Wednesday 12/9/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 4	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Claiming $8,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $14,200 • Post: 2:08P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 9 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. JOSIE'S RIDDLE is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GRECIAN PRINCE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distan ce/surface. GIANT BOO BOO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. JOSIE'S RIDDLE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse h as the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SPECTACULAR ROAD: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Hors e race).
7	GRECIAN PRINCE	5/2	5/1
5	GIANT BOO BOO	2/1	5/1
3	JOSIE'S RIDDLE	10/1	6/1
1	SPECTACULAR ROAD	4/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	REANIMATE	2	8/1	Front-runner	82	81	97.0	72.8	62.8
1	SPECTACULAR ROAD	1	4/1	Front-runner	88	89	73.2	77.4	70.4
7	GRECIAN PRINCE	7	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	100	98	72.6	80.2	75.2
5	GIANT BOO BOO	5	2/1	Stalker	95	84	86.8	79.6	75.1
6	SILENT TIGER	6	10/1	Stalker	86	78	70.4	74.0	64.5
3	JOSIE'S RIDDLE	3	10/1	Trailer	88	83	47.6	83.0	75.0
4	SOUL OF DISCRETION	4	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	75	80.2	74.2	63.7

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 82

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 APALACHEE BAY 9/5
# 3 ACADEMY BAY 6/1
# 7 HATTIES JEWEL 7/2

APALACHEE BAY looks to be a respectable contender. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Has to be given consideration based on the quite good speed rating put up in the last contest. Appears to have a decent class edge based on the recent company kept. ACADEMY BAY - Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is solid for this horse. Could provide positive dividends based on formidable recent Speed Figures with an average of 80. HATTIES JEWEL - Ought to be carefully examined based on the strong speed figure posted in the last contest. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:30pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#3 RULING (ML=5/2)
#4 PATAZ (ML=7/2)
#5 STORMY LEO (ML=3/1)


RULING - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let him get away early they probably won't catch him. This speed horse could take the lead quickly. My guess is he'll take a shot at getting the early lead and taking it home. Ran in the last race against a tougher field at Charles Town. The move down the class ladder should suit him well. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per race. This racer has the uppermost in the group. I think he'll be close at the finish line. PATAZ - The jockey and handler combination have a beneficial ROI when they team up. Sub-par performance in the last race at Charles Town was due to the off-going (he finished fifth). Should do much better in this field without the slop. STORMY LEO - You always have to be on the watch for money generating jock/trainer duos; we have an instance right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 TAPTAPTAP (ML=9/2), #7 A POWERFUL TALE (ML=6/1), #6 UNION GRACE (ML=8/1),

TAPTAPTAP - The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this horse as a questionable contender. A POWERFUL TALE - When checking today's Equibase class figure, he will have to garner a much better rating than last out to compete in this dirt sprint. UNION GRACE - If you keep playing these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disappointed regularly. Finished second in his most recent race with a substandard speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this group.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - RULING - This solid grass runner is the horse to beat in this contest.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #3 RULING on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $47000 Class Rating: 103

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE ATA MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 9 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 GLORY OF FLORIDA 5/1
# 1 GEONOSIS 8/1
# 7 IL FARAONE 20/1

I think GLORY OF FLORIDA is a decent choice. With a sound jock who has won at a very good 25 percent clip over the last month. This has to be one of the top picks. Will most likely be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the midpoint of the race. Is a solid contender - given the 103 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. GEONOSIS - Like the finish positions in the last couple of events. His 86 average has this colt with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in here. IL FARAONE - When this jockey and conditioner team up, bettors often make money. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Turfway Park

