Service Plays Monday 12/14/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #307031. Take Central Arkansas +22.5 over Ole Miss (Monday @ 8pm est)

Ole Miss is doing a great job of playing great defense but I think they face a decent challenge today from Central Arkansas. If you take a close look at Central Arkansas they hung tough against Arkansas the big team in the state and were only down by about 6 points with about 9 minutes to go and were leading in the first half for a good portion. Sure, Central Arkansas has not won a game yet this season but they have played a brutal schedule and battle tested and I think they hang tough here.

3-Unit Play. #827. Take William and Mary +5.5 over George Washington (Monday @ 7pm est)

William and Mary is not the sexy team here but we think they hang tough as a decent dog. Dane Fischer took this team from 14 wins to 21 wins last year and they played great against a good Old Dominion team and nearly won outright and don't look down upon the 0-1 record, they have good senior leadership, and a good coaching staff and I think they hang tough with an outside shot at winning this game outright.

3-Unit Play. #817. Take Over 146 Northern Arizona vs. Colorado State (Monday @ 8pm est)

NAU Shot the ball terribly last game and they will likely be an active dog here and we also think Colorado State is not nearly at its full potential in scoring because they were not able to practice for 3 weeks. This is likely a high scoring affair and we think this will be higher scoring than most realize as we think both these teams bust out in shooting today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root

Contrarian Browns

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mississippi Kid
Ravens-3 2U
Ravens TT Over 24 1U

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

3 pepperdine-2.5

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAEL


1H EKU -3.5
Game: (815) Eastern Kentucky at (816) Morehead State
Date/Time: Dec 14 2020 6:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Eastern Kentucky -3.5 (-110)

#815 FIRST HALF 4* EKU -3.5 Morehead St 6 PM
EKU beat this team at home Monday Dec 7th but did not cover as they were a 10 pt Fav. The reason EKU did not cover was Morehead 77%!! From 2pt and 46%!! From 3pt something that may not happen this season as they have the #298 offense! Now we have an EKU team that was DOWN 16 points to this squad at home at Halftime yet beat them. No early let down tonight, EKU is a very fast past team that is playing their third game in 7 days but their Saturday game was vs Transylvania and 14 players played with no one playing over 26 minutes. Morehead is playing their 4 games in 7 days.

[dawggy]

STRIKE POINT SPORT

Monday's College Basketball Plays
4-Unit Play. #817 Take Northern Arizona (+15.5) over Colorado State (8 p.m., Monday, December 14)
I have been kind of tracking something in College Hoops this year just for fun, as its been really curious to see how well you could do fading teams that have essentially had their season delayed for multiple weeks. You'd be up, that's for sure. And we gave customers a few of those games in selective spots. 5-Units on Portland in a win fading Portland State a week or so ago. Here the Rams finally play their first game. And we're going to stick with that trend. NAU sucked for us last time out. Zero defense and not much shot-making. But I'm riding with this Big Sky team. They do have a couple of really good shooters and are capable of scoring 70 points consistently. I will fade CSU with zero momentum and perhaps unable to avoid a slow start and modest approach being three weeks late to competitive basketball. Grab the points.
4-Unit Play. #819 Take Nevada (-3.5) over San Diego (9 p.m., Monday, December 14)
We've faded Nevada a few times actually so far this year. But in a long season you have to remain unbiased, and so we get behind the Wolf Pack on this occasion. It's not quite the trend above, but it fits the mold just the same. San Diego had its first three games cancelled for Thanksgiving week, then waited almost two weeks to play UCLA on December 10th, a game the Torerors lost by 27. They then had this past weekend's game, and their fourth overall, cancelled with Cal State Fullerton. It's been a mess for them. Meanwhile, Nevada has played consistently at 4-2 so far and building a nice foundation early on with Steve Alford. Both losses have come to winning teams while three of the four wins came by double figures. I'm good with the favorite here, as they have more flow at this stage in their respective schedule than tonight's opponent. Mountain West over WCC in this one.
4-Unit Play. #824 Take Creighton (-7) over Marquette (9 p.m., Monday, December 14)
This isn't a good match-up for Marquette. Creighton is as good an offensive team as there is in College Basketball, and it would not shock me one bit for the Blue Jays to drop 90+ in a dominant performance. Not only is this Golden Eagles not as good as their upset win over ranked Wisconsin, but they are also coming back from a road game out in Los Angeles, and naturally consecutive long flights within the space of a week isn't necessarily ideal. Also, UCLA was laying five points in that game. You're trying to tell me Creighton is just two points better than UCLA?! No way! Creighton lost at Kansas by a single point in the final possession. The other four games have been all blowouts. This game screams 15-16 point margin of victory. Lay the number as Creighton doubles up the spread at home.
Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports

[WeWantMoehr]

VSI

5 Unit Play. Take #821 Over 136 No. Colorado at Colorado (9:00p.m., Monday December 14)
The Northern Colorado Bears have played two games this season but with cupcakes but I like their rotation and the youth of their roster will score points. Colorado is coming off a horrible loss on the road to Tennessee losing 56-47. Look for the Buffs offense performing much better tonight against their little brother (State Rival) and I see this game flying 'Over'. The Northern Colorado Bears are 5-0 O/U in their last 5 road games (last year) but look for the Bears to keep this game respectful. Colorado is 14-2 O/U in their last 16 home games.

