Service Plays Friday 11/27/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

3 Iowa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

3 ND

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

UNC +5.5
ND @ UNC | 11/27 | 3:30 PM EST10:40 AM
I'm calling the upset here. Notre Dame's defense is tremendous, but Clemson showed that unit can be scored upon (so did Boston College to a lesser extent) -- and North Carolina's offense is spectacular behind quarterback Sam Howell, an early favorite to be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft, and RBs Javonte Williams and Michael Carter, each of whom averages at least 7.0 yards per carry. Yes, the UNC defense is terrible, but that unit catches a break in that two Irish starting offensive linemen, right guard Tommy Kraemer and center Jarrett Patterson, are out.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +95


NCGRN -160
ARKLR VS NCGRN | 11/27 | 7:00 PM EST10:00 AM
Game in Louisville. UNC Greensboro's Wes Miller is one of college basketball's rising young coaches -- earlier this year, ESPN named him the nation's top coach under the age of 40 -- and the Spartans have totaled 104 wins over the past four seasons. That's second in the basketball-rich state of North Carolina behind Duke. A total of 11 players are back from last season, including reigning SoCon Player and Defensive Player of the Year Isaiah Miller, who declared for the NBA Draft and then withdrew. Little Rock has a game under its belt, beating Prairie View A&M 71-66 on Wednesday. The Trojans are a good club and preseason Sun Belt favorites but will lose close -- that's why we are taking the moneyline over the spread.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play #307151. Take Over 154 North Florida vs. North Carolina State (Friday @ 5:30pm est)

Great 6-1 Soccer Run as we missed yesterday however, also note, 2-0 Start to the College Basketball Season for +800, which is awesome, let's look to keep rolling today as we go for a 3-0 Start. Note, we are 1-0 to start the Football Week after Texans/Lions go Over and we have 7 plays on deck left to go as we are on pace for a monster week here. Let's keep rolling. Per this play, we roll with a North Florida team that got thumped in their first game who will undoubtedly get up to face an ACC team here in North Carolina State. You have a North Florida team that is coached by long-term coach Matthew Driscoll and they will have a game plan to be an active dog here and you have a NC State team that put up 90 points on Charleston Southern who might even be better than North Florida frankly. Hence, look for a high scoring affair that probably sees this game go over the posted total here.

[B*mb07]

Marco D'Angelo
4% (675) S. DAKOTA ST (-1.5)
Let’s start with the fact that this line is short as Vegas has under rated this S. Dakota St team who returns 5 starters and plays great defense. St. Mary’s is the more recognizable team name wise and thus S. Dakota St is only -1.5 but my numbers say they should be a much bigger number. This stingy defense will frustrate St. Mary’s as after the first two games has allowed 39 and 37% shooting. Add that to the fact that St. Mary’s has struggled so far shooting 39 and 41% in it’s first two games. Going to ride the early season momentum of S. DAKOTA ST as my numbers have them winning by 7-9 Points. TAKE S. DAKOTA ST as my 4% VEGAS STEAM COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Chuck

5% MACtion

Central Michigan -5.5

I would play this up to -7 at the 5% price point on the Chips!

So here we sit following that epic showdown in the MAC West where we saw Kaleb Eleby and his dominant downfield passing win a HUGE game to sit in the catbird seat for the title game, while Jim McElwain's Chippewas sit knowing they need help, but there are always opportunities. In such a truncated Covid season I find it very hard to believe there will be any kind of let down for the Chips, even on the road, and even against a foe that “boasts” a winless 0-3 record. If ever there was a misleading final score or misleading box score, it was the Eagles when they hosted Toledo last week and lost 45-28. So you're thinking, dude it wasn't all that close anyway…..right….well it was 45-13 before Toledo called off the dogs and mailed it in…and the box score is EVEN WORSE. EMU ran for 34 total yards and this WAS ON A BALANCED ATTACK…of 38 pass plays, 31 run plays……averaging barely over 1 yard per carry….they were doubled up in yards per pass, had 10 less first downs, 5 less minutes of ToP, and needed a 4/4 on 4th down conversions to achieve the 17 points loss in the end!!!!

I will add plenty more of my paralysis by analysis as the week goes on, but whatever Vegas thinks is a let down spot for Jimmy Mac's boys, I disagree…and would NOT be surprised if we see movement in this game nearly to the laying 9 or 10 mark by the time Black Friday hits….and it will certainly be Black Friday for the Eagles as they go to 0-4 rather handily!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
11:42 AM

IOWA ST. @ TEXAS | 11/27 | 12:00 PM EST
TEXAS +1
This is Sam Ehlinger's final home game for the Longhorns. Although it's a less than ideal setting for what should be a celebrated career, there's also plenty on the line with a berth in the Big 12 title game still in play for the winner. The Cyclones are solid as expected, but haven't won at Texas in two years and just three times in the past 14 meetings.