12/09/20, TP, Race 1, 6.15 ET
12/09/20,TP,1,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $13,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 121 lbs. Claiming Price $15,000, For Each $2,500 To $10,000 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	Threatlevelmidnite (GB)	7/2	Jimenez A	Thomas Jonathan	SFEL	278	29.50	1.38/$1
094.4914	2	My Dear Lolita	3/1	Corrales G	Ward Wesley A.	JT	316	26.58	1.28/$1
093.8196	11	Link in Front	30/1	McKee J	Young Tracey		316	26.58	1.28/$1
093.2215	7	Dimples of Venus	4/1	De La Cruz F	Cox Brad H.		316	26.58	1.28/$1
093.2092	9	Our Magical Girl	12/1	Serpa A	Girten Tim		278	29.50	1.38/$1
093.1759	10	Any Kind	20/1	Padron-Barcenas J	Chapman James K.	C	278	29.50	1.38/$1
093.0673	12	Sugar Diva	10/1	Bejarano R	Meah Anna	W	278	29.50	1.38/$1
092.7249	8	Tale of Kitten	4/1	Landeros C	Maker Michael J.		316	26.58	1.28/$1
092.5542	13	Selena Kan	30/1	Morales J	Garcia Genaro		316	26.58	1.28/$1
092.5101	4	Eyeseeyou	30/1	Morales E	Lauer Michael E.		278	29.50	1.38/$1
092.1708	6	Get Me a Diamond(b-)	30/1	Gonzalez S	Brooks Gerald E.		278	29.50	1.38/$1
091.7568	3	Hafsa Hatun	12/1	Cannon D	Colebrook Ben		316	26.58	1.28/$1
091.4889	14	Mi Sandia	20/1	Jimenez A	Sands Shane		278	29.50	1.38/$1
091.2449	1	Late for Taps	6/1	Gutierrez R	Brisset Rodolphe		278	29.50	1.38/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
. . . .
100.0000 5 Threatlevelmidnite (GB)
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]LastRaceDistanceIsNotLessThanToday

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:44pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,500 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#4 JUST U AND ME KID (ML=9/2)


JUST U AND ME KID - Coming off a fourth place finish at Mahoning Valley Race Cour, some may skip this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good odds today. Nice return on investment for this rider and handler twosome. This animal didn't run well on a track listed as good in his last race around the track at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. You should disregard that effort.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 TOUCHDOWN JESUS (ML=3/5), #1 TEAM LEYENDECKER (ML=6/1), #7 JOE'Z BIZ (ML=6/1),

TOUCHDOWN JESUS - I'm prognosticating a less than stellar go out of him this time. TEAM LEYENDECKER - Not the proper 'fit' in this race. JOE'Z BIZ - Didn't land in the money on August 29th at Monmouth Park. Followed it up with another less than stellar outing. Will be hard for this animal to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put him on the questionable contenders list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #4 JUST U AND ME KID on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	4 with 7
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Brandon Lee

Dec 09 '20, 7:00 PM in 10m
NCAA-B | Marshall vs College of Charleston
Play on: Marshall -5½ -110 at sportsbook

PICK - Marshall Thundering Herd -5.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 619
I will gladly take Marshall at -5.5 on the road against College of Charleston. The Thundering Herd are currently ranked No. 88 in KenPom, while the Cougars are way back at No. 202.
Marshall is a team that I'm really high on coming into the 2020-21 campaign. After starting out last season 2-6, the Herd went 15-9 over their last 24 games, including a 7-2 run to close things out.
With all 5 starters back Marshall should be even stronger and are more than capable of winning C-USA this year. Last time out they were only a 1-point road favorite at Wright State and won that game by 14.
As for Charleston, they only return 1 starter from last year's team that went just 17-14. They are just 1-2 to start the season and the lone win is against a non-DI opponent in Limestone. They lost by 19 at UNC and by 24 at Furman in their two losses.
Big thing to note with the Cougars is this is a team that's built around their defense and it hasn't been great in their two games against quality opponents. They allowed 79 points to the Tar Heels and 81 to Furman. With how fast and potent Marshall is offensively, I just don't see Charleston keeping this close. Give me the Thundering Herd -5.5!

