Service Plays Thursday 11/26/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ravens vs. Steelers postponed until Sunday afternoon


Colorado State and Air Force will not play on Thursday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDQL

OVER 45
BAL @ PIT | 11/26 | 8:20 PM EST10:05 AM
The Ravens are desperate and can’t afford to be passive; they must try to capitalize on every scoring opportunity. This leads to high-scoring games. Indeed, the Over is 9-0 when Baltimore, under John Harbaugh, is on grass against a team that has more wins, is on a three-plus game winning streak and has allowed an average of fewer than 24 points per game over its last three games. With the Over a perfect 5-0 this season when the Steelers are off any game in which they scored fewer than 35 points and averaged at least three yards per rush, we are on the Over. We like the Over up to 46.5, but try to get 44.5.

6-1 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS | +500

DAL -3
WAS @ DAL | 11/26 | 4:30 PM EST9:57 AM
The Cowboys' victory over the Vikings was not a fluke. Dallas converted 5-of-11 third downs in Minnesota. This has been a huge positive indicator for the Cowboys. Dallas is 14-0 ATS on artificial turf off a road win when it converted at least five third downs in each of its last two games. Finally, since the start of the 2017 season, the Cowboys are a perfect 6-0 ATS at home when they are not the dog against a divisional opponent that has at least as many wins on the season. Dallas sends a message to the league that it is back.

6-1 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS | +500

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAELS

• Game: (123) Washington Football Team at (124) Dallas Cowboys
  Date/Time: Nov 26 2020 4:30 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Dallas Cowboys -145
  
  3* Dallas ML -145 Washington
  VERY fair price playing the Money LIne instead of -3
• Game: (129) New Mexico at (130) Utah State
  Date/Time: Nov 26 2020 7:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: New Mexico -6.5 (-110)
  
  #129 3* New Mexico -6.5 Utah St
  These Covid teams are a solid ply against. Utah St also has an interim HC and their QB, a P-12 transfer who started the first 4 games, left the team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada sports service

Redskins
Butler

[Lexdeoh20189]

Prediction Machine NFL Pick: Houston Texans at Detroit Lions Over 51.5

Why will the total go OVER?

Both teams enter this game with a bottom-10 defense in terms of yards per play and points per game allowed. Houston has surrendered a healthy 6.1 yards per play (28th) and 27.2 points per game (23rd), while Detroit is allowing 5.9 yards per play (23rd) and 28.7 points per game (28th). These defenses should offer little resistance to Watson and Stafford, indicating this could be a back-and-forth affair.

Detroit is one of the worst teams in the NFL at generating pressure. Their 19.0 percent pressure rate is the fifth-worst mark in the league and their 14 sacks are the sixth-fewest in the NFL. Deshaun Watson has absolutely destroyed opponents when they don’t get pressure, posting 9.1 yards per attempt and a 15:2 TD:INT ratio, per PFF. Those numbers dip to 6.6 yards per pass attempt and a 5:3 TD:INT ratio when pressured.

The Lions and Texans both pass at a top-eight clip in the NFL. Houston is sixth with 62.4 percent of their play calls resulting in a pass, while Detroit is two spots lower at 61.8 percent. Watson and the Texans have been extremely efficient when passing as well, producing a second-best mark of 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Detroit hasn’t been as elite but are right around league average at 6.9 yards per attempt (18th). Houston’s defense should boost up Stafford’s passing numbers, as they rank 27th in the NFL with 7.5 yards allowed per pass attempt. Detroit is just above them at 7.3 yards allowed per pass attempt (26th). Once again, these defenses should offer little resistance to their opponents.

