Wednesday 11/11/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 05:16 AM

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 06:09 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Parx Racing - Race #1

#1 Drummer Don	Pino claim (19%) gets a major trainer upgrade from Brown, who is just 7% on the year, and this one drew perfectly, and takes a confident class rise too; look out.
#2 P}rinter	The horse to beat had some big form for Pattershall and now goes off the DeMasi claim (18%), so this is another who is getting a big boost; figures a real handful.
#4 Eden Ridge	Class dropper has been facing eons better on the NYRA circuit, so this group will help, though his decided lack of early speed is a major worry; may run out of room.
Race Summary	That 7-2 ML seems fair on the pick, as he has some improving to do, but there's a good chance he does it with Pino now calling the shots, so give him a look to win and place, and especially to kick off the early Pk4 as well, as he seems primed to move up in a big way here.

Parx Racing - Race #4

#9 Jupi's Lightning	Pace player was facing better in Florida and now starts for a sharp Flores-Coba barn, in a race where there's not much early speed signed on; too tough for these.
#8 No Fly Zone	Logical contender has run 3rd in his last two without threatening, though both of those runs make him a huge threat here if the pick doesn't fire; the main danger.
#2 Jump Shot	Deep closer has been a distant 2nd in two straight, so clearly he's a player, though he's going to be left with way too much to do off the far turn; underneath only.
Race Summary	You certainly won't get rich on the 9 but he's simply a better, faster horse than this group, so play him aggressively to win and place if you sniff that 2-1 ML, though you can get some built-in value by singling him to end the early Pk4, as that will allow for some added coverage in the deeper preceding races, as he looks to have this field over a barrel.

Parx Racing - Race #10

#2 Credit Cycle	Versatile sort moved to Bouchard and almost blew up the board when a close 4th with a big figure, and that surprise run may get you a better price than you should right back; upset special.
#7 Factor This In	Pace presser did well to draw outside for his style, and that 2nd last time at the level would make him tough here, though the price figures on the short side; plenty scary but no lock either.
#11 Souper Fly Over	Fort Erie invader has been posting some big form north of the border but was 2nd in his lone run here, though this wide draw, as well as the underlaid price, don't entice; tread lightly here.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 2, even though a repeat of his last may well win this, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially to end the late Pk4 as well, as this is a wide open field and he fits on paper off his last, yet a win might go a long way in really blowing up the sequence.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 06:11 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #5

#7 Letsgoandgetthedo	Showed some tracking pace before fading in the debut run at Thistledown, but she can improve with that run under her belt in a spot where there only appears to be one serious threat to beat.
#1 Forty Pieces	Pace will go from the rail for a tough barn, and though she's the one to beat, the price is going to be short, and she's no sure thing.
#10 Familia Virtual	Showed little in the debut run, but she'll return now in an easier spot while adding Lasix. Chance to improve for a small share.
Race Summary	Letsgoandgetthedo and Forty Pieces should be tough to get around, but the former should offer a better price and has just as much upside here.

Mountaineer - Race #7

#2 Coach Machen	Pace is all or nothing on the front end, but she's a good fit with this kind and has some chance to run these off their feet.
#6 Shezagoldgetter	Presser should be able to keep tabs on the top choice early on, and like the top choice, she caught a tough, runaway winner last out.
#8 Untapped Energy	Hit or miss form is the big concern, but her best tries keep her in the mix with these, and she draws well to avoid any scramble inside.
Race Summary	Coach Machen should have a go for it on the front end, and she's interesting enough if offering the 3/1 ML price at post time.

Mountaineer - Race #8

#2 Three Illusions	Price isn't going to be anything, but she has really remarkable form, having won seven of the last eight, including a 15-length romp when facing similar locally in August.
#7 Legendarys First	Finisher is competitive with this kind, and she looks like the most likely to take advantage if the top choice doesn't bring her best stuff for any reason.
#4 Friday	She just scored at this level by a head, but that race is a bit more of an exception in her form rather than a rule, so she's no sure thing to back it up.
Race Summary	Three Illusions is in really great form right now, and she has some speed and an ability to rate, making her dangerous as always with this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 06:11 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Monticello - Race #1

#6 JUNIOR MAN	Question of readiness after 8 months away, encouraging qualifier.
#2 WIZZARD’S FIRST	Willingly pursued the 1-to-5 pace setter two back at Saratoga.
#4 HEART THROB KID	Been burning money with three thirds in last four starts.
Race Summary	Junior Man hasn’t raced since March, but he earned the top speed figure in the field while facing much better foes at Pocono Downs. Hoping he’s ready to go on a maiden-breaking voyage. Play 6-2 and 6-4 exactas.

