Monday 11/9/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 06:55 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Parx Racing - Race #1

#1 Fast Lani	Newcomer was doing the Tapeta thing at PID and looked good winning last time, catches a meek group of locals, and is certainly bred for the dirt; look out.
#3 Coffee Buzz Buzz	Rousing MCL winner steps up but sure did it the right way, and note that was at two turns, which isn't easy, and the cutback may have her primed; very scary.
#5 Thursday	Class dropper has been facing better, so clearly she hits hard, though she's slow on figures and will be a major underlay as well; making her prove it on top.
Race Summary	That 7-2 ML seems plenty fair on the 1, as she enters off a very fast win and meet a group of locals there for the taking, so play her aggressively to win and place, while getting some built-in value by keying her to kick off the early Pk4 as well, as she won't have to be a freak to beat a group like this.

Parx Racing - Race #3

#2 Captiva Star	MSW dropper chased on debut then tired for a Matz barn that never cranks them but is 23% with second-out maidens, and now she adds Lasix as well; breakthrough time.
#1 Tistaahal	Stiff ML favorite was with Pletcher going long in a Spa MSW, so she'll be pounded off the drop, but she didn't run an inch, and she was 23-1 for a HOF barn; tread lightly here.
#9 Catti La Belle	Fellow MSW dropper showed speed last time, so this outside attack post is ideal, and with the proven runners at the level not all that much, she can contend; do not ignore.
Race Summary	You should get a hint of value on the 2, who has some key angles and meets a group there for the taking as well, so play her in all the slots, and especially the early Pk4 as well, since she should improve dramatically on her debut, which means she may be dropping down a race the rest of the won't be able to handle.

Parx Racing - Race #8

#6 Southern Bridge	Class dropper was facing eons better at Belmont for Sharp and now goes to Kulp, who is a wild 36% with newcomers, which doesn't bode well for this average group; imposing.
#5 Your Awesome Boss	Lake claim (19%) had some decent form for Pino but stopped badly last time, but will be pressing from the outside, so he could clear off the turn, at a nice price too; second-best.
#9 Naughty Prince	Tricky read has stretch running style that will allow him to pass several here, though Taylor is just 12% off the claim, so improving on this one's form won't be easy; underneath only.
Race Summary	You certainly won't get rich on the 6 but that 2-1 ML would be a gift, as he looks more like 6-5 against this group for his new trainer, so make an aggressive win and place bet if the tote allows, while getting some added value by singling him in the late Pk4, as he looks to have this crew over a barrel.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 06:56 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #2

#6 Cajun Carmelized	Longshot is worth a small look on the engine after fading badly last time out. There may not be a ton of early company, and he may be able to stick around better this time.
#1 Ripinandatearin	Reliable type has faced plenty of better groups than this, and something like his last on the main track would probably do here.
#7 Astute Warrior	The overall form is better on the lawn, but he has handled the local main track nicely enough and might be better around two turns on it.
Race Summary	Cajun Carmelized has not produced any solid form for the new barn yet, but there are back races that fit better here, and perhaps he can find the front end without too much pressure here at a price.

Mountaineer - Race #5

#1 Fugi Princess	Meets a very beatable field here with 92 losses between them, and the barn has been firing on all cylinders here. Probably overbet, though.
#3 Rushing Time	Went too fast early last time out and may be able to stick around a bit better here. Don't think the 9/2 ML price is all that fair, but she seems like a logical enough alternative in a bad race.
#5 Can't Kats a Moose	Guessing this one takes plenty of cash, but I don't really get it. She took a bit of action in the maiden special weight debut at Fort Erie, showed some decent pace and stayed on for second, and now they...drop her in for $4,000 six weeks later? Win contender, but something doesn't feel right at a short price.
Race Summary	Fugi Princess debuts with a bad bunch, and Can't Kats a Moose looks like her only real danger, and that one is waving a gigantic red flag on paper here.

