Friday 12/18/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372290

    #16
    NCAAF
    Long Sheet


    Friday, December 18

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UAB (5 - 3) at MARSHALL (7 - 1) - 12/18/2020, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BALL ST (5 - 1) vs. BUFFALO (5 - 0) - 12/18/2020, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUFFALO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    BALL ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (3 - 1) at USC (5 - 0) - 12/18/2020, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372290

      #17
      NCAAF

      Week 16


      Trend Report

      Friday, December 18

      Nebraska @ Rutgers
      Nebraska
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 7 games
      Rutgers
      Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      Rutgers is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games

      Alabama-Birmingham @ Marshall
      Alabama-Birmingham
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 7 games when playing Marshall
      Alabama-Birmingham is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      Marshall
      Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

      Ball State @ Buffalo
      Ball State
      Ball State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
      Buffalo
      Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

      Purdue @ Indiana
      Purdue
      Purdue is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
      The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Purdue's last 18 games on the road
      Indiana
      Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
      Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

      Washington @ Southern California
      Washington
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Southern California
      Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
      Southern California
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern California's last 5 games when playing Washington
      Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372290

        #18
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

        Fair Grounds - Race 5
        Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
        Maiden Claiming $50,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 70 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 2:56P
        FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000, FOR EACH $5,000 TO $40,000 2 LBS.
        Contenders
        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds

        Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * POIRIER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DIRECTIONAL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BIRTHDAY PARTY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LOVING LUCKY: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
        7
        POIRIER
        8/1
        9/2
        5
        DIRECTIONAL
        8/1
        6/1
        4
        FIELDSTONE
        8/1
        8/1
        1A
        BIRTHDAY PARTY
        7/2
        9/1
        2
        LOVING LUCKY
        4/1
        10/1

        P#
        Horse (In Running Style Order)
        Post
        Morn
        Line
        Running Style
        Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure
        Finish Figure
        Platinum
        Figure
        5
        DIRECTIONAL
        5
        8/1
        Front-runner
        0
        0
        69.2
        58.8
        49.8
        1A
        BIRTHDAY PARTY
        8
        7/2
        Alternator/Front-runner
        0
        0
        73.0
        55.9
        45.4
        6
        CODY'S LEGACY
        6
        8/1
        Alternator/Stalker
        0
        0
        57.8
        57.8
        47.8
        7
        POIRIER
        7
        8/1
        Alternator/Stalker
        73
        64
        56.7
        56.7
        48.7
        1
        RIGHTANDJUST
        2
        7/2
        Trailer
        0
        0
        64.5
        64.5
        62.5
        4
        FIELDSTONE
        4
        8/1
        Trailer
        77
        61
        54.8
        54.8
        44.8
        8
        OLYMPIC CHAMPION
        9
        20/1
        Trailer
        0
        0
        29.4
        50.2
        35.7
        3
        SMOKEY HARBOR
        3
        8/1
        Alternator/Trailer
        0
        0
        49.3
        49.3
        37.8
        9
        HARRISON'S ROSE
        10
        20/1
        Alternator/Trailer
        0
        0
        35.1
        35.1
        23.1
        Unknown Running Style: LOVING LUCKY (4/1) [Jockey: Bridgmohan Shaun - Trainer: Cox Brad H], ACTION SEEKER (9/2) [Jockey: Hernandez Jr Brian J - Trainer: Calhoun W Bret].
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372290

          #19
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway Park



          Turfway Park - Race 3
          Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / 20 cent Single 6 Jackpot (Races 3-4-5-6-7-8)
          Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up CR: 79 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:15P
          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ONWARD: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Ho rse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. CHANNEL STUFFER: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DOUBLE ADVANTAGE: Hors e has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
          7
          ONWARD
          2/1
          5/1
          5
          CHANNEL STUFFER
          10/1
          5/1
          14
          DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
          5/1
          7/1

