Monday 12/21/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 05:44 AM

Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis

December 21, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, Pompano Park has a concise 9-race card set to go. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 6. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool with a 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

5-Mighty Surf (4-1)-Didn't have success at this level earlier in the meet but is in better form now. Simons did choose over the 3/9 and the Huff barn has been rolling, so using at a square price.
7-Keegan Ho (5-1)-Not including the program chalk #2 and will use this Plano trainee who won at this class on 11-30 at 6/5. Since then, has been competing in the Open Handicap with another pilot. Can take a picture tonight with a smooth journey.

Race 7

2-Creekside Pete (4-1)-Ships in from the Meadows and was facing tougher company. Last raced on 12/8 and will use in Pompano debut.
3-BJ Anthony (4-1)-Fits with this crew and Hennessey is back in the bike. Will toss the last 2 with amateur drivers and will look for a more aggressive steer.
6-Chocouture (9/2)-Form has been dull but has faced better. There was a gap between last 2 starts but now returns in 7 days and should like the company.
7-Timon As (3-1)-Another who drops, was facing straight $15K claimers and does come off a break in stride. Has won 3 of 9 starts at PPk and should be a player if minds manners.

Race 8

1-Serenity Cruise (2-1)-Beaten chalk could land in the post time favorite role again. Got on the engine and was in overdrive and then faded down the lane. Makes 5th PPk start and is looking for 1st picture. Should be a player at short odds.
2-Celebrity Miracle (7/2)-Beat the Open II kind on 12/7 at a nice price. Main issue is the breaking problem that has occurred in 3 of last 5 races. Winner of 9 in 27 this year and has 6 pictures at the Pomp, can beat this crew if minds manners.
4-Jack Rules (6-1)-Has done good work at this class. Could beat the two above and the rest if is put in play early. Should offer a solid price and 6-year-old has won 19 of 74 in south Florida.

Race 9

5-Jaded Dream (5/2)-Deserves to be on the ticket but is looking for 1st Pomp win in 5 starts this meet. Needs the right trip and did close nicely in last. Comes off the best recent effort and will look for upswing to continue.
6-Dads Filly (7-1)-Has been trying hard versus $7500 claimers and now drops. Has the gate speed to be put in play early and is well worth a swing at the morning line price.
10-Play To The Crowd (9/5)-Comes off a win as an odds-on favorite at this same class. Hennessey has won many from this post, but he will need to provide a good steer to do it tonight. There isn't much gate speed on the rail so may duck and make an early move.

0.50 Pick 4

5,7/2,3,6,7/1,2,4/5,6,10
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 05:45 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #3

#6 Desirade	She hasn't done much wrong through six starts, and she has carried that reliable finishing kick with her over several surfaces. Look for her late.
#7 Mila's Dream	Posted a nice score with better in the only local try, and she takes a drop into this spot for her first start since July. She looks like the one to beat, but probably at an underlaid price
#3 Daisy Jane	Has really come to hand in those recent starts, but those were her first tries on an off track, so she's probably going to need another wet surface to have any chance with these.
Race Summary	Desirade owns a big finishing kick, and there might be enough pace drawn near the inside to set things up for her. 9/2 ML price would seem fair.

Mountaineer - Race #6

#5 Cape Lookout	Forward player fits well here after a trio of tries with better, and he'll be in line for a really nice trip near the top. Guessing he'll bounce back here.
#2 Doctor Lee	He has been a fairly reliable type in recent starts, but he's going to give away a tactical edge to a few other players. Might be too late?
#4 Forest Chatter	He should get a great tracking trip with these, and he has some versatility to allow his rider to adapt to what happens out of the gate.
Race Summary	Cape Lookout has a pace edge on Doctor Lee, and that may make the difference in a spot where they seem otherwise in the same ballpark.

