Service Plays Thursday 11/19/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

Seahawks -3

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Ben Burns

GOY Seattle -3

[B*mb07]

Marco D'Angelo
3% (426) TULSA/TULANE UNDER 55

Both of these teams have been playing high scoring games so why are we looking at the Under. Well it’s because they have been facing teams with bad defenses. Tulsa and Tulane both have good defenses. In fact Tulsa has the #22 defense in YPP allowed. I’m looking for this one to be a much lower scoring game than these teams have been playing. My numbers project 49 or less points. TAKE TULSA/TULANE UNDER 55Analysis to follow

BONUS TNF PLAY
3% SEATTLE TEAM TOTAL OVER 30
Seattle has topped 30 points in 7 of their 9 games this year. The only 2 games that they didn’t were against The Rams last week when facing the #2 defensive team the Rams in YPP and when they faced Minnesota who’s game plan was to pound the ball with Dalvin Cook and shorten the game to protect their own defense Minnesota ran the ball 41 times limiting the number of Seattle possessions. Arizona’s defense has allowed 98 points in the last 3 games and I don’t see them stopping Seattle here and if Seattle gets the lead they won’t take their foot off the gas after what happened in the first meeting

[Wellngood76]

Scoutspicks
NFL
8 units Seattle -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root

Seattle

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

• Game: (321) Arizona Cardinals at (322) Seattle Seahawks
  Date/Time: Nov 19 2020 8:20 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: To be announced
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Carlos Hyde Over 52 Rushing Yards
  
  This is a risk I think well worth the gamble for the low number and the fact almost certainly Travis Homer is also OUT in addition to Carson missing yet another game on short week ..and AZ is allowing 5 yards per rush the last 3 games and I'm banking on Seattle HAVING to try to hold onto the ball with ball control at least a little bit with how insanely pathetic and porous the defense has been against Buffalo and then LA with a 6.6 and 5.6 yards per play against and a ToP discrepancy of 27/33 each loss!
• Game: (321) Arizona Cardinals at (322) Seattle Seahawks
  Date/Time: Nov 19 2020 8:20 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: To be announced
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Kyler Murray Over 280.5
  
  Don't threaten me with a good time!
  Competitive game = lots of passing yards!
• Game: (321) Arizona Cardinals at (322) Seattle Seahawks
  Date/Time: Nov 19 2020 8:20 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Dan Arnold Under 15.5 Receiving Yards
  
  Combo of many factors but with injuries plaguing them and the corners out for Seattle out and the WR just literally ripping the Seahawks apart to the tune of 300 more yards on the season than the next closest bad defense

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

• Game: (425) Tulane at (426) Tulsa
  Date/Time: Nov 19 2020 7:30 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Under 55.0 (-110)
  
  Nothing like a piping hot key number like 55 to get your juices pumping with just 1 game on the NCAA slate. Many of you may know, and be bored with, my analysis regarding totals and landing spots and Vegas attempting to either trick or intimidate us perchance with the totals they set. 55 is the most common final score in all of recorded college football, increasing its percentage to 4% of all games over the past 5 years…that single total lands in 1 of every 25 games each Saturday. I am sure this sounds like the dumbest analytical tool, but with the exception of 4, 8, and 11, and obviously 1 and 2, there has been a game falling with a final score of every number from 3 to 137!! Basically paralysis by analysis, 4% is a MASSIVE amount!
  Long story short….Tulsa cannot get out of their own way with penalties on offense…and Tulane's defense is no slouch. In the 3 game win streak scoring 38 points each time, they have just allowed 3, 21, and 12 points to the opponent. Of course, by the line and total you can tell this is clearly a couple steps upward in regard of quality of opposition, and one that might control the Tulane run game more than Temple, ECU, and Army consecutively, while also shooting themselves in the foot on their own offensive possessions.
  This opened in the 53/54 range and BOOOOOMED down to 52.5 before being immediately bought back up at sharp shops to 55….within minutes to hours based upon the location of the sportsbook. They are going for the middling opportunity as Vegas is “projecting” a 30-24 Tulsa victory…and if taken simply upon this basis, a fade is in order as 30 is a LOFTY goal for this game, either team, period!
  
• Game: (425) Tulane at (426) Tulsa
  Date/Time: Nov 19 2020 7:30 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: To be announced
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H Tulsa Total Under 14.5 (-105)
  
  Tulsa gets off to slow starts, Tulane runs the ball at a 60% plus rate, Tulsa is highly penalized on their offensive possessions (and defensive) and I am even bigger on the full game Under 55.
  The value here to get the hook added for 2 TDs (which I doubt) is IMMENSE!!!

[Goose]

Marty’s Plays

Quad Play GOY
Green Wave +5

Double Play
Green Wave +160 straight up

Is this Marty Otto?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang
50 Dime
Tulsa

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Northcoast

Marquee: Tulane (+6)
NFL Marquee: Seattle (-3)

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Bondi

3* Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alleghenies Analysis
7 Tulsa/Tulane Under 55

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GREG SHAKER | CFB TOTAL THU, 11/19/20 - 7:30 PM
426 Tulsa / 425 Tulane Under 56.0 BetOnline

2-dime bet

Analysis:

We track teams in many different ways and one of those is how they are playing now. What we know about the Green Wave is that they have the #74 Defense in the Land, not so great, but right now and over the last 3 games they have improved that number significantly. Tulsa is ranked #44 and that is not strange for this team, they play a good brand of D. Neither team plays will PACE both about midstream in the rankings. This conference game will feature some higher than usual Winds according to numerous weather sources. We don't play based simply on the weather but a Bonus here for sure. Our 3 CFB Models have numbers all lower than what Odds Makers have put out for us and that is the clincher to putting us on this game as a strong 2* Playˆ..


Gameday Notes: This number has dropped from where we got it but is actually back on the rise. We like this one at 51 or better so we have plenty of room no matter where it ends

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant
3% Seattle Under 57