Tuesday 11/10/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Parx Racing - Race #1

#4 Kubie Snacks	Price player was facing better at Pim on debut and then tried the Tapeta at Parx, so this is a big drop off that unveiling, and he's now going two turns as well; look out.
#6 Peyton Elizabeth	The chalk will be bet hard off a pair of in-the-money finishes, though neither was all that fast or threatening, at very shorts odds as well; making her prove it on top.
35 Bravo Regina	Logical sort has run well in her last two and got the two-turn test out of the way last time, though she too is slow on figures, and will be overbet as well; underneath only.
Race Summary	You won't see that 6-1 ML on the pick, though even half that seems fair, as there's no one to fear here and her debut was as sharp as any of their's on figures, so play her to win and place, and especially to kick off the early Pk4 as well, as she seems to have found the right group for a breakthrough.

Parx Racing - Race #5

#6 Charly's Charm	Stalker has been facing state-bred allowance runners and middling, and while this might be a tougher group, it's also loaded with speed; upset special.
#7 Freedom Passage	The chalk will get first run and has posted two big figures off the Ness claim, but she may get fried on the hot chase behind all the speed; second-best.
#5 Like a Pro	Stretch runner cuts back, which may be a problem, but all the pace will flatter her style, which could lead to a strong late run at big odds; exotics appeal.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, so give the pick a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the middle Pk4 as well, since a win would add value to the sequence right off the bat, and she's going to have a big chance will all the speed signed up.

Parx Racing - Race #9

#1 Juluca	Sheppard homebred was a decent 5th at the level last time, drew perfectly, and should be tracking wat could be a possible speed duel; look out.
#8 Slingin Sammy B	Versatile sort ran off on the lead last time and aired, and did well to draw outside the inside speed, but she could get in a tussle early; tread lightly.
#4 Dantastic	NJ-bred was in too tough in a state-bed stakes last time but the MSW win two-back was strong, and a repeat puts her in the mix here; very playable.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 1, and the post and potential race flow may be too, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially the late Pk4 as well, as she could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would add some value to the sequence.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Mountaineer - Race #4

#1 Hartford Thomas	Showed some life last out with similar in the slop, and the guy outside of him might take enough cash to leave him at a playable price.
#2 Disciple	Looks like the one to beat, but he hasn't been a serious win threat late in most of his races, and the price is likely to be short.
#8 Rule Follower	Caught a runaway winner last time out, and he'll try the dirt for the first time here for a barn that tends to do good work locally.
Race Summary	Hartford Thomas is worth a look at something like the 6/1 ML price, as his form has been heading in the right direction in recent starts, and he is fast enough to find a spot near the front from the fence.

Mountaineer - Race #7

#6 Untilwemeetagain	Might get overlooked on the board despite a handful of pretty nice recent races, and he's tactical enough to find a good spot in the early going.
#8 Shy Guy	He really has never run a bad one, and he has a pretty reliable finishing kick and classes up nicely with this group.
#3 Forevamo	Form hasn't quite been the same in the last 18 months or so, but he might find this group soft enough to wake him up a little bit.
Race Summary	Untilwemeetagain needs his very best stuff here, but the price is probably going to be fair with a couple of heavy hitters lined up in Shy Guy and Forevamo

Mountaineer - Race #8

#3 Bebopaleon	The form has tailed off through the last two barn changes, so maybe this one will give him a chance to wake up for the new connections.
#5 Roskilde	The one to beat with some sharp sprint speed, but he was beaten by the top choice when they met earlier this year.
#4 Appealing Yankee	Think last time out was the right time to try and get him when he was 15/1 with some bounce-back potential, as now he's going to be a much shorter price with far less upside.
Race Summary	Bebopaleon is worth a price look on the move to the new barn in hopes that an additional change of scenery will allow him to snap out of a recent slump.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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The Meadows - Race #2

#6 SUPREME DUMPLING	Time off should serve her well, not much to beat in here.
#8 SALTWATER BLUE	Hit board in 4 of last 5 starts locally, starts outside.
#4 ABILENE	Will be underlay with Palone but won’t be a surprise if she wins.
Race Summary	Supreme Dumpling starts fresh after a taxing campaign at the fairs. She lost to a repeat winner when last seen and her numbers translate well in this field. Play 6-4 and 6-8 exactas.