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          8
          FINAL DELIVERY
          8
          15/1
          Front-runner
          77
          73
          72.8
          60.8
          42.3
          4
          MOON DOG SPOT
          4
          6/1
          Front-runner
          78
          71
          71.6
          66.4
          54.4
          9
          I PROWL ALONE
          9
          20/1
          Front-runner
          70
          73
          71.4
          58.4
          47.9
          7
          ONWARD
          7
          2/1
          Alternator/Front-runner
          86
          87
          79.2
          71.0
          64.0
          2
          JIMMYS LIFESTYLE
          2
          3/1
          Alternator/Front-runner
          61
          88
          42.7
          58.8
          37.8
          3
          REED O'PRADO
          3
          12/1
          Stalker
          72
          66
          47.4
          56.2
          35.2
          5
          CHANNEL STUFFER
          5
          10/1
          Trailer
          92
          76
          55.9
          63.5
          60.0
          10
          ORANGE PUNCH
          10
          6/1
          Trailer
          77
          75
          44.7
          54.3
          45.3
          1
          GRAND HIDEAWAY
          1
          30/1
          Trailer
          73
          63
          31.8
          47.0
          30.5
          6
          ITASCA
          6
          12/1
          Trailer
          74
          63
          27.6
          64.9
          55.9
          14
          DOUBLE ADVANTAGE
          14
          5/1
          Alternator/Trailer
          70
          68
          48.3
          74.9
          65.9
          11
          SKY MIKE
          11
          20/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          74
          75
          64.4
          55.6
          38.1
          12
          IRON MIKE
          12
          30/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          61
          54
          61.4
          49.2
          22.7
          13
          LAS ANA
          13
          30/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          78
          75
          15.0
          52.2
          27.7
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372290

            #20
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



            Penn National - Race #9 - Post: 9:28pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 57

            Rating:

            #7 MORE THUNDER (ML=4/1)


            MORE THUNDER - Jockey hops back on board after getting to know the horse by riding in the last race. That's always a good indicator. Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. This gelding should be at the fitness peak, this far into his form cycle.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #8 STRAITOUTA CONGTIN (ML=9/5), #9 TRUSTED REDEMPTION (ML=3/1),

            STRAITOUTA CONGTIN - Tough to like the downward flow (63/54/48) of speed figs. You always think this horse has a shot to be victorious, but he just misses often. TRUSTED REDEMPTION - Pace makes the race and the lack of pace means this come from behinder will have to rally without any help.



            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #7 MORE THUNDER is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
            EXACTA WAGERS: 7 with 4

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            None
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372290

              #21
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.




              Race 2 - Allowance - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 85

              QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 5 HIS LOUISIANA DREAM 4/1
              # 1 MASONS JET BLACK 2/1
              # 6 TM DEES SHINE 7/2
              HIS LOUISIANA DREAM looks very strong to best this field. Should best this group here, showing quite good figures of late. Is a solid choice - given the 80 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. The average class fig alone makes this one a solid choice. MASONS JET BLACK - Should keep the impressive string of finish positions intact today. Last time out, this gelding was up against a stronger bunch. TM DEES SHINE - Earned a formidable speed fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. Has run admirably when travelling a longer quarter horse race.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372290

                #22
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs





                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19950 Class Rating: 91

                FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 4 ITALIAN JUSTICE 4/1
                # 7 TEE EM EYE 7/2
                # 3 FOXY MISCHIEF 3/1
                I've got to go with ITALIAN JUSTICE. With Camacho getting the mount, watch out for this horse. Should come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved promptly to the lead recently. Her 80 average has this filly with among the most competitive Equibase speed figs in this contest. TEE EM EYE - She has been running well recently while recording very solid Equibase Speed Figs. Ran a very solid last race. FOXY MISCHIEF - Sweezey has a solid 19 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372290

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                  Gulfstream Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:35pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 67

                  Rating:

                  #8 SMARTY QUEEN (ML=5/1)


                  SMARTY QUEEN - If you review the PP's for this horse, you'll see she has recorded the top speed rating at the distance and surface. A repeat effort in today's race and this horse has a superb chance to win. Running 7 1/2 furlongs on the grass, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This thoroughbred has the tops in the bunch. The last speed rating of 69 is the best last race speed rating in the bunch.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #9 MY MISS MIRACLE (ML=7/2), #3 LULLULA (ML=4/1), #5 KATIESDREAMGIRL (ML=9/2),

                  MY MISS MIRACLE - 7/2 is not enough of a price to take on this horse. LULLULA - Not the best 'situation' in this event. KATIESDREAMGIRL - Should have at least finished in the money in the last two months in a short distance clash to be worth a shot at minimal odds in a sprint.

