Service Plays Thursday 11/26/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

1-Unit Play. Take #759 Gonzaga (-4) over Kansas (1:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

3-Unit Play. Take #774 Austin Peay (-9) over East Tennessee State (2 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

2-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #774 Austin Peay (-4) over East Tennessee State (2 p.m.) AND Take #782 West Virginia (-5) over VCU (2:30 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #780 Memphis (-4) over Western Kentucky (Noon, Thursday, Nov. 26)

1-Unit Play. Take #790 Clemson (Pk) over Purdue (8:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

5-Unit Play. Take #792 Nebraska (-4) over Nevada (2 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

2-Unit Play. Take #806 LSU (-28.5) over SIU-Edwardsville (7 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

2-Unit Play. Take #7106 BYU (-19) over New Orleans (9 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Ma

lions
washington

[NYStateofMind]

Does anybody have Tony George's picks?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al redskins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

1-Unit Play. Take #759 Gonzaga (-4) over Kansas (1:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

3-Unit Play. Take #774 Austin Peay (-9) over East Tennessee State (2 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

2-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #774 Austin Peay (-4) over East Tennessee State (2 p.m.) AND Take #782 West Virginia (-5) over VCU (2:30 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #780 Memphis (-4) over Western Kentucky (Noon, Thursday, Nov. 26)

1-Unit Play. Take #790 Clemson (Pk) over Purdue (8:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

5-Unit Play. Take #792 Nebraska (-4) over Nevada (2 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

2-Unit Play. Take #806 LSU (-28.5) over SIU-Edwardsville (7 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

2-Unit Play. Take #7106 BYU (-19) over New Orleans (9 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

Ferringo NCAA Hoops

1-Unit Play. Take #759 Gonzaga (-4) over Kansas (1:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

Gonzaga is a powerhouse. They were the No. 1 team in the country coming into the season - and then they just got better yesterday. Andrew Nembhard, erstwhile from Florida, was granted immediate eligibility, giving them another stud guard for their lineup. Kansas is still Kansas. They are a factory and they are going to be fine. But they do have some things to work out on this roster and they don't have as much high-end talent as they've had in recent years. I hate betting against the Jayhawks but Gonzaga looks like too much.

3-Unit Play. Take #774 Austin Peay (-9) over East Tennessee State (2 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

Austin Peay has one of the best backcourts of any mid-major team in the country. Terry Taylor is legit and their three starting guards combined to average nearly 50 points per game last year. And that doesn't count adding Reginald Gee. They beat a decent Omaha team yesterday in a game they really had control off from start to finish. East Tennessee State is a train wreck. They lost their coach, the fantastic Steve Forbes, and they lost seven of their top eight players from last year's squad. This is a complete rebuild and there are a lot of unfamiliar players and pieces trying to fit together under a rookie coach. I think it is going to be a long year for ETSU and they got absolutely buried by Abilene Christian yesterday. I don't think things are going to go much better for them today.

2-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #774 Austin Peay (-4) over East Tennessee State (2 p.m.) AND Take #782 West Virginia (-5) over VCU (2:30 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #780 Memphis (-4) over Western Kentucky (Noon, Thursday, Nov. 26)

I really like this Memphis team. They are definitely undervalued but won't be for very long. They walked through a solid St. Mary's team yesterday like the Gaels weren't even there. The task will be much tougher today against a very, very strong WKU team. However, Memphis' ability to just wear teams down with their relentless full-court pressure is going to give them the edge. I won't be surprised if WKU is ahead or within striking distance for the first 30 minutes before Memphis puts it away in the final stanza.

1-Unit Play. Take #790 Clemson (Pk) over Purdue (8:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

I just think that Clemson is the more complete team. Purdue is going to be fine. Matt Painter is an outstanding coach and he's going to work his magic with this group. But I still think they are going to take a step back. Clemson didn't play well at all yesterday and still had no problem beating Mississippi State. After facing the Bulldogs, the size and physicality of the Boilermakers isn't going to bother them.

5-Unit Play. Take #792 Nebraska (-4) over Nevada (2 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

I've had this game circled for a couple weeks. We hit with Nebraska yesterday and I'm going right back to them here. This team is vastly underrated. They aren't going to win the Big Ten or anything. But they will probably more than double their win total from last year. Fred Hoiberg knows how to do it. He's recruited a lot of talented transfers and he is integrating them into his system seamlessly. This team has some legit players and they are going to be a handful. Nevada has lost as much talent as any team in the country over the last two years. They lost their five best players from last year (and a wealth of experience) and now Steve Alford is rebuilding. He has a 10-year contract so he can afford to be patient and he's going to stick with his freshmen and sophomores. I think that this is too big of a step up in class for Nevada and once the Huskers get used to Nevada's defensive pressure they will take the game over in the second half.

