Service Plays Sunday 12/27/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369682

    #31
    Warren sharp

    455 Cleveland Browns Over 46.5 -117 (0.75 units)

    Add: Longshot Future: Philadelphia Eagles to win the NFC East (+700) risk 0.75 units
    Note: this is purely a value play in lieu of betting the Panthers this week vs WAS – if you ML parlay CAR with PHI this week and roll winnings to next week on PHI ML vs WAS, you’ll make roughly +475. So anything over +525 is worth a small 0.75 unit future risk. At 6.5 (Draftkings) to 7:1 (Bet365), it is a clear +EV wager. If CAR wins and so does PHI, we now can hedge next week on WAS ML.
    The
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369682

      #32
      Dwayne Bryant

      2% Rams ML

      3% Denver +3
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369682

        #33
        ESPN Daily Wager Best Bets

        Doug: buffalo
        Joe: tenn/gb over
        Anita: parlay..montgomery td n chi win
        Preston: phil/dallas Over
        Tyler: henry over 22.5 rushing att
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369682

          #34
          Teddy Covers

          3% Jaguars +7.5
          3* Over 49.5 Eagles

          5% Over 228 Spurs
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369682

            #35
            Dr Bob

            Added

            1* Packers -3
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369682

              #36
              WESTGATE CONTEST Week 16 :

              #1 ARIZONA - LOSS
              #2 MIAMI - LOSS
              #3 PHILADELPHIA -2.5
              #4 CAROLINA + 2.5
              #5 SEATTLE -1.5
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              • BONTRAGER
                Senior Member
                • Oct 2017
                • 289

                #37
                Originally posted by golden contender
                $$ Sunday the 7* 2020 NFL Game of the Year Headlines a Huge NFL Card with a Tier 1 And a 6* SNF Play along with hoops. Comp Play below.

                The NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the NYG at Baltimore game at 1:00 eastern. The Giants have been inept on offense the past few weeks but have remained decent on defense. They will have trouble here against an improving Ravens defense but can slow down Lamar Jackson and the Balty offense here. This game fits a scoring system pertaining to the under based on Baltimore high out put over the past 2-3 games. The Giants are on a 9-1 under run on the road and the Ravens are 12-2 under at home off a win of 20 or more. See us on facebook for the 7* 2020 NFL Game Of The year. For the comp play. Look for the Giants and Ravens game to stay under today. Rob V- GC Sports
                What is the Game Of The Year?

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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369682

                  #38
                  Ben Burns

                  TOTAL BREAKFAST CLUB!
                  Houston over 44

                  Non conference gom
                  Packers -3
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369682

                    #39
                    Wayne Root

                    Contrarian NY Jets

                    Chairmans Denver

                    Root Reserve - Carolina

                    Gold standard Giants

                    Pinnacle Rams
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                    • dawggy
                      Senior Member
                      • Dec 2017
                      • 1770

                      #40
                      L.V CRIS


                      Game: (463) Cincinnati Bengals at (464) Houston Texans
                      Date/Time: Dec 27 2020 1:00 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Cincinnati Bengals +8.0 (-110)




                      • Game: (463) Cincinnati Bengals at (464) Houston Texans
                        Date/Time: Dec 27 2020 1:00 PM EST
                        Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                        Play Rating: 4%
                        Play: Cincinnati Bengals +8.0 (-110)

                        Bengals +8 (4%)
                        This write up will be short and sweet. Don't bet bad teams, unless they are getting points from a bad team. This is a crummy spot for Cincy off their MNF magical ride. Some feel this is a letdown spot. Bengals did benefit from excellent field position and were not some juggernaut on offense. Stopping 1 dimensional Pitt isnt the most impressive defensive accomplishment either.
                        The good news is that Finely had a fine game, and we hope he has added confidence. Houston gives it up on the ground, so he should scramble for some yards also. I forgot I had a brief write up for the Las Vegas Review Journal this wk, So I included below.

