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RocketMan sports 6* play is Colts -3Comment
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Jacksonville and Minnesota Over 51
Playing at home this season, Minnesota is on a run of high scoring games the likes of which are just about unprecedented. All six of the Vikings home games this season have seen at least 54 points scored. With Mike Glennon under center, Jacksonville showed last week it can move the ball reasonable well and do enough to force Minnesota to keep scoring in this game.
Going back to the end of 2019, every Minnesota home game has gone over the total. The Vikings are 7-0 OU (9.57 ppg) since Dec 29, 2019 at home (team=Vikings and H and date>=20191229).
And Minnesota is very familiar with its home surroundings right now. The Vikings are playing their third straight home game this week. Teams in the regular season playing their third straight home game are 150-113-9 OU (H and p:H and pp:H and playoffs=0).
Minnesota finds itself as a very comfortable favorite in this game, a spot where Minnesota has not been afraid to play high scoring games. The Vikings are 10-0 OU (10.30 ppg) since Dec 28, 2009 as 7-11.5 point favorite in non-Saturday games (team=Vikings and -11.5<=line<=-7 and day!=Saturday and date>=20091228).
Right now the Minnesota passing attack is rolling. Kirk Cousins has thrown for 300+ yards and three touchdowns each of the Vikings past two games. Teams that have thrown for 3+ TDs in back-to-back games are 205-174-13 OU.
Last week Justin Jefferson caught two of those touchdowns while two weeks ago it was Adam Thielan who had a pair of touchdown receptions. Teams coming off back-to-back games where they had a player with multiple receiving touchdowns are 144-94-5 OU.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: MINNESOTA 35, Jacksonville 27Comment
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Dave Cokin
4% Bengals +10.
3% Saints -3Comment
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Tom Stryker
19-0 ATS NFL GOLDEN INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
Dolphins
100% (9-0 ATS) NFL PERFECT DATABASE PLAY
Chiefs
System: Jags, ChargersComment
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Marco- 4% NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK
Game: (465) Cleveland Browns at (466) Tennessee Titans
Date/Time: Dec 6 2020 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cleveland Browns +6.0 (-110)
4% (465) CLEVELAND +6
Tough scheduling spot for Tennessee here as they are coming off 3 high profile games in a row. 3 weeks ago they played on Thursday Night Football against Indy a key game in the AFC South race. 2 weeks ago they had the huge game against Baltimore who had playoff revenge from last year but Tennessee won again. Then last week Tennessee played their biggest game of the year as they went to Indy in a must win revenge game for 1st place. The game was a must win being had they lost they would of been 1 game back in the standings but it really would have been two games because Tennessee would have lost both games to Indy. Tennessee took advantage of injuries to the Indy d-line last week and ran roughshod over the Colts running the football 45 times for 229 yards. Cleveland has the 11th ranked defense at stopping the run. We are getting value with the line due to Tennessee’s blowout win and Cleveland just getting by Jacksonville. Public perception has moved this line off of one week’s performance. CLEVELAND 31-27. TAKE CLEVELAND is my 4% NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK. - Game: (465) Cleveland Browns at (466) Tennessee Titans
Date/Time: Dec 6 2020 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 53.0 (-110)
3% (465) CLEVELAND/TENNESSEE OVER 53
PROJECTED TOTAL POINTS 58 or more
TAKE CLEVELAND/TENNESSEE OVER 53 as my 3% NFL TOTAL PLAY
- 5% NFL HIGH ROLLER GAME
Game: (469) Los Angeles Rams at (470) Arizona Cardinals
Date/Time: Dec 6 2020 4:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Los Angeles Rams -145
5% (469) RAMS (ML -145)
The Rams laid an egg last week at home against San Francisco but they were coming off a short week as they went to Tampa the week before for a Monday Night Game as they beat Brady and Company on Prime Time. That game came the week after their must win game against the Seahawks. That was a bad scheduling spot for the Rams and they always seem to play bad against the 49ers. You can bet the Rams will be ready to roll today against Arizona. Arizona has struggled offensively the last two weeks as whether he’s banged up or defenses have figured him out Kyler Murray hasn’t run the football like he did earlier in the season. He will have trouble against this pass rush of the Rams as Aaron Donald has been a QB’s nightmare this season. Offensively these two teams are fairly close with a slight edge to Arizona but defensively it’s not close. The Rams have the #1 defense allowing just 4.9 YPP. They are #2 in total yards per game allowing just 297 and #4 in points per game allowed at 19.5. Lastly we find that the Rams off a loss are 8-1 ATS in their next game the L2 Years and they are 15-6 ATS vs NFC teams the last 2 seasons. RAMS 28-20. TAKE LA RAMS (ML) is my 5% NFL HIGH ROLLER GAME GAME. - 3% NFL 2 TEAM 6 PT TEASER