Mountaineer - Race #8

#3 Magic Credit	Capable of something better than she showed last time out, her back runs stack up nicely with what the chalk can offer here, and the price should be playable.
#7 Cash Code	Tries the dirt for the first time, and she brings pretty solid turf and synthetic form with her to this. She figures to be a good fit with the local crew.
#2 Peek a Boo I See U	Considered her on top and would want her on the tickets. She took a huge step forward when adding blinkers, and she may still have more to offer with the equipment change.
Race Summary	Magic Credit is worth a look at a price in a race where Cash Code is probably going to be pretty tough, but 'Credit has some back races that stack up well and can get a good trip from up close.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 06:57 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #3

#1 Charles Chrome	Battled to a good second in his first on the turf and first against winners and the son of the great California Chrome fits well here.
#4 Saturday Night	Scored a widening win in his first over the Indiana Grand turf after a pair of seconds at Ellis; has class and will be well played.
#8 Petit Verdot	Tried stakes company in Kentucky in his last two and fits much better in this spot; capable of a big effort.
Race Summary	Charles Chrome can have a good trip near the lead and inside and has a chance to improve off his first turf effort.

Indiana Grand - Race #7

#1 Krewe Chief	Made a big run for second last time and likely will be moving the best through the stretch; keeps hot jockey Parker and can be up in time.
#7 Strong Tide	Closed well and was up just in time in the A.J. Foyt for Indiana-breds. Moves back to open conditions, where he has been effective on occasion.
#9 Shakes Creek	Was fourth in his last Indiana Grand turf appearance and can be close to the pace of this one; can last for piece of it.
Race Summary	Krewe Chief can get a favorable pace setup and has some solid late punch that will come in handy here.

Indiana Grand - Race #9

#2 Merocketman	Was a clear winner when he dropped down to this level last time; no reason to believe he can't repeat vs. similar company.
#7 Wing and Wheel	Was second to the top one last time out and has been second in his last three; usually runs into contention and can be a big player again.
#8 Interference	Comes off pacesetting duties going longer and can benefit from this cutback in distance.
Race Summary	Merocketman beat similar last time and has a big chance to repeat; has found his level.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 06:58 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 5 Analysis

November 9, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Woodbine Mohawk Park has 11 races scheduled to kick-off the week. The 0.20 Pick 5 starts the card, that sequence has a $100,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

1-Dragon Roars Again (4-1)-First start off the bench was a good effort to finish 2nd but broke very slowly from the rail. Previous race was back on 8/1 so will look for a more alert beginning and to be in striking range sooner.
2-Reagan Blue Chip (9/2)-First start for new barn was on 10/29 and was an odds-on winner. This could be more difficult but former Coleman trainee was staked out East. Has hit the board in all 4 starts here with 2 pictures.
6-Make It Come True (3-1)-Made a winning debut for Team Hensley on 10/31 and lit the board up at 31.90-1. That was the first start since 7/28 and came the 2nd half in 54.3. Will respect chances for an encore and hope the public doesn't hammer.

Race 2

2-R First Class (5/2)-Last win was on 9/22 versus this kind from post 10 and drew off by 5 lengths. Since then has been facing better and this is a spot to shine.
6-Buzz (7/2)-Was knocked out of last and Drury can leave to get the top or the 2 hole. Could follow the chalk #2 and look to scoot by late.
7-Kameran Hanover (3-1)-Trip dependent 6-year-old doesn't win often but cashes a lot of checks. Best to consider here because this is the class a picture can happen.

Race 3

2-Trix And Stones (5-1)-Went the long way around from post 10 in 1st start for the Moreau barn. Now Filion needs to avoid a very sluggish start and find some live cover.
4-All Wrapped Up (9/2)-Drops after being used hard as a 9/5 chalk and makes 3rd start since coming off the bench. Fellows may have this 4-year-old ready for a big try. This is a soft spot and has won 7 of 27 at Wbsb.
6-Wild And Crazy Guy (7/2)-JMac is between the pipes and that's a new set of hands for this Lachance trainee who fits with this crew. There's not a lot of gate speed inside and the best route to the winner's circle may be to leave hard.