                  GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SMARTY QUEEN - I'm making a wager on this filly. She has the top TrackMaster Power Rating and big odds.





                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #8 SMARTY QUEEN to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
                  EXACTA WAGERS: 8 with [3,4]

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  8 with [3,4] with [3,4,9,12] Total Cost: $6
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: 8 with [3,4,9] with [1,3,4,9,12] with [1,3,4,9,12] Total Cost: $36

                  SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
                  8 with [3,4] with [3,4,9,12] with [1,3,4,9,12] with [1,3,4,9,12] Total Cost: $36
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372290

                    #24
                    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds



                    12/18/20, FG, Race 7, 3.54 CT
                    12/18/20,FG,7,1M 70Y [Dirt] 1:41:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $47,000 (includes up to $4,000 Other Sources) (plus up to $4,000 ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Their Last 3 Starts).
                    . . . .
                    Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                    After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
                    100.0000 1A Divine Comedy 7/2 Geroux F Cox Brad H. JT 632 31.80 1.13/$1
                    097.5215 8 Total Malice(b+) 10/1 Murrill M Forster Grant T. W 632 31.80 1.13/$1
                    097.3559 7 Take Charge Lorin 7/2 Court J K Stewart Dallas C 632 31.80 1.13/$1
                    096.8593 5 Wicked Bisou 5/1 Graham J Amoss Thomas M. 632 31.80 1.13/$1
                    095.2574 1 Carbis Bay(b+) 7/2 Suarez A Stidham Michael E 460 30.65 1.18/$1
                    093.5084 4 Empress Catherine 5/2 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. SFL 632 31.80 1.13/$1
                    091.4513 6 Prominently 6/1 Saez G DeVaux Cherie 632 31.80 1.13/$1
                    091.4278 3 Brest Fortress 30/1 Riquelme J Dorochenko Gennadi 632 31.80 1.13/$1
                    089.1411 2 Taptime 15/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Sharp Joe 632 31.80 1.13/$1
                    Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.75, ROI 0.95/$1
                    . . . .
                    100.0000 1A Divine Comedy
                    [Category]Condition
                    [AllCategories]*NotActualPost1
                    *Scratches may change this condition
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372290

                      #25
                      193LA MONROE -194 TROY
                      LA MONROE is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.

                      195UAB -196 MARSHALL
                      UAB is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

                      197BALL ST -198 BUFFALO
                      BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

                      201GEORGIA TECH -202 MIAMI
                      MIAMI is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) off upset loss vs conference foe since 1992.

                      203FLORIDA ST -204 WAKE FOREST
                      WAKE FOREST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs bad defenses (>31 PPG) in the last 3 seasons.

                      205AIR FORCE -206 ARMY
                      ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against the Mountain West since 1992.

                      207NEBRASKA -208 RUTGERS
                      RUTGERS are 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.

                      209PURDUE -210 INDIANA
                      INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

                      211MINNESOTA -212 WISCONSIN
                      WISCONSIN is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

                      215MICHIGAN -216 IOWA
                      MICHIGAN is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

                      217MICHIGAN ST -218 MARYLAND
                      MICHIGAN ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 372290

                        #26
                        Tech Trends - Week 16
                        Bruce Marshall

                        Week 16 of the College Football season kicks off on Friday, Dec. 18 and concludes on Saturday, Dec. 19.

                        We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS matchups and focus on the 10 Championships on tap.