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1

#6 OWN IT	Trapped in middle half, can awaken at bigger price against similar field.
#5 SWEET TALKIN SATIN	Finished 1-2 in last three starts locally at this level.
#4 BILLION DOLLAR DAY	Hit board in 10 of 19 this year, needs some pace flow.
Race Summary	Own It, unhurried while saving ground in fourth, was hemmed in until early stretch, compromising his chances to gain on Sweet Talkin Satin. He finished with some energy and will be a bigger price today, so play 6-5 and 6-4 exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #3

#7 MACKYSBACKNTOWN	Didn’t get out from third in time, had run once free.
#8 WATT A HARDT	Held second behind odds-on runaway after freshening.
#5 RUG-B	Landed minor awards at double-digit odds in last pair.
Race Summary	Mackysbackntown was shuffled badly in the third quarter while the 2-to-5 winner fled the scene. He recovered to just miss second and looks like the one to beat in this field. Play 7-5 and 7-8 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 06:12 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park West - Race #4

#1 Tayler's Chrome	Ran evenly going six furlongs and is bred to get better the longer she goes; filly adds some ground and should be able to make a serious late run.
#2 Grey Charlotte	Was second all the way last time and came up just a length short; chance to finish well vs. these.
#3 Shiny Empire	Set the pace and was caught in the final jump last time, losing by a nose; 'blinkers off' could help her today.
Race Summary	Tayler's Chrome comes out of a decent race and will get a good pace in front of her; can close today.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #6

#8 Lookinlikeaqueen	Has performed well on occasion against much better that what she faces today and can be in the hunt throughout.
#10 Hera	Has shown speed in good races and has a chance to be on or close to the lead from the start; likely to improve.
#11 Stefanie On Fleek	Has been in much stronger races and was most recently a well-beaten third at Belmont; broke her maiden here in March 2019.
Race Summary	Lookinlikeaqueen didn't fire in her first one for the Wilensky barn and should be competitive here; goes from a sprint back to two turns and can be sharp throughout.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #7

#4 Dexter Road	Tired from early efforts last out and is more comfortable from just off the pace; has done a lot of good on this circuit.
#2 Street Trust	Was claimed out of his last one at Saratoga and makes a class drop in his first for Walder; has the class but you have to wonder about the step down in his first attempt for new connections.
#3 Long Gray Line	Was a non-threatening second at this level last out and came close three back, losing by a neck; can be close from the start.
Race Summary	Dexter Road has been close on several occasions this year and is well spotted for this one; can get his 10th career win.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 02:18 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 2	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) 20 Cent Straight Fire 6 (Races 2-3-4-5-6-7) (Jackpot Pick 6)
Maiden Special • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 49 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 2:35P
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS SIRED BY REGISTERED INDIANA STALLIONS MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. BOOK OF ROMEO is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * ROYAL ICING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HENRY RULES: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 d ays. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
3	ROYAL ICING	4/5	5/2
4	HENRY RULES	4/1	3/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	HENRY RULES	4	4/1	Front-runner	49	37	75.4	35.1	30.6
3	ROYAL ICING	3	4/5	Front-runner	49	41	70.6	39.4	36.4
2	BOOK OF ROMEO	2	30/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	57.8	20.9	13.4
1	ALIAS REX	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	36.0	19.9	10.9
6	OVERTHETOPJUSTICE	6	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	33.2	33.2	27.7
5	GO NUTS	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	19.2	19.2	8.2

Unknown Running Style: COWBOYS CAN'T CRY (15/1) [Jockey: Sterritt Kendal - Trainer: Holden Jay J].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 03:22 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 4	Pick 4 (4-7) / Pick 3 (4-6) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 4-5
Maiden Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 49 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:00P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SEA SPARROW is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PROUD TEHYA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SEA SPARROW: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DANCE ELVIS DANCE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equiba se Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TANYA'S TOY: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	PROUD TEHYA	2/1	5/1
3	SEA SPARROW	3/1	5/1
2	DANCE ELVIS DANCE	5/1	7/1
6	TANYA'S TOY	10/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	SEA SPARROW	3	3/1	Front-runner	47	41	59.7	18.0	11.5
4	PROUD TEHYA	4	2/1	Stalker	50	44	50.0	39.9	35.9
6	TANYA'S TOY	6	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	53	36	28.0	36.6	28.1
2	DANCE ELVIS DANCE	2	5/1	Alternator/Trailer	52	37	22.2	40.6	35.1
1	ROUST	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	54	52	44.4	32.0	25.0
5	STRIKE SWIFTLY	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	6.4	23.2	13.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 03:29 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 79

