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Tuesday 11/17/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: Akron +26 -105 at pinnacle
PICK - Akron Zips +26 RATING: 30* ROT#: 301
I understand if you want nothing to do with betting this Akron team. I get it. This is one of two MAC games on the board for Tuesday. The other is a similar matchup between Buffalo/Bowling Green (I got a premium play in this game).
The public is going to bet this game. Most will lay it with the Flashes or the OVER. I would definitely take the points and side with the UNDER.
For those that don't know, this is a big time rivalry games. You can drive from one campus to the other in about 15-20 mins.
The rivalry always means something to the underdog. I just wonder if this just doesn't feel like another game for Kent State, especially given the state of the Akron football program. Throw in next week's massive game against Buffalo, that will likely decide the MAC EAST title. Easy for the Flashes to just go through the motions.
History is definitely on our side. Each of the last 8 meetings in this series have been decided by 23-points or less. You also haven't had a game in the series go for more than 59 points since 2003 (total is 59).
Big here is I think Akron's offense can get something going with their run game. Zips did just rush for 217 yards last week at Ohio. Kent State just allowed 260 rushing yards to Bowling Green. If we can just get 20 points here from Akron I really like our chances. Give me the Zips +26!
Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: Akron +27 -106 at pinnacle
This line keeps getting bigger. I believe its now big enough that we're getting value with the underdog. Akron covered (lost by 14) in its lone road game while KSU failed to cover (won by 4) in its lone home game. The Zips are just 3-7 ATS the past 10 times that they played a home game with an O/U line in the 56.5 to 63 range. Last eight meetings have all been decided by 23 or less. Consider grabbing the points.
Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: Akron +26 -107 at betonline
Tuesday CFB Free play. My selection is on Akron plus the points over Kent State at 8 pm et on Tuesday.
Lost in another blowout loss last week was the fact that Akron actually moved the football with some consistency in Ohio, racking up 435 total yards of offense with a balanced attack. The issue for the Zips was that they turned the football over three times and couldn't finish drives with 7's on the board. I do feel they have something to build on here, and we're dealing with a very generous helping of points in the Zips corner. Kent State is coming off a complete dismantling of Bowling Green last week and could be excused if its caught looking ahead to next week's showdown with Buffalo. While the Golden Flashes do have some good pieces in place on both sides of the football, I simply feel that they're laying too many points in this 'win and move on' type of situation on Tuesday night. Take Akron (8*).
Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: Kent State -25 -109 at Draft Kings
The set-up: Akron is 0-2 and Kent State is 2-0. I expect the Golden Flashes to take advantage of this matchup and of familiar surroundings and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. In a normal season, this could very well be a spot in which I would go against Kent State as such a big favorite here. This would tend to set up as a kind of natural letdown spot for it, but these teams are only playing six games this season, so every game counts. There's nobody letting up or looking past when you're only playing six games, as each and everyone counts more than ever. And with a game at Buffalo up next, who is 2-0 as well, this one vs. Akron becomes important (and running up the score and posting a major victory here is going to help in its rankings at the end.) Akron has a freshman quarterback in Zach Gibson this year and so far he has two touchdowns and three interceptions (two of those came in last week's loss to Miami Ohio.) Kent State quarterback Dustin Crum though has looked sharp in the early going, he has 490 yards, six touchdowns and one interception after two games. In the win over Bowling Green last weekend he had four touchdown passes.
The pick: The defenses of each team are completely polar opposite as well, as Kent State allows just 23.5 points per game, while Akron is conceding 41. Last year the Golden Flashes won this game 26-3, but I think this one will be an even bigger blowout. Akron has some talent, as running back Teon Dollard has 232 rushing yards on 38 carries, but Kent State features elite-level talent as well (including wide receiver Isaiah McKoy, who already has 14 catches for 178 yards and three touchdowns. Akron's a bad team. At some point it's going to grab a win, but it's still 0-19 straight up in its last 19 and only 4-17 in its last 21 against the spread following a straight-up loss. The Golden Flashes have averaged over 44.5 points per game in the early going and I simply can't see the Zips stopping them, OR keeping up with them. Consider laying the points in this one.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on Kent State.
Tuesday’s games
Akron (0-2) @ Kent State (2-0)
— Zips lost their first two games, outscored 82-28.
— Akron did outgain Ohio 435-307 in LW’s 24-10 loss.
— Akron has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Zips have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Akron has a senior QB with 28 career starts.
— Under Arth, Zips are 2-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Kent won its first two games, scoring 89 points, running for 507 yards.
— Golden Flashes threw for 372 yards in last week’s game.
— Kent has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Golden Flashes has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Kent has a senior QB with 14 career starts.
— Golden Flashes are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Akron won four of last five series games.
— Zips won 24-23/31-27 in their last two visits to Kent.
— Underdogs covered four of last six series games.
Buffalo (2-0) @ Bowling Green (0-2)
— Buffalo scored 91 points in winning its first two games.
— Bulls gained 915 yards in two games; they’re +4 in turnovers.
— Buffalo has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Bulls have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Buffalo has a soph QB with seven career starts.
— Bulls are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
— Bowling Green lost its first two games, giving up 100 points.
— Falcons gave up 605 rushing yards in those two games.
— Bowling Green has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Falcons have 32 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bowling Green has a new QB this year- he completed 14-50 passes so far.
— Last 3+ years, Falcons are 2-11 ATS as a home underdog.
— Buffalo won last three series games, by an average score of 43-16.
— Favorites are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games.
— Bulls lost two of their last three visits here.
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, TUESDAY November 17, 2020
11/17 05:00 PM PT / 8:00 PM ET
CF (301) AKRON VS (302) KENT STATE
Take: over
Reason: Looks like early week is MAC week as MAC play enters its 3rd week, at least for most teams. Some have had Covid issues and games PPD. Tonight Akron travels to play at Kent State. Kent is one of the better teams in the MAC at 2-0 on Season. They opened with a win over Eastern Michigan, 27-23, but failed to cover 5-point line. Then they went to Bowling Green where they cruised to a 62-24 win and cover. Now they host a poor Akron as they should go 3-0 tonight. Akron is 0-2 after losing to Western Michigan 13-58 and then last week at Ohio, 10-24, covering the 26-point line. Akron out gained Ohio last week 434 to 307 yards. It was the three turnovers that hurt the Zips. Kent State rolled-up 667 yards at Bowling Green last week and had 30 more offensive plays. Kent is now 6th in the country in total yards. Kent held Akron to just 3 points last year in this matchup. Your free play for Tuesday is on the OVER.
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