2-Unit Play. Take #806 LSU (-28.5) over SIU-Edwardsville (7 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

Look, just about all of the high-major programs that hosted games yesterday went out and demolished their opponents. I don't see why it would be any different here. LSU is hyper athletic and facing an overmatched opponent. They can pick their own score so until that trend breaks I'm going to roll with it.

2-Unit Play. Take #7106 BYU (-19) over New Orleans (9 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 26)

NOTE: This play can likely be found under COLLEGE EXTRA or ADDED GAMES.

Second verse, same as the first. Basically the same idea as LSU. New Orleans is physically overmatched. And until these small schools start closing the gap in some of these blowouts I'm going to lay as many points as I need to until the books overadjust.

Carpe diem. Good luck.

[Duncan]

5 Star Baller

Houston Texans -3

[Duncan]

Pinnacle Sports Picks

Washington Football Team +3

[Duncan]

Super Lock Line

CBB: Toledo -10

[B*mb07]

• Marco D'Angelo
  3% (122) HOUSTON/DETROIT OVER 51
  The Detroit Lions were a complete no show last Sunday getting blanked 20-0. Stafford had his worst day of the season but insisted it had nothing to do with the thumb injury. Prior to getting shutout the Lions had scored 20 or more in every game this year I expect them to return to form against a Houston defense that up until the last 2 weeks had allowed 25 or more points in every game but one. In the last 2 games one was played in a rain storm in Cleveland and then they allowed 20 last week to the Pats. Houston has to go into Detroit off the short week playing a team they aren’t familiar with and feeling all Fat N Sassy off their big win over New England. In what should be a high scoring game the team with ball last should be the winner. TAKE HOUSTON/DETROIT OVER 51.
  
• 4% NFC EAST GAME OF THE WEEK
  Game: (123) Washington Football Team at (124) Dallas Cowboys
  Date/Time: Nov 26 2020 4:30 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Washington Football Team +3.0 (-120)
  
  4% (123) Washington (+3)
  Before we stamp Dallas back let’s remember that Dallas in their upset of Minnesota was the perfect storm as far as the set up went. Dallas had 2 weeks to prepare for Minnesota. Dallas caught Minnesota in a bad scheduling spot having to play off a short week after playing a physical game on Monday in Chicago. Minnesota’s defense is bad while Washington has a Top 10 defense in YPP, YPG and PPG. Note that Over the last 3 games since Alex Smith replaced Kyle Allen this Washington offense is much more efficient as teams can’t just key on stopping the running game of Washington. Alex Smith brings a more balanced offense which makes a good defense even better as they are on the field for less plays now that the offense is more consistent. We also find that DALLAS is just 2-9 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. In a mild Upset it’s WASHINGTON 23-20 as my 4% NFC EAST GAME OF THE WEEK.

[Duncan]

Capper Advantage

CBB: BYU -20

[DropDimes]

Date	Expert	Rating	Game	Play
Nov 26	Tony Mejia	5%	[CBB] (307101) Howard at (307102) Belmont Time: 5:00 PM EST	Total Over 149.5 (-110)
Analysis: Get in on this game immediately since the number is likely to line but we like it all the way up to 165 considering how dominant the Bruins were in their debut under Bucky McMillan, scoring 145 points against Greenville midway through the second half. The young prodigy of a head coach takes up-tempo to a new level and wants to lead the nation in possessions. Howard has a talented freshman who should do damage of his own in five-star recruit Makur Maker so expect to see points. Ride the over for a five-percent winner.
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line

Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker

Date	Expert	Rating	Game	Play
Nov 26	Tony Mejia	4%	[CFB] (129) New Mexico at (130) Utah State Time: 7:00 PM EST	Total Under 52.0 (-115)
Analysis: We're left with a pair of winless teams that have been held in single-digits in scoring in three of their combined losses for our football entertainment on Thanksgiving night, so if you're going to subject yourself to this one, you need to come out of it with a good feeling and a cash. Utah State has kicked QB Jason Shelley off the team for violation of team rules but he's been inaccurate as it is. New Mexico senior QB Tevaka Tuioti has been in concussion protocol for the past few weeks and may be sidelined again, leaving Trae Hall at the controls. Most of the Lobos' best defensive players have exited the program, so the team being housed at the Hilton in Las Vegas for $70,000 a week just to get this season in is really down to bare bones. The same can be said for the Aggies, who have seen LB Cash Gilliam, DB Tory Lefeged and top WR Deven Thompkins all transfer out this month. Things are that bad in Logan. Utah State has lost five straight dating back to a bowl-game loss to Kent State last December, while the Lobos have lost 13 sraight, which includes 12 in a row on the road and 19 in the Mountain West. That's why it's puzzling that they're favored. The Aggies have had a ton of personnel changes and dealt with contact tracing due to COVID-19, so we're really choosing between the more prepared but wearier Lobos, who will be playing their third game in 13 days, and a USU squad that has an edge due to altitude and has been out of action for the last 11 days, playing Fresno last in Logan on Nov. 14. Defense should rule the day on a cool night that will feature little wind. With USU OC Brodie Reeder also out and QB Andrew Peasley just returning, the Ags are likely to be out of sync against Rocky Long's 3-3-5. Expect the under to come through here.

