Sunday 11/15/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park West - Race #4

#1 Pray for Rain	Was third on the main track at Monmouth and has a good chance to make up ground here; capable in her first Florida appearance.
#3 Time's On My Side	Has trained well for her first career start; Joseph stable undoubtedly has this good-drilling a.m. runner her ready to run for real.
#2 Lady Jae	Finished mid-pack in her career debut and can improve with a return to this strip; expect her make some good strides in her return.
Race Summary	Pray for Rain can stalk a quick pace and can benefit from an inside trip; should be moving well late in the game.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #5

#5 Surf Shack	Didn't make up any ground but improved position against better company; takes a step down in class and can rise to the occasion.
#5 Starship Aramis	Has been the early leader in his last three and stayed for the win three races back; he was claimed last out by the Sweezey stable, which is hitting at 32 percent here.
#1 Monmouth Dr	Battled and just missed in his first one over this track; does well going two turns on the front end.
Race Summary	Surf Shack has spent his career running vs. much better company than this and continues his downward move in class; should get along well at this level.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #8

#2 Janet B Doesit All	Didn't fire in the slop last time out but has several races on her form that make her a contender at this level; serious late runner vs. these.
#7 Indatequila	Was a clear winner in her last two, first for maiden-claiming and most recently vs. N2L bottom claimers and has a good chance to keep the success going for the Sweezey barn.
#4 Etana	Drops out of much tougher races and should be able to move up in this spot.
Race Summary	Janet B Doesit All responds when she gets help from a good pace, and that could be the case here; has a decent closing move and will pounce if the front runners weaken.

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Paul Leiner

Two NFL Picks 11/15

Here's a couple for Sunday.

100* Giants +4
100* Over 46 Washington/Lions

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park West

Gulfstream Park West - Race 8	$1 Exacta / $2 Quiniela / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
Claiming $8,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 4:08P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Stalker. TEACHER DRAMA is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * JANET B DOESIT ALL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Ratin g. ETANA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. INEDATEQUILA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. JUST A BIT SASSY: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). MIDNIGHT GEM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2	JANET B DOESIT ALL	6/1	5/1
4	ETANA	12/1	6/1
7	INEDATEQUILA	6/5	8/1
3	JUST A BIT SASSY	8/1	9/1
6	MIDNIGHT GEM	4/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	UNION LANE	8	20/1	Front-runner	73	64	71.0	55.6	41.6
7	INEDATEQUILA	7	6/5	Front-runner	69	76	59.7	64.2	54.7
5	TEACHER DRAMA	5	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	69	66	51.9	53.6	42.1
2	JANET B DOESIT ALL	2	6/1	Trailer	83	79	62.0	64.0	58.0
3	JUST A BIT SASSY	3	8/1	Trailer	76	62	59.2	60.2	53.2
6	MIDNIGHT GEM	6	4/1	Trailer	76	64	49.8	61.7	48.7
4	ETANA	4	12/1	Trailer	76	68	26.0	63.0	55.0
1	BROADWAY CAT	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	69	64.4	55.7	46.7
9	CAT'S J N J	9	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	68	50.3	48.2	36.7

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1. NSA(The Legend) NFL Washington +3
2. Gameday Network NFL Steelers -7
3. VegasSI.com NFL Raiders -3.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NFL Rams -2.5
5. Sports Action 365 NFL Dolphins under 48.5
6. Point Spread Report NFL Packers over 47.5
7. Lou Panelli NFL Texans +4
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino NFL Giants +4
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NFL Saints -10
10. William E. Stockton NFL Dolphins -2
11. Vincent Pioli NFL Bills +2.5
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NFL Raiders -3.5
13. SCORE NFL Packers -14
14. East Coast Line Movers NFL Washington +3
15. Tony Campone NFL Packers -14
16. Chicago Sports Group NFL Bills under 56
17. Hollywood Sportsline NFL Dolphins -2
18. VIP Action NFL Buccaneers -5.5
19. South Beach Sports NFL Texans +4
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission NFL Steelers over 45.5
21. NY Players Club NFL Packers -14
22. Fred Callahan NFL Rams under 55
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NFL Dolphins under 48.5
24. Michigan Sports NFL Raiders -3.5
25. National Consensus Report NFL Eagles over 44.5

