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NYG +2.5
NYG @ WAS | 11/08 | 1:00 PM ESTFRI 11/6
Washington had this game won many times over in their first meeting, but QB Kyle Allen couldn't protect the football. I expect another low-scoring game between these two and the reason why I like the Giants is due to their defense. That has been the biggest improvement I've seen so far. Offensively, they can move the ball and if QB Daniel Jones can stop turning it over, they can start getting more touchdowns. Look for a bevy of field goals in this one with the Giants outkicking Washington
24-19 IN LAST 43 NFL ATS PICKS | +335
18-13 IN LAST 31 WAS ATS PICKS | +344
ARI -4.5
MIA @ ARI | 11/08 | 4:25 PM ESTFRI 11/6
Arizona is a chunk-play offense, meaning if the Cardinals aren't getting splash plays, it's tough for them to move the ball on a consistent basis. However, they are able to create those plays very often in ballgames and, defensively, we've seen them become much better. Miami is a bit more methodical and will need a breakout game from Tua Tagovailoa in order to keep the pace, despite what should be a solid defensive effort.
24-19 IN LAST 43 NFL ATS PICKS | +335
14-7 IN LAST 21 ARI ATS PICKS | +620
6-3 IN LAST 9 MIA ATS PICKS | +272
NE -8.5
NE @ NYJ | 11/09 | 8:15 PM ESTFRI 11/6
Patriots QB Cam Newton played much better last week versus Buffalo, up until the unfortunate fumble that cost them the game. The fact that we saw glimpses of him getting back to his pre-Covid self was a good sign for this Patriots offense. Defensively, they figure to make things extremely difficult for the New York Jets, who seem to find new and creative ways to stay in their own way on game day.
24-19 IN LAST 43 NFL ATS PICKS | +335
11-2 IN LAST 13 NE ATS PICKS | +874
7-1 IN LAST 8 NYJ ATS PICKS | +590
PIT -14.5
PIT @ DAL | 11/08 | 4:25 PM ESTFRI 11/6
This is a bad matchup for the Dallas Cowboys, who will choose between Garrett Gilbert and Cooper Rush to start at QB over rookie Ben DiNucci. Whoever gets the nod will be facing a top-5 defense in Pittsburgh that creates pressure and turns the ball over at an impressive clip. Offensively for the Steelers, they face a Cowboys defense that has struggled in eliminating the big play in the passing game. Grab this number now before it goes any higher.
24-19 IN LAST 43 NFL ATS PICKS | +335
26-17-1 IN LAST 44 DAL ATS PICKS | +735
4-1 IN LAST 5 PIT ATS PICKS | +290
HOU -7
HOU @ JAC | 11/08 | 1:00 PM ESTFRI 11/6
This matchup couldn't have come at a better time for the Texans, as they are in desperate need for a win. The Jaguars will be starting rookie QB Jake Luton out of Oregon State, and he will more than likely be given a very conservative offensive game plan to work with. If it is a James Robinson-heavy attack, look for the Texans to load up to stop him and try to make Luton beat them throwing the football.
24-19 IN LAST 43 NFL ATS PICKS | +335
7-3 IN LAST 10 HOU ATS PICKS | +369
2-1 IN LAST 3 JAC ATS PICKS | +90
BAL +1
BAL @ IND | 11/08 | 1:00 PM ESTFRI 11/6
If Lamar Jackson doesn't have the turnovers last week, or at least doesn't have the pick-6, the Ravens win and cover versus the Steelers. This is still one of the top four teams in the NFL and they face a Colts team coming off of a very impressive beatdown of the Detroit Lions. The key matchup here will be between Colts QB Philip Rivers and the Ravens defensive pressure. I'm taking the Ravens in that regard.
24-19 IN LAST 43 NFL ATS PICKS | +335
12-5 IN LAST 17 BAL ATS PICKS | +650
UNDER 42
PIT @ DAL | 11/08 | 4:25 PM ESTYESTERDAY 4:30 PM
With the Steelers big favorites, we expect them to feature their running game and defense. The Under is 13-0 when Pittsburgh is a double-digit favorite and facing a team that has allowed at least 3.75 yards per rush season-to-date. In this spot Pittsburgh has allowed an average of 10.2 points per game, and we don’t see the Cowboys exceeding this. Nothing destroys the will of a bad team more than facing a smash-mouth rushing attack. The play is the Under.
UNDER 43
NYG @ WAS | 11/08 | 1:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 4:24 PM
In their 25-3 win over Dallas, Washington focused on defense and not turning the ball over. It was successful in both, having 36:24 of possession time, while recording six sacks and having zero turnovers. We expect similar tactics here. The Under is 9-0 when Washington is home against a divisional opponent and coming off a game in which it did not commit a turnover and did not lose by more than a field goal. Take the Under.
OVER 52.5
LV @ LAC | 11/08 | 4:05 PM ESTYESTERDAY 4:20 PM
The Chargers have blown some huge leads this season and Justin Herbert is on target to set all kinds of rookie passing records and nab NFL Rookie of the Year honors. Both of these facts point to the Over, as even with a significant lead, the Chargers know their opponent has a chance to steal the win and will be aggressively throwing the ball down the field.