+830 16-7 IN LAST 23 TEXAS ATS PICKS
+293 4-1 IN LAST 5 IOWAST ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

11-0 ATS NCAA TOP 25 PERFECT INVESTMENT
North Carolina

13-1 ATS NCAA RIVALRY GAME OF THE WEEK
Oregon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

ILL -17.5
OHIO @ ILL | 11/27 | 1:00 PM EST9:54 AM
Illinois has come out on fire, having won by an average of 55 points in the first two games. This is a much tougher matchup with Ohio. But the Fighting Illini have the advantage of playing at home here and they are lethal on offense and lights out on defense. Expect the Bobcats to play well for a bit and then get run out of the gym. The Fighting Illini are allowing just 49 points per game, while the Bobcats are allowing 67, and they have played the same two teams. Illinois is the more athletic team and has a size advantage here.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB ATS PICKS | +190


STHRN @ IOWA | 11/27 | 5:00 PM EST9:00 AM
The Hawkeyes return all five starters from a team that won 20 games last year. They have perhaps one of the best players in the nation in Luka Garza, who has scored 20-plus points in 17 straight games. Iowa pounded NC Central 97-67 in the opener, while Southern opened up its season vs. NC Central and lost 85-78 in overtime. This one is going to get ugly. My numbers had Iowa laying -31 and I was comfortable laying that huge spread.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB ATS PICKS | +190

OVER 59
CMICH @ EMICH | 11/27 | 4:00 PM EST6:33 AM
Central Michigan comes into this matchup averaging 38 points per game while allowing almost 30. The Chippewas are averaging over 210 rushing yards per game, which is 23rd in the nation. Eastern Michigan is allowing over 230 rushing yards per game and a whopping 37 points per game. The Eagles will move the football and match up well here, but they cannot win in a shootout. The Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings and has cashed in nine of the last 10 games where the Eagles were listed as a dog.

21-11-2 IN LAST 34 CFB PICKS | +892

LIB -37.5
UMASS @ LIB | 11/27 | 12:00 PM EST6:22 AM
Liberty’s dream season was interrupted with a tough loss to NC State. The Flames will light up the Minutemen in this game. The UMass defense has yet to create a turnover and has allowed over 230 rushing yards per game and over 38 points per game. Now here comes Liberty off its first loss of the season. The Minutemen’s offense is averaging just four points per game. The Flames have been solid on defense. Dual threat Malik Willis will have a huge game after throwing three INTs last week. Liberty will score on defense and special teams. The Flames could cover the Over themselves

21-8-2 IN LAST 31 CFB ATS PICKS | +1215

IOWA -13.5
NEB @ IOWA | 11/27 | 1:00 PM ESTWED 11/25
The Hawkeyes are going to physically dominate the Cornhuskers. Nebraska has been getting hammered on the ground this season. Iowa likes to run the football and has a a huge advantage with its offensive line, which should take over late in the game. The Cornhuskers have problems on offense, are very inexperienced and prone to turning the ball over. Iowa has been very opportunistic defensively, having created 10 turnovers, which ranks 13th in the nation. The Hawkeyes are allowing just 16 points per game, which is ninth in the nation. Nebraska’s offense is averaging just over 20 per game, 107th in the nation. The Cornhuskers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

21-8-2 IN LAST 31 CFB ATS PICKS | +1215

UCF -25
UCF @ SFLA | 11/27 | 3:30 PM ESTWED 11/25
Expect the Knights to have a huge day offensively. UCF leads the AAC in scoring, averaging over 42 points per game, which ranks 11th in the nation. South Florida is 10th in the AAC, averaging just 20 points per game. The Knights lost a tough game vs Cincinnati last week and they put up a lot of points vs. a very good defense. The Bulls are last in the AAC, allowing almost 38 points per game. South Florida comes into this game very short-handed. The Knights lead the nation in forced turnovers and Dillon Gabriel leads the nation in passing yards per game. The Bulls have dropped seven straight. The Knights have outscored the Bulls 72-17 in the last two meetings.

