Service Plays Saturday 12/12/20

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North Coast

Totals

5* Houston Over 63 GOY
4* Under41 Illinois
3* Over 63 VTech
3* Under47.5 BYU

Marquee
Under Navy

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Lee Sterling

45 Units. Virginia +2'

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John Rainey / Rainman

1☆ Coastal Carolina -13, Louisville -1'
3☆ Army -7
5☆ Fresno State -12'

10☆ Virginia +3

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Scott Spreitzer
6-Unit Play: Take 670 TCU -1 over Texas A&M (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
This is a step-up in level of competition for Texas A&M. They're 3-0 but their strength of schedule has been soft. Meanwhile, TCU is off games against Providence and Oklahoma and are certainly battle tested. The Horned Frogs also own the better bench with a better brand of depth. Despite playing a soft slate, A&M has committed an average of more than 18 turnovers and nearly 20 fouls per game. They like to shoot from the outside but TCU has been playing a decent brand of perimeter defense. Add it up and we have a play on TCU on Saturday afternoon. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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Maddux CFB

adding

10 Virginia/Virginia Tech over 62.5

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Robert Ferringo
1-Unit Play. Take #654 Toledo (-10.5) over Missouri-KC (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 12)
The Rockets took on Michigan this week. They didn't play that well and got blown out. I think that they will rebound here. They are a much different team at home and they usually ramp up the offense there. Marreon Jackson is an outstanding player. But he shot just 4-for-16 against the Wolverines. I expect him to bust out and lead the way against an overmatched Missouri-KC team.

1-Unit Play. Take #656 Kentucky (-7) over Notre Dame (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 12)
Notre Dame is not good. They have had some close calls with Michigan State and Ohio State. But playing good teams close is about the best this group can hope for. Kentucky isn't good either. And they have lost three in a row. But it has been forever and a day since a John Calipari team has lost four games in a row. He's had all week to brow beat them after getting blown out by Georgia Tech and I expect a bit more spirited effort from the young Wildcats. I don't see them losing four in a row. And if they win they should cover here.

2-Unit Play. Take #664 Tennessee (-6.5) over Cincinnati (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
The Vols got that first game under their belt - a nine-point win over Colorado - and I think that they will be able to slap the Bearcats here. I'm selling this Cincinnati team, hard. They lost three of their best players from last years team, including go-to guy and team leader Jarron Cumberland. Head coach John Brannen is starting to make his mark on this program. He is more of an offensive guy and I think that the Bearcats are going to lose a bit of that toughness and edge they have played with in recent years. Tennessee can just come after teams in a variety of ways. They are deep, they are athletic and they are talented. Cincinnati will hang around - just like Colorado did - but I think that talent is going to win out in this one.

1-Unit Play. Take #670 TCU (-1) over Texas A&M (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
I'm going with the home team in this one. TCU has lost back-to-back games, but against good competition (Oklahoma and Providence). I don't see them dumping three in a row at home. I've watched Texas A&M and this is still a raggedy bunch. Buzz Williams is a great underdog coach but I don't see this year's team being the one that breaks through for him.

5-Unit Play. Take #671 Detroit (+1) over Western Michigan (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Western Michigan isn't any good. They have a new coach and a really young team. They are also dealing with a bunch of injuries, bumps and bruises. Their only win so far has come against a D-II school. Detroit has lost all three games. This comes after going 8-23 last year and 11-20 the year before that. This program has gone in the toilet and Mike Davis has become kind of a joke. However, this is his best team yet. It is no longer just Antoine Davis and a bunch of nobodies. Detroit now has some decent, experienced guys around him and I have liked what I've seen. They pushed Michigan State and Notre Dame to the limit already this year. It was a 71-70 game against MSU with four minutes to play and a 64-63 game against Notre Dame with five minutes left. If Detroit is good enough to play with those teams they are good enough to slap a weak Broncs group.

1-Unit Play. Take #679 Oklahoma State (-3) over Wichita State (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)

3-Unit Play. Take #694 Memphis (-5.5) over Auburn (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
Auburn has basically punted on this season. They have a self-imposed postseason ban. They are giving all their minutes to freshmen and sophomores. They got absolutely bombed by Gonzaga (90-67), lost to Central Florida and barely beat St. Joe's and USA. This team doesn't shoot well, doesn't make free throws, turns the ball over a ton and doesn't defend the paint. Other than that they are fine. Memphis has beaten up on weak fish. But there is a talented team here. They press 40 minutes per game and they have some high-level players. I think that their defense and frantic style are going to cause problems for this green Auburn squad. And I think that they do enough of the little things well to close out this number.

