Saturday 12/26/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NCAAB

Saturday, December 26

Trend Report

Youngstown State @ Cleveland State
Youngstown State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Youngstown State's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland State
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Youngstown State's last 19 games when playing Cleveland State
Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Youngstown State
Cleveland State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Youngstown State

Kentucky @ Louisville
Kentucky
Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Louisville
Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Louisville
Louisville
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Houston @ Central Florida
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Central Florida
Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Florida's last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

Ohio State @ Northwestern
Ohio State
Ohio State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Northwestern
Ohio State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games when playing at home against Ohio State
Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Coppin State @ Towson
Coppin State
No trends to report
Towson
Towson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Coppin State
Towson is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Coppin State

Nicholls State @ LSU
Nicholls State
No trends to report
LSU
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Nicholls State

Wisconsin-Green Bay @ Wright State
Wisconsin-Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wright State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Wright State
Wright State
Wright State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin-Green Bay
Wright State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

Indiana @ Illinois
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Illinois
Illinois
Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games at home

Norfolk State @ George Mason
Norfolk State
No trends to report
George Mason
George Mason is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Gonzaga @ Virginia
Gonzaga
No trends to report
Virginia
No trends to report

Oakland @ Detroit
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Oakland

Robert Morris @ IPFW
Robert Morris
No trends to report
IPFW
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of IPFW's last 8 games at home
IPFW is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 7	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
Claiming $8,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 72 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 5:30P
FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 17 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * CANELA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GOLDINE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GREMALATA'S GIRL: Horse ranks in the top thre e in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5	CANELA	3/1	4/1
3	GOLDINE	2/1	5/1
7	GREMALATA'S GIRL	7/2	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	CANELA	5	3/1	Front-runner	68	73	73.4	64.6	60.6
8	SILK SHAKER	8	8/5	Front-runner	66	63	53.6	52.4	42.4
3	GOLDINE	3	2/1	Stalker	73	71	65.4	70.2	66.7
7	GREMALATA'S GIRL	7	7/2	Stalker	72	66	59.2	61.6	54.1
1	CHICA DORADA	1	10/1	Trailer	60	59	36.0	55.2	44.2
6	LUCKY WESTERN LADY	6	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	64	63	48.0	55.6	44.6
4	SMARTIZAR	4	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	61	67.9	22.4	13.9
2	SOY PONCENA	2	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	52	57	29.2	40.8	24.8

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds - Race 2	Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-4) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-5)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 1:29P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 26, 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LA FEMME ROYALE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LA FEMME ROYALE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SHILAH BABY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Spee d Figure at the distance/surface.
1	LA FEMME ROYALE	9/5	2/1
4	SHILAH BABY	4/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	LA FEMME ROYALE	1	9/5	Front-runner	80	75	81.6	79.2	76.7
4	SHILAH BABY	4	4/1	Front-runner	70	71	75.6	58.8	51.3
8	FLASH HANDS	8	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	71	71	70.6	66.2	58.2
2	MARGIE'S MONEY	2	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	89	85	67.8	68.4	61.4
6	SWORN SILENCE	6	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	78	67	45.4	65.6	56.1
9	KENAI COOL	9	12/1	Trailer	73	58	47.0	64.4	51.4
3	WAR BANDIT	3	15/1	Trailer	56	55	29.8	51.0	36.0
7	MELODY ROSE	7	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	68	70	38.6	62.4	46.4
5	ALTERED DREAM	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	68	73.4	63.8	52.8

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 80

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 MAJESTIC PIC 7/2
# 3 SWIRRLIE SHIRLIE 4/1
# 2 JOYFUL NOISE 6/1

MAJESTIC PIC is the most respectable bet in this race. Farrior has a strong win percent with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Russell has been sizzling the last month, winning at a nifty 27 percent clip. SWIRRLIE SHIRLIE - Shows strong speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this field. Has formidable early pace and will probably fare quite well against this group of animals. JOYFUL NOISE - Ran a solid last race. A solid 79 avg Equibase class figure may give this mare a distinct class edge versus this group.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #3 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,500 Class Rating: 54

Rating:

#2 SKIPSHOT LILLY (ML=6/1)
#5 IAMGOINGTOSHINE (ML=5/2)


SKIPSHOT LILLY - Faulkner brings her right back. I suggest you stick with this hot filly. Filly is a few starts into a return here. Should give a nice effort today. IAMGOINGTOSHINE - I like to see fast workouts. This filly's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. This filly is in good form. Finished third on December 12th. This filly's last speed fig is strong enough to prove victorious here, I'll wager on her back again this time. Filly is a few starts into a comeback here. Should give a big race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 DIAL AGAIN (ML=2/1), #6 LEJEUNE (ML=9/2), #1 MINE ALONE (ML=8/1),

DIAL AGAIN - Unlikely that the speed rating she garnered on November 25th will be good enough in this clash. LEJEUNE - Should have at least hit the board in the last 60 days in a short distance race to be worth the risk at low odds in a sprint. Registered a disappointing speed figure last time around the track in a Maiden Special race on Dec 12th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that fig. MINE ALONE - This horse hasn't been hitting the board in either of her last couple of races. Most unsatisfactory speed fig in the last race at Thistledown at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this runner will improve too much in today's race.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SKIPSHOT LILLY - This filly has the top speed figure last race with a very good 50. She is the top bet here.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #2 SKIPSHOT LILLY on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 12:35pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#3 BROOKES ALL MINE (ML=8/1)
#1 VALLEY DATE (ML=6/1)
#5 SASSY JUSTICE (ML=15/1)


BROOKES ALL MINE - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier field than last time out at Gulfstream Park West. Have to like the way Walder has raced this mare back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think she'll run well today. VALLEY DATE - Trainer, Crichton, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Lets try to beat the low-odds horses with this filly. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty good race. Came home fast in the last race at Gulfstream Park. That type of move bodes well for her chances in this race. SASSY JUSTICE - You always have to be on the watch for profit making rider/trainer combos; we have an instance right here. Have to make this filly a serious competitor; she comes off a sharp race on Nov 25th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 BLOSSOM BOW (ML=5/2), #10 MARKISTAN (ML=3/1), #9 GRACE'S DRAMA (ML=9/2),

BLOSSOM BOW - Today's race is 7 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a short distance clash in the last sixty days. Not the greatest of signals. This thoroughbred just hasn't looked fit recently. MARKISTAN - Don't think that this filly has value at 3/1 in today's event. GRACE'S DRAMA - 9/2 is not offering enough value for any racer in a sprint of 7 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a sprint event recently.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #3 BROOKES ALL MINE to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

12/26/20, TAM, Race 2, 12.43 ET
12/26/20,TAM,2,6F [Dirt] 1:08:03 CLAIMING. Purse $11,500 (includes up to $200 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 26 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Free Flayme	3/1	Camacho S	Carvajal. Jr. Luis	JS	197	34.52	1.17/$1
098.4418	1	Don H	9/2	Urdaneta J J	Machado Antonio	L	197	34.52	1.17/$1
098.2463	2	First Degree	5/2	Batista J A	Arriagada Juan	FEC	197	34.52	1.17/$1
096.9875	4	Spinning Joey	8/1	Spieth S	Cheeks Joseph		246	37.80	1.17/$1
096.9660	6	Sour Kicks	4/1	Garcia W A	Einhorn Skip		238	34.87	1.13/$1
096.4792	5	Smart Warrior	8/1	Mena R	Rigattieri John	T	238	34.87	1.13/$1
096.2061	7	Hacienda Blvd(b-)	20/1	Lindsay C	Axmaker Cody W.	W	238	34.87	1.13/$1
095.1031	8	Shakem N Breakem	10/1	Alencar W	Dominguez Luis R.		238	34.87	1.13/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.91, ROI 0.90/$1
. . . .
100.0000 3 Free Flayme
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]NotThirdRaceAfter45DaysOff

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 DRAGON DREW 8/1
# 2 UNCLE GREGORY 4/1
# 12 JIMMY JOE 3/1