Nov 26	Tony Mejia	4%	[NFL] (121) Houston Texans at (122) Detroit Lions Time: 12:30 PM EST	Houston Texans -3.0 (-110)
Analysis: The Lions have again ruled out receivers Kenny Golladay and Danny Amendola, so scoring won't come easily for the Lions, who were blanked in Carolina and come in as home underdogs here. Last week's loss in Charlotte really changed the trajectory of the season for Detroit since it could've been playing to get up over .500 at home if it hadn't fallen so flat. First-round pick Jeff Okudah has had a shaky season at corner but is still a great athlete and won't be a part of the mix in the secondary due to injury. With Kenny Stills and Keke Coutee back for the Texans and Will Fuller joining Brandon Cooks as impressive threats for Deshaun Watson to throw to, Houston should roll by more than a field goal in this Thanksgiving opener. Take the points and ride the Texans. NOTE: Black Friday is LIVE: Pay just $19.21 per week with our Black Friday Special which saves you $1000 off my 12-month All-Access Package. Get EVERY play in EVERY sport I release (plus, any 5% Best Bets) for the next 365 days for ONLY $999 (or $2.73 per day) using coupon code BF999 when checking out.
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line

Be very careful here. The Belmont/Howard cap is a fing joke. Bucky McMillan and the score references are SAMFORD. That’s where Bucky actually coaches, not Belmont.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Sports Plays (J.R. Stevens)

Dallas Cowboys -2.5 (GOM)

Detroit Lions +3/ML +150

*Play ML for half your normal amount

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn

3% New Mexico

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
11:59 AM

HOUSTON @ DETROIT | 11/26 | 12:30 PM EST
HOUSTON -160
The inactives were pretty bleak for the Lions. While I expect a mammoth effort from Matthew Stafford, the Texans should light up this defense. Houston, having played a brutal schedule, is better than its record. Back the Texans to win a high-scoring game.

+80 3-2 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 DET ML PICKS

Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE
10:11 AM

HOUSTON @ DETROIT | 11/26 | 12:30 PM EST
HOUSTON -3
Anyone picking on Thanksgiving, like myself, missed the best line on this game, which was Texans -2. But as the game draws closer, I have begun to think Houston might have a substantial lead late. The question is whether it can keep it. The Lions are already without Kenny Golladay, Danny Amendola and Jeff Okudah. There's a chance D'Andre Swift won't be available either. I like Brandin Cooks to have a big day against Detroit's depleted secondary and Deshaun Watson to take care of business otherwise. I would not take this with the hook and dislike taking it at the full three, but that's where we are right now.

+460 8-3-1 IN LAST 12 HOU ATS PICKS
+281 5-2 IN LAST 7 DET ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4Deep bets- Tommy G-

12PM: Houston/Detroit

Houston -160 (5u) MAX
7pt teaser: Hou Over 44, Washington +10 (5u) MAX
13pt teaser: Houston +10, Detroit +16, Over 38, under 64 (3u)


12pm PROPS
12pm props (lets get weird)

Marvin Hall ov 39.5 -112 (5u) MAX
Both teams 1TD each half (5u) MAX
Cooks ov 67.5 (5u) MAX
Fuler ov 70.5 (5u) MAX
Agnew ov 15.5 (3u)
Cephus ov 13.5 (3u)
Stafford INT +115 (2u)
Watson INT +108 (2u)
Fairbairn 0v 7.5 pts -120 (2u)
Prater ov 7.5 pts +100 (2u)
Watson ov 31.5 rushing -143 (3u)
Watson ov 2.5 TD +165 (2u)
Stafford ov 1.5 TD -155 (3u)
Duke Johnson ov 3.5 rec (2u)
Duke Johnson ov 25.5 rec yds (2u)
Akins ov 33.5 (2u)
Hockenson ov 47.5 -120 (3u)


ODD PROPS

4 TD each half +500 (1u)
1 FG each quarter +490 (1u)
1 TD each quarter +130 (3u)
1 TD each team each half both games +415 (1u)
Cooks 100 & TD +550 (1u)
Fuller 100 & TD +470 (1u)
Marvin 100 TD +550 (1u)
Marvin Hall 100 & TD +1200 (.5)
Watson 300 yds 3TDs +370 (1u)
Watson & Stafford 300 yds +350 (1u)


TD PROPS (anytime 2u, 2TD .5u)

Fuller +115, +650
Cooks +125, +800
Akins +270, 2300
Watson +155, +1200
Hockenson +160, +1100
Jones +125, +850