                        We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

                        Friday, Dec. 18

                        UAB at Marshall (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

                        Conference USA Title Game
                        John C Edwards Stadium, Huntington, West Virginia
                        After recent overachieving vs. the line, UAB tailed off in 2020, just 2-6 vs. spread
                        Blazers also no covers in their last five

                        Tech Edge: Slight to Marshall, based on recent trends.

                        Ball State at Buffalo (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
                        MAC Championship
                        Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
                        Buffalo covered 4 of 5 while recording an unbeaten 5-0 SU mark this season
                        Upping head coach Lance Leipold’s spread mark to 30-13-3 the last three+ seasons

                        Tech Edge: Buffalo, based on team trends.

                        Oregon at USC (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)
                        Pac-12 Championship
                        L.A. Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
                        Ducks no covers last three in 2020
                        USC 3-0 last three games vs. the spread
                        Trojans “under” 4-1 this season

                        Tech Edge: Slight to USC and “under,” based on recent team and “totals” trends

                        Nebraska at Rutgers (Big Ten, 4:00 p.m. ET)
                        Scarlet Knights an improved 5-3 vs. line this season in head coach Greg Schiano debut.
                        Huskers 6-13-1 vs. line for Frost since last season

                        Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on team trends.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 372290

                          #27
                          College Football Odds Week 16: Opening Lines and Sharp Money
                          Patrick Everson

                          Quarterback Ian Book and Notre Dame look to beat Clemson for the second time this season when the two teams meet Saturday in the ACC title game. But with Trevor Lawrence healthy, Clemson is -9.5.

                          College football odds for Week 16 are up and drawing dollars, with conference championship games dotting the schedule. Clemson gets a shot at revenge against Notre Dame in the ACC title tilt, while COVID issues forced Washington out of, and Oregon into, the Pac-12 finale against USC.

                          FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 16 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

                          UAB at (21) Marshall Odds
                          Opening line
                          Marshall -5.5, Over/Under 41.5

                          Why the line moved
                          FanDuel opened the Thundering Herd 5.5-point home favorites in the Conference USA championship game, and the number is still Marshall -5.5 Monday night. Marshall is taking 86 percent of early tickets and 74 percent of early money. The total bounced from 41.5 to 42.5 and back to 41.5, but FanDuel's betting splits aren't yet available.

                          Ball State vs Buffalo Odds
                          Opening line
                          Buffalo -11.5, Over/Under 66.5

                          Why the line moved
                          Buffalo is already up two points Monday night at Fanduel, sitting at -13.5 for the Mid-American Conference title game at Detroit's Ford Field. The Bulls are drawing 86 percent of tickets and 97 percent of money. The total is steady at 66.5, though practically all the tickets and dollars through Monday night are on the Over.

                          (23) Oregon at (13) USC Odds
                          Opening line
                          Southern Cal -3.5, Over/Under 62.5

                          Why the line moved
                          Oregon is a substitute invitee to Friday night's Pac-12 championship game, after Washington had to withdraw Monday due to COVID issues within the program. Host USC opened -3.5 and remains there late Monday evening on some interesting early betting splits: 78 percent of tickets are on the Trojans, while 79 percent of money is on the Ducks.

                          The total is down a point to 61.5, though the early splits don't reflect that, with 87 percent of tickets and pretty much every dollar on the Over.
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 372290

                            #28
                            NCAAF

                            Week 16


                            Friday’s games
                            Ball State (5-1) vs Buffalo (5-0) (Ford Field, Detroit)

                            — Ball State won its last five games, after losing their opener.
                            — Cardinals gave 449+ TY in three of last five games.
                            — Ball State has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                            — Cardinals have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Ball State has a senior QB with 24 starts.
                            — This is Ball State’s first winning season since 2013.

                            — Buffalo scored 42+ points in winningly five of its games.
                            — Bulls ran for 1,339 yards in their last three games.
                            — Buffalo has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                            — Bulls have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Buffalo has a soph QB with ten career starts.
                            — Bulls lost MAC title game 30-29 to Bowling Green in 2018.

                            — Ball State won seven of last nine series games; last meeting was 2017.

