Tuesday 12/8/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Mountaineer - Race #2

#2 Lucky Mac	Didn't miss by much with similar when facing the locals in October, and she might be just quick enough to sit in range of the pace early on.
#7 Lonesome Phil	His tendency to give away some ground late is a concern, but he caught a tough winner in that last one and owns a handful of recent running lines that would make him tough with these.
#3 Grazed My Biscuits	Think there is a chance he is sitting on a step back tonight, but the recent form has been heading in the right direction. If he's able to take another step forward off the good try with winners last out, he's there.
Race Summary	Lucky Mac showed little at 41/1 in Indiana last month, but she ran well in her only local try and figures to get a decent enough tracking trip.

Mountaineer - Race #5

#1 Shesarockstartoo	She has really put everything together in those last two starts, and she's almost sure to have a go for it from the fence as she steps up to face winners.
#3 Special Conquest	Has finished second in both local tries, but her form is definitely a bit spotty. Not sure she's going to back up that last one at what will likely be a shorter price than she offered then.
#4 Spring Frost	Can't argue with anyone landing here -- good barn, route pedigree, class edge, etc, but he's still making his route debut, and something tells me he's going to be overbet.
Race Summary	Shesarockstartoo steps up to try winners, and while there are a couple of logical players signed on in here who are likely to take action, she will probably dare them to come catch her from the start and might be able to get brave and turn right back around with another score.

Mountaineer - Race #9

#8 Equus Novus	Makes the local debut with plenty of running lines that would make him competitive with this bunch. Forward player has a mild rating gear that might play well here.
#4 Mounted Cop	He'll have a go from the gate, and he has been landing underneath shares with similar. Don't think he's heads and shoulders better than the top choice, and the price will certainly be shorter here.
#9 Cowboy Rusty	He has that running style where he chases, bids to the front, and then fades late while saving underneath shares. Guessing he'll try the same here, but he's probably not getting past Mounted Cop during that bid anyway.
Race Summary	Equus Novus would be a fair offering at something like the 5/2 ML price. The trip should be there, and he has been in with some better groups than he's going to find tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Dayton Raceway - Race #9

#1 TINT OF MINT	All revved up with no placed to go, Best Bet with second-time Lasix.
#3 RHYTHM OR RYAN	Finished in money in 12 of 20 starts this year, takes class hike.
#8 TOUGH AS TUFF	Encountered ‘interference’ in latest, interesting choice by Sutton.
Race Summary	Tint Of Mint stayed inside as the outer flow developed, forcing him to be blocked through the final half mile. He appeared full of run as the race favorite edged away from the field. Play 1-3 and 1-8 exactas.

Pompano Park - Race #3

#7 NORTHERN SWIFT	Held well for third, looms forward factor throughout despite outside draw.
#4 EVEN LOUDER	Second to odds-on and 5-2 winners in her last two starts.
#2 LADY DRIVER	Well-traveled 4yo took money but didn’t threaten from post 8 in local debut.
Race Summary	Northern Swift re-took the lead early, yielded to the favorite and finished a willing third in the same spot. She doesn’t win often but she’s worth a bet near his 7-1 morning-line price. Play a 2-4-7 exacta box.

Yonkers - Race #4

#5 E R HILARY	Made up a lot of ground after early mishap, big chance at inflated price.
#8 FOX VALLEY CHARLIZ	Been dominating at Monticello during 11-23 season.
#3 KOTARE YARRA N	Checks out of town adding up toward $50,000 campaign.
Race Summary	E R Hilary was eliminated with a break at the start, but she recovered strongly, rallying widest and fastest of all in the stretch as the beaten favorite. Don’t expect 7-1 price, but expect a victory with a clean trip.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Remington Park - Race #1

#2 Fleeta Belle	Was claimed in two straight and was third in each of those at this level; has been in better spots and can rallied well against these.
#6 Appolina	Takes a class drop after trying three tough fields; was an easy N3L winner in her first dirt try of the RP season.
#1 Railroad Rosie	Tried turf against a much higher level last time to no avail and is back to a more comfortable group; likely to be a player from the first step.
Race Summary	Fleeta Belle gets a good pace to chase and should be able to close the deal for this price.

Remington Park - Race #5

#5 Northcounty Willy	Improved position to third in his career debut and should appreciate the extra ground of the mile event; was well played in his first one and will get his share of support here.
#4 Sandman's Legacy	Was too late in his bid last time as he chance running style; stretches out for the first time and is a legit player.
#2 Captain Comeback	Has been in much stronger races and will likely be in the mix earlier on today; expect improvement here.
Race Summary	Northcounty Willy went from eighth to third in a six-furlong race and he's bred to stretch out to middle distances; has good works since his debut.