[rocky57]

H&H Sports (NFL) - Triple Dime Houston Texans -155 (Moneyline)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Winningham

Houston-3

[citybeat]

Date	Expert	Rating	Game	Play
Nov 26	Tony Mejia	5%	[CBB] (307101) Howard at (307102) Belmont Time: 5:00 PM EST	Total Over 149.5 (-110)
Analysis: Get in on this game immediately since the number is likely to line but we like it all the way up to 165 considering how dominant the Bruins were in their debut under Bucky McMillan, scoring 145 points against Greenville midway through the second half. The young prodigy of a head coach takes up-tempo to a new level and wants to lead the nation in possessions. Howard has a talented freshman who should do damage of his own in five-star recruit Makur Maker so expect to see points. Ride the over for a five-percent winner.
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line

Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker

Date	Expert	Rating	Game	Play
Nov 26	Tony Mejia	4%	[CFB] (129) New Mexico at (130) Utah State Time: 7:00 PM EST	Total Under 52.0 (-115)
Analysis: We're left with a pair of winless teams that have been held in single-digits in scoring in three of their combined losses for our football entertainment on Thanksgiving night, so if you're going to subject yourself to this one, you need to come out of it with a good feeling and a cash. Utah State has kicked QB Jason Shelley off the team for violation of team rules but he's been inaccurate as it is. New Mexico senior QB Tevaka Tuioti has been in concussion protocol for the past few weeks and may be sidelined again, leaving Trae Hall at the controls. Most of the Lobos' best defensive players have exited the program, so the team being housed at the Hilton in Las Vegas for $70,000 a week just to get this season in is really down to bare bones. The same can be said for the Aggies, who have seen LB Cash Gilliam, DB Tory Lefeged and top WR Deven Thompkins all transfer out this month. Things are that bad in Logan. Utah State has lost five straight dating back to a bowl-game loss to Kent State last December, while the Lobos have lost 13 sraight, which includes 12 in a row on the road and 19 in the Mountain West. That's why it's puzzling that they're favored. The Aggies have had a ton of personnel changes and dealt with contact tracing due to COVID-19, so we're really choosing between the more prepared but wearier Lobos, who will be playing their third game in 13 days, and a USU squad that has an edge due to altitude and has been out of action for the last 11 days, playing Fresno last in Logan on Nov. 14. Defense should rule the day on a cool night that will feature little wind. With USU OC Brodie Reeder also out and QB Andrew Peasley just returning, the Ags are likely to be out of sync against Rocky Long's 3-3-5. Expect the under to come through here.

Nov 26	Tony Mejia	4%	[NFL] (121) Houston Texans at (122) Detroit Lions Time: 12:30 PM EST	Houston Texans -3.0 (-110)
Analysis: The Lions have again ruled out receivers Kenny Golladay and Danny Amendola, so scoring won't come easily for the Lions, who were blanked in Carolina and come in as home underdogs here. Last week's loss in Charlotte really changed the trajectory of the season for Detroit since it could've been playing to get up over .500 at home if it hadn't fallen so flat. First-round pick Jeff Okudah has had a shaky season at corner but is still a great athlete and won't be a part of the mix in the secondary due to injury. With Kenny Stills and Keke Coutee back for the Texans and Will Fuller joining Brandon Cooks as impressive threats for Deshaun Watson to throw to, Houston should roll by more than a field goal in this Thanksgiving opener. Take the points and ride the Texans. NOTE: Black Friday is LIVE: Pay just $19.21 per week with our Black Friday Special which saves you $1000 off my 12-month All-Access Package. Get EVERY play in EVERY sport I release (plus, any 5% Best Bets) for the next 365 days for ONLY $999 (or $2.73 per day) using coupon code BF999 when checking out.
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

3* Texans -2.5 (played it Monday)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pickwise - Bradley/Xavier under 140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

LSALLE +10
LSALLE @ STJOHN | 11/26 | 2:00 PM EST9:36 AM
We think LaSalle can win this outright. The Johnnies are playing their second game in 24 hours and didn't look very good Wednesday in a last-second win over a Saint Peter's team that isn't as good as LaSalle. St. John's also played without starting forward Julian Champagnie, a member of the 2019-20 All-Big East Freshman Team, due to a foot injury and he's not expected in this one. The Explorers bring back three starters, led by senior guards David Beatty and Scott Spencer as well as welcome a former Top 100 national recruit in transfer Clifton Moore from Indiana. Guard Jack Clark, who looked good in 10 games in 2018-19 as a freshman before getting hurt and missing all of last season, is back.