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 ZOOMINO 9/2
# 3 TRAIN 214 5/2
# 10 MR JENS PERRY 10/1

I favor ZOOMINO here. Could beat this group given the 79 speed figure put up in his last outing. I can't pass on this gelding given one of the most competitive rider and trainer combos on the grounds. TRAIN 214 - Could best this group here, showing competitive numbers of late. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Huitron running at this distance are the top in this group. MR JENS PERRY - Clemons has him trained admirably to break promptly out of the starting gate. Could beat this group given the 76 speed fig posted in his last outing.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 03:53 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Churchill Downs - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 63

Rating:

#2 STRIKEITORTAPIT (ML=7/2)
#1 MY ALIMONY (ML=3/1)

STRIKEITORTAPIT - That last contest must not have been too hard on this colt for him to be able to race again so quickly. Have to give this colt a good chance. Ran a sharp effort last time around the track within the last 30 days. MY ALIMONY - This speedy sort should be aided by this shorter trip. Jockey hops back atop after getting to know the fine animal by riding in the last race. That's always a green light. Earnings per race is something that I feel can be an important selection factor. This thoroughbred is ranked at the top in this group. Horse has improved at least two speed rating points in last two races. I look for that trend to continue in today's race. The 53 most recent race speed rating looks sound in the TrackMaster PPs.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 KENTUCKY PLAYBOY (ML=7/2), #6 JUST A IRISH LAD (ML=5/1), #5 DIRTY DEEDS (ML=5/1),

KENTUCKY PLAYBOY - Doesn't seem to be worth 7/2 this time out. Pass on him this time. JUST A IRISH LAD - I'm foretelling a lackluster go out of him today. DIRTY DEEDS - Hard to wager on any entrant to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the risk.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - MY ALIMONY - This horse has lone pace. Keep that in the forefront of your mind when you place your bet.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 STRIKEITORTAPIT is the play if we get odds of 9/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 03:59 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #3 - Post: 6:54pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#3 PRAY WITH FAITH (ML=8/1)
#8 GONE INZANE (ML=5/1)
#10 TWEET KITTEN (ML=6/1)

PRAY WITH FAITH - Have to like the way McClellan has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today. This thoroughbred absolutely loves this track. All his trips to the winner's circle have been here at Penn National. GONE INZANE - This jock/trainer duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +357. Just check out his most recent speed rating, 77. That one looks good in this bunch. Trainer Zalalas moves this one down the class scale to face a lower rated field. Look for a good race this time out. TWEET KITTEN - Graci drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to figure that this thoroughbred will be one to beat at this level. This horse is in good physical condition, having run a nice race on October 14th, finishing third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 EXPEDITER (ML=3/1), #7 PAPADOPALOUS (ML=4/1), #2 ROANIE (ML=9/2),

EXPEDITER - A strong horse that's been running well, but he's been off the track in the mornings recently. PAPADOPALOUS - Don't believe this horse will do much running today. That last speed rating was disappointing when compared with today's Equibase class figure. ROANIE - When examining today's class rating, he will have to record a much better speed rating than last time around the track to vie in this dirt sprint.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PRAY WITH FAITH - I look forward to making a bet on big class droppers like this one. Much easier field this time around.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 PRAY WITH FAITH on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,8,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,8,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[3,8,10] with [3,8,10] with [3,5,6,8,10] with [3,5,6,8,10] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 04:00 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 77

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 TRAFFIC TROUBLE 9/2
# 1A CURLIN'S KNIGHT 6/5
# 5 DRUMMOND 7/2

I think TRAFFIC TROUBLE is a very good choice. Pino has him trained very well to break swiftly out of the starting gate. Put up a respectable speed rating last time out. Could provide positive gains based on very strong recent speed figures with an average of 72. CURLIN'S KNIGHT - Will most likely compete solidly in the early speed clash which bodes well with this group. Garnered a sound Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. DRUMMOND - Formidable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races make this horse a contender.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 04:01 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