                        Bengals (3-10-1) at Texans (4-10)
                        Houston -7.5 46
                        LVC Line -3
                        Analysis
                        Bengals off surprising MNF throttling of 13pt Favorite Steelers. Finley, the lowest rated QB seen in years, may finally have found some confidence after the lottery like win. Houston rates 1 pt higher than Cincy in my metrics, and have no reason to be favored over a TD here. Injuries and suspensions in abundance for the Texans, contributing to why they have the #29 Defense. Poor rushing defense should allow mobile Finley to break some runs off and extend the sticks. One of my favorite NFL betting slogans "Don't bet bad teams, unless you're betting against a bad team laying points" Battle of bumbling teams can only mean the Bungles cover



                        By The Numbers Cincy dismal 16/44 sack ratio, Hou 2-6 ATS as HM fav, Bengals 4 straight unders, Hou 3 straight unders, Cincy 10 pts per game avg without Burrows. Texans 2-8 vs teams sub .250 win%


                        Pick Houston 23-17
                      • Game: (477) Philadelphia Eagles at (478) Dallas Cowboys
                        Date/Time: Dec 27 2020 4:25 PM EST
                        Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                        Play Rating: 3%
                        Play: Dallas Cowboys +3.0 (-105)

                        Dallas +3 (3%) This is a play at the available 3 everywhere. Small wager or pass at under +3

                        Elliott has been announced as in, resulting in my decision to release this game. He didn't make the difference, as I already had my eye on the game, but I thought this line may dip back down, so I expedited the release. Short blurb at bottom for what I wrote for the RJ tomorrow.
                        I have these teams even. Amazingly, Dallas has improved more than Philly over the last 6 trailing weeks. Dallas +1.41 and Philly+.44 in line value metric rating. These teams rank 22nd and 23rd on one of my models, and its reversed in the other model. #16 Dallas offense up against #16 Philly Defense. Dallas #26 Defense will try and hold off the #28 Offense. The common theme here is these teams are the same on paper. Dallas gets to avenge that idiotic loss in game 1, where we missed the cover because the refs allowed a play, thought to be dead, continue with everyone standing around watching a Philly defender stroll down the field with the football. There's no crying in betting, but that was an unpleasant decision by the refs to not do their jobs properly. Cowboys get the home dome and I'm a betting that they have every intent to salvage some self respect against the Eagles. These last 2 weeks are always difficult, as the pressure mounts on bubble teams, and many teams start to play fast and loose.

                        Eagles (4-9-1) at Cowboys (5-9)
                        Time: 1:25 p.m.
                        Line/total: Eagles -3, 49
                        Analysis: I made this line pick. Eagles fans are optimistic about rookie QB Jalen Hurts. Dallas will never lay down at home against its division rival. Both teams are a mess of poor coaching, injuries and unattainable expectations. A Washington win would mercifully bump these pretenders from playoff contention. Many are running to the window with fists full of money to play the Eagles, but I have to look the other way. It feels as if this game will be full of mishaps.
                        By the numbers: The Eagles are on an 0-5 slide on the road. … The home team has won the last four meetings. … Dallas is on a 6-0 run as a home underdog.
                        Pick: Cowboys 31, Eagles 28

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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369682

                        #41
                        Jim feist

                        NFL 10-Star Total Annihilator

                        Washington/Carolina under
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                        • rocky57
                          Senior Member
                          • Dec 2019
                          • 6983

                          #42
                          The Swami
                          70% Computer Plays (NFL) - 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -3

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                          • FATMANWINS
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2017
                            • 1391

                            #43
                            ats
                            7 ravens
                            7 rams
                            7 packer over

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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369682

                              #44
                              Dr. Bob (B & A = 52-24 / a = 15-25-1)

                              1) Phi/Dal under 50
                              1) GB -3

                              .5) Cle/Jets under 48
                              .5) Gia/Bal 1H under 22 (alternate = full game under 44)
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                              • rocky57
                                Senior Member
                                • Dec 2019
                                • 6983

                                #45
                                VegasInsider NFL Totals Club (Joe Williams - 3-0 sweep on Saturday)

                                NFL Totals
                                Packers/Titans Over 53
                                Rams/Seahawks Over 47
                                Falcons/Chiefs Over 52.5
                                Colts/Steelers Under 43
                                Jaguars/Bears Under 47

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