                            Oregon (3-2) @ USC (5-0)
                            — Oregon lost its last two games, after a 3-0 start.
                            — Ducks lost two of three road games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
                            — Oregon has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                            — Ducks have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Oregon has a soph QB with five starts.
                            — Ducks are in this game because of Washington’s COVID issues.
                            — Oregon beat Utah 37-15 in LY’s Pac-12 title game.

                            — USC has three wins by five or fewer points.
                            — Trojans are scoring 35.2 ppg this season.
                            — Last four games, USC is +8 in turnovers.
                            — Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                            — USC has 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Trojans have a soph QB has started 16 games.
                            — USC won Pac-12 title game in 2017, lost it in 2015, both vs Stanford.

                            — Oregon won five of last seven series games; they whacked USC 56-24 LY.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 372290

                              #29
                              NCAAB

                              Friday, December 18


                              Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona
                              Eastern Washington (1-4)
                              — Experience: #149
                              — Tempo: #42
                              — Continuity: #26
                              — ranked #135 by KenPom
                              — EWU is 0-4 vs D-I teams, but they played three Pac-12 teams, Saint Mary’s.
                              — Eagles lost by 3 at Arizona, 5 at Saint Mary’s, 3 at Washington State.
                              — EWU has played #12 schedule; they beat an NAIA team.

                              Northern Arizona (0-3)
                              — Experience: #274
                              — Tempo: #272
                              — Continuity: #172
                              — ranked #334 by KenPom
                              — NAU lost its first three games, by 43-24-49 points.
                              — Lumberjacks’ eFG% ratings: #321 on offense, #322 on defense.
                              — These teams play again here Saturday.

                              — Eastern Washington won last six series games, last five by 10+ points.

                              Central Michigan @ Western Michigan
                              Central Michigan (3-3)
                              — Experience: #80
                              — Tempo: #28
                              — Continuity: #292
                              — ranked #231 by KenPom
                              — CMU won its last three games, beating WIU by 6, Valparaiso by 5.
                              — Chippewas lost to Flagler by 19, a red flag- Flagler is D-II

                              Western Michigan (1-4)
                              — Experience: #185
                              — Tempo: #320
                              — Continuity:#100
                              — ranked #259 by KenPom
                              — WMU is 0-4 vs D-I teams, scoring 60.8 ppg.
                              — Broncos are shooting 42.8% inside arc (#282)

                              — Central Michigan won last six series games.

                              North Dakota @ Southern Illinois
                              North Dakota (1-6)
                              — Experience: #277
                              — Tempo: #294
                              — Continuity: #248
                              — ranked #256 by KenPom
                              — UND lost three in row, six of seven games overall.
                              — Fighting Hawks are shooting 31.1% on arc (#209).

                              Southern Illinois (4-0)
                              — Experience: #307
                              — Tempo: #243
                              — Continuity: #202
                              — ranked #163 by KenPom
                              — SIU has made half (38-76) of its 3’s this season.
                              — Salukis beat SE Missouri in OT, beat Murray State by 4.

                              — Salukis won this game 85-64 yesterday; SIU made 10-16 shots on the arc.

                              Fairfield @ Niagara
                              Fairfield (1-5, 1-1)
                              — Experience: #187
                              — Tempo: #283
                              — Continuity: #155
                              — ranked #311 by KenPom
                              — Stags split pair with Iona last week, their only win this year.
                              — Fairfield is 1-5, despite having played schedule #260.
                              — Fairfield is turning ball over 22.6% of game (#257).

                              Niagara (0-3, 0-2)
                              — Experience: #26
                              — Tempo: #271
                              — Continuity: #47
                              — ranked #264 by KenPom
                              — Niagara is shooting 34.7% inside arc (#329), 25.7% on arc (#290)
                              — Purple Eagles are scoring only 49.3 ppg.
                              — Niagara got swept by MAAC rival Saint Peter’s last week.

                              — Fairfield is 8-3 in last 11 series games; home side won last six regular season meetings.

