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JACKSON ST. @ MISS. STATE | 12/08 | 9:00 PM EST
MISS. STATE -18
ANALYSIS: After four cancellations, Jax State gets a game at last, and it’s not an enviable one. Mississippi State started 0-2 straight-up before evening its record with a pair of solid wins. G Iverson Molinar, who was absent the first three games, made like Allen -- his presumed namesake -- with a 15-point gem. Though the Tigers closed impressively last season, they still wound up with a losing record overall.
+270 6-3 IN LAST 9 CBB ATS PICKS
+288 4-1 IN LAST 5 MISSST ATS PICKS
1:27 PM
TENNESSEE ST. @ BELMONT | 12/08 | 7:30 PM EST
BELMONT -14.5
ANALYSIS: It’s a big ask for a team in its delayed opener to pick up on Belmont’s intricate offense. The Tigers had little luck in the two prior seasons with combatting the Bruins, having lost by 18 and 23 points in Nashville. Three returning starters provide T-State with some familiarity, but last season’s closing 0-4 ATS record on the road does not bode well. Belmont has four games under its belt, three of them outright wins.
+270 6-3 IN LAST 9 CBB ATS PICKS
12:43 PM
BRYANT @ ST. FRAN.-NY | 12/08 | 7:00 PM EST
BRYANT -3
ANALYSIS: How can you not side with a squad that poured in 138 points in its last outing? The game before, the Bulldogs settled for 93. The Terriers might have welcomed back all but one starter, but the previous edition went 13-18 straight-up and they might lack the conditioning in their oft-deferred opener to keep up with the ‘Dogs. Bryant also took Syracuse to the wire in its opener, falling by a point
+270 6-3 IN LAST 9 CBB ATS PICKS
12:41 PM
COLORADO @ TENNESSEE | 12/08 | 6:00 PM EST
COLORADO +5.5
ANALYSIS: The Buffaloes have been idle for about nine days, the Volunteers for about nine months. Some momentum remains from Colorado’s road wins over Kansas State and South Dakota by a combined 41 points, and a veteran roster with three seniors and two juniors in the mix for minutes should be unfazed by the pause in games. Plus, they welcome The Buffs welcome G D'Shawn Schwartz for his first appearance. Tennessee has been nagged by positive Covid tests affecting several players and coach Rick Barnes, who says two of them will sit out the opener. The Vols went 5-11 ATS at home a season ago.
+270 6-3 IN LAST 9 CBB ATS PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 COLO ATS PICKS
+88 2-1 IN LAST 3 TENN ATS PICKS
N. CAROLINA @ IOWA | 12/08 | 7:35 PM EST
UNDER 158.5
ANALYSIS: This total has climbed too high, and now there's value on the Under. The Tar Heels' last six games dating to last season have stayed Under. Expect a high-scoring game but nothing like Iowa has played so far against lesser competition.
+504 15-9 IN LAST 24 CBB PICKS
12:58 PM
CREIGHTON @ KANSAS | 12/08 | 5:00 PM EST
CREIGHTON +4.5
ANALYSIS: This might be Greg McDermott's best team at Creighton yet, and as usual the Bluejays are an offensive powerhouse in shooting 52 percent from the field (they are among annual national leaders in that category). Kansas, meanwhile, is a bit fortunate to not have three losses already and has struggled to make shots at times in hitting only 44.6 percent from the field. KU is 2-5 ATS in its past seven overall, while Creighton has covered seven of its past eight vs. teams with winning records.
+504 15-9 IN LAST 24 CBB PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 KANSAS ATS PICKS
10:53 AM
CENT. ARKANSAS @ SAINT LOUIS | 12/08 | 8:00 PM EST
SAINT LOUIS -21
ANALYSIS: This is a huge number, but the Billikens are primed for another blowout win. They had their full lineup for the first time Saturday night and won 107-54 over Arkansas-Pine Bluff. They jumped out to a 36-4 lead in that one, and are making a case for a national ranking. Back Travis Ford's team to cover its seventh straight dating to last season.