2-Unit Play. Take #702 Loyola Marymount (-2) over UC-Santa Barbara (5 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
I'm looking for a little bit of revenge from LMU. They lost to UCSB 69-58 on Monday. Now they get the rematch at home. LMU went through something similar this year playing Minnesota twice. They got bombed in the first game, 88-73, on a Saturday only to push Minnesota to the limit (67-64) in the rematch. I expect similar vibes here. I like this Santa Barbara team. They got some dudes. But they don't play well on the road and their defense can flag at times. I just think LMU will be motivated to get one back here.

7-Unit Play. Take #705 Utah (+2) over BYU (6 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
Home court hasn't been a big issue in this series, with the road team winning four of 10 games. Also, Utah has definitely had the upper hand in this rivalry, going 6-3 ATS in the last nine matchups. I think that Utah is the better team in this one. BYU is trying to replace the contributions from five seniors from last year. Those five guys were their best five players and this is a clear rebuilding season for the Cougars. They've been up and down; beating St. John's and Utah State but losing to USC and Boise State. And we just don't know what to expect from them. Utah has only played two games so we still don't know what to expect from them. But they have the best player on the floor (Timmy Allen) and BYU's big men aren't going to bother the Utes in the slightest. While BYU is trying to replace a ton of pieces, Utah has four starters and six of its top seven guys back from the team that beat BYU last year. They were better than them then and are better than the Cougars now. I know Utah is usually trash on the road. But playing in nearby Provo - and not having to face a pro-BYU crowd - should make things easier. Take the underdog.

2-Unit Play. Take #721 Louisiana Tech (-4.5) over UL-Lafayette (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
Eric Konkol is a really good coach and he has a pretty experienced team. They haven't been all that impressive to this point and have eked out some wins against some bad teams. But they are getting their feet under them and I think they will improve. This Louisiana squad is definitely one to watch in the Sun Belt. But they don't play any defense and that's a big problem in this matchup. Louisiana is also coming off back-to-back games against D-II programs. It might take a minute for them to adjust to facing an opponent that is going to punch back. Louisiana Tech has hammered UL-L each of the past two years, winning by 18 and 21 points. It will be a bit closer in this one. But I have no doubt who the better team is in this one.

2-Unit Play. Take #726 Alabama (+2) over Clemson (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
Clemson is no joke. They are 4-0 this year both SU and ATS and they are coming off a peak effort in a 16-point blowout over Maryland. We would be nuts to step in front of this freight train, right? Well, I'm going to take a stab on streaky Alabama. The Crimson Tide shoot a ton of 3's. And when they get going they can be tough to stop. They are the most skilled offensive team that Clemson has faced yet and they are the first team the Tigers have faced that aren't in a clear rebuilding situation or trying to replace all of its best players. I think that Clemson comes back to earth a bit in this one.

1-Unit Play. Take #729 Oregon (-8.5) over Washington (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
Until Washington shows a baseline competence this is a team to bet against. They have already gotten absolutely wrecked by Baylor (by 34), UC-Riverside (by15) and Utah (by 14). These guys are a mess and there aren't a lot of answers on the way. Washington was bad last year, finishing 5-15 in their last 20 games, and they lost their two best players. Oregon has not had a problem handling their rivals over the past several years, going 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. They won at Washington last year and have covered three straight in the series. Oregon has a new roster and a lot of moving pieces. But they have something Washington doesn't: talent. Oregon should bang the Huskies on the interior and pull away for a double-digit win here.

1-Unit Play. Take #731 Niagara (+9.5) over St. Peter's (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
This is the second game in a row these two are facing off. St. Peter's slammed Niagara by 14 last night. However, it is tough to beat the same team twice in a row, especially on back-to-back days. I think Niagara is going to lose again. But I have a hard time seeing them getting blown out for a second straight day.

2-Unit Play. Take #7652 Miami (-18.5) over Florida-Gulf Coast (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 12)
I think that Miami will ride the momentum of their wild second half comeback against Purdue. Nothing UF-GC throws at Miami in this game will be close to what Miami had to deal with against Purdue, especially defensively. Miami should also be getting point guard Chris Lykes back. And even if they don't - like I said in my writeup for the winner in the Purdue game - Miami is just fine without Lykes and his petulance. Miami has steady guards, a go-to guy in Kam McGusty, and a TON of size (three seven-footers). Gulf Coast doesn't have anyone taller than 6-8 and Miami should crush them in the paint on both ends. Gulf Coast lost by 19 to a South Florida team that isn't as good as Miami. And early season games against VCU (30) and St. Louis (22) last year were total blowouts. These guys aren't build to step up in class and Miami should wax them.