11/11/20, CD, Race 5, 3.03 ET
11/11/20,CD,5,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:04 CLAIMING. Purse $48,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since September 11 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One and One Sixteenth mile.).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Intrepid Heart	5/2	Cohen D	Diodoro Robertino	FE	32	40.63	1.25/$1
098.5385	6	Space Mountain	7/2	Lanerie C J	Maker Michael J.	S	66	31.82	1.08/$1
098.2888	10	Limonite	4/1	Talamo J	Diodoro Robertino		66	31.82	1.08/$1
098.2704	9	Morocco	4/1	Graham J	Maker Michael J.		66	31.82	1.08/$1
097.7972	11	Cammack	4/1	Leparoux J R	Block Chris M.		66	31.82	1.08/$1
096.3609	12	Gunnison	6/1	Geroux F	Rubley Kelly		66	31.82	1.08/$1
095.8266	5	Rijeka (IRE)	8/1	Santana. Jr. R	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.		66	31.82	1.08/$1
095.3822	15	Prompt	5/1	Mena M	Morse Randy L.		66	31.82	1.08/$1
093.9651	8	Easy Shot	15/1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	Desormeaux J. Keith	C	66	31.82	1.08/$1
093.9213	4	Big Beautiful Wall	10/1	Leparoux J R	McGee Paul J.	L	66	31.82	1.08/$1
093.8673	13	Zambian	12/1	Gaffalione T	Miller Darrin		66	31.82	1.08/$1
093.2103	2	Honovi	20/1	Cannon D	Walsh Brendan P.		66	31.82	1.08/$1
092.9790	1	Convict Pike	20/1	Landeros C	Arnold. II George R.		66	31.82	1.08/$1
092.6423	3	Perfect Tapatino (FR)	20/1	Beschizza A	West Ethan W.	W	16	43.75	2.03/$1
089.4998	14	Fielder	12/1	Corrales G	Quartarolo Anthony T.	J	66	31.82	1.08/$1

Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 38.1000, ROI 1.6143/$1
. . . .
100.0000 7 Intrepid Heart
[Category]Condition
[AllTurf]*2ndHorse98RatingAndTopHorse100Rating
*Scratches may change this condition If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Intrepid Heart	5/2	Cohen D	Diodoro Robertino	FEW	89	31.46	1.24/$1
098.4551	6	Space Mountain	7/2	Lanerie C J	Maker Michael J.	S	241	25.31	1.02/$1
097.7111	9	Morocco	4/1	Graham J	Maker Michael J.		45	22.22	1.28/$1
096.4220	15	Prompt	5/1	Mena M	Morse Randy L.		66	31.82	1.20/$1
096.0997	8	Easy Shot	15/1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	Desormeaux J. Keith	C	91	36.26	1.23/$1
095.9779	5	Rijeka (IRE)	8/1	Santana. Jr. R	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.		45	22.22	1.28/$1
095.9515	10	Limonite	4/1	Talamo J	Diodoro Robertino		66	31.82	1.20/$1
095.7460	12	Gunnison	6/1	Geroux F	Rubley Kelly		66	31.82	1.20/$1
095.4583	11	Cammack	4/1	Leparoux J R	Block Chris M.		66	31.82	1.20/$1
094.9485	1	Convict Pike	20/1	Landeros C	Arnold. II George R.		89	31.46	1.24/$1
094.7237	3	Perfect Tapatino (FR)	20/1	Beschizza A	West Ethan W.		45	22.22	1.28/$1
094.3177	4	Big Beautiful Wall	10/1	Leparoux J R	McGee Paul J.	L	45	22.22	1.28/$1
093.3784	2	Honovi	20/1	Cannon D	Walsh Brendan P.		45	22.22	1.28/$1
092.1669	13	Zambian	12/1	Gaffalione T	Miller Darrin		66	31.82	1.20/$1
091.9055	14	Fielder	12/1	Corrales G	Quartarolo Anthony T.	J	66	31.82	1.20/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.9000, ROI 0.9876/$1
. . . .
100.0000 7 Intrepid Heart
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]SecondRaceAfter45DaysOff

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 04:02 PM

R and R Totals

NCAA Football EASTERN MICHIGAN EAGLES/BALL STATE CARDINALS o58.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-11-2020, 04:13 PM

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: C Michigan/No Illinois Under 58 Points

Wednesday 11/11/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Wednesday 11/11/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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