehow against one of the most overrated teams thus far…as you saw in the game against Tampa…not that the Vikings are that good…as the Buccs defense is just intensely good. But we get Zimmer plus Cook, Rodgers minus Jones, and the nasty ass weather in Lambeau today…facing a QB who didn't even look the way of a receiver not named Adams last week against the Texans…look for Zimmer to FORCE the game plan change to a massive degree!
  
• Game: (253) Minnesota Vikings at (254) Green Bay Packers
  Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Minnesota Vikings +7.0 (-120)
  
  Just NUTS VALUE here….as we wrote in our ML play on the Vikes, I think this is the most live dog on the board in a while….and WOW they are getting a TD (bought the hook because hell I am playing the ML already so why not add some insurance!) but yes I think Cousins can step it up when needed, Cook should be Cook and get himself a TON of yards, while ARod showed he is Adams or bust when he is missing Aaron Jones, but with the wind and the defensive mind/scheme of Zimmer I trust this to be a close, low scoring nasty game that comes down to the wire….or maybe doesn't and the Vikings break down GB a la Tampa Bay, getting them behind and forcing the hand of a one dimensional offense
  
• Game: (253) Minnesota Vikings at (254) Green Bay Packers
  Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: 1H Total Under 24.5 (-110)
  
  Whipping winds across field at 25 to 30mph with GUSTS OF 40MPH in the first half….ummmm….yeah….so basically we're saying it was already going to be a slugfest, no Aaron Jones, the Pack KNOW they have to focus in on Dalvin Cook and be staunch in the red zone (both teams in fact) and we cruise under this big 24 PLUS THE HOOK!
  
• Game: (261) New York Jets at (262) Kansas City Chiefs
  Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Braxton Berrios Over 37.5 Receiving Yards
  
  Sam Darnold is up against it this week against the Chiefs defense that will likely be sitting on a lead from JUMP today with the biggest spread of the year….but he is such an enormous upgrade over Flacco, even without a running game to speak of or his receivers Crowder or Perriman I think he has a pretty decent day…also in one of the few matchups on the day without wind wreaking absolute havoc on the passing game. Mims seems to be the hot buy for today as the WR1 for the NYJ, but I can't see why the Chiefs and Spags wouldn't also know this….right?
  Berrios saw 7 targets last week without the injury riddled team and should see that today at the least in my projections…getting just a couple of those to be decent chunk plays of any kind we cruise toward the 50 yard mark quite easily…and if the Jets can get a couple of solid possessions going at all if the Chiefs overlook this game whatsoever then we could get there by the 3rd quarter potentially!
  
• Game: (269) San Francisco 49ers at (270) Seattle Seahawks
  Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 4:25 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: San Francisco 49ers Total Over 24.5 (-110)
  
  This is just flat out straight value here…we avoid any issues with Seattle's record off a loss….any issues with a small spread like +3 that really commits to these 2 teams being equal on a neutral field (if HFA is intact in such a Covid season).
  With a TT Over play here on the road team we also can avoid issues with Seattle being the top team in the NFL with yards per play on offense, with points per play on offense, and Seattle going north of 30 means NOTHING in regard to what San Fran can do on the offensive end…where by the way, they are coming off a game against a NE defense where they racked up 7.4 yards per play and 33 points.
  The Seahawks have REALLY grooved on offense this year and Russ should be the MVP at this point, but on defense they rank only ahead of ATL and JAX at opponent's yards per play on offense…allowing 6.3 average this season. The 9ers saw the vulnerability in the night game last week in AZ and Shanahan knows he can score at will on this team with the right schemes…and in a game that DOESN'T have the weather issues running rampant across the league with likely low scoring affairs abounding and passing being a supreme difficulty, we should see a similar to last week and NFC West mojo high scoring both teams in the 30s matchup…according to our numbers!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CIRCA contest top 5

Aaron White - GB Bills Titans Eagles Steelers

Presence - Titans Raiders Bears Eagles Chargers

Sheila's Boys - Atlanta Detroit NE Raiders Saints

SunnySanDiego - Raiders Seattle Denver Steelers Bucs

Bet Mile High - Indy Bills Titans Seattle Chargers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Midwest NFL Handicapping

GB -6
PITT +4
INDY -3
TENN -6.5
PHIL -10.5


6 PT Teaser
ATL +8.5/GB PK
MIA +10/PITT +10
TENN -.5/GB PK
TB -6.5/TENN -.5


7 PT Teaser
LAC +3.5/PHIL -3.5
MIA +11/DET +10
MINN +13.5/KC -13.5


OVER/UNDER
NE/BUFF UNDER 43
GB/MINN UNDER 52
LV/CLEV UNDER 53.5


Prop
Le’Veon Bell OVER 43.5 Yards (Old Team)
George Kittle OVER 65.5 Yards
Zack Pascal 47.5 UNDER Yards
David Njoku Over 14.5 Receiving Yards
Jared Cook Under 41.5 Receiving Yards

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 1 2020 1:00PM
260 CLE 0.0(-110) Bookmaker vs 259 LVR double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Warren sharp

Add: 269 San Francisco 49ers Over *SPLIT* [first half over 26 (0.5 units) and full game over 53 (0.5 units)]
(write-up to follow)
___
Add: 264 Miami Dolphins +4 -113 (0.75 units)
Add: 259 Las Vegas Raiders +3 -120 (0.75 units)
Add: 274 NY Giants Under 48 (0.5 units)
Add: 275 LA Chargers Over 44.5 (0.75 units)
Added write-up for the Broncos +3.5 recommendation to the dashboard.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DR Bob

1 Cincy
1 Cincy/Tenn U (1st half)
1 Sea

Op Miami
Op Den/LAC Over

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Elite Sports Picks

Baltimore -4 over Pittsburgh (NFL)