                              BYU @ San Diego State
                              BYU (6-2)
                              — Experience: #71
                              — Tempo: #115
                              — Continuity: #250
                              — ranked #77 by KenPom
                              — BYU is 3-2 vs top 100 teams, losing USC by 26, Boise State by 4.
                              — Cougars won 67-64 at Utah State, in their only true road game.
                              — BYU is turning ball over 22.3% of time (#243).

                              San Diego State (5-0)
                              — Experience: #9
                              — Tempo: #323
                              — Continuity: #130
                              — ranked #28 by KenPom
                              — Aztecs already have wins over UCLA, Arizona State.
                              — San Diego State forces turnovers 25.2% of time (#25).

                              — Aztecs beat BYU last two years, by 5-9 points.

                              Saint Peter’s @ Monmouth
                              Saint Peter’s (4-2, 2-0)
                              — Experience: #276
                              — Tempo: #280
                              — Continuity: #64
                              — ranked #165 by KenPom
                              — Peacocks swept Niagara last week, giving up 49-54 points.
                              — Saint Peters’ only losses are to St John’s, Maryland.
                              — Peacocks allowed 55.5 ppg in their four wins.

                              Monmouth (0-1)
                              — Experience: #16
                              — Tempo: #16
                              — Continuity: #59
                              — ranked #192 by KenPom
                              — Monmouth lost its opener 96-88 to Hofstra Tuesday.
                              — Hofstra outscored the Hawks 29-9 on line, in Monmouth’s gym.
                              — Monmouth made 15-30 on arc, Hofstra 11-24.

                              — Saint Peter’s beat Monmouth twice LY, by 12-3 points.

                              SIU-Edwardsville @ Morehead State
                              SIU-Edwardsville (2-4)
                              — Experience: #316
                              — Tempo: #177
                              — Continuity: #186
                              — ranked #157 by KenPom
                              — SIU-E is 1-4 vs D-I teams, winning by 20 at Northern Illinois.
                              — Cougars haven’t played in nine days.
                              — SIU-E is turning ball over 24.8% of time (#296).

                              Morehead State (4-4, 1-1)
                              — Experience: #234
                              — Tempo: #330
                              — Continuity: #260
                              — ranked #294 by KenPom
                              — Morehead split a pair with Eastern Kentucky, to open OVC play.
                              — Three of Eagles’ four losses are to top 60 teams.
                              — Morehead also has two wins over an NAIA team.

                              — Morehead won three of last four series games.

                              Belmont @ Tennessee State
                              Belmont (6-1, 1-0)
                              — Experience: #253
                              — Tempo: #39
                              — Continuity: #192
                              — ranked #112 by KenPom
                              — Belmont won its last three games, by 15-10-11 points.
                              — Up to this point, Bruins have played schedule #294.
                              — Belmont beat TSU 79-64 at home Dec 8th, going 10-23 on arc.

                              Tennessee State (0-2, 0-1)
                              — Experience: #170
                              — Tempo: #54
                              — Continuity: #259
                              — ranked #292 by KenPom
                              — Tigers lost their first two games, scoring 64-66 points.
                              — TSU shot 7-38 on arc in its first two games.
                              — Tigers’ eFG% on offense is #297.

                              — Belmont won last six series games.

                              Iona @ Rider
                              Iona (2-3, 1-1)
                              — Experience: #223
                              — Tempo: #202
                              — Continuity: #266
                              — ranked #249 by KenPom
                              — Iona split pair of games with Fairfield last week.
                              — Gaels are turning ball over 22.9% of time (#268).
                              — Iona is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#104)

                              Rider (1-3, 1-1)
                              — Experience: #180
                              — Tempo: #142
                              — Continuity: #3-1
                              — ranked #263 by KenPom
                              — Rider split a pair with Manhattan last week.
                              — Broncs allowed 82+ points in all three of their losses.
                              — Rider has made 39% of its 3’s so far (#41).

                              — Iona won last four series games; their two wins over Rider LY were by total of four points.