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar

Del Mar - Race 4	$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double 50 cent min. Rolling Pick Three / $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) 50 cent Pick Six Starts / $2 WPS Parlay
Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $57,000 • Post: 2:00P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Stalker. TAPITUTION is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CHARLITO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TAPITUTION: Hors e has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SEICHE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase S peed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	CHARLITO	8/5	7/2
6	TAPITUTION	7/2	5/1
3	SEICHE	5/2	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	MUNNINGS' PILOT	4	6/1	Front-runner	0	0	109.0	66.4	57.9
5	TIZ VICIOUS	5	4/1	Front-runner	86	79	80.6	66.4	56.9
3	SEICHE	3	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	96	92	92.3	70.2	64.7
6	TAPITUTION	6	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	99.5	82.5	77.5
1	CHARLITO	1	8/5	Trailer	94	93	88.3	88.6	86.1
2	MONGOLIAN KINGDOM	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	63.5	63.5	53.0

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

11/15/20, AQU, Race 1, 11.50 ET
11/15/20,AQU,1,6F [Turf] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. OUTER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden and Claiming races for $20,000 or less not considered in allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment due at time of claim otherwise claim will be void). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	The Queens Jules	8/1	Saez S	Potts Wayne	F	5	60.00	3.18/$1
099.2501	1	New York's Finest	5/2	Ortiz. Jr. I	Rodriguez Rudy R.	J	28	35.71	1.29/$1
098.2637	8	War Stroll	12/1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Potts Wayne	C	2	50.00	2.85/$1
098.0856	2	Duncastle	7/2	Cardenas L	Morley Thomas	S	6	50.00	1.83/$1
097.6555	13	McErin	8/5	Carmouche K	Morley Thomas	L	5	60.00	3.18/$1
097.5694	11	Apache Brave	15/1	Carmouche K	Ness Jamie	TW	36	27.78	1.16/$1
097.5159	1A	Dowse's Beach	5/2	Castellano J	Maker Michael J.	E	2	50.00	2.85/$1
097.4692	6	Ian Glass	4/1	Rosario J	Handal Raymond		5	60.00	3.18/$1
095.0960	10	Releasethethunder	4/1	Lezcano J	Miceli Michael		5	60.00	3.18/$1
095.0184	5	Dr. Shane	9/2	Franco M	Gargan Danny		2	50.00	2.85/$1
094.7199	12	Brush Country	8/1	Rider TBA	Jones Eduardo E.		5	60.00	3.18/$1
094.4981	9	Outrageous Bet	20/1	DeCarlo C P	Chichakly Amira		5	60.00	3.18/$1
091.4130	3	Another	15/1	Hernandez B	Kantarmaci Mertkan		5	60.00	3.18/$1
089.7582	7	Honorable Hero	30/1	Luzzi M J	Toscano. Jr. John T.		36	27.78	1.16/$1

Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 16.1300, ROI 0.4742/$1
. . . .
100.0000 4 The Queens Jules
[Category]Condition
[TurfNot_MdnMClm]LastRaceWasDirtWithTurfToday
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	1	New York's Finest	5/2	Ortiz. Jr. I	Rodriguez Rudy R.	J	19	47.37	2.06/$1
099.5528	1A	Dowse's Beach	5/2	Castellano J	Maker Michael J.	E	30	53.33	1.93/$1
099.2322	11	Apache Brave	15/1	Carmouche K	Ness Jamie	TW	30	53.33	1.93/$1
098.9183	13	McErin	8/5	Carmouche K	Morley Thomas	L	30	53.33	1.93/$1
098.8118	2	Duncastle	7/2	Cardenas L	Morley Thomas	SF	19	47.37	2.06/$1
098.2607	8	War Stroll	12/1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Potts Wayne	C	70	35.71	1.33/$1
098.1988	4	The Queens Jules	8/1	Saez S	Potts Wayne		19	47.37	2.06/$1
097.8086	10	Releasethethunder	4/1	Lezcano J	Miceli Michael		30	53.33	1.93/$1
097.6407	5	Dr. Shane	9/2	Franco M	Gargan Danny		19	47.37	2.06/$1
097.3327	6	Ian Glass	4/1	Rosario J	Handal Raymond		19	47.37	2.06/$1
094.8535	9	Outrageous Bet	20/1	DeCarlo C P	Chichakly Amira		19	47.37	2.06/$1
094.5103	3	Another	15/1	Hernandez B	Kantarmaci Mertkan		19	47.37	2.06/$1
094.3255	12	Brush Country	8/1	Rider TBA	Jones Eduardo E.		30	53.33	1.93/$1
092.8801	7	Honorable Hero	30/1	Luzzi M J	Toscano. Jr. John T.		19	47.37	2.06/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 40.3600, ROI 1.0506/$1
. . . .
100.0000 1 New York's Finest
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]MorningLineOddsGreaterThanOrEqualTo1

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #1 - Post: 1:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,500 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#3 RED ASTAIRE (ML=3/1)
#2 FINAL STRIKE (ML=7/2)


RED ASTAIRE - Carey brings him right back. I propose you stick with this live gelding. This gelding should be at the peak of fitness, this far into his form cycle. This gelding is at the top in earnings per start. Take a long look at this animal before the race. Dropped in class last time out, running against the same type today. FINAL STRIKE - This gelding registered a good figure of 64 in his last event. That speed rating should be lofty enough to win this time around.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ANIMAL KRACKERS (ML=4/1), #7 SEA SCOUT (ML=6/1), #8 BIG TIME GIZMO (ML=8/1),

ANIMAL KRACKERS - A pattern of lessening speed ratings 74/68/56 for this mount. SEA SCOUT - I'd like to see more preferred recent outings with M/L odds of 6/1. Don't feel this vulnerable equine will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed figure was disappointing when compared with today's class rating. BIG TIME GIZMO - 8/1 is not worth the risk for any racer in a sprint of 7 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance race lately. Not probable that the speed rating he earned on November 1st will hold up in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 RED ASTAIRE to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Hawthorne - Race #8 - Post: 6:26pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 62

Rating:

#8 MS KELA TIME (ML=4/1)
#4 CAROLINA BEAST (ML=5/1)
#3 G CITY WARRIOR (ML=20/1)


MS KELA TIME - Ran a lackluster race at Hawthorne last time out. Racing under better track conditions puts this filly at the top of my contenders list. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fifth). Should rebound in this event, with some decent odds. Felix and Robertson have had wonderful success together over this last year. Just see her recent rating, 62. That one fits well in this group. Ranks at the top in (EPS) earnings per start. A strong try in this field can increase that bankroll. The improved speed figs over the last three races is solid. Robertson drops her in this affair conditioned to win. CAROLINA BEAST - I cannot ignore the fact that this filly is working extremely well. I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough efforts since the layoff and should be fit. I just may give this one a shot. Should improve off last race where she did run out of the money, but was within five lengths at the finish line. G CITY WARRIOR - Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Look for this filly to run lots better in this field. Last affair at Hawthorne finishing eighth on the mud is no indication of her true ability. Horse has improved at least two Equibase speed figure points in last 2 races. I look for that to continue to trend in a positive direction in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 HOT PEPPER SUZIE (ML=2/1), #2 HENRYS GIRL (ML=9/2),

HOT PEPPER SUZIE - Would have to improve off that sixth place finish last time to make an impact here. HENRYS GIRL - Horse ran a great speed figure in the last race, but that was on a muddy track.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #8 MS KELA TIME on top if we're getting at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 13

FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 LADY HELEN 20/1
# 3 ROSANI O. 15/1
# 6 LA TIENDITA 4/1

LADY HELEN is my pick especially at a long price. ROSANI O. - She looks competitive in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point.