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris

5 Unit Play. Take #179 Baltimore Ravens -2 over Cleveland Browns (8:15 PM, Monday, December 14, ESPN)
The Ravens have posted a perfect 6-0 ATS record in their last six games played in the month of December and they have gone an excellent 6-1 ATS in their last seven games versus an NFC North Division rival. They have also covered the number in twelve of their last seventeen overall versus a team from the AFC and they are an impressive 8-3 ATS in their last eleven road games. The Browns, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Monday as they have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall and they are an awful 9-23-1 ATS when facing a division rival. They have also failed to cover the number in 19 of their last 26 at home where they were an underdog and they are 8-24-2 ATS when facing a team with a winning record. Throw in the fact that the Ravens have dominated this series against the number in Cleveland, going 9-2-1 ATS in their last twelve trips to the Dawg Pound and we're laying the points with them here to get the road win and cover in Cleveland on Monday evening.

[Longslab242]

BROCK PAGE PATREON

PEPPERDINE -2
EASTERN KENTUCKY-5.5

[joejoe99]

WILL STONE OUT OF VEGAS TOTAL OF YEAR UNDER CLEVELAND RELEASES 1 PER SEASON

[kevipet33]

WILL STONE OUT OF VEGAS TOTAL OF YEAR UNDER CLEVELAND RELEASES 1 PER SEASON

Are you Will Stone? Post his write up. Not seeing him has a capper

[TAWJR]

CPAW Is Red Suit still around

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CPAW Is Red Suit still around

no the guy stopped posting

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday Night Moneymaker

Fresh off a lucky 5% Big Ticket winner with the Dolphins yesterday, Teddy’s NFL is making $$ for himself & his clients; cashing at 71% over the past seven weeks of NFL action!

Game: (179) Baltimore Ravens at (180) Cleveland Browns
Date/Time: Dec 14 2020 8:15 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Cleveland Browns +3.0 (+100)

3% Take Cleveland (#180)
The betting markets seem convinced that the Browns are a fraud and the Ravens are the real deal. I can understand why they have that opinion, but I don’t agree with it. Yes, Cleveland has a -15 point differential despite their 9-3 record while Baltimore is +85 on the scoreboard through their first dozen games. And yes, part of that point differential dichotomy dates from the Ravens 38-6 blowout win over the Browns back on opening day. That was then, this is now.
It’s not like Cleveland was properly prepared for that Week 1 game at Baltimore; not with a new head coach installing new systems on both sides of the ball facing a quality foe on the road in a year with no preseason. You can’t compare the Week 1 Browns to the Browns today – it’s a ‘night and day’ difference.
It’s not like Cleveland doesn’t have wins over quality foes. They beat up on the Colts earlier in the season, and they blew out the Titans last week, despite a ‘much closer than the game really was’ final score.
It’s not like the Browns can’t hang with Baltimore. They beat up on the Ravens last year, winning by three TD’s against the spread; 15 points on the scoreboard. They knocked off Baltimore at home as three point underdogs in 2018 and covered in defeat in a two point road loss; 3-2 ATS and 2-3 SU in the last five meetings between these two divisional rivals.
Since beating the Browns on opening day, the Ravens have wins over the following teams: Houston, Washington, Cincinnati, Philadelphia, Dallas and Indianapolis. Five of those six teams have losing records, and the sixth win, over Indy, was a game where Baltimore trailed at halftime, were out-first downed, out-yarded and outgained by a full yard per play, but a fumble return TD was a difference maker.
The Ravens are still dealing with the repercussions of their COVID outbreak, not a team in regular mid-season rhythm. They’re on a short week, with numerous key players dealing with injuries, like DE Calais Campbell along with CB’s Jimmy Smith and Marcus Peters, among others. This is very much a statement game for Baker Mayfield and the home underdog Browns. I think they’re good enough to win it, or at least come pretty darn close. Take the Browns.
Line Parameter: 3% at +3 or higher, 2% at +2.5 or lower

[Can'tPickAWinner]

North Coast

2* Baltimore -3

Marquee Under 46