Race 4

4-Village Jamie (5/2)-Jamie's last win came at this class from the 7 hole on 9/11 and then proceeded up the class ladder although not having any success. This 6-year-old can win at this level, barn has been good and this is a scattered bunch.

Race 5

5-Play Jet Ray (3-1)-Only 2-27 in 2020 is cause for concern but the entire 10-horse field has 18 wins. Drops to a cushy spot and has been stuck with the 9-10-10 posts in last 3 starts. Henry is back and that should help.
6-Tigers Way (9/2)-Tiger hasn't taken a picture in 16 starts but has been trying hard for the last month. This could be a starting spot for Filion to find some cover and roll by down the lane.
7-The Downtown Bus (7/2)-This selection is 0-11 in 2020 and I can't recall a time all of my picks in a race were non-winners in the current year. But this is the type of field we have. McClure is back tonight, and he will need to work a good trip. This 5-year-old does have 8 wins in 30 races at Wbsb.

0.20 Early Pick 5

1,2,6/2,6,7/2,4,6/4/5,6,7
Total Bet=$16.20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 10:16 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA

ZIA - Race 9	$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 1st Half Late $1 Daily Double 2nd Leg Pick 3/ 3rd Leg Pick 4 / 4th Leg Pick 5
Derby • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 93 • Purse: $247,735 • Post: 3:36P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, NEW MEXICO CLASSIC DERBY - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS, REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BREDS THAT WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE 2020 NEW MEXICO CLASSIC DERBY (RG2). WEIGHT: 126 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * COLBY JAMES: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. CLOSE TO CRAZY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. DONELLI: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surfa ce (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. AMANDAS FLASHY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post positio n next to it gets out of the gate fast. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
8	COLBY JAMES	9/2	5/1
2	CLOSE TO CRAZY	5/2	6/1
4	DONELLI	7/2	6/1
10	AMANDAS FLASHY	8/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	PERRYS REGARD	1	10/1	Average	88	77	3.9	0.0	0.0
2	CLOSE TO CRAZY	2	5/2	Fast	93	87	2.5	0.0	0.0
3	JAVYS BROWN SUGAR	3	30/1	Average	78	69	5.3	0.0	0.0
4	DONELLI	4	7/2	Fast	93	90	1.4	0.0	0.0
5	GIRL WITH A PLAN	5	15/1	Average	83	73	3.8	0.0	0.0
6	ANAKENA	6	5/1	Average	85	83	4.8	0.0	0.0
7	BIG BIG LOVE	7	20/1	Fast	80	82	1.4	0.0	0.0
8	COLBY JAMES	8	9/2	Fast	95	86	3.2	0.0	0.0
9	FIRST FLASHIN	9	15/1	Average	83	75	4.8	0.0	0.0
10	AMANDAS FLASHY	10	8/1	Fast	88	83	2.8	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 10:16 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass

Grants Pass - Race 1	$2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $2 Daily Double (Races 1-2) $1 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Claiming $10,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $6,900 • Post: 4:00P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. OREGON BRED CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * PURE PURSUIT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FUZZY DOLPHIN: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GOLDEN COWBOY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an insi de post position. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JEN'S JOURNEY: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth st art after a layoff.
5	PURE PURSUIT	4/1	4/1
1	FUZZY DOLPHIN	6/1	7/1
2	GOLDEN COWBOY	7/2	7/1
4	JEN'S JOURNEY	3/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	INTELICRYPT	3	10/1	Front-runner	78	77	90.3	65.2	50.7
5	PURE PURSUIT	5	4/1	Front-runner	95	87	89.2	87.0	84.5
1	FUZZY DOLPHIN	1	6/1	Front-runner	88	83	89.2	80.4	73.4
7	SKEESIX	7	8/1	Front-runner	92	79	7.0	72.6	61.1
2	GOLDEN COWBOY	2	7/2	Alternator/Front-runner	85	91	79.2	73.8	67.3
4	JEN'S JOURNEY	4	3/1	Stalker	92	77	69.3	76.6	69.6
6	ALWAYS WORKING	6	9/2	Stalker	85	79	67.4	66.8	54.3
8	CHILL	8	8/1	Trailer	84	83	0.0	75.6	67.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 10:17 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:22pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,900 Class Rating: 84

