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Ness 25*- Trailblazers
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Re: 1-28-09
Dr Bob opinions
Wednesday NBA Opinion
Sacramento (+17) over BOSTON
The Kings played well in Cleveland last night, a 7 point loss as a 13 ½ point dog, and that close loss actually sets up Sacramento in a very good 82-22 ATS road underdog situation tonight. Boston has been on a roll at home lately, but the Kings are 5-0 ATS as a dog of more than 13 points this season and the situation is very good. The problem is that I make the fair line on this game at 18 points and I’m not going to give up a full point of line value to make the play. I will lean with the Kings in a strong situation and I’d take Sacramento in a 2-Star Best Bet at +18 points or more.
Wednesday College Opinions
WAKE FOREST (+2) over Duke
Duke is the new #1 and there is a good chance that they’ll drop from that spot after this game. Wake Forest has had a full week to prepare for this game since their upset loss to Virginia Tech when they were the #1 ranked team and I expect the Demon Deacons to play very well. Wake Forest is a veteran team (all 5 starters returned from last year’s team) that certainly won’t be intimidated considering they beat Duke here last season 86-73 as a 9 point underdog and beat North Carolina a few weeks ago on this floor. The Demon Deacons are 12-2 ATS in all games under coach Dino Gaudio when facing a team with a win percentage above .750 while Duke is just 27-39-1 ATS as a road favorite against a team with a win percentage of greater than .650 (0-2 this season), including 11-25 ATS if the Blue Devils are coming off a game in which they won and covered the spread (which they are). Wake Forest also applies to a 56-29-2 ATS bounce-back situation that plays on good teams at home that lost their previous game as a conference favorite of more than 10 points. I’ll lean with the Demon Deacons at the current number and I would take Wake Forest in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more.
BRADLEY (-6) over Wichita State
Bradley has been considerably better at home under coach Jim Les (56-32-4 ATS) than they have been on the road (41-46 ATS) and the Braves have been especially good at home against mediocre and bad teams – going 33-11 ATS hosting teams with a win percentage of .600 or less. That record is even better when Les has a decent team to work with, as Bradley is 21-3 ATS hosting .600 or less teams when the Braves have a winning record. Wichita State is just 9-18-1 ATS in conference games in two seasons under coach Gregg Marshall (3-6 ATS this season) and my ratings favor Bradley by 6 ½ points in this game. I’ll lean with the Braves at -6 or less and I’ll take Bradley in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 or lessComment
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Re: 1-28-09
dr bob
6 Best Bets for Wednesday, all college.
Rotation #536 James Madison (pk) 3-Stars at -1 or better, 2-Stars up to -2.
Rotation #544 West Virginia (-17) 2-Stars at -18 or less, 3-Stars at -16 or less.
Rotation #563 South Florida (+17) 2-Stars at +16 or more, 3-Stars at +18.
Rotation #582 Southern Illinois (-6) 3-Stars at -7 or less, 2-Stars at -7 1/2.
Rotation #602 Florida State (+11 1/2) 3-Stars at +9 or more, 2-Stars down to +8.
Rotation #610 Tenn-Chattanooga (+10 1/2) 2-Stars at +10 or more, 3-Stars at +11 or more.
Opinions on Sacramento +17 in the NBA (2-Stars at +18), Wake Forest +2 (2-Stars at +3) and Bradley -6 (2-Stars at -5 or less).Comment
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