Tuesday 12/15/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    #16
    Jeff Alexander

    Dec 15 '20, 9:00 PM in 1h
    NCAA-B | Furman vs Alabama
    Play on: OVER 154 -110

    1* CBB - Furman/Alabama *FREE PICK* on OVER 154
    This total has gone up a few points since it opened, but I still think we are getting a good price. If you have watched Alabama at all this year or last season, you know this team likes to push the tempo. Last year the Crimson Tide finished 4th in the country in adjusted tempo. They were also 6th in average possession length. This year they are 9th in tempo and 3rd in poss. length.
    They did score just 56 last time out against Clemson and only 64 against Stanford earlier in the year, but both those were on a neutral floor against two really good defenses. Cardinal rank 8th in defensive adjusted efficiency and the Tigers are 2nd. In their other 3 games they have scored 80+.
    I also think the numbers are down simply cause the Tide haven't made shots so far this season. They are shooting just 40.1% from the field and a dismal 29.1% from deep.
    This matchup against Furman will definitely present a pace to eclipse this total. The Paladins will gladly play at Alabama's frantic pace. Furman ranks 27th in avg. poss. length. They are also 55th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 19th in effective FG%.
    Furman has played just one team ranked inside the Top 200 and that's Cincinnati. That game saw 151 points and the Bearcats rank 166th in tempo and 236th in avg. poss length. They let Cincinnati shoot 56% from the field.
    These two combined for 154 points in a matchup last season and that was with Furman shooting a mere 30.9% from the field. They also got to 154 with a mere 65 points in the 1st half (went off for 89 in the 2nd half). Bet the OVER 154!
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358391

      #17
      Mike Williams

      Dec 15 '20, 9:00 PM in 1h
      NCAA-B | Furman vs Alabama
      Play on: Alabama -5 -110 at Mirage

      1* on Alabama -5 -110
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358391

        #18
        Kenny Walker

        Dec 15 '20, 9:00 PM in 1h
        NCAA-B | Furman vs Alabama
        Play on: Alabama -5 -110 at Mirage

        Free Pick on Alabama
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358391

          #19
          Bryan Leonard

          Dec 15 '20, 9:00 PM in 1h
          NCAA-B | Furman vs Alabama
          Play on: OVER 155 -108

          633 Furman at Alabama
          Total moved up this morning which took this from a selection to a free play. That said, we still feel this game will be a shootout. Furman has posted totals in this neighborhood despite not playing a team that plays a fast pace like Alabama. The Paladins have excellent guard play that set this team up with quality shots, all that you can ask for against a team that likes to run.
          Alabama ranks 12th in the country in adjusted tempo, and that includes games against #302 Clemson and #266 Providence. The Tide wants to run and Furman will take that type of contest.
          PLAY OVER
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358391

            #20
            Black Widow

            Dec 15 '20, 10:00 PM in 2h
            NCAA-B | Eastern Washington vs St. Mary's
            Play on: Eastern Washington +9 -110 at Mirage

            1* Free Wiseguy Play on Eastern Washington +9 -110
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358391

              #21
              NCAAB

              Tuesday, December 15


              St Bonaventure @ Akron
              St Bonaventure
              — 5 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
              — picked 5th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
              — ranked #74 by KenPom
              — First game this year for St Bonaventure
              — Deep, experienced, talented team.
              — Last five years: 62-28 in A-14 games.

              Akron (1-0)
              — 1 starter back from LY’s 24-7 team
              — picked 2nd in MAC by Blue Ribbon
              — ranked #144 by KenPom
              — Akron beat an NAIA team by 48 in their opener.
              — Zips went 24-7 LY, with four senior starters.
              — Akron won 21+ games 13 of last 15 years.

              Stanford @ Cal-Northridge
              Stanford (2-2)
              — Experience: #225
              — Tempo: #121
              — Continuity: #23
              — ranked #31 by KenPom
              — Cardinal won by 32 in only game vs team ranked outside top 100.
              — Stanford’s two losses were to North Carolina, Indiana

              Cal-Northridge (3-1)
              — Experience: #273
              — Tempo: #79
              — Continuity: #220
              — ranked #278 by KenPom
              — Matadors beat Seattle by by 11, Pepperdine by 5.
              — Northridge is #32 in ball security; they’re shooting 27.9% on arc (#260).

              Buffalo @ Miami OH
              Buffalo (2-2)
              — Experience: #31
              — Tempo: #30
              — Continuity: #90
              — ranked #134 by KenPom
              — Buffalo lost by 4 to Army, by 8 at Bowling Green.
              — Bulls are shooting 26.4% on arc (#276), 60.5% on foul line (#283).

              Miami OH (3-1)
              — Experience: #113
              — Tempo: #295
              — Continuity:#48
              — ranked #230 by KenPom
              — Miami beat two Summit teams at home; lost by 24 at Wright State.
              — Miami is shooting 29.5% on arc (#233), 41.8% inside arc (#283).

