Service Plays Monday 12/14/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

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FujitaPunter

Cleveland Browns - Baltimore Ravens
Under 45

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Midwest NFL Handicapping

BALT -2.5

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Rufus Peabody:
Ravens-1 vs Browns

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Football Jesus Podcast MON night Ravens

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bettingmartingale
Italy : Serie B
Reggina - Venezia
Venezia
Odds : 2.60 / 2 units

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Worlds Worst Picker

Ravens -1

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Las Vegas Cris

Game: (179) Baltimore Ravens at (180) Cleveland Browns
Date/Time: Dec 14 2020 8:15 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Baltimore Ravens 0.0 (-110)

Baltimore Pick (4%) Line up to 2 or 2.5 (I would prefer -127 DK or a 130 ML,) (4% good to -3)
Buying single picks from winning handicappers will result in often times not having the release number available. Sure, most of the time, it doesn't matter in the result. The 1 time it does, makes it important. If I bought single picks, I want them at release time. This is a general observation I may repeat. I feel that its my responsibility to provide added value where I can, without sending clients to twitter or a video. The moral to the story is to consider finding someone that is a proven winner at the sport you want to wager, and just stick with them. This isn't a pitch for me, as I dont have a great track record in some areas, and there are people known for their specialties.
Ravens won easily vs Cowboys, which was a disappointment to me because I thought it would cause this line damage to how much value we could have. Here's the big surprise to me, apparently Baltimore didn't really play a good game. They actually fell in my Math model, despite the big win. I just love having something available to us that tells a different story to what our eyes may say, or what we may assume from a final score. Very few people can beat the NFL or NBA every year. For most, its a crap shoot game to game. Logic doesn't cash tickets. Without math data available, I wouldn't win much, there is simply too much information that cannot be properly evaluated by “feel” or past trends. Geez, some of the crap people use to market or wager with, is an embarrassment. The bookmakers dont have the exact same info presented to them? Whoops, back to the game.
Clearly, betting against the Browns has been profitable this season. I have used the word fraud and Browns all season long. They were the 2nd worst team ATS until recent weeks, and we actually just missed playing Browns against TN last wk. So we knew when to get off the fade Browns bus, nicely. So, taking emotion and bias out of betting is an absolute must. Loyalty is for losing bettors. I'm just pointing this out because I do want to make it clear, he numbers no longer indicate Browns are as bad as there were. They have had excellent scheduling luck, and faced teams at the perfect time for Browns etc.. They are not a great team, but they have their moments and showing more consistently. Baltimore has clearly regressed, and are far from expectations. Cleveland has gained over 4 pts of value and Balt has lost 2 pts of value, over the last 6 weeks, Thats a huge gap close. Yes, I run trailing week data that tells us hidden value that season long stats obscure. 5-1 on games last week using a combination of this data.
I've babbled long enough, nobody reads this, anyway. Quite a lot of value in the game with the numbers. Cleveland is probably playing the biggest game they've had in , I don't even know. Browns wont have any problem getting up for this game, and hopefully they are too hopped up and leads to miscue's early, or pressure late in the game. “Show ME ”, is what I have to say about the Browns. Baltimore #5 D and pedestrian 14 on O this year, but Browns D is #21, and don't forget that data is skewed with 3 weather games to bring the disaster D total down. The D is worse than 21, Cleveland has some nice glamour stats on offense, but in my model that computes far more than others would use, they are 2 notches behind Baltimore, at 16. We have the team here that rates higher, has the experience, vs a team that has simply been fortunate to have a great record by benefiting from playing the right teams at the right time, most of the season.

[golden contender]

Rob V: Comp Play

Monday night Football Game of the Month with a 21-1 system headlines along with a Late NCAAB RPI Scale Power System Play. Comp play below.


For the comp play we will use a Saturday College Football total and Play Under in the Air Force vs Army game. These two have gone under the last 6 in the series with some lower scoring games. Army has one of the top ranked defenses in the country and comes in off a shutout win over Navy and are 8-2 overall. Air Force has allowed 17 or less in all their games except in the loss to Boise. This game also fits a nice 72% totals system that pertains to road teams with a total of less than 50. Look for a lower scoring game her that plays under. On Monday we the Monday night Game of the Month and a late NCAAB power System play. See us on facebook to jump on. For the advance Comp play on Saturday. Play Air Force and Army Under the total. Rob V- GC Sports.

