Wednesday 12/30/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

Event: (315) Florida at (316) Oklahoma
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 30, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Oklahoma +3.0 (-110)
Maybe the most dead even bowl game on the entire board, which makes taking a field goal with Oklahoma very nice value. Both Florida and the Sooners will be close to full strength as the Gators have only one opt out while Oklahoma has two. But the loss of super wideout Pitts is a big hit for Florida. The way the teams match up, the staunch Oklahoma rush defense against a spotty Florida ground game looms as a plus for the Sooners. Florida has the great QB in Trask but I think he might need to throw it 50+ times here. As good as he is, that's an awful lot of passing and I tend to like playing against teams that are forced to be one dimensional. I also can see a mental edge to some extent for the Sooners. Florida was all out in the comeback effort against Alabama, and I have to believe that game mattered more to the Gators than this one will. So with a value advantage at the price and what I see as a potential motivational edge as well, I'm taking Oklahoma plus the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

Event: (573) Milwaukee Bucks at (574) Miami Heat
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: December 30, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Miami Heat +6.5 (-110)
Take Miami (#574)
The Bucks certainly got their playoff revenge against the Heat last night, blowing out Miami by 47 points. The game was all but over five minutes in – Milwaukee raced out to a 21-3 lead and never looked back, setting an all-time NBA record for most made three pointers in a game in the process.
Bucks head coach Mike Budenholzer: “Some nights, the basketball gods are with you a little bit.” Heat head coach Eric Spoelstra: “It looked like they had been thinking about this game for 80 days.”
But that was LAST NIGHT! Tonight, we get Miami in an attractive home underdog price range, facing a satisfied Bucks team that hasn’t played back-2-backs yet this season. Even without Jimmy Butler in the lineup, I’m expecting a legitimate bounceback from the Heat this evening; a game they’re live to win and primed to keep close throughout. Take the Heat!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

Event: (695) Penn State at (696) Indiana
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: December 30, 2020 8PM EST
Play: Penn State +6.0 (-110)
695 Penn State at Indiana
Prefer the Nittany Lions here who have played well on the road thus far. A 20 point victory at Virginia Tech, and a 4 point loss at Michigan. This is a team that ranks 26th in offensive turnover percentage, and 81st in defensive turnover percentage. At 0-2 in Big Ten play this is an all out game for the visitor.
Indiana doesn’t have very good guard play, which is a concern here. They also struggle on the offensive boards which is a concern.
Our numbers have this being a much closer contest.
PLAY PENN STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Wednesday, December 30

SMU @ Temple
SMU (5-0, 1-0)
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #164
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #67
— SMU’s last game was two weeks ago.
— Mustangs won only road game 66-64 at Dayton.
— SMU is forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#40).

Temple (1-1, 0-1)
— ranked #160 by KenPom
— Tempo: #107
— Experience: #236
— Continuity: #278
— Temple lost its AAC opener 76-50 at Houston.
— Owls haven’t played in eight days.
— Temple’s win was 72-60 over #187 NJIT.

— Temple won three of last four series games.
— Mustangs lost last two visits here, by 8-7 points.

St Bonaventure @ Rhode Island
St Bonaventure (2-0)
— ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #121
— Continuity: #21
— Bonnies’ wins are over teams ranked #124/#140
— St Bonaventure hasn’t played in 11 days.
— This is the Bonnies’ first true road game.

Rhode Island (3-5, 0-1)
— ranked #79 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #118
— Continuity: #288
— Rhode Island over-scheduled (#20) with last-minute games.
— Rams haven’t played in 12 days.
— URI lost its last three games, scoring 61.7 ppg.

— Rhode Island won last of last seven series games.
— Bonnies lost last four visits to URI, by 5-12-8-17 points.

Fresno State @ Colorado State
Fresno State (2-1, 0-1)
— ranked #166 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #285
— Fresno starts three sophs and a junior (experience #257)
— Bulldogs shot 4-23 on the arc in Monday’s loss here.
— Fresno has couple wins over NAIA teams.

Colorado State (4-1, 1-0)
— ranked #99 by KenPom
— Tempo: #102
— Experience: #300
— Continuity: #36
— Rams’ only loss was 53-33 at Saint Mary’s.
— Colorado State allowed 54 ppg in their three D-I wins.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 24.1% of time (#28).

— Rams made 12-28 on arc in Monday’s 75-53 win.
— Colorado State won last four series games, all by 9+ points.
— Bulldogs lost seven of last eight visits to Fort Collins.

Butler @ Providence
Butler (2-3, 1-1)
— ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #253
— Experience: #259
— Continuity: #261
— Butler lost its one true road game by 19 at Villanova.
— Bulldogs lost three of their last four games.
— 6-7 frosh Coles had 14 points in 14:00 off bench in LW’s win.

Providence (6-3, 2-1)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #302
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #204
— Friars’ two Big East wins were both in overtime.
— Providence is 4-3 in top 100 games (schedule #45)
— Friars are shooting 25.9% on arc (#308)

— Butler (+1.5) beat Providence 70-64 at home last week.
— Providence won six of last nine series games.
— Bulldogs lost four of their last five visits here.

Murray State @ Belmont
Murray State (4-3, 1-1)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #257
— Experience: #217
— Continuity: #59
— Murray split pair with Austin Peay to open OVC play.
— Racers are 0-3 in true road games, scoring 65.7 ppg.
— Murray is turning ball over 23.5% of time (#291)

Belmont (8-1, 2-0)
— ranked #107 by KenPom
— Tempo: #59
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #196
— Bruins opened OVC play with wins over Tennessee St, by 15-25.
— Belmont is shooting 58.3% inside arc (#18)
— Belmont hasn’t played in nine days.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Racers lost their last five visits to Belmont.