Game: (473) New England Patriots at (474) Los Angeles Chargers
Date/Time: Dec 6 2020 4:25 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New England Patriots +7.5 (-110)
3% NFL 2 TEAM 6 PT TEASER
NEW ENGLAND +7.5 / PITTSBURGH -1
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- 4% NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK
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The Spot Player
2* Lions +3.5
2* Browns +4.5
2* Giants +11
2* Jags +10
2* Bengals +11
2* Jets +7.5
2* Western Kentucky +2.5 (CFB)
CBB
2* Troy +15
2* Western Michigan +23.5
2* Detroit +13.5
2* Seton Hall +2.5
2* Kentucky -6.5
2* Xavier +3
2* Central Arkansas +10
2* Stony Brook +16.5
2* Jacksonville State +4
2* Stetson +23.5Comment
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executive
New EnglandComment
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Spartan
MONSTER TRIPLE NFC GAME OF YEAR
ArizonaComment
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Executive
400% New England+2
300% New Orleans-2
300% Houston+3Comment
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is a cross the street site down?Comment
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
11:35 AM
DENVER @ KANSAS CITY | 12/06 | 8:20 PM EST
KANSAS CITY -13.5
This game has mismatch written all over it, and even though the underdog Broncos have been very dangerous the last several weeks, this game won't be close. The Chiefs are the best team in the NFL and Patrick Mahomes is having another MVP season as he continues to put up video game-type numbers. Kansas City has played much better defensively and will feast on a banged-up and mentally defeated Denver team that has lost 10 straight meetings and is just 1-9 ATS during the skid.
Kenny White
WIZARD OF ODDS
10:44 AM
DENVER @ KANSAS CITY | 12/06 | 8:20 PM EST
DENVER +13.5
The Broncos look to avenge a 43-16 home loss in Week 7. Denver's defense ranks 10th in DVOA and seventh in yards allowed per play compared to the Chiefs at No. 17 in DVOA. Kansas City's last three games have been a close call at home versus Carolina, a four-point win in Las Vegas and a three-point triumph at Tampa Bay. It failed to cover in all three. If there ever was a spot for a letdown, this could be it.
+875 21-11-2 IN LAST 34 NFL PICKS
+580 7-1 IN LAST 8 KC ATS PICKS
SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
10:22 AM
DENVER @ KANSAS CITY | 12/06 | 8:20 PM EST
DENVER +13.5
Kansas City is 0-9 ATS as a home favorite against a divisional opponent following a win in which it allowed more than three points and never trailed. In their lone active date this season, the Chiefs lost 40-32 to Las Vegas while laying 11 points. Also, Kansas City is a brutal 0-15 ATS following a win, laying more than six points at home and play their next two games on the road. In his brief career, Drew Lock has been a six-plus point road underdog three times when the Broncos weren’t on a winning streak. Not only is he 3-0 ATS, he is 2-1 straight up. Too many points here.
+270 8-5 IN LAST 13 NFL PICKS
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
FRI 12/4
DENVER @ KANSAS CITY | 12/06 | 8:20 PM EST
KANSAS CITY -14
Last time these teams met, it was a snowy game that saw the Chiefs score in virtually every way possible. Fast forward to Sunday, and nothing really has changed for both teams. So I can't see anything being different on the scoreboard. Kansas City will have to learn to put teams away, and there's no better way to start than against a division rival.
+300 3-0-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+698 21-13-1 IN LAST 35 KC ATS PICKS
+400 5-1 IN LAST 6 DEN ATS PICKS
Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
WED 12/2
DENVER @ KANSAS CITY | 12/06 | 8:20 PM EST
DENVER +14
The Chiefs are unstoppable when they're locked in, but their biggest letdown spots come at home. They lost at home to the Raiders, didn't come close to covering at home vs. the Panthers and sleptwalk through a home win over the Pats. After already annihilating the Broncos at Denver, and coming off showdown wins over the Bucs and Raiders, I'll look for a less than premium performance here. Drew Lock is back and he'll have all his key weapons. Grab the points as K.C. wins a 34-24 type of game.
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+985 12-2 IN LAST 14 KC ATS PICKSComment
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