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Brian Bitler

9* CBB Extreme Violator

William & Mary +6.5 (-103)

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Linebacker Sports
Longwood +4

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Uptown Dave Sports

1 unit
LSU OVER 154

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Scott Spreitzer

3-Unit Play: Take 815 Eastern KY -5.5 over Morehead St. (6 p.m., Monday, Dec. 14)

This marks the second time these teams will have met already this season. Eastern Kentucky won the first meeting, a close win, despite playing about as bad as they possibly can play. They were weak on the glass, made 42% of their FGA, including just 10 of 34 3-pointers. But EKU gets after it on the defensive end and forced Morehead State into committing 25 turnovers. MSU made 67% of their FGA yet still came up short. They're averaging over 17 turnovers per game and again, EKU gets after it on the defensive end, forcing teams into mistakes. EKU enters on a 19-6-1 ATS run and they're on a 7-1 ATS run on the road against teams with a winning home record. I'm backing Eastern Kentucky minus the points on Monday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

5-Unit Play. Take #819 Nevada (-3.5) over San Diego (9 p.m., Monday, Dec. 14)

I liked this game even with Nevada at -6. Now I really love it. Nevada is coming off a tough loss on the road against a solid Grand Canyon team. I don't think Steve Alford's team is going to lose two in a row on the road. They will be much better today than they were on Friday. Nevada has wins over North Dakota State, Nebraska and Pacific. Those teams are better than San Diego. San Diego has only played one game! They were blown out 83-56 by UCLA last week. That is their only game of the season so far. This team went just 9-23 last year. They lost leading scorer Braun Hartfield and only have two players that started more than 20 games last year on this year's team. San Diego is 0-5 ATS in its last five games and 2-6 ATS in its last eight home games. They are just 2-5 ATS as a home dog. Nevada should get the job done in this one.

2-Unit Play. Take #827 William & Mary (+5.5) over George Washington (7 p.m., Monday, Dec. 14)

I will take the points in this game. George Washington is just 1-4 SU on the season. They are coming off a loss to Delaware and that is now back-to-back losses for this team. The Colonials also lost to Navy and Hampton this year! William & Mary won 21 games last year and should again be one of the top teams in the Colonial Athletic. The Tribe are great in the underdog role. They are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a dog and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. George Washington is 1-6 ATS as a favorite and 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Colonials are just 2-5 ATS at home and 1-4 ATS as a home favorite. Take the points.

Allen Eastman

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #815 Eastern Kentucky (-5.5) over Morehead State (6 p.m., Monday, Dec. 14)

These two teams just played last Monday. Now, we've seen recently that teams that play back-to-back like this the advantage is with the team that lost the first meeting. However, I don't think that's going to be the case here because I think that EKU is just that much better than Morehead State. It really is just a bad matchup for Morehead, which has issues in the backcourt. EKU presses all game long and I think that they are going to be able to turn Morehead over and create extra opportunities. Morehead only lost by three points in that fire meeting and were ahead most of the game before a furious late rally by EKU (they outscored Morehead 23-11 down the stretch). I think that momentum will carry over into this meeting and if EKU can knock down some outside shots they should be able to run away with this one.

4-Unit Play. Take #828 George Washington (-5.5) over William & Mary (7 p.m., Monday, Dec. 14)

I think that this George Washington team is better than they have played and that they are better than their record. They have some pieces. James Bishop and Matt Moyer have hit the ground running since transferring in from LSU and Vandy, respectively. Jameer Nelson Jr., Chase Paar, Sloan Seymour and Jamison Battle are sophomores with a lot of potential. And Maceo Jack gives them a sniper off the bench. Size could be an issue for this team as they get deeper into A-10 play. But that's not going to be an issue with this William & Mary team. The Tribe are a team that I expect to take a major step back this year. Last year they leaned heavily on superb senior Nathan Knight, one of the best players in program history, and transfer Andy Van Vliet. Those two, along with two other senior starters, are gone and this is a clear rebuilding season. The thing is, the Tribe have only played one game this year and they've been in quarantine for most of the past two weeks. They haven't played since Nov. 28. And that was a game they lost by eight despite shooting 50% from 3-point range. I would love to go much bigger on this play but I only trust GW so much. They have been terrible in the 10 minutes coming out of halftime. They should be able to get off to a good start against a rusty William & Mary team. And if they shore up after halftime they should be able to close this one out.

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #820 San Diego (+8.5) over Nevada (9 p.m.) AND Take #824 Creighton (-2) over Marquette (9 p.m.)