Remington Park - Race #9

#4 Sports Fan	Rallied for third on the turf last time and has been on grass in his three starts this year; there is no fear in sending him to the main track as he broke his maiden here going long last year. One to hold off.
#3 Candy Carlos	Set the pace and lost a photo last time out at Churchill Downs; was claimed by Broberg and the son of Candy Carlos has done well vs. veteran campaigners. Strong on the front end.
#2 Aqwaam	Will force the issue from the start and is usually a big player when he gets on the front end; capable of fighting it out.
Race Summary	Sports Fan is a good closer and gets an ideal pace scenario today; has a good late move and will be heard from at the end.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA

ZIA - Race 1	1st Half $1 Early Daily Double / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Claiming $12,500 • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 12:00
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FRANKLYENERGIZED (T): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DARK BROOK: Jockey/Trainer combination return on inve stment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). STARLITE EAGLE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. XYLINA'S ART (T): Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast.
6	FRANKLYENERGIZED (T)	9/2	4/1
9	DARK BROOK	15/1	5/1
10	STARLITE EAGLE	3/1	8/1
8	XYLINA'S ART (T)	6/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	CC TOPHER	1	15/1	Average	82	64	5.0	0.0	0.0
2	SOMBRA NEGRA (T)	2	20/1	Slow	74	72	9.1	0.0	0.0
3	CAMINETTO (T)	3	10/1	Average	76	61	5.7	0.0	0.0
4	HOT SURFING (T)	4	8/1	Average	71	60	5.0	0.0	0.0
5	LODE THE GOLD (T)	5	7/2	Average	86	71	5.0	0.0	0.0
6	FRANKLYENERGIZED (T)	6	9/2	Slow	92	88	8.8	0.0	0.0
7	BAM BOOM ITS A JESS	7	12/1	Slow	75	63	6.2	0.0	0.0
8	XYLINA'S ART (T)	8	6/1	Fast	72	74	1.1	0.0	0.0
9	DARK BROOK	9	15/1	Slow	91	85	8.0	0.0	0.0
10	STARLITE EAGLE	10	3/1	Average	81	81	5.3	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Remington Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:20pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $36,975 Class Rating: 59

Rating:

#7 NO LETTIN GO (ML=5/1)


NO LETTIN GO - Trainer Chleborad gave this filly a good stiff morning drill. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. Faced tougher in the last race at Remington Park. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this one on my list of strong contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 HALLIES DREAM (ML=5/2), #5 JUSTPLAINJANE (ML=7/2), #1 SOONER FACTOR (ML=9/2),

HALLIES DREAM - Would have to get more than the morning line of 5/2 to wager on this horse. JUSTPLAINJANE - A bit of a less than stellar effort when this filly finished eighth. SOONER FACTOR - Just don't believe she is pegged at the proper price at the morning line odds.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#7 NO LETTIN GO is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 85

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 8. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 DON'T MAKE IT EASY 6/1
# 2 WINNING DRIVE 7/2
# 7 THOMAS KNIGHT 5/1

DON'T MAKE IT EASY is my choice. Is worth taking a close look at and may be a wager - strong speed figures (80 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Must be given consideration based on the competitive Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this pony look very good in this race. WINNING DRIVE - Has run admirably when running a dirt sprint race. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this gelding a very strong shot. THOMAS KNIGHT - Decent selection to take this race going in a dirt sprint. Win percentage with this jockey and conditioner combo - 20 percent - formidable.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 64

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 11 FIERY FLASH 6/1
# 6 DECADENT DIAMOND 3/1
# 7 EUROBOUTTOGETIT 8/1

FIERY FLASH looks to be a formidable contender. Could provide positive profits based on decent recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 59. Has longshot potential and could score at boxcar odds. Look for a reliable performance with the class drop. DECADENT DIAMOND - She has been running soundly and the speed figures are among the most favorable in this group of animals. Landry has one of the strongest winning percentages in this field with entries running at this distance and surface. EUROBOUTTOGETIT - Should be considered for this event if only for the strong speed fig earned in the last competition. Over time, this conditioner has a decent return on investment at this distance/surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,300 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#6 LILY'S SECRET (ML=5/1)
#3 COMICA (ML=10/1)


LILY'S SECRET - A racer coming back this rapidly after a nice contest is a good omen. COMICA - Entered last at Mountaineer Park in a race with an Equibase class figure of 70. Dropping drastically in class figure in today's event puts her in a solid position right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SHESWILDNFREE (ML=1/2), #5 SEALED WITH A KISS (ML=6/1),

SHESWILDNFREE - Just cannot play this steed. Didn't show me anything positive last time around the track or on Oct 21st. Tough to recommend since I think a 'bounce' is in the works this time around. SEALED WITH A KISS - Improbable for this thoroughbred to make a winning move with no recent success in a short distance event. Not likely that the speed figure she recorded on Nov 27th will be good enough in this affair.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - LILY'S SECRET - After a moderate layoff, has had a few races and today she enters a sprint race. Should be back in form, so I expect this animal to perform well in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #6 LILY'S SECRET on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Siefken

Event: (807) Montana at (808) Georgia
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: December 8, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Georgia Total Over 77.5 (-125)
Brandon is 23-14 in college basketball overall and 16-9 in totals this year. See his Tuesday 2-Pick-Pack of two totals for only $29. My numbers have this Georgia total at 81.5, which is only moderate value with a 4 point discrepancy. However if you see the scores, this should be higher. Georgia put up 95, 88 to lower ranked teams and 81 vs Ole Miss whom I have ranked 122 spots over Montana. We will go a quarter unit. Bet Georgia team total Over 77.5.