Dayton Raceway - Race #4

#4 SWEET TEASE	Sustained first-over rally, only to be repelled by the winner.
#6 CYCLONE SPIRIT WIND	Can make good use of her speed with first-time Lasix.
#2 KRISTA’S HILL	Chased soft fractions, held second after winner passed by.
Race Summary	Sweet Tease advanced steadily into lively pace but couldn’t get past the stubborn winner. She should be able to make amends in this field. Play 4-2 and 4-6 exactas.

Yonkers - Race #1

#4 BRUSH N CRUSH	Can upstage recent in-the-money finishes with move forward off latest.
#2 GABBY TABBY	Far back from post 8 but close up throughout in prior two starts.
#1 HURRIKANEMYSHANNON	Sprung 33-1 shocker under similar conditions.
Race Summary	Brush N Crush inched closer to the favorites on the final turn but couldn’t match strides in the stretch. She looms a major danger in this field despite 0-21 record. Play 4-1 and 4-2 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Indiana Grand - Race #3

#5 Xtrema	Has no grass experience but has been two turns once, and it produced a sixth-place finish in the G1 Alcibiades at Keeneland; should have no problem with the turf or distance and is the classiest of them here.
#8 Pharoah's Gold	Was up in time against maiden-claimers at Keeneland and has been two turns on turf; has the speed to carve out a good trip.
#9 Yogurt	Broke her maiden in a Keeneland sprint during the summer and was unsuccessful in stakes thereafter; could get back to good form on this drop.
Race Summary	Xtrema ran with the top fillies at Keeneland and should be able to improve going long on turf; expect a big effort.

Indiana Grand - Race #6

#2 Wilshire Diamond	Is a much better runner on turf and comes in off a maiden score; sharp in his last two and can run them down here.
#3 Tom's Last General	Was second in two straight at Ellis during the summer and most recently was third on dirt here; has the speed to be a factor throughout.
#5 Allen	Was third in his last two and can improve on his only turf start, which was against company at Ellis; improved lately and can run with these.
Race Summary	Wilshire Diamond is fresh off a maiden win and will be tough if he runs back to either of his last two races.

Indiana Grand - Race #11

#6 To Fat to Fish	Can get a good stalking trip just off the pace and can make a strong late run; one to hold off.
#1 Wiladene	Was fourth in an allowance race last out and she should be a big player on the class drop.
#2 Hitched	Has good speed running long and can put up the battle throughout this one.
Race Summary	To Fat to Fish has turned into a late runner and will get a good pace to chase.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia

Event: (213229) Patriotas Boyaca at (213230) La Equidad
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: November 10, 2020 2PM EST
Play: La Equidad -129
I was born in Queens, New York but my father is Colombian, so I keep tabs on their domestic league since one of the passions I allow myself as far as rooting for teams is la Seleccion - Colombia's National Team. I cheer for the USMNT too, but we're only now starting to cultivate the type of players capable of competing on the global stage. Colombia's got a nice head start. Most of the top players that eventually get the call up end up in Europe after starting out in the country's domestic league, the Categoria Primera A. It was known as the Liga Aguila after a beer sponsor until last year and is now known as the Liga BetPlay Dimayor, which we appreciate for obvious reasons. Shout out to BetPlay.
As far as the free play is concerned, we'll look to go 13-1-1 on this current run by fading a team that would be in danger of relegation to the Primera B if not for an agreement that no team would be demoted this year due to COVID-19. Patriotas is awful. It sits at 19th out of 20 teams and has scored a league-low eight goals over 18 matches, winning just twice. Cucuta has as many points (14) but sits in last due to goal differential. Don't be surprised if that changes here since I think LaEquidad, which is tied for fifth in goals scored, handles business by multiple tallies at home.
La Equidad is sitting in eighth, tied with Once Caldas in points but ahead on goal differential. The top-eight in the Liga BetPlay advance to the knockout stage automatically while 9-20 go into a playoff group stage, so style points matter here as the regular season dwindles to its final two matches. Veterans Stalin Motta and Uruguay's Matias Mier lead this group, but young forward Pablo Sabbaq is dynamic and should make the difference here. Ride La Equidad on the three-way money line to defeat Patriotas on Tuesday afternoon.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Nov 10 '20, 11:00 AM in 2h
Soccer | Academia Cantolao vs Deportivo Binacional
Play on: Deportivo Binacional +119 at betonline