              — Buffalo had won four in row vs Miami, but lost to RedHawks in MAC tourney LY.

              Clemson @ Virginia Tech
              Clemson (5-0)
              — Experience: #187
              — Tempo: #312
              — Continuity: #74
              — ranked #19 by KenPom
              — Clemson is forcing turnovers 27.8% of time (#12)
              — Tigers have #36 eFG% defense in country.
              — Clemson already has four top 90 wins.

              Virginia Tech (4-1)
              — Experience: #172
              — Tempo: #343
              — Continuity: #129
              — ranked #46 by KenPom
              — Tech lost its last game, by 20 at home to Penn State.
              — Hokies were over .500 in ACC four of last five years.

              — Virginia Tech won six of last seven games with Clemson.

              Charlotte @ Davidson
              Charlotte (1-3)
              — Experience: #171
              — Tempo: #345
              — Continuity: #178
              — ranked #192 by KenPom
              — Charlotte’s three losses are by 9-11-4 points.
              — 49ers have played schedule #265; this is best team they’ve played.

              Davidson (3-2)
              — Experience: #170
              — Tempo: #352
              — Continuity: #40
              — ranked #70 by KenPom
              — Davidson’s three wins are by 9-4-32 points.
              — Wildcats are shooting 40.2% on the arc (#23)

              — Schools are 22 miles apart; local rivalry.
              — Charlotte beat Davidson LY, ending 6-game series skid.

              Minnesota @ Illinois
              Minnesota (6-0)
              — Experience: #114
              — Tempo: #66
              — Continuity: #158
              — ranked #42 by KenPom
              — Gophers have played schedule #244, not very strong.
              — This is Minnesota’s first game away from home.

              Illinois (4-2)
              — Experience: #211
              — Tempo: #94
              — Continuity: #38
              — ranked #16 by KenPom
              — Illini’s losses are to Baylor/Missouri, giving up 82-81 points.
              — Illinois won by 15 at Duke; beat Ohio U by a hoop.

              — Illinois won five of last eight series games.

              Wichita State @ Tulsa
              Wichita State (1-2)
              — Experience: #87
              — Tempo: #232
              — Continuity: #203
              — ranked #100 by KenPom
              — Shockers lost last two games, scoring 62-64 points.
              — Wichita’s only win was 85-80 over Oral Roberts.

              Tulsa (1-2)
              — Experience: #42
              — Tempo: #257
              — Continuity: #188
              — ranked #54 by KenPom
              — Tulsa is turning ball over 23.3% of time (#271)
              — Tulsa scored 65-58 points in losses to South Carolina/TCU

              Indiana State @ Saint Louis
              Indiana State (1-1)
              — Experience: #165
              — Tempo: #150
              — Continuity: #89
              — ranked #137 by KenPom
              — Sycamores lost only D-I game by 12 at Purdue.
              — Purdue shot 63% inside arc vs Indiana State.

              Saint Louis (4-0)
              — Experience: #150
              — Tempo: #260
              — Continuity: #28
              — ranked #37 by KenPom
              — Billikens beat LSU by 4; whacked three stiffs.
              — Saint Louis is forcing turnovers 28.7% of time (#8)
              — Billikens have made 46.4% of their 3’s (#5)

              Georgia Tech @ Florida State
              Georgia Tech (2-2)
              — Experience: #6
              — Tempo: #235
              — Continuity: #13
              — ranked #71 by KenPom
              — Tech beat Kentucky/Nebraska in last two games.
              — Tech lost a 4OT game to Georgia State in its opener.

              Florida State (3-0)
              — Experience: #102
              — Tempo: #139
              — Continuity: #93
              — ranked #12 by KenPom
              — FSU beat Indiana/Florida in its last two games.
              — Seminoles are forcing turnovers 26.6% of time (#15)

              — Florida State won last four series games, all by 10+ points.

              Furman @ Alabama
              Furman (5-1)
              — Experience: #100
              — Tempo: #185
              — Continuity: #18
              — ranked #67 by KenPom.
              — Only two of Furman’s wins are against D-I teams.
              — Furman’s two wins are over teams #315/#201.

              Alabama (3-2)
              — Experience: #80
              — Tempo: #9
              — Continuity: #150
              — ranked #51 by KenPom.
              — Alabama was held to 64-56 points in its two losses (Stanford/Clemson).
              — Crimson Tide scored 81+ points in its wins.
              — Almost half (46.9%) of their shots are 3-pointers.