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Bryan Leonard

Event: (807) Montana at (808) Georgia
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: December 8, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Montana +11.0 (-110)
807 Montana at Georgia
Montana is a talented team but very young right now. It lost all three games it played including back to back one point defeats to Southern Utah. But despite the recent results, this is a team that has a real shot at the Big Sky title.
Georgia has feasted on weaklings thus far, not playing a team in the Top 240 through three games. The Bulldogs are one of the teams expected to bring up the rear of the SEC this season. This is a tough test for the Bulldogs.
PLAY MONTANA

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Rocky Atkinson

Dec 08 '20, 7:00 PM in 29m
NCAA-B | Kent State vs Detroit
Play on: Detroit +3 -108 at Draft Kings

Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Tuesday 12-8-20
Kent State @ Detroit (7:00 PM EST)
Play On: Detroit +3 -108
The Kent State Flashes travels to Detroit to take on the Titans on Tuesday night. Kent State is 1-1 SU overall this year while Detroit comes in with an 0-2 SU overall record on the season. Kent State is 4-9 ATS last 13 games as a favorite. Kent State is 0-5-1 ATS last 6 games as a road favorite. Detroit is 4-1 ATS last 5 games as a home underdog. Detroit is 9-3-1 ATS last 13 games as an underdog. The home team is 4-0 ATS last 4 overall in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Detroit tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Bryan Leonard

Dec 08 '20, 7:00 PM in 29m
NCAA-B | Montana vs Georgia
Play on: Montana +11 -105 at YouWager

807 Montana at Georgia
Montana is a talented team but very young right now. It lost all three games it played including back to back one point defeats to Southern Utah. But despite the recent results, this is a team that has a real shot at the Big Sky title.
Georgia has feasted on weaklings thus far, not playing a team in the Top 240 through three games. The Bulldogs are one of the teams expected to bring up the rear of the SEC this season. This is a tough test for the Bulldogs.
PLAY MONTANA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Dec 08 '20, 7:00 PM in 29m
NCAA-B | Boston College vs Minnesota
Play on: Minnesota -7 -101 at pinnacle

My free play is on Minnesota at 7:00 ET.
1-3 Boston College will travel to Minneapolis to play 4-0 Minnesota as part of the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. Jim Christian had an excellent six-year run at Kent St, winning 20-plus games each year and averaging 22.8 wins per season. He took on the challenge at TCU and failed miserably, going 56-73 in four seasons. He returned to the MAC with Ohio U but 24-10 and 25-12 seasons brought only NIT and CIT postseason appearances. It was then on to BC and in six seasons, he's had just ONE winning campaign, going 75-119 overall (not counting the school's 1-3 start this season). Christian's counterpart Richard Pitino is in his eighth season at Minnesota. He led the Gophers to the NIT championship in his first season (2013-14) but over the last six seasons, Minnesota has made just two NCAA appearances (2017 and 2019), while going a combined 56-71 (.441) over the other four.
Boston College has five players averaging in double figures through its first four games, led by guard Wynston Tabbs (15.5), the 6-7 CJ Felder (11.3) plus guards Jay Heath (11.3), Rich Kelly (11.0) and Ashton-Langford (10.0). The 6-8 Mitchell adds 7.8 PPG and a team-high 8.0 RPG. BC's problem is with a defense allowing 81.8 PPG, which ranks 13th among the 14 ACC teams. The Golden Gophers enter with a lot of confidence after winning their first four games of the season, led by the top scoring guard in the Big Ten, Marcus Carr, who is averaging 26.5 PPG (adds 4.3 RPG and 6.0 APG). The 6-6 Both Gach (a Utah transfer), is averaging 15.5 points and 5.8 rebounds. Pitino is very happy with the team's start, as he has had to acclimate six new players while dealing with the pandemic.
Minnesota has yet to play a game away from home and welcomes a poor Boston College defensive team to Williams Arena where the Gophers have averaged 82.5 PPG, while allowing 68.3. Lay the points.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Dec 08 '20, 7:30 PM in 59m
NCAA-B | Ohio State vs Notre Dame
Play on: Ohio State -5½ -110 at Mirage

Dave’s Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Ohio State -5.5
The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes are 3-0 this season and winning by 23.4 PPG. They take on a thin Notre Dame team that lost by 10 to Michigan State and only beat Detroit by 8 as a 12-point favorite in their first 2 games this year. The Fighting Irish could be shorthanded for the second straight game. Nik Djogo missed Sunday’s game while recovering from an ankle injury suffered against Michigan State. Head coach Mike Brey said he’ll likely miss this game as well. Robby Carmody (knee) and Elijah Taylor (ankle) also missed the game against Detroit. That left the Fighting Irish with just an eight-man roster that included two freshmen and a walk on. The Buckeyes have 4 players averaging in double figures this season. Ohio State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games off 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as favorites. The Fighting Irish are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as home underdogs. Take Ohio State.