Rating:

#4 PENDRELL MOON (ML=6/1)
#9 JOYEUX (ML=20/1)

PENDRELL MOON - I think this gelding is coming into top form. This gelding is in superb physical condition right now. Ran second last time out and comes back promptly. JOYEUX - That last race at 7 furlongs was too short. He'll love the added distance today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 RIPINANDATEARIN (ML=2/1), #7 ASTUTE WARRIOR (ML=9/2), #5 THE CATMANCAN (ML=5/1),

RIPINANDATEARIN - Where is the early speed? None to be found in here to set things up for this thoroughbred. Hasn't been on the Mountaineer Park oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. This gelding will likely bounce, and not even come close to the last speed figure of 86. ASTUTE WARRIOR - Finished second in his most recent performance with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. THE CATMANCAN - This gelding didn't race too well last time. Speed ratings of 86/83/66 are pointed in the wrong direction.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 PENDRELL MOON is going to be the play if we are getting 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 10:18 AM

Patriots vs. Jets Week 9 Odds, Preview
Matt Blunt

It's not the NFC East involved on Monday Night Football this week, but it might as well be with the winless New York Jets hosting Week 9's final game, as the Jets would fit right in with that division this year.

New England hasn't been much better themselves in 2020 in the post-Brady era, as Cam Newton's fumble inside the 15 late last week vs Buffalo all but killed any realistic hope the Patriots had of winning another AFC East crown this year.

Four straight losses for the Patriots coming into this one, and yet, because they are sharing the field with the Jets, New England is still close to a doulbe-digit favorite for this game.

Should you be willing to lay that number, or will the Jets flirt with that first win of their 2020 campaign?

Betting Resources

Week 9 Matchup: AFC East
Venue: MetLife Stadium
Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
Date: Monday, Nov. 9, 2020
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Cam Newton and the Patriots look to end a four-game slide as New England battles New York. (AP)

Patriots-Jets Betting Odds

Spread: New England -9.5
Money-Line: New England -450, N.Y. Jets +375
Total: 41

2020 Betting Stats

New England

Overall: 2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 O/U
Road: 0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 O/U
Offense PPG: 19.4 (Rank 29)
Defense PPG: 23.9 (Rank 12)
Offense YPG: 351.7 (Rank 21)
Defense YPG: 357.3 (Rank 14)

N.Y. Jets

Overall: 0-8 SU, 1-7 ATS, 3-5 O/U
Home: 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U
Offense PPG: 11.8 (Rank 32)
Defense PPG: 29.8 (Rank 28)
Offense YPG: 259.0 (Rank 32)
Defense YPG: 398.9 (Rank 26)

Handicapping the Total

There isn't much need to fully outline just how bad the Jets have been this year, especially when the fact that they haven't scored more than 10 points in any one of their most recent four games is really all you need to know in that regard.

Sure, New England's four-game losing streak has been tough to take for Pats fans that only know winning, but this Jets team putting up 10 or fewer points for a month just looks that much worse. Half of those games came against AFC East rivals (Buffalo, Miami) as well. Overall, New York has had just one game of their eight this year where they've scored more than 17 points to begin with.

Interestingly enough though, that outlier game offensively for New York came in their only other appearance in prime time, as a 37-28 loss to Denver on TNF became the offensive shootout nobody ever expected to see. With MNF games this year averaging 46.33 points overall this year, a total in the low 40's still feels quite low, even if the offensively challenged Jets are involved.

