Service Plays Monday 11/23/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDQL

OVER 48.5
LAR @ TB | 11/23 | 8:15 PM EST8:45 AM
The Rams have gone Under in six straight, but in the history of our database, teams that have gone Under six straight times are 36-21 OU (63.2% Overs) in the next game. If we add the condition that their previous game stayed under by 13-plus points, we get 13-3 OU. The Bucs like to throw the ball and this activates an Over indicator for the Rams. LA is 12-0 OU on grass coming off a road game when facing a team that has averaged at least 37 passes per game season to date. In each of their last four games in this spot, the Rams have scored more than 31 points. The Bucs have scored 38-plus points four times this season -- two more than any other team. The value is with the Over.

5-1 IN LAST 6 NFL PICKS | +400

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

UNDER 48.5
LAR @ TB | 11/23 | 8:15 PM EST11:14 AM
The Bucs are No. 1 against the run, the Rams are No. 1 against the pass, and both defenses are making great halftime adjustments. Over the past three games, the Rams are giving up an average of 3.3 second-half points, the Bucs 7.3 second-half points. When the Bucs face an elite defense (New Orleans, Chicago), this season, they are averaging 15 points. Go Under.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL O/U PICKS | +290

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

9* Monday Total Investment

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under 48.5

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The Animal
4* LA Rams +4 1/2:

So the book on Tom Brady has been fairly clear this season. Brady can still exploit teams that offer little QB pressure and have lousy cornerbacks. But when that isn?t the case, like against Chicago or New Orleans, Brady becomes a very ordinary quarterback and will go to great lengths to get rid of the football quickly creating turnovers. Taking a look at the Tampa Bay wins this year, the Buccaneers really haven?t posted many quality wins. They?ve defeated Carolina twice, the Giants, Chargers, and Broncos. They did beat Green Bay and the Raiders. But the Packers are very erratic at best. Right now the Raiders might be among the better teams but their defense is nothing special. The Rams are very special in the two areas I mentioned above. Aaron Donald and Leonard Floyd are in the top-10 in sacks with a combined 16. Jalen Ramsey and Troy Hill are certainly among the best pairings in the league at corner. Certainly the Andrew Whitworth injury at tackle last week hurts the Rams on the offensive line. But remember the Bucs are still without Vita Vea at defensive tackle so perhaps the Whitworth loss is neutralized. It?s really difficult to run on the Rams. Yes Tampa had 210 yards against Denver, but 98 of those came on one play. The other 112 came on 36 carries or about three yards per attempt. This team had eight yards on five carries against the Giants, setting a record for fewest attempts in a game. The Rams entered this week #2 in total defense, #5 against the run, #3 versus the pass, and #3 in sacks. They are #8 in rushing with Darrell Henderson, Malcolm Brown, and Cam Akers combining for over 1,000-yards and nine touchdowns. The Rams are #7 in passing with Jared Goff and the receivers might not get as much name-recognition as the Bucs? arsenal but they aren?t bad with Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, Josh Reynolds, and Tyler Higbee. The Rams have allowed just 97-points in their last six games. I thought it was interesting that 10 of Goff?s 13 touchdown passes this year have come on the road. Goff threw for 490 yards last year against Tampa when the Rams recorded 36 first downs and 40-points and somehow lost thanks to a 4-1 deficit in turnovers (also had 106 penalty yards). The Bucs are 0-9-1 ATS as a favorite off a game as a favorite of at least three-points and covering by at least seven points. Let?s not forget the last time the Rams came to Florida they somehow lost to Miami despite a 31-8 edge in first downs and a 471-145 advantage in total yards. That was the game the Dolphins had 28-points at halftime and had 56-total yards. Think turnovers matter in the NFL? The Rams last week certainly disrupted Russell Wilson forcing him into three turnovers and holding Seattle to 16-points. Tampa is 5-17-2 ATS as a home favorite in their last 24 and that includes their last home game, an embarrassment to the organization, against Brees and the Saints on Sunday night. I kind of lean to ?UNDER? in this game although it?s difficult considering last year?s score was 55-40 in LA. The Rams need a strong defensive effort here because they are only averaging 21.6 points per game in their last half-dozen games. The Rams are 4-0 when Goff does not throw an interception and last week he was 27-of-37 versus Seattle for over 300-yards and no interceptions. Watch Goff tonight as ultimately he will probably determine our fates. The Bucs are #1 versus the run so the QB position will be the ultimate factor tonight but I think the Rams are capable of giving Brady more problem than the Bucs with Goff. Decent value here tonight @ +4 1/2 too. FYI: Teams with Coach Arians are 33-16 ?OVER? since mid-2016 (Cardinals/Bucs). Tampa 2-10 ATS versus the NFC West while the Rams are 11-4 straight-up and ATS away on Monday Night Football including 5-0 SU and ATS when coming off a win of seven or fewer points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

TB

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Kenny White

LAR +4.5
LAR @ TB | 11/23 | 8:15 PM EST3:14 PM
Wow! 4.5 points? These two teams are very evenly matched. The Buccaneers have played two above-average teams, the Saints and Packers. They lost both to New Orleans but manhandled Green Bay. The Rams like to run the ball and play keepaway, plus they have a Top-5 defense. It's true the Rams haven't played a team as balanced as Tampa, but I still think this one will be extremely tight. Take the points.

17-11-2 IN LAST 30 NFL PICKS | +475
4-0 IN LAST 4 TB ATS PICKS | +400

[rocky57]

H&H Sports (NFL) - 4* Los Angeles Rams +4.5

***Note - heading into tonight (4-0 with 4* plays on the NFL season and our First Monday Night Football 4*)

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Wayne Root

MNF NFC GAME OF MONTH

Tampa Bay

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Mississippi Kid
Tampa Bay, Buy to -3 -138 1.5U

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MILLERLOCKS
Monday 11/23/2020 Picks

8:15 PM ET NFL
LOS ANGELES RAMS VS. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

PICK: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -4.5 (-101)

RISK: 11 UNITS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive:
200% LA Rams +4

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ATS
Not the lock club
Over

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Cajun 5* play..
Under NFL. 47 to 49.5
Killer caps, group.

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Burns Main Event

Bucs

[NYStateofMind]

Does anybody have Tony George's nfl pick tonight?