+504 15-9 IN LAST 24 CBB PICKS
12:10 AM
N. CAROLINA @ IOWA | 12/08 | 7:35 PM EST
IOWA -4.5
ANALYSIS: The Hawkeyes have won their first three games by an average of 32.7 points, and I think they'll cover this modest number in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. Iowa has won 16 of its last 17 home games. This will be by far the Hawkeyes' biggest test yet, but they have too much experience for the young Tar Heels. Lay it.
RIDER @ ST. JOHN'S | 12/08 | 7:00 PM EST
ST. JOHN'S -19
ANALYSIS: St. John’s should have no problem here. Rider is picked to finish last in its conference. The Broncs were hammered by Syracuse and now face a Red Storm team off to a 4-1 start. St. John’s is averaging just over 82 points per game, while Rider managed just 53 points vs. the Orange. The Broncs have just four returning starters and their highest scorer is averaging only five points per game. The Red Storm offense is well balanced, with four starters averaging double digits in scoring.
+220 11-8 IN LAST 19 CBB ATS PICKS
2:51 PM
OHIO ST. @ NOTRE DAME | 12/08 | 7:30 PM EST
OHIO ST. -5.5
ANALYSIS: This is a great matchup between two really good teams, but the Fighting Irish could be at a disadvantage while missing a few key players. Ohio State has four players averaging double digits in scoring. The Buckeyes are off to a 3-0 start and are playing excellent defense. They are allowing just 58 points per game and holding opponents to just 33 percent from the floor, which ranks 14th in the nation. Notre Dame is struggling on defense and on the glass.
+220 11-8 IN LAST 19 CBB ATS PICKS
DALLAS @ BALTIMORE | 12/08 | 8:05 PM EST
DALLAS +9.5
ANALYSIS: The Cowboys are tough team to figure out. Dallas still has a chance to win their division, and with a little better play on defense, this team could be dangerous down the stretch. The Cowboys offense is second to last in the NFL with 23 turnovers and last in scoring defense, allowing 32 per game. They are last in takeaways and rushing yards allowed per game. Baltimore is on a three-game skid and had a short week of preparation after a very physical game vs Pittsburgh. The Ravens have the Browns on deck and can't get caught looking ahead, either. Baltimore is just 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games as a home favorite.
+295 4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS
+600 7-1 IN LAST 8 BAL ATS PICKS
ANALYSIS: The Cowboys are tough team to figure out. Dallas still has a chance to win their division, and with a little better play on defense, this team could be dangerous down the stretch. The Cowboys offense is second to last in the NFL with 23 turnovers and last in scoring defense, allowing 32 per game. They are last in takeaways and rushing yards allowed per game. Baltimore is on a three-game skid and had a short week of preparation after a very physical game vs Pittsburgh. The Ravens have the Browns on deck and can't get caught looking ahead, either. Baltimore is just 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games as a home favorite.
+295 4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS
+600 7-1 IN LAST 8 BAL ATS PICKS
PURDUE @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 12/08 | 5:00 PM EST
PURDUE -145
ANALYSIS: This spread has raised from a pick'em because Miami could be without three key players: Senior guard and preseason All-ACC selection Chris Lykes and good-looking freshman forward Matt Cross are both questionable with injuries. Lykes seems the more likely one to sit. In addition, touted freshman recruit Earl Timberlake has yet to debut due to injury and is a few weeks away. Led by 7-foot-4 Zach Edey, the Boilers have a ton of size and should dominate down low regardless. I will take the moneyline, though, rather than give the 2.5 points simply because of the uncertainty on Lykes and Cross.
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS
3:03 PM
N. CAROLINA @ IOWA | 12/08 | 7:35 PM EST
IOWA -4.5
ANALYSIS: Iowa has all five starters back and has rampaged through its schedule so far, while UNC comes off a loss to Texas in the Maui final. This spread feels like it should be at least a few points higher because it doesn't sound like Heels leading scorer and rebounder Garrison Brooks will play due to a sprained ankle suffered vs. the Horns. Even if he does, he clearly won't be 100 percent and Brooks was to be the main combatant to Iowa star Luke Garza, the National Player of the Year favorite.
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