Service Plays Thursday 11/26/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

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[GetTheseDimes]

John Ryan (Sportsmemo) 5% play:
NFL Week 12
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

5% Best Bet on the Baltimore Ravens and there are a few ways to bet this DOG detailed below.
The Ravens will be without their two best running backs in Mark Ingram, and J.K. Dobbins testing positive for COVID-19. However, former Rutgers Scarlet Knight, Gus Edwards will be able to offset the losses at the running back position. He is 6’1” and 240 lbs and has 376 rushing yards averaging 4.4 yards-per-carry this season. Of his 85 carries, nine of them have been for more than 10 yards and he is averaging 3.0 yards gained after contact, and he has forced nine missed tackles. In a smash-mouth matchup like this one has been for many years, having a powerful and explosive running back is a great advantage for the Ravens.
Since the COVID-19 announcement, the line has moved up 1.5 points to make the Ravens a 4.5 point road underdog. My suggestion is to book 50% of your bet at 4.5 points and wait to see if the line continues to move in our favor as game time approaches. I also like splitting this bet with 80% on the line and 20% sprinkled on the money line. Sprinkling the money line with underdogs will increase your return-on-investment (ROI) over the course of a season.
The Steelers are 10-0 SU and have covered 8 of these 10 games against the spread. However, it puts them into a bad spot for this matchup. Teams with no more than one loss and have covered the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 games and are favored by no more than 10 points and facing a divisional opponent that they defeated earlier in the same season are just 6-18 ATS for 25% winning bets since 2006 and a miserable 1-5 ATS for 17% winning bets since 2010. Ravens head coach Jim Harbaugh went 8-2 ATS in games following losing 4 or 5 of their last 6 games to the spread in the 2019 season and this is the first game in 2020.
The machine learning model projects that the Ravens, with Gus Edwards, will gain more rushing yards than the Steelers and will gain more yards-per-play. In past games in which they were the road team and were coming off a loss and then met or exceeded the performance measures have seen them earn a highly profitable 16-2 SU record and a 14-3-2 ATS mark good for 88% ATS winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 10 points.

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Jimmy Adams

Game: (127) Colorado State at (128) Air Force - 5* Play Air Force -5.5

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Football Jesus early text 11/18 Turkey day Dallas Cowboys -1 up to -3

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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
1:01 PM

BAL +3.5
BAL @ PIT | 11/26 | 8:20 PM EST
These teams met at the beginning of November, and while the Steelers walked away with the win, they were somewhat lucky to do so. The Ravens outgained their opponent 457-221 on that day in a game that was competitive throughout, but the Steelers pulled off a win thanks largely to four turnovers, including an early pick-six. One reason the Steelers struggled in that game is they don't have the run game to win consistently against the Ravens defense, and teams have trouble passing on them unless they have Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. So I expect this to be a low-scoring game where one of these teams wins by three or less, and it's worth grabbing the hook if you can get it.

39-29-3 IN LAST 71 NFL PICKS | +670
24-10 IN LAST 34 PIT ATS PICKS | +1285

15-10 IN LAST 25 BAL ATS PICKS | +400

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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
1:34 PM

WASHINGTON @ DALLAS | 11/26 | 4:30 PM EST
DALLAS -2.5
Have America’s bettors soured on America’s Team? This spot is small, perhaps because the memory of Washington’s 25-3 romp in the first matchup this year remains fresh. Factor in, also, Dallas’ 1-8 ATS record on Thanksgiving Day since 2011. However, the Cowboys have vastly improved, taking unbeaten Pittsburgh to the wire two games ago and tripping up Minnesota on Sunday. The ATS slump on the holiday is partly explained by Dallas having been a substantial favorite. Its straight-up mark is 4-5 this decade. A victory here should come with a cover.