Mountaineer - Race #8

#3 Miz Machen	Didn't show up at all in the slop last time out, but the running lines prior to that were pretty solid. She's there at a price if she's able to rebound off the dud last out.
#8 Lady Licious	Was no match for this kind going two turns at Charles Town a few starts back, but she might be a better fit with the locals here, and she can get a decent trip from midpack.
#2 M J Gold	Tends to give away ground late, and while that's a concern when having her on top, she seems capable of sticking around for an underneath piece.
Race Summary	Miz Machen can get a decent trip from close range after the clunker last time out, and her previous form stacks up well enough in a soft race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 05:46 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #1

#2 Stern	Takes the big dip from maiden special to maiden claiming and the Elusive Quality filly looks like a front-end threat going long.
#4 Moonrise Kingdom	Was third in a sprint at a similar level and gets to stretch out again; Calhoun stable always tough here.
#3 Mine Redemption	Showed speed going short and fell back. Has similar form as the top choice and comes from Asmussen, the top barn at the track.
Race Summary	Stern is bred to take off going long and will go early from an inside post; likely to get a tough one with the lead.

Remington Park - Race #2

#7 E Ticket Ride	Lost a photo two back and was third last time out; can be close throughout and her experience running long should come into play.
#3 Miss Alpha Bella	Likes to be on the front end and will probably there at this distance; has lost some open leads in the closing yards and is overdue to stay. Might be tough if she gets away with slow fractions.
#4 Martz's Mae	Lost a photo going seven furlongs last tie and tries two turns; she didn't finish her only prior distance start, which came vs. quality maiden special foes at Oaklawn.
Race Summary	E Ticket Ride has been on the board in her last five races and should be able to get a good stalking trip; can be close to Miss Alpha Bella turning for home and should be able to fight it out today.

Remington Park - Race #4

#5 Staythirstymyamigo	Was at a higher level two back and then was outrun in a strong allowance race; gets a good pace setup and can come storming through the stretch for the victory.
#2 Darpa	Set the pace and was caught late going two turns and can be a big player as she turns back in distance.
#3 Alex's Bourbon	Set the pace in some fast races and steps back after a trying a talented bunch last time; drops to a more comfortable level and can be a pace factor.
Race Summary	Staythirstymyamigo gets an ideal pace in front of her and can be rolling late; one to hold off.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 02:55 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 2	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Maiden Claiming $20,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 70 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 12:28
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MISS ALPHA BELLA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MISS ALPHA BELLA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. E TICKET RIDE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. H orse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WILD ESCAPE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. OKIE BECKAROO: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the d istance/surface.
3	MISS ALPHA BELLA	5/2	3/1
7	E TICKET RIDE	4/1	7/1
1	WILD ESCAPE	3/1	8/1
6	OKIE BECKAROO	8/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	MISS ALPHA BELLA	3	5/2	Front-runner	73	68	72.1	50.1	44.1
1	WILD ESCAPE	1	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	70	65	64.4	47.1	37.6
5	CLASSY BLING	5	15/1	Trailer	0	0	65.4	46.5	33.5
6	OKIE BECKAROO	6	8/1	Trailer	69	59	59.7	55.9	49.4
8	QUICK TRIP	8	8/1	Trailer	62	31	55.0	50.2	42.7
7	E TICKET RIDE	7	4/1	Trailer	72	63	41.2	54.0	48.0
4	MARTZ'S MAE	4	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	63	55	55.5	55.5	49.5
2	CLEVER MELODY	2	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	43	3	27.7	27.2	11.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 02:56 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 2	Daily Double (Races 2-3) / Exacta / Trifecta (50 cent min.) Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / Superfecta (10 cent min.)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 1:22P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BIG CANE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BIG CANE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the di stance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SUNNYONASTORMYDAY: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse is d ropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2	BIG CANE	12/1	3/1
5	SUNNYONASTORMYDAY	7/2	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	BIG CANE	2	12/1	Front-runner	83	84	58.2	67.4	60.4
1	GUILTY AGAIN	1	8/1	Stalker	78	65	68.4	61.4	51.9
4	BUSHIDO SAMURAI	4	6/1	Stalker	75	62	49.4	73.7	66.7
7	SOUTHPINE GIFT	7	9/5	Alternator/Stalker	78	74	69.4	62.2	57.2
5	SUNNYONASTORMYDAY	5	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	84	74	59.0	68.0	60.0
3	TEN BROWNIES	3	8/1	Trailer	72	69	54.0	55.6	43.6
6	KING ZIPPY	6	9/2	Alternator/Trailer	79	72	51.3	51.1	41.1
8	CANYON FIRE	8	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	59	38.6	58.0	46.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 02:57 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 21. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 DISTORTEDATTHEBAR 7/2
# 7 POLO ART 2/1
# 5 REBEL ROAD 8/1