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John Martin

Dec 09 '20, 7:15 PM in 25m
NCAA-B | Georgia Tech vs Nebraska
Play on: Nebraska +2 -110 at BMaker

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Nebraska +2
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are one of the most improved teams in the country this season. That isn’t hard to believe considering Fred Hoiberg is one of the best coaches in the land after what he did with Iowa State several years ago before moving onto the NBA. And Hoiberg is now in his second season with the Huskers. They are 3-1 this year with their only loss coming to Nevada by 3. They face a Georgia Tech team tonight that is in a letdown spot off their upset win over Kentucky on Sunday. The Huskers have had a full week to get ready for Georgia Tech after last playing on December 1st. And this is a Georgia Tech team that was upset by Georgia State as an 8.5-point favorite and also upset by Mercer as a 10-point favorite prior to beating Kentucky. The Huskers are 50-24 ATS in their last 74 home games with a line of +3 to -3. Give me Nebraska.

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Sal Michaels

Dec 09 '20, 7:15 PM in 25m
NCAA-B | Indiana vs Florida State
Play on: Florida State -3 -110 at sportsbook

Free Play on Florida State -3 -110

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Mike Lundin

Dec 09 '20, 7:15 PM in 25m
NCAA-B | Georgia Tech vs Nebraska
Play on: Nebraska -121 at Draft Kings

Georgia Tech vs Nebraska Free Pick December 9, 2020
The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are owners of one of the highest-scoring averages in the nation, but a 123-120 quadruple overtime game is skewing these stats severely.
The Yellow Jackets are 1-2 SU and ATS on the season and here they'll come up against a solid Nebraska squad that is 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS.
The Cornhuskers are coming off a much-needed break after playing four games in seven days. Coming this one, they'll be well-rested as they've not been in action since a 76-69 win over South Dakota on December 1.
The Yellow Jackets last played on December 6, an admittedly impressive 79-62 triumph as a 6.5-point underdog to then No. 20 Kentucky. I sense a potential letdown spot for Georgia Tech here, so I'm backing the home team Nebraska to get it done.
Free pick on Nebraska.

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Dave Price

Dec 09 '20, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Oklahoma vs Xavier
Play on: Oklahoma +100 at Buckeye

Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Oklahoma ML +100
The Key: The Xavier Musketeers are coming off their huge rivalry game in a 77-69 upset win at Cincinnati on Sunday. This game has letdown written all over it, especially with their Big East conference opener against Providence on deck Saturday. Expect them to lose to Oklahoma here. The Musketeers are 6-0 but could easily be 3-3 or worse. Four of their 6 wins have come by 8 points or less, including three by 3 points or fewer over Bradley (51-50), Toledo (76-73) and Eastern Kentucky (99-96). Oklahoma is loaded this year with 3 returning starters led by seniors Brady Manek (21.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG) and Austin Reaves (20.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG). These two averages 29.1 PPG combined last year and have taken their games to the next level this year. Sophomore De’Vion Harmon (17.5 PPG) has also taken a big leap after not scoring more than 14 points in any game once last year. The Musketeers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games against a team with a winning record. Take Oklahoma.

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Mike Williams

Dec 09 '20, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Southern Utah vs Utah Valley
Play on: Southern Utah -3 -110 at William Hill

1* on Southern Utah -3 -110

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Dustin Hawkins

Dec 09 '20, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Southern Utah vs Utah Valley
Play on: Southern Utah -3½ -112 at Draft Kings

1 Dimer on Southern Utah -3½ -112

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Black Widow

Dec 09 '20, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Boise State vs BYU
Play on: Boise State +5 -109 at Draft Kings

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Boise State +5 -109

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Ray Monohan

Dec 09 '20, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | California vs Pepperdine
Play on: Pepperdine -4 -110 at Mirage

Pepperdine -4
We backed Pepperdine earlier this season and it worked out well for us. This team returns a lot of starters and have the ability to really put the pressure on opposing defenses with their speed. Cal has struggled going just 2-3 out of the gates with some very sub par wins thus far. Look for Pepperdine to control the pace of play and really look to get out in transition and run.
Back Pepperdine.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Wednesday 5* Free CBB ATS Play