1* Free Sharp Play on Deportivo Binacional +119

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 1	$2 Daily Double (Races 1-2) $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box
Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $6,900 • Post: 7:00P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 10 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * A LITTLE FLATTERED: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination re turn on investment is at least +20. SYMPHONY HALL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TIN CAN ALLIE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's thir d or fourth start after a layoff. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
10	A LITTLE FLATTERED	9/2	3/1
4	SYMPHONY HALL	5/1	5/1
6	TIN CAN ALLIE	5/2	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	TIN CAN ALLIE	6	5/2	Front-runner	61	60	76.2	50.2	37.7
1	LADY MARVEL	1	5/1	Front-runner	49	52	62.4	38.2	25.2
3	ZOE MY LOVE	3	8/1	Front-runner	67	51	58.2	45.6	32.1
2	BARKER LANE	2	20/1	Front-runner	64	59	55.2	46.0	33.5
5	BECAUSESHECANDOIT	5	6/1	Stalker	58	56	40.6	48.8	39.3
4	SYMPHONY HALL	4	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	58	53.4	49.6	47.1
9	PLAYFUL UNION	9	15/1	Trailer	71	64	54.8	40.4	31.9
10	A LITTLE FLATTERED	10	9/2	Alternator/Trailer	67	67	47.0	62.0	55.0
7	SUE'S MONSTER BABY	7	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	70	61.8	39.4	28.4
8	TINGSTHATMAKESENSE	8	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	53	53	45.0	31.0	13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 4	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $21,200 • Post: 2:08P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR OHIO BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES) (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. WEST LEONARD is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * DISCOVERED: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" desi gnation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/sur face. LAZARUS PROJECT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. WINCHESTER LIMIT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
7	DISCOVERED	6/1	5/1
6	TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH	7/2	6/1
5	LAZARUS PROJECT	2/1	6/1
1	WINCHESTER LIMIT	5/2	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	KHALFANI	2	8/1	Front-runner	81	78	83.4	66.8	55.8
7	DISCOVERED	7	6/1	Front-runner	88	87	75.8	80.6	75.6
1	WINCHESTER LIMIT	1	5/2	Stalker	95	83	65.0	78.8	70.3
3	MAXIMIZER	3	10/1	Stalker	80	80	63.4	76.4	64.9
6	TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH	6	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	90	88	72.4	81.0	76.5
5	LAZARUS PROJECT	5	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	92	90	69.8	85.8	81.8
4	WEST LEONARD	4	12/1	Trailer	74	74	31.2	62.0	52.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Grants Pass

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden Optional Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5900 Class Rating: 61

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 KING OF WISHES 9/2
# 2 OFFICER OF WAR 2/1
# 5 HEAVY HAUL 5/1

I have to consider KING OF WISHES here. Has performed admirably as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 61 avg speed fig. Overall the Speed Figures of this animal look strong in this outing. Look for a solid pace improvement from this equine who enters with second time Lasix today. OFFICER OF WAR - He has been moving solidly recently while recording strong Speed Figures. Conditioner has sharp win rate (17 percent) at this distance and surface. HEAVY HAUL - Should compete solidly in the early speed clash which bodes well with this group. Must be considered in this race if only for the very good Equibase Speed Fig earned in the last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #10 - Post: 4:28pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 60

Rating:

#4 LEFTATTHEALTAR (ML=15/1)


LEFTATTHEALTAR - This race horse should be rumbling down the lane.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 OUI MADAME (ML=3/1), #3 R AWESUM BETTY (ML=7/2), #14 PRINCESS MARISOL (ML=9/2),

OUI MADAME - Registered a mediocre speed figure in the last race in a $10,000 Maiden Claiming race on Oct 21st. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that number. R AWESUM BETTY - Improbable that the speed figure she earned on September 23rd will be good enough in this clash. PRINCESS MARISOL - Difficult to put any dough on this filly on the top end. Likes to end up on the board though.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #4 LEFTATTHEALTAR to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 49

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 GO GERTIE GO 30/1
# 2 STARGAZER LILY 4/5
# 7 DERBY PRINCESS 6/1

GO GERTIE GO is the strongest wager in this contest and the potential return justifies the hazardous nature of the long odds. The odds could be right on this horse. Opposing a much less demanding bunch than last time out. STARGAZER LILY - Will most likely compete admirably in the early speed clash which bodes well with this field. This filly has been constatntly running well in her latest outings. DERBY PRINCESS - With a very good 50 speed rating last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this affair. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Parker ought to have this mare in excellent position to win the outing.