NYG +2.5
NYG @ WAS | 11/08 | 1:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 10:14 AM
The Washington Football Team is coming off a demolition of the Cowboys, but let’s not overreact. Washington is 0-14 ATS at home coming off a win by more than a TD as anything but a nine-plus point favorite and it is facing a divisional opponent that has averaged fewer than 350 total yards of offense. Indeed, the Giants are not a good team, but they have consistently been underestimated in this spot. New York is 14-0 ATS on the road coming off a loss when it converted four or fewer third downs in each of its last two games and 11-0 ATS as a road underdog on grass coming off a loss in which it committed two-plus turnovers. Over their last four games, the Giants have lost by three, won by one, lost by one and lost by two points. They are better than Washington. Grab the points.
HOU -7
HOU @ JAC | 11/08 | 1:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 10:11 AM
The Jaguars have rookie Jake Luton under center, in for the injured Gardner Minshew. Luton has never taken a snap in an NFL game and did not get the experience that backup rookie QBs get in the normal four-week preseason. Yes, the Texans are 1-6, but they have lost to the Ravens, Chiefs, Steelers, Packers, Titans and Vikings. The Jaguars are 0-13 ATS after a loss by more than a TD in which they held their opponent to fewer than 375 passing yards and fewer than 45 points, and they are 0-15 ATS in franchise history at home coming off a TD-plus loss as underdogs with at least normal rest when facing a team that has forced fewer than 1.3 turnovers per game season-to-date. Since 2014, Houston is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a favorite of more than six points coming off a loss in which it did not cover the spread. We make the Texans the play.
MIA +4.5
MIA @ ARI | 11/08 | 4:25 PM ESTYESTERDAY 10:07 AM
Miami beat the Rams 28-17 last week as a home underdog in Tua Tagovailoa’s debut. The Rams outgained the Dolphins by a whopping 471 yards to 145 yards. Many are using this as a reason to play against the Dolphins, but often a team is buoyed by winning a game in which it was outgained by a significant amount. As evidence, teams in the NFL are an impressive 11-0 ATS since the start of the 2012 season on the road coming off a home win in which they were outgained by 190-plus yards. The Cardinals are coming off a come-from-behind win in overtime over the Seahawks and this is a negative indicator. Favorites coming off a home win over a divisional opponent in which they were underdogs by more than a field goal and trailed at the end of the third quarter are 0-14 ATS. We are grabbing the points.
Hey Fellas Scouts Picks went 7 and 3 yesterday and last Saturday went 8 and 3...Most of his plays are on Cappertek....So far he has Ravens, Over in Vegas Game, Carolina, and Tampa Bay.....Gentlemen let's Cash em and not Trash em today !!!
Sorry for the clutter CPAW, but to put some facts behind this, ScoutPicks is down 719 units all time. $100 bettor is down almost $72,000 with this clown.
NCAA BB 2017-18 | 78-60-2 +49.08 units (GOYs 2-1 | NCAA - W | B1G - W | ACC - L)
NCAAF 2017-18 | 89-71-4 +41.25 units (GOYs 1-3 | B1G - L | P12 - L | SEC - W | ACC - L) All Comps. Soccer 2017-18 | 16-16-1 +9.07 units
NFL 2017-18 | 24-35-2 -30.77 units
NHL 2017-18 | 5-11 -23.25 units
NBA 2017-18 | 9-12 -2.4 units
MLB 2018 | 11-13 -1.79 units 2017-18 Overall | 232-218-9 +41.19 units *As of 5.3.18*
ATL -4
DEN @ ATL | 11/08 | 1:00 PM ESTFRI 11/6
The Broncos came back from a 24-3 deficit to beat the Chargers 31-30 despite being outgained on the evening by over 130 yards. In this spot, Denver is playing another team known for blowing leads, but I trust the Falcons here. Somehow, the Broncos have covered five of their first seven games despite turning the ball over on 17.6% of their offensive possessions. They can't keep getting that lucky playing so poorly.
7-5-1 IN LAST 13 NFL ATS PICKS | +160
ARI -4.5
MIA @ ARI | 11/08 | 4:25 PM ESTFRI 11/6
Miami won Tua Tagovailoa's debut against the Rams, 28-17, in a surprising upset. However, what that result overshadowed is that the Dolphins won because their defense forced four Rams turnovers. The Rams ran 92 plays to Miami's 48. Miami's offense averaged only 3.0 yards per play, and Tagovailoa completed only 12 of his 22 passes for 4.2 yards per attempt. The Dolphins defense has been great against the pass (it ranks 3rd in DVOA), it's the worst rush defense in the NFL (32nd in DVOA). So now a Dolphins team that can't stop the run and has a rookie QB making his first career road start will be facing an Arizona offense that ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing DVOA.
7-5-1 IN LAST 13 NFL ATS PICKS | +160
6-1 IN LAST 7 ARI ATS PICKS | +486[/B]
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