              Kansas State @ Iowa State
              Kansas State (2-4)
              — Experience: #297
              — Tempo: #347
              — Continuity: #239
              — ranked #156 by KenPom
              — K-State’s wins are over teams #287/#255
              — Wildcats lost to a D-II team, Ft Hays State.
              — K-State is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#239)

              Iowa State (1-2)
              — Experience: #109
              — Tempo: #205
              — Continuity: #256
              — ranked #78 by KenPom
              — Cyclones lost last two games, to South Dakota State/Iowa.
              — Iowa State is shooting 58.3% inside arc.

              — Iowa State won three of last five series games.

              Eastern Washington @ Saint Mary’s
              Eastern Washington (1-3)
              — Experience: #125
              — Tempo: #43
              — Continuity: #32
              — ranked #138 by KenPom
              — Eagles’ losses are to Pac-12 teams, by 3-3-17 points.
              — EWU’s only win was over an NAIA team.
              — Eagles are shooting 27.6% on arc (#262).

              Saint Mary’s (6-1)
              — Experience: #255
              — Tempo: #353
              — Continuity:#202
              — ranked #66 by KenPom
              — Gaels won last six games; they lost their opener to Memphis.
              — Saint Mary’s best two wins: Northern Iowa, South Dakota State

              Loyola Chi @ Wisconsin
              Loyola Chi (3-0)
              — Experience: #59
              — Tempo: #300
              — Continuity: #17
              — ranked #52 by KenPom
              — Ramblers’ D-I wins are by 37-11 points.
              — Loyola made 42.1% of its 3’s so far (#15)

              Wisconsin (4-1)
              — Experience: #45
              — Tempo: #338
              — Continuity: #22
              — ranked #7 by KenPom
              — Badgers’ only loss was by hoop at #31 Marquette.
              — Badgers’ best win was by 11 over #73 Rhode Island.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358391

                #22
                Tony Mejia

                Event: (224617) Libertad Asuncion at (224618) Palmeiras
                Sport/League: SOC
                Date/Time: December 15, 2020 7PM EST
                Play: Palmeiras -1.25 (-114)
                Palmeiras scored late in the first half in Asuncion last week to give itself a great opportunity to advance to the Copa Libertadores semifinals, securing an away goal before Paraguay’s top club equalized through Matias Espinoza. The game got nervy for the Brazilian side since Libertad was far better in the second half, but a change of venue is set to complicate matters enough that Palmeiras should advance comfortably. Defender Gustavo Gomez, who came up at Libertad and captains Paraguay’s National Team, scored for Palmeiras and will be at center back in Sao Paulo playing his customary key role. The Brazilian squad has overcome a COVID-19 outbreak and have talented goal scorers Luiz Adriano and Gabriel Veron up front. Ride Palmeiras to win by more than a goal over Libertad and lay the 1.25 goals.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358391

                  #23
                  Bryan Leonard

                  Event: (633) Furman at (634) Alabama
                  Sport/League: CBB
                  Date/Time: December 15, 2020 9PM EST
                  Play: Total Over 155.5 (-110)
                  633 Furman at Alabama
                  Total moved up this morning which took this from a selection to a free play. That said, we still feel this game will be a shootout. Furman has posted totals in this neighborhood despite not playing a team that plays a fast pace like Alabama. The Paladins have excellent guard play that set this team up with quality shots, all that you can ask for against a team that likes to run.
                  Alabama ranks 12th in the country in adjusted tempo, and that includes games against #302 Clemson and #266 Providence. The Tide wants to run and Furman will take that type of contest.
                  PLAY OVER
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358391

                    #24
                    Mike Wynn

                    Free Pick: Western Carolina +15 over VCU
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358391

                      #25
                      Jim Feist

                      Jim Feist's Comp Pick, TUESDAY DECEMBER 15, 2020

                      12/15 06:00 PM PT / 9:00 PM ET

                      CB (639) LONG BEACH STATE VS (640) UCLA

                      Take: (640) UCLA

                      Reason: Normally don't like laying this much wood in a game, but the Long Beach State 49ers have already proved they can't matchup up with the big boys on the road. They are coming off a blowout loss at San Francisco last game, 62-107 as 16-point dogs. Now, they play an even better UCLA team. Granted, it's more in their backyard, but still, UCLA should have little trouble with this 49ers team here today. Your free play is on UCLA.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358391

                        #26
                        Razor Sharp

                        YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: BUFFALO -3 over Miami-OH
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358391

                          #27
                          Totals4U

                          Tuesday's Free Selection: Minnesota/Illinois under 148
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358391

                            #28
                            Roz Wins

                            ROZ's TUESDAY, DECEMBER 15, 2020
                            Free Pick

                            CBK
                            642. St Mary's -8.5 (7 PT / 10 ET)
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358391

                              #29
                              Atlantic Sports

                              Tuesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Furman Paladins + 5 1/2
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358391

                                #30
                                #1 Sports

                                Tuesday's Free Play: Virginia Commonwealth Rams - 15
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