21-8-2 IN LAST 31 CFB ATS PICKS | +1215

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

3* Iowa St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Weekly
Friday, November 27th 2020

NCAAF:
*Iowa -12 (-115)
Wyoming/UNLV Over +52
UNLV TT Over +17.5 (-105)
Central Michigan -7
Oregon/Oregon St. Over +64 (-121)




NCAAB:
*Colorado -5
Iowa -26
Seton Hall +6 (-118)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

10* Knockout Investment

Massachusetts +36.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al
Texas
Nebraska
South Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Marquees
UCF (-25) USF
Iowa (-13.5) Nebraska


3* Under 57.5 Iowa St/Texas Noon
3* Over 69 Notre Dame/North Carolina 3:30pm

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo NCAA Hoops

1-Unit Play. Take #610 Illinois (-16.5) over Ohio (1 p.m., Friday, Nov. 27)

Illinois is a godless killing machine. They have unleashed holy hell on North Carolina A&T and Chicago State, winning those two games by 62 and 59 points apiece. Is Ohio the team to slow them down? I'm not sure. But until I see someone stay within 30 points of Illinois, who in my mind is clearly the best team in the Big Ten, I'm not counting on it. Both teams are playing their third game in three days. Illinois is the more athletic, deeper team so that should be a big advantage for them. Illinois plays high-intensity, full court, high pressure defense. That will be hell for a tired, overmatched team to deal with. Look for Illinois to roll. Again.

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #616 George Mason (+8) over Belmont (2 p.m.) AND Take #622 UCLA (-2.5) over Pepperdine (3 p.m.) AND

2-Unit Play. Take #623 Boise Sate (+12.5) over Houston (3 p.m., Friday, Nov. 27)

This is too many points. Houston is outstanding. But Boise State has some dudes. Derrick Alston, Abu Kigab and Marcus Shaver are as good as anything that Houston is packing. Boise State also scooped up to Arizona castoffs, Emmanuel Akot and Devonair Doutrive. Houston isn't going to lose this game. But I have a hard time seeing Boise State getting run out of the building. This number should be close to 7.5 or 8.0. I'll play the value.

2-Unit Play. Take #640 Vanderbilt (-6) over Valparaiso (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 27)

I will buy low with Vanderbilt. This team is definitely improved. I am cautiously optimistic about Jerry Stackhouse as a coach and I think he will slowly rebuild this program. Valparaiso has an interesting roster. But they lost their two best players, including do-it-all Javon Freeman-Liberty. I think there's going to be an adjustment period as people settle into their roles. Vanderbilt has three starters back fro last year's squad, plus they added key transfer D.J. Harvey, whose experience should pay off immediately. Vandy is bigger, stronger and faster and playing in their home gym. They will win.

4-Unit Play. Take #654 Georgia Tech (-12.5) over Mercer (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 27)

1-Unit Play. FIRST HALF: Take #654 Georgia Tech (-6.5) over Mercer (8 p.m.)

Georgia Tech is absolutely going to maim Mercer. Tech had an absolute battle with Georgia State in their opening game. They lost outright in double OT. But that's a really good Georgia State team - they will likely win the Sun Belt and give someone everything they can handle in the NCAA Tournament. That game was their Super Bowl; both teams are located in Atlanta and Tech is the ACC darling, etc. Bottom line is Tech got punched in the face. Now they are angry and looking to punch someone else in the face. Enter Mercer. Mercer isn't a bad team by any stretch. But they aren't going to sneak up on Tech and they are going to take the brunt of the Yellowjackets' frustration. This should be a maiming.

1-Unit Play. Take #662 Pacific (-4) over Fresno State (6 p.m., Friday, Nov. 27)

2-Unit Play. Take #674 Northern Iowa (-3) over Utah State (4 p.m., Friday, Nov. 27)

Utah State has Neemias Queta and nothing else. Justin Bean can play a little. But Utah State has terrible guard play and they are young in all the wrong spots. They've gotten rolled in their first two game, losing both by 16+ points. Not great. Now they are facing a really tough Northern Iowa team that's lost two close games, both against teams that are better than the two that beat Utah State. Bottom line: Utah State has played like a team that deserves to leave this tournament 0-3. Northern Iowa has not. UNI will get the W.

1-Unit Play. Take #676 St. Mary's (+1.5) over South Dakota State (6:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 27)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 154.0 North Florida at N.C. State (5:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 27)

2-Unit Play. Take #7136 Syracuse (-22.5) over Bryant (3 p.m., Friday, Nov. 27)

I'll take a stab on Syracuse here. As I mentioned yesterday, the top tier schools have been just wrecking weaker competition. Syracuse has four starters back, a bunch of seniors and upperclassmen, and they should be ready to go. If their outside shooting is on point then they can really pick their score here. Jim Boeheim doesn't go deep into his bench either, so if the SU starters are taking to Bryant they are going to do so all game long. I can see this one around 84-56.