Flip it around to the Jets defense, and you'll see that in three of their four home games this season the Jets have allowed 30+ points against, and if that tendency holds true here, New York won't need much more than their usual 10 points/game to do enough to help 'over' bettors cash a ticket.

Remember, it's not like the Patriots defense is playing at full strength these days either, as they've allowed at least 24 points in all three of their road games this season, and Buffalo left a few points on the table last week in hitting that 24-point mark.

So there is definitely a path to backing the 'over' in this game, and it is through that lens that I'm investing in this game. New York is on a 11-4 O/U run against another team with a losing record, and the fact that betting percentage numbers currently up at VegasInsider.com currently show healthy support (70%+) of action on the 'under' but this total has climbed a full point since opening at 41 is a move and scenario I can get behind.

Head-to-Head History

Oct. 21, 2019 - New England 33 at N.Y. Jets 0, Patriots -9.5, Under 43
Sep. 22, 2019 - New England 30 vs. N.Y. Jets 14, Jets +20.5, Over 43
Dec. 30, 2018 - New England 38 vs. N.Y. Jets 3, Patriots -14.5, Under 46.5
Nov. 25, 2018 - New England 27 at N.Y. Jets 13, Patriots -13, Under 46.5

Handicapping the Side

Playing 'over' the total is the much more comfortable betting option to me because when you look at the side it really comes down to two simple questions: Do you want a slumping New England team laying a full TD? Or would you prefer taking those points with a winless Jets team?

The answer to both questions in this spot is a resounding “no” from me, as I don't know how you can trust the Patriots to win comfortably, nor how you can trust the Jets to hang tough. Even in their other prime time appearance – the one where New York put up more than 17 points for the only time this year – the Jets still lost that game by nine to a Denver team that only just topped the 20-point mark themselves last week since that win over the Jets.

At the same time, Denver's a common foe for New England too, beating the Patriots, 18-12 in New England in the Broncos next game after the Jets contest, so laying the chalk with the Patriots isn't really an option either.

Belichick might be on an 8-0 SU run vs these piss poor Jets teams in recent years, but streaks like that are always made to be broken, and seeing the Jets win their first game of the year against the best organization of this century could turn out to be a cruel/beautiful version of poetic justice for just how far this Patriots organization has fallen this season.

Backup quarterback Joe Flacco is expected to start for the injured Sam Darnold on Monday Night Football and he hasn't looked sharp in either of his two previous starts this season for New York.

And while I'm aware that Flacco has gone 1-4 in his career versus New England during his tenure in Baltimore, he did lead the Ravens to 20-plus points in four of those contests.

So I'd lean to taking the points with New York as I do expect the Jets offense to find success, but that's also why the only play I'm comfortable making here is with the 'over.'

Key Injuries

New England

LB Ja'Whaun Bentley: Groin - Questionable
LB Shilique Calhoun: Knee - Questionable
DT Carl Davis: Concussion - Questionable
S Cody Davis: Calf - Questionable
S Kyle Dugger: Ankle - Questionable
K Nick Folk: Back - Questionable
CB Stephon Gilmore: Knee - Questionable
DE Lawrence Guy: Shoulder, elbow, knee - Questionable
RB Damien Harris: Ankle - Questionable
TE Ryan Izzo TE: Hamstring - Questionable
CB J.C. Jackson: Knee - Questionable
TE Dalton Keene: Knee - Questionable
C Shaq Mason: Calf - Questionable
DE John Simon: Elbow - Questionable
G Joe Thuney: Ankle Questionable
DE Deatrich Wise Jr.: Knee, hand - Questionable
T Isaiah Wynn: Ankle - Questionable
RB J.J. Taylor: Illness Out
WR N'Keal Harry: Concussion - Out

N.Y. Jets

C Josh Andrews: Shoulder - Questionable
LB Blake Cashman: Hamstrings - Out
WR Jamison Crowder: Groin - Questionable
QB Sam Darnold: Right Shoulder - Doubtful
K Sam Ficken: Right Groin - Doubtful
DE John Franklin-Myers: Knee - Questionable
C Connor McGovern: Knee - Questionable
DT Nathan Shepherd: Back - Questionable
WR Vyncint Smith: Groin -Doubtful
TE Trevon Wesco: Ankle -Out
DT Quinnen Williams: Hamstring - Doubtful