I've got to go with DRAGON DREW especially at a such a nice price. Has to be given a shot based on the strong Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last contest. Will make a good outing versus this bunch. UNCLE GREGORY - Must be given consideration here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Has to be given consideration versus this group displaying formidable figs recently and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 70 under similar conditions. JIMMY JOE - Has a sharp shot here if you like back class. He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Dec 26 '20, 3:30 PM in 38m
NCAA-F | UL-Lafayette vs UTSA
Play on: OVER 54½ -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Louisiana/UTSA OVER 54.5
Louisiana has scored at least 20 points in every game this season and 24 or more in nine of 10 games. The Rajin' Cajun's will hang a big number on UTSA here Saturday. This is a UTSA team that played a soft schedule so their defensive numbers are better than their talent would indicate. And it's a UTSA offense that has scored at least 49 points in two of their last three games coming in. They have rushed for at least 233 yards in three straight games. This Louisiana defense can be run on as they have allowed at least 123 rushing yards in all 10 games and 175 or more in seven of their last nine. And you know both teams will have a few trick plays up their sleeves for this bowl game. Give me the OVER.

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Hunter Price

Dec 26 '20, 4:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Oakland vs Detroit
Play on: Oakland +4½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Oakland +4½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Dec 26 '20, 4:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Indiana vs Illinois
Play on: Illinois -6 -110 at Mirage

1* Free Sharp Play on Illinois -6 -110
Illinois (-6) is worth a look here as a relatively small home favorite against the Hoosiers. No disrespect to Indiana, which is a good team, but winning on the road in the Big Ten is a tough task, especially against an elite team like the Fighting Illini. You also have to love that Illinois is coming off a big time win on the road at Penn State. No question they will be motivated to win here, as they haven't won back-to-back games since starting out the season 3-0. Play the Fighting Illini -6!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Dec 26 '20, 4:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Virginia vs Gonzaga
Play on: Gonzaga -8 -110 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Gonzaga -8 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow

Dec 26 '20, 4:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Virginia vs Gonzaga
Play on: Gonzaga -8 -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Gonzaga -8 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Dec 26 '20, 4:30 PM in 1h
NFL | 49ers vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -5 -112 at betonline

1* Free Pick on Cardinals -5 -112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Dec 26 '20, 7:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Thunder vs Hornets
Play on: Hornets -2½ -103 at pinnacle

My free play is on the Cha Hornets at 7:05 ET.
Oklahoma City overhauled its roster in the offseason, going into full rebuild mode after last season's surprise fifth-place finish in the Western Conference. The Thunder have yet to take the court, as their season-opener vs the Rockets was postponed to Houston's COVID issues. OKC is expected to play tonight in Charlotte against the Hornets, a team the Thunder have beaten in four consecutive meetings. Charlotte opened its season on Wednesday with a 121-114 loss at Cleveland, with rookie guard LaMelo Ball (the third overall pick in the 2020 Draft) going scoreless. He missed all five of his shots from the floor and had three turnovers in 16 minutes.
OKC returns guard Gilgeous-Alexander, who led the team in scoring (19.5-5.9-3.3) last season. However, the Thunder traded Chris Paul (16.6-5.0-6.7), Steven Adams (10.9 & 9.3), Danilo Gallinari (18.7 & 5.2), Dennis Schroder (18.9 PPG), Terrance Ferguson and Abdel Nader in the offseason, mostly stockpiling draft picks and young players. Only FIVE players remain from last year's roster and only 22-year-old Hamidou Diallo is left from the 2018-19 roster. The team's 'rebuilding pieces' are 35-year-old Ariza plus a pair of 34-year-olds in Hill and Horford. It could be a LONG season.
The Hornets are sure hoping that it won't be a 'LONG' season for Ball. "I told him just to forget this one," veteran Gordon Hayward said of Ball's debut. "Some days are diamonds, some days are stones." Hayward signed a four-year $120-million contract in the offseason as part of a sign-and-trade with Boston and had 28 points and seven assists in the opener after missing the final two preseason games with a broken finger. Charlotte's last victory over OKC was back in December of 2017, with Malik Monk being the only player remaining on EITHER roster from that Hornets win. Let's not be too quick to judge Ball. I'll take the Hornets here vs an OKC that could REALLY struggle in the upcoming season.
Good luck...Larry