DISTORTEDATTHEBAR looks like the wager in here. He ought to be carefully examined given the decent speed figures. Recorded a reliable Equibase Speed Fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair. Must be considered given the class of races run lately. POLO ART - With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Keiser will almost certainly have this gelding in excellent position to win the contest. Had one of the best Equibase speed figs of this field in his last race. REBEL ROAD - Bracho has one of the most respectable jock ROI's on the grounds, returning to wagerers +129 percent.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 02:58 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 1:46pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#8 GREEN GROWTH (ML=4/1)
#7 REPEATED PROMISE (ML=8/1)

GREEN GROWTH - Trainer Wyner gave this gelding a good stiff workout. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. The jockey and conditioner combination have a favorable ROI when they work together. The last speed rating of 85 is the highest last race speed fig in the bunch. Ranked the highest in earnings per start. Another confirmation that this animal is the class of the field. REPEATED PROMISE - After the race aboard this horse on November 30th, the jockey is going to know the gelding much better. Have to make this gelding a serious competitor; he comes off a solid contest on Nov 30th. This one already beat the morning-line favorite last out at Parx Racing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 COURT SKY (ML=5/2), #1 ROYAL COUP (ML=9/2), #2 FROST'S SONG (ML=6/1),

COURT SKY - Tough for anyone who saw this entrant in his last race to play him this time out. ROYAL COUP - Don't believe this entrant will do much running in today's event. That last speed fig was mediocre when compared with today's class figure. FROST'S SONG - This steed hasn't won at this venue.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#8 GREEN GROWTH to win at post-time odds of 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [7,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 02:58 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 59

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 MINNIE ME HA 5/2
# 5 MOVIN' ON BYE 9/2
# 8 WAGES 8/1

I think MINNIE ME HA is a competitive choice. Has respectable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event. Conditioner boasts strong win numbers at this distance and surface. This filly has been consistently running well in her latest outings. MOVIN' ON BYE - Is a solid contender based on numbers put up recently under today's conditions. The Equibase Speed Figure of 57 from her last contest looks strong in here. WAGES - Is worth looking at and may be a bet - strong speed figs (52 average) at today's distance and surface recently.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 02:59 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:22pm - Allowance - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,800 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#4 PALACE DUCHESS (ML=7/2)
#8 LIAM'S LOOKOUT (ML=3/1)
#2 ANGLE OF ATTACK (ML=4/1)

PALACE DUCHESS - The return on investment when Colon and Ward team up is good. This filly is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Ward. LIAM'S LOOKOUT - I really like sprint horses that make a fast turnaround. Ran last out against much better company at Mountaineer Park. The move down in the class scale should suit her well. I really like that last outing on December 13th at Mountaineer Park where she ran second. ANGLE OF ATTACK - Rodriguez and Runco perform well when they work together. It's hard to beat a +230 return on investment for a rider and handler. This filly is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Runco. Taking a class drop in class rating points from her December 4th race at Charles Town. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this animal the advantage. Forgive the out of the money finish on the off track in the last race. On a non-sloppy track, has a good shot right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 NIC AND ZOE (ML=5/2), #3 TEAM FREEDOM (ML=6/1),

NIC AND ZOE - Today's race is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint race in the last couple months. Not the best of indicators. I usually try to beat these types of chalks off the long layoff. TEAM FREEDOM - A bit of a less than stellar performance when this mare finished fourth. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this animal as a questionable challenger.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PALACE DUCHESS - Ward is making good money with this horse. Number one in earnings per start.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #4 PALACE DUCHESS to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[2,4,8] with [2,4,8] with [2,4,6,7,8] with [2,4,6,7,8] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 03:23 PM

Larry Ness - NCAAB - Mon, Dec 21 at 7:30 PM
Larry's Sou Illinois/Butler free CBB winner

Southern Illinois vs Butler
Butler -8.5 (-105) (BookMaker)