KANSAS +4
GONZAG VS KANSAS | 11/26 | 1:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 5:40 PM
If this terrific matchup between the No. 6 Jayhawks and No. 1 Zags were any other day but Thanksgiving, I would be in attendance as it's played in Fort Myers, Fla. This could be Mark Few's most talented team yet at Gonzaga and he landed the highest-ranked recruit in school history in Jalen Suggs. That said, KU's Bill Self always has multiple five-star recruits on the roster, and he might have the nation's top defensive player in Marcus Garrett. It's obviously hard to get a true feel on these openers, especially at a neutral site, but every projection/model I have checked (including SL's) has it a two-point game. It is a 10:30 a.m. Pacific time start for the West Coast Zags, so we'll take the 4. Kansas is 4-2 vs. top-ranked teams under Self.

HOU -3
HOU @ DET | 11/26 | 12:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 3:53 PM
I do NOT recommend betting a game sitting right at -3 and will be buying Houston down to -2.5. Favorites have been dominant on Thanksgiving for years, and the Lions have lost their past eight overall as home dogs (3-5 ATS). However, I'm taking Houston not so much for any betting trends but that Detroit appears to have quit on lame-duck coach Matt Patricia (see news feed story on how Thursday might be Patricia's last game) and that the Lions will be without several key injured players, led by WR Kenny Golladay and rookie cornerback and No. 3 overall pick Jeff Okudah. In fact, Detroit might be down several players in the secondary. Good news indeed for Deshaun Watson, who has yet to lose an NFL game in his career on short rest.

11-6-1 IN LAST 18 NFL ATS PICKS | +435
2-1-1 IN LAST 4 DET ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Breakfast club

Illinois

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

GONZAG -4
GONZAG VS KANSAS | 11/26 | 1:30 PM EST9:48 AM
This is a Thanksgiving treat of a heavyweight matchup. Gonzaga is loaded and will be tough to match up against all season. The Bulldogs have experience, athleticism, size, and most importantly, they have depth. They can score at will and have a solid defense. Gonzaga is dangerous from beyond the arc and likes to push the pace. Kansas lost some key players to the NBA but are still going to have a say. This is just a tough matchup for the Jayhawks in the first game of the season and it will most likely take them a few games to get going. Kansas is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog.

HOU -3
HOU @ DET | 11/26 | 12:30 PM EST9:38 AM
The Lions could still be in the wild card hunt with a win, but this team has really struggled in the last several weeks. Matthew Stafford doesn't look like himself and lacks weaponry around him. The Texans are having a horrible year, but they have a lot of offensive talent and that is where the difference is. Houston has been horrible on defense, ranking last in the AFC, but look for a great game here. Detroit has issues on offense and is not far behind the Texans defensively.

4-2 IN LAST 6 HOU ATS PICKS | +175

3-2 IN LAST 5 DET ATS PICKS | +81

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

OVER 51
HOU @ DET | 11/26 | 12:30 PM EST8:33 AM
Even with all their injuries, the Lions should bounce back at home offensively after getting shut out last week. We know Deshaun Watson, Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks are going to do their part, especially with Detroit severely banged up in the secondary. Go Over.

4-2 IN LAST 6 NFL O/U PICKS | +180

DAL -150
WAS @ DAL | 11/26 | 4:30 PM ESTTUE 11/24
The Cowboys have put together two strong performances, narrowly falling to Pittsburgh and then winning outright as 7-point underdogs in Minnesota. This is a good spot because Washington's 20-9 win over Cincinnati was misleading, given the Bengals lost Joe Burrow early in the second half. The Bengals were winning 9-7 at the time. Plus, it's a revenge spot after Dallas was humiliated at Washington earlier this season. Back Dallas.

3-2 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS | +80

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsLine Computer

NFL Office Pool Picks

Thursday, Nov. 26

Texans 24, Lions 23
Cowboys 25, Washington Football Team 22
Steelers 25, Ravens 19