+923 17-7 IN LAST 24 WAS ATS PICKS
+809 17-8 IN LAST 25 DAL ATS PICKS

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R.J. White

HOU -2.5
HOU @ DET | 11/26 | 12:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 6:50 PM
Typically in a situation like this I want to be all over the home 'dog that looked terrible last week, but I'm not sure I can do it with Detroit. The matchup suggests the offense could have a good day, but Matthew Stafford and Co. couldn't do anything against another mediocre defense last week. Teams can beat the Texans by getting up early and running the ball down their throats, but the Lions are pros at losing big leads. If Kenny Golladay comes back and you want to play Lions at +3, I won't give you too much pushback. But this line is getting to 3 at some point, and right now I want to be the guy with Texans -2.5 in my pocket.

31-23-3 IN LAST 57 NFL ATS PICKS | +525
16-3-1 IN LAST 20 DET ATS PICKS | +1269

4-3-1 IN LAST 8 HOU ATS PICKS | +70

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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
11:30 AM

AF -5.5
COLOST @ AF | 11/26 | 2:00 PM EST
Air Force went 11-2 last season but only returned three starters on offense. All the Falcons have done is lead the nation in rushing (336 ypg) after three games with their last game, a 28-0 win against New Mexico, being the most impressive and complete game. Colorado State has been in a wonky state for most of first-year head coach Steve Addazio’s season -- no spring practice, COVID-19 issues and snow limiting practices. Air Force has its act polished now. Air Force has won the last four meetings. Air Force to cover.

9-1 IN LAST 10 CFB PICKS | +790
2-1 IN LAST 3 COLOST ATS PICKS | +90

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R.J. White

WAS +3
WAS @ DAL | 11/26 | 4:30 PM EST1:26 PM
The lookahead line here was Cowboys -1, so we're getting two points based on their offense finally having a pulse against the Vikings. But their defense was also terrible, and had it not been for Vikings fumbles and penalties, they might have given up 40-plus points. Now the Cowboys have to face a better defense with a much stronger D-line to test their problematic O-line, and if the Washington defense shows up, Alex Smith and Co. can do enough to win this game outright. The run game is getting better for Washington, and Smith himself should have success throwing against a bad Cowboys secondary. It comes down to this: Washington will score points, but can we say the same for sure for Dallas?

31-23-3 IN LAST 57 NFL ATS PICKS | +525
25-15 IN LAST 40 WAS ATS PICKS | +845

2-1 IN LAST 3 DAL ATS PICKS | +85

[J Pendleton]

MTI (Killer Sports) has a 5* Side GOY going on Thanksgiving

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HITMAN | NFL Side - Thursday, Nov 26 2020 8:20PM
125 BAL 4.5(-110) Westgate vs 126 PIT double-dime bet

Analysis: PROPS

Duke Johnson (HOU) U3.5 Receptions +105 (DK)
Andy Dalton (DAL) U253.5 Pass Yds -115 (WHill/BET365)
Terry McLaurin (WSH) O73.5 Rec Yds -105 (MGM)





Baltimore outplayed Pitt in their previous matchup, winning the YPP battle 5.8 to 4.4and yardage battle by 234!


I believe that there is a line overreaction to the corona news as well. The look ahead line was Pit -2.5, and in a matchup that is seemingly always close regardless of how the two teams are playing, I like Baltimore to keep this one close!

[golden contender]

Rob V: Turkey Day Comp Play

Thanksgiving day card led by the 2020 NFL Total of the Year along with the NFC East Play of the Month and College Football and NCAAB. Soccer comp play below

The Europa league comp play is to play under 3 goals in the Benfica at Rangers match. This is the reverse fixture and these 2 played an unusually high scoring game the first match ending 3-3. Both teams are superior defensive clubs and this will be much lower scoring. Both teams are tops in their country. Rangers will be home this go round and they rarely concede here. Look for this match to go under. On Turkey day the lead play is the 2020 NFL Total of the year along with the NFC East Play of the Month, College football and hoops. See us on facebook to Jump on and cash out on Thanksgiving Day. For the Comp play take the Under 3 goals in the Benfica vs Rangers Europa League match. Rob V- GC Sports.

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MTI

5 GOY Dallas-3

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Dr Bob

1* Dallas Under 46 or Better