2-Unit Play. Take #7660 North Carolina (-25) over N.C. Central (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
N.C. Central is catching UNC at the wrong time. The Heels are coming off back-to-back losses to Texas and Iowa. They are not going to be in the mood to screw around here against a weak sister. I'll be surprised if this game is decided by fewer than 35 points.

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #654 Toledo (-5.5) over Missouri-KC (Noon) AND Take #664 Tennessee (-1.5) over Cincinnati (12:30 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #666 Boston College (+8.5) over Syracuse (1 p.m.) AND Take #694 Memphis (-0.5) over Auburn (5:30 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #729 Oregon (-3.5) over Washington (8 p.m.) AND Take #731 Niagara (+14.5) over St. Peter's (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #7652 Miami (-13.5) over Florida-Gulf Coast (Noon) AND TTake #692 Central Michigan (+8) over Valparaiso (4:30 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #656 Kentucky (-2) over Notre Dame (Noon) AND Take #734 Missouri (+8) over Illinois (8 p.m.)

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Sports Picks Weekly
Saturday, December 11th 2020


NCAAF:
*Duke/Florida St. Under -57
*UNC/Miami Under -69 (-119)
California ML (-123)
USC -3 (-125)


NCAAB:
Notre Dame +8 (-120)
Cincinnati/Tennessee Under -133 (-115)
BYU ML (-125)

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Worlds Worst Picker
Peabody’s pick
Illinois

We take
Northwestern

This is College football

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Stu Feiner
CFB $50,000 ALL-IN MAXIMUM BEST BET ON PENN STATE -15.5.

CFB $10,000 BEST BET ON UTAH -2.5.
CFB MEDIUM BETS ON WESTERN MICHIGAN -115, NEBRASKA -9.5.
CBB $10,000 BEST BET ON KENTUCKY -7.5.

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Vernon Croy College Hoops
4-Unit Play - #734 Missouri +3 -110 over Illinois (Saturday, December 12, 2020 at 8:00 PM)
Take Missouri ATS as my top college basketball pick for Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top college basketball systems and I have Missouri pulling off the upset here tonight. The underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six games played between these two teams and Illinois is just 1-5 ATS in the last six games one playing a team that has a win rate above 600. Missouri is 5-0 ATS in the last five home games as an underdog and they have shot 52.2% at home this season averaging 80 points per game while holding their opponents to just 62 points per game. Missouri has shot 49.6% as a team this season while holding their opponents to shooting just 36.3% against them and they have dominated the boards the season. Play Missouri ATS as we move to 9-2 the last 12 days in CBB.

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Doc's Sports College Hoops

4 Unit Play. Take #665 Syracuse -3 over Boston College (1p.m., Saturday, December 12 ESPNU) The Orange need to start winning as once again their schedule is light on quality wins as conference play gets underway. They get Buddy Boeheim back for this game and that gives them a shooter that will be able to space out the floor. Boston College played well against Minnesota this week and lost in overtime but I believe that will take a lot out of them for this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #669 Texas A&M +1.5 over TCU (2p.m., Saturday, December 12 ESPN+) TCU does not have much talent and they will enter this game having lost two straight home games. The Aggies have played a week schedule thus far but feel they will win this game straight-up. TCU just does not seem to be able to close out games this season.

4 Unit Play. Take #671 Detroit +1 over Western Michigan (2p.m., Saturday, December 12 ESPN3)

4 Unit Play. Take #705 Utah +2 over BYU (6p.m., Saturday, December 12 BYUtv) The Holy War is back and expect Utah to emerge victorious in this battle. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 games between Utah and BYU.