                              Montana State @ Washington State
                              Montana State (2-1)
                              — Experience: #147
                              — Tempo: #164
                              — Continuity: #213
                              — ranked #189 by KenPom.
                              — Bobcats split pair of road games, losing in OT at Pacific.
                              — MSU has made 44.2% of their 3’s so far (#7)
                              — Bobcats won SU as a 12-point underdog at UNLV.

                              Washington State (5-0)
                              — Experience: #286
                              — Tempo: #211
                              — Continuity: #184
                              — ranked #149 by KenPom.
                              — Wazzu already has three Big Sky wins, by 3-3-9 points.
                              — Coogs have #10 eFG% defense in country.
                              — WSU plays lot of guys (#72 in bench minutes)

                              Iowa State @ West Virginia
                              Iowa State (1-3, 0-1)
                              — Experience: #115
                              — Tempo: #144
                              — Continuity: #270
                              — ranked #88 by KenPom
                              — ISU lost last three games, losing by 28 to Iowa, K-State by 9,
                              — 45% of their shots so far have been 3’s (32.4%, #171)
                              — Cyclones played only 7 guys in Tuesday’s home loss to K-State.

                              West Virginia (6-1)
                              — Experience: #148
                              — Tempo: #175
                              — Continuity: #23
                              — ranked #5 by KenPom
                              — WVU’s only loss was by 5 to Gonzaga.
                              — Mountaineers have played schedule #22.
                              — All seven of their games have been against top 100 teams.

                              — West Virginia won last three series games, by 6-15-15 points.

                              Northern Colorado @ Utah State
                              Northern Colorado (3-1)
                              — Experience: #128
                              — Tempo: #138
                              — Continuity: #98
                              — ranked #194 by KenPom
                              — Bears split two D-I games, beating Denver, getting waxed by Colorado.
                              — Northern turned ball over 27.2% of time in its D-I games.
                              — Bears are shooting 34.9% inside arc (#318)

                              Utah State (1-3)
                              — Experience: #251
                              — Tempo: #157
                              — Continuity:#148
                              — ranked #55 by KenPom
                              — Aggies haven’t played in ten days.
                              — State is 1-3 vs D-I teams; they’ve played schedule #44.
                              — Aggies’ defensive eFG% is #281.

                              Richmond vs Loyola Chi (@ Indianapolis)
                              Richmond (5-1)
                              — Experience: #12
                              — Tempo: #62
                              — Continuity: #8
                              — ranked #52 by KenPom
                              — Spiders had a solid road win at Vanderbilt Wednesday.
                              — Richmond has played schedule #68.
                              — Spiders’ only loss was by 16 at West Virginia.

                              Loyola Chi (3-1)
                              — Experience: #47
                              — Tempo: #276
                              — Continuity: #15
                              — ranked #56 by KenPom
                              — Ramblers beat three stiffs, then lost by 14 at Wisconsin.
                              — Loyola’s eFG% is #16 in country.
                              — To this point, Ramblers have played schedule #216.
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 372290

                                #30
                                811E WASHINGTON -812 N ARIZONA
                                N ARIZONA is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls since 1997.

                                813C MICHIGAN -814 W MICHIGAN
                                C MICHIGAN is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

                                815N DAKOTA -816 S ILLINOIS
                                S ILLINOIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

                                815N DAKOTA -816 S ILLINOIS
                                Bryan Mullins is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days (Coach of S ILLINOIS)

                                817FAIRFIELD -818 NIAGARA
                                Greg Paulus is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games (Coach of NIAGARA)

                                817FAIRFIELD -818 NIAGARA
                                NIAGARA is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

                                819BYU -820 SAN DIEGO ST
                                BYU is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

                                821ST PETERS -822 MONMOUTH
                                MONMOUTH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more since 1997.

                                823SIU EDWARDSVL -824 MOREHEAD ST
                                SIU EDWARDSVL is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) off a road loss in the last 3 seasons.

                                825DRAKE -826 S DAKOTA
                                S DAKOTA is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997.
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