My free play is on Butler at 7:30 ET. The Southern Illinois Salukis will take their 5-0 start on the road to Hinkle Fieldhouse for a game with the 1-2 Butler Bulldogs. SIU head coach Bryan Mullens is in his second season as head coach (he played four years for the Salukis as a player), going 16-16 last season. Combo guard Harvey (16.0. 6.4) and 6-6 SF Domask (16.0-5.3-3.6) lead the way, while PG Jones (10.6 & 4.2) and 6-8 forward D'Avanzo (10.0 & 5.8) join them in double digits. LaVall Jordan is in his fourth season at Butler and last year's team was 22-9 before the shutdown (would have made the NCAAs for a fifth time in six seasons). The team lost key players from last season, including leading scorer Baldwin (16.2) and three-point shooter McDermott. Senior guards Bolden (17.7 & 6.0) and Thompson (17.5 & 5.0 APG) lead the way for Butler, which could really use a "W," after back-to-back losses to then-No. 7 Villanova and Indiana. You'll note that while Butler is just 1-2 and SIU comes in 5-0, the homesteading Bulldogs are the solid favorite in this game. That's NOT a mistake and I'm laying the points. Good luck...Larry

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 03:24 PM

OSKEIM SPORTS' FREE MNF WINNER

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers -14 (-109) (BetAnySports)

Cincinnati is riddled with injuries, has lost five consecutive games, and hasn't won a divisional affair since November 1, 2015. Pittsburgh is 21-7 ATS in the last 28 meetings in this series and 16-3-2 ATS in its previous 21 trips to Cincinnati. While Pittsburgh's ground attack has struggled - 31st in success rate and 32nd in explosive run rate - the Steelers should have success moving the chains against a Cincinnati defense that is ranked 29th in both Total DVOA and Pass DVOA. Let's not forget that the Steelers' offense is ranked 1st in Total DVOA, Weighted DVOA, and Pass DVOA. This game has blowout written all over it - lay the points with Pittsburgh as Oskeim Sports' Free Monday Night Football winner.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 03:24 PM

Sean Murphy's Monday NFL Winner

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Under 40 (-108) (BetAnySports)

Monday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Cincinnati at 8:15 pm et on Monday. I'm not anticipating a great deal of offensive fireworks in this AFC North showdown on Monday night. The Steelers should obviously have their way with the Bengals very beatable defense in this one but whether we see them keep their foot on the gas for four quarters remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the Cincinnati offense is unlikely to generate much offense at all with third-string QB Ryan Finley taking over the offense for an ineffective Brandon Allen. Note that Cincinnati's offensive line has been a tremendous disaster this season with only one team giving up more sacks. The Bengals season essentially went down the drain when QB Joe Burrow was lost for the season and they've shown very few signs of life since. We can expect them to play hard in this rare opportunity to perform in front of a national audience but they'll simply be looking to keep things respectable. This is a low total by today's NFL standards, but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the under (8*).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 03:25 PM

Team Del Genio - NCAAB - Mon, Dec 21 at 9:00 PM
The Oddsmaker’s Edge for San Jose St/Utah St

San Jose State vs Utah State
Utah State -18.5 (-108) (BetAnySports)

Utah State has won their last two games to even their record at 3-3. The Aggies take the court again tonight after they defeated Northern Colorado by a 63-50 score on December 18th. Utah State stays at home where they have been very reliable in the higher altitude in expected higher scoring games. The Aggies have covered the point spread in thirty-seven of their last fifty-eight games at home with the over/under in the 140s. Utah State has also covered the point spread in thirty-eight of their last fifty-six games against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less. San Jose State has lost their last two games after they lost at Cal-Poly SLO back on December 13th by a 75-71 score. The Spartans have not covered the point spread in their last four games after a loss. San Jose State has also been a reliable fade when they are playing on the road and getting points. In their last twenty-seven games on the road as an underdog, the Spartans are just 6-20-1 ats. Lay the points with Utah State. Good luck - TDG.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-21-2020, 06:22 PM

Steve Janus

Dec 21 '20, 8:00 PM in 38m
NCAA-B | Tulsa vs Memphis
Play on: Memphis -8 -109 at pinnacle

1* Free Sharp Play on Memphis -8 -109
Memphis (-8) is worth a look here at home against Tulsa. The Tigers come in having failed to cover their last 4 games and I believe it has played into this favorable number in what will be their conference home opener. This is also just not another game. In last year's lone meeting between these two teams, Tulsa embarrassed Memphis 80-40. Look for the Tigers to be out to make a statement of their own. I got them easily covering this one. Play Memphis -8!