4 Unit Play. Take #726 Alabama +2 over Clemson (8p.m., Saturday, December 12 ACCNX) Coach Oats put a bullseye on his head and it will be interesting to see if he can back it up. Clemson is coming off their best performance of the year, dominating Maryland from start to finish but this will be the most talented team that they will face thus far in 2020. Alabama has bounced back from a loss to Stanford with two blowout victories and tonight will be no different as well.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

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Winning Sports Plays (J.R. Stevens)

Troy +15 ML/ +390 (GOY)

Louisiana Tech +21 ML/ +790

Northern Illinois +7 ML/ +180

North Carolina +3 ML/ +130

Illinois +14 ML/ +430

San Diego State +17 ML/ +590

UCLA +4 ML/ +140

*Play ML for half your normal amount

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Doug Upstone College Hoops
5 Unit Play. Take #665 Syracuse -3 over Boston College (1:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Dec. 12)
Syracuse is getting Buddy Boeheim back just in time. The Orange expect to have their leading returning scorer in the lineup when they play Boston College in the ACC opener for both teams. This appears to be a bad matchup for the Eagles. The vaunted Syracuse 2-3 zone has returned; going back to the last six weeks of last season, when it became active again. The newer element to the zone is the rebound and quick pass out, which gives the 'Cuse mismatches when running. B.C. is having a very hard time in transition defense, which is the big reason they are allowing foes to shoot 47.1% and are giving up over 82 PPG. With the Orange 16-5 ATS on the ACC road, they win by 8 or more.
On a 6-1 move the last three days I've had picks, picking up $1,540 profit. Consider a weekly package and keep more money in your pocket! Also, you can pick up my 8-play football card today. I'm the No.1 Doc's football expert, up $6,390 this season and I've started the weekend with a San Jose State winner last night!
Good Luck, Let's Roll,
Doug

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Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #670. Take Texas Christian -1 over Texas A&M (Saturday @ 2pm est)

Nice 3-0 Friday CBB Sweep for +900 and 7-2 Run the last 3 days for +1540 (with 3-0, 2-1, 2-1 the last 3 days). Let's keep with our 3 plays a day and keep rolling. Note, we have a 7*CFB Selection tomorrow at 12pm, part of 8 Selections and 3 Straight Winning Weeks in Football and going for 4 Straight. Remember, we went 6-1 in Football last week and are 11-4 in Football the last 2 weeks. What are you watiing for? Sign up for the entire Football, CBB, Soccer and NBA Season is just 10 days away. What a great 5-0 Soccer Run and 16-5 Soccer Run and +5000 Overall Run for a Winning Soccer Season. We have now posted a Winning Soccer Season, College Football Season, NBA Season at +9200, Winning MLB Season at +4200 and Winning WNBA Season as well +3000. Per this selection, thing here is that Texas A&M can shoot decent but they are outside the top 150 in turnovers and they have iven up 55 turnovers already this season. Also, as Buzz Williams mentioned, they foul quite a bit and have been putting opponents on the free throw line at quite a pace and that has been ok against top 200 teams or so but they face a top 100 team here in TCU and those mistakes matter. Note, that TCU is more battle tested right now having played good teams like Providence and Oklahoma and TCU's coaching staff was not happy with their 17 turnovers last game as Coach Jamie Dixon talked about it in his post game press conference. Texas A&M is young and haven't played anyone yet and I think they get a very tough matchup here against TCU who is on the bounce-back after back to back losses. Note, UT Valley shot 25 free throws against A&M last game and it's hard to imagine TCU won't be at the line quite often in this game.

3-Unit Play. #657. Take Dayton -3.5 over Mississippi State (Saturday @ 3pm est)

Miss State beat this team by 7 points two years ago and by 2 points 3 years ago. I think Coach Grant will be ready for this Mississippi State team and Ben Howland this time around. It's a shame Dayton didn't play in the NCAA Tournament last year, they had Toppin and hit the 30 win mark, they were 30-2 last year overall. Last time out Dayton had a ton of turnovers, they Flyers will be much better in this game with ball control, and have some revenge plus Grant used to coach for years in the SEC at Alabama, he will be ready.

3-Unit Play. #656. Take Kentucky -7 over Notre Dame (Saturday @ 12pm est)

I think the key difference here is that Kentucky out rebounds folks easily, they are just super young and can't make any shots right now. You have a Notre Dame team that allowed #22 Ohio State to drop 56 on them in the second half in their last. I know Kentuck is 1-3 right now but I like them, Kentucky shot 9/18 from 3 point land in their loss to Georgia Tech, best shooting performance they have had honestly. I think they will play their hearts out and I think Notre Dame will have a let down from their near win over Ohio State.

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Paul Leiner

3000 CFB Over 55 Georgia/Missouri (buy 1/2 if needed)
500* CBB Over 130 TCU/Texas A&M
100* CBB Drexel -2.5
100* CFB Iowa +2