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Prediction MachineTake Northwestern Wildcats (-13.5) at Michigan State Spartans
Why will Northwestern cover the spread?
The Wildcats have college football’s best pass defense this season. Their 4.9 yards allowed per pass attempt is the best mark in the nation and they’ve managed a hefty 11 interceptions compared to just four passing touchdowns allowed. The Spartans have largely relied on their passing game to carry the offense, as they’ve averaged 250 passing yards per game and 74 rushing yards per contest.
Although a vast majority of Michigan State’s yardage has come through the air, they’ve struggled with turnovers and negative plays. Their eight interceptions thrown are tied for most in the Big Ten, while they’ve taken nine sacks in their four games. Northwestern has feasted on opposing QBs this season, posting 11 interceptions and 10 sacks through five games. We’re expecting the Northwestern defense to smother the Spartans, projecting Michigan State for just 11.8 points in this one.
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