Betting Results

Home-Away: 4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS
Favorites-Underdogs: 5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS
Over-Under: 3-6

2020 Monday Night Football Betting Results

Week Matchup Line/Total Score ATS/Total
1 Pittsburgh at N.Y. Giants Steelers -6, 44 26-16 Favorite-Under
1 Tennessee at Denver Titans -3, 41.5 16-14 Underdog-Under
2 New Orleans at Las Vegas Saints -4, 47.5 34-24 Underdog-Over
3 Kansas City at Baltimore Ravens -3.5, 55 34-20 Underdog-Under
4 Atlanta at Green Bay Packers -5, 56.5 30-16 Favorite-Under
5 L.A. Chargers at New Orleans Saints -7, 49 30-27 (OT) Underdog-Over
6 Arizona at Dallas Cowboys -1, 56 38-10 Underdog-Under
7 Chicago at L.A. Rams Rams -6.5, 44 24-10 Favorite-Under
8 Tampa Bay at N.Y. Giants Buccaneers -12.5, 47 25-23 Underdog-Over
9 New England at N.Y. Jets - - -
10 Minnesota at Chicago - - -
11 L.A. Rams at Tampa Bay - - -
12 Seattle at Philadelphia - - -
13 Buffalo at San Francisco - - -
14 Baltimore at Cleveland - - -
15 Pittsburgh at Cincinnati - - -
16 Buffalo at New England - - -

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 10:19 AM

Patriots at Jets odds
Opening line
Jets +7.5, Over/Under 41

Why the line moved
Post-Tom Brady, New England is a shell of itself, with a 2-5 SU record (3-4 ATS) after Sunday's 24-21 loss at Buffalo. But New York is the worst team in the league, at 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS. It's not much of a marquee Monday night matchup, but The SuperBook opened the Patriots -7.5 and the total 41, with no movement Sunday night.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 10:20 AM

475NEW ENGLAND -476 NY JETS
NEW ENGLAND is 22-7 ATS (14.3 Units) in road games after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 10:21 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 9

Monday November 9

New England @ NY Jets

Game 475-476
November 9, 2020 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
127.678
NY Jets
117.877
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 10
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 7
41
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-7); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 10:22 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 9

Monday, November 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (2 - 5) at NY JETS (0 - 8) - 11/9/2020, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 273-212 ATS (+39.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 273-212 ATS (+39.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 131-99 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 131-99 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 97-68 ATS (+22.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 210-155 ATS (+39.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 106-75 ATS (+23.5 Units) off a division game since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 133-93 ATS (+30.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NY JETS are 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NY JETS are 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
NY JETS are 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 10:23 AM

NFL

Week 9

Trend Report

Monday, November 9

New England @ NY Jets
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England's last 8 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Jets's last 8 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing at home against New England

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-09-2020, 10:24 AM

NFL

Week 9

New England (2-5) @ Jets (0-8)
— New England lost its last three games; they were outscored 42-12 in first half.
— Patriots allowed 197-190 rushing yards in their last two games.
— Last four games, New England scored 4 TD’s on 39 drives, with 12 turnovers.
— Last 4+ years, Patriots are 21-12-1 ATS as a road favorite (0-0 TY).
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

— Winless Jets are 1-7 ATS, losing home games by 18-9-20-8 points.
— Jets have been outscored 29-0 in 2nd half of their last three games.
— Jets are 11-8-2 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog, 1-2 TY.
— Last three games, Jets averaged 3.1/3.1/4.1 yards per pass attempt.
— Five of their last six games stayed under the total.

— New England won last eight series games, last three by a combined score of 101-17.
— Patriots won last four series games here, by 5-7-14-33 points.