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Zia Park - Race #8 - Post: 3:09pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,500 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#6 SICULO (ML=8/1)
#4 PACIFIC OCEAN (ML=4/1)
#3 YOU BUG ME (ML=6/1)


SICULO - Was in a $10,000 Claiming race at Zia Park last race out. That clash had a class rating of 80 and he is moving down in this race. A certain serious competitor. The improved speed figs over the last 3 races is strong. Fincher drops him in this affair in great shape. When a horse drops at least five pounds (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but certainly could make the difference. PACIFIC OCEAN - Lambert drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more data to think this horse should be one of the top contenders at this level. Juarez and Lambert perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +78 ROI for a rider and trainer. YOU BUG ME - He must like the track here. He just won over the track after shipping in. Have to make this colt a serious competitor; he comes off a solid contest on October 12th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 LOTTA GUSTO (ML=9/2), #5 ETERNAL KINGDOM (ML=5/1), #12 DRIFTERS CHOICE (ML=8/1),

LOTTA GUSTO - Had a tough stretch drive on September 2nd and followed it up with another one. Probably won't see him doing it in today's event. ETERNAL KINGDOM - I find it hard to wager on any racer in a short distance race at 5/1 when he hasn't shown any positive results in sprints in the last 60 days. The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this horse as a possibly overvalued contestant. DRIFTERS CHOICE - Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance contests in order to back him. Doesn't look inspiring to me after the lack of any sort of closing ability on October 12th.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - PACIFIC OCEAN - A tried and true angle. Take a sprinter in the third and fourth start after a moderate layoff. That's the time when they peak.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #6 SICULO to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	6 with [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 11

Tuesday’s games
Akron (0-1) @ Ohio U (0-1)
— Zips lost their home opener 58-13 to Western Michigan LW.
— Akron has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Zips have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Akron has a senior QB with 27 career starts.
— Since 2014, Zips are 7-10 ATS as a road underdog.

— Ohio lost its opener 30-27 at Central Michigan LW.
— CMU had 184 yards rushing, outgained Ohio 427-345.
— Ohio has 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Bobcats have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ohio has a new QB this year.
— Since 2016, Bobcats are 9-13 ATS as a home favorite.

— Ohio won 11 of its last 12 games with Akron.
— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
— Zips lost their last seven visits to Athens, but covered last two.

Kent State (1-0) @ Bowling Green (0-1)
— Kent won its home opener 27-23 over Eastern Michigan, running ball for 212 yards.
— Kent has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Golden Flashes has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Kent has a senior QB with 13 career starts.
— Since 2011, Golden Flashes are 7-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Bowling Green lost its opener 38-3 at Toledo last week.
— Falcons gave up 310 YR, were outgained 524-267 by Toledo.
— Bowling Green has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Falcons have 32 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bowling Green has a new QB this year- he completed 8-30 passes last week.
— Last three years, Falcons are 2-10 ATS as a home underdog.

— Kent beat BG the last two years, 35-28/62-20; Golden Flashes ran the ball for 375 yards, threw it for 375 more in LY’s rout.
— Underdogs covered four of last five series games played here.

Miami OH (1-0) @ Buffalo (1-0)
— Miami won its home opener 38-31 over Ball State LW; they were down 21-10 in 3rd quarter.
— Red Hawks scored winning TD with 0:10 left, after Ball State tied game with 1:08 left.
— Miami has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Redhawks have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Miami has a soph QB with 15 career starts.
— Last three years, Miami is 6-9 ATS as a road underdog.

— Buffalo won its opener 49-30 at Northern Illinois LW.
— Bulls were outgained 397-357 but were +3 in turnovers.
— Buffalo has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Bulls have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Buffalo has a soph QB with six career starts.
— Bulls are 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

— Miami won three of its last four games with Buffalo; they upset the Bulls 34-20 LY, despite being outgained 398-265. Miami was +4 in turnovers.
— Red Hawks lost three of last four visits to western NY.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

107AKRON -108 OHIO U
AKRON is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

109KENT ST -110 BOWLING GREEN
BOWLING GREEN is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.