Mississippi State @ Georgia
Mississippi State (5-3)
— ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #346
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #251
— Miss State lost its top 100 games by 11-3 points.
— Bulldogs haven’t played in nine days.
— MSU won five of its last six games after an 0-2 start.

Georgia (7-0)
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #19
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #246
— Georgia is 7-0; they’ve played schedule #289.
— Dawgs’ best win was 83-68 over #76 Cincinnati.
— Georgia is forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#18).

— Miss State won last three series games, by 15-1-32 points.
— MSU lost four of its last six visits to Athens.

Arkansas @ Auburn
Arkansas (8-0)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #57
— Experience: #200
— Continuity: #319
— Arkansas is 8-0 vs schedule #303; this is their first road game.
— Hogs’ best win was 69-54 over #102 North Texas.
— Arkansas has #5 eFG% defense in country.

Auburn (2-2, 0-1)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #229
— Experience: #331
— Continuity: #303
— Auburn scored 67-55 points in losses to Gonzaga/UCF.
— Tigers won last five games, since the Central Florida loss.
— Auburn is turning ball over 23% of time (#276).

— Auburn won four of last six series games.
— Hogs lost last two visits to Auburn, by 11-3 points.
— Neither team has played in last eight days.

Tulane @ UCF
Tulane (5-2, 0-2)
— ranked #203 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #317
— Continuity: #290
— Green Wave lost first two AAC games, by 6-10 points.
— Tulane’s non-conference slate is ranked #319.
— Tulane is forcing turnovers 23.2% of time (#41).
— Green Wave hasn’t played in eight days.

UCF (3-2, 1-1)
— ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #244
— Continuity: #255
— Golden Knights split a pair to open AAC play.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— To this point, UCF has played schedule #5 in country.
— Golden Knights were held to 58-54 points in their losses.

— UCF won 15 of last 17 series games.
— Tulane won 75-74 here LY, snapping 7-game skid at UCF.

Richmond @ Davidson
Richmond (6-2)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #112
— Continuity: #8
— Spiders are 2-1 in top 100 games, losing by 16 to West Virginia.
— Spiders lost their last game at home to #140 Hofstra.
— Richmond is shooting 58.5% inside arc (#17)

Davidson (5-3, 1-0)
— ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #34
— Davidson won four of its last five games.
— Wildcats won their A-14 opener, 67-58 at Rhode Island.
— Davidson is shooting 37.3% on arc (#56).

— Neither team has played in eight days.
— Richmond won six of last eight series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

Seton Hall @ Xavier
Seton Hall (6-4, 3-1)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #217
— Experience: #20
— Continuity: #118
— Pirates won five of last six games after a 1-3 start.
— Seton Hall’s only Big East loss was in OT to Providence.
— To this point, Pirates have played schedule #41.

Xavier (8-1, 1-1)
— ranked #45 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #104
— Continuity: #163
— Xavier’s lone loss was 66-61 at Creighton, their last game.
— Musketeers won four of five top 100 games.
— Xavier has #20 eFG% in country.

— Teams split their last 14 meetings.
— Seton Hall won by 10-12 points in last two visits here.
— Road team won last four series games.

North Carolina @ Georgia Tech
North Carolina (5-3, 0-1)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #83
— Experience: #314
— Continuity: #141
— Carolina lost three of its last five games.
— UNC hasn’t played in eight days.
— Tar Heels lost ACC opener 79-76 at NC State.

Georgia Tech (4-3, 0-1)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #12
— Tech lost ACC opener 74-61 at Florida State.
— Yellow Jackets haven’t played in ten days.
— Tech’s only top 100 win was 79-62 over Kentucky.

— North Carolina in 9-2 in last 11 series games, 2-2 in last four.
— Tar Heels won four of last five visits to Atlanta.

Penn State @ Indiana
Penn State (3-3, 0-2)
— ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #198
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #47
— Penn State lost first two Big 14 games, to Michigan/Illinois.
— To this point, Nittany Lions have played schedule #7.
— Penn State has top 100 wins over VCU, Virginia Tech.

Indiana (5-4, 0-2)
— ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #76
— Indiana scored 63.5 ppg in Big 14 losses to Northwestern, Illinois.
— To this point, Hoosiers have played schedule #21.
— Indiana has #45 eFG% defense in country.

— Indiana won five of last six series games.
— Penn St lost last four visits here, by 4-8-8-3 points.

Tennessee @ Missouri
Tennessee (6-0)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #308
— Experience: #213
— Continuity: #86
— Vols have played schedule #256; this is their first road game.
— Tennessee has top 10 wins over Colorado/Cincinnati.
— Vols are forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#12).

Missouri (6-0)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #219
— Experience: #8
— Continuity: #5
— To this point, Mizzou has played schedule #50.
— Tigers have two top 20 wins, over Oregon/Illinois.
— Mizzou has #23 eFG% defense in country.

— Tennessee won six of last eight series games.
— Vols won by 24-10 points in last two trips to Columbia.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

643VA COMMONWEALTH -644 ST JOSEPHS
ST JOSEPHS are 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

645FURMAN -646 UT-CHATTANOOGA
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 27-14 ATS (11.6 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

647GEORGE WASHINGTON -648 FORDHAM
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists in the last 3 seasons.

649BOWLING GREEN -650 OHIO U
OHIO U is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

653ST BONAVENTURE -654 RHODE ISLAND
ST BONAVENTURE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% in the last 3 seasons.

655FRESNO ST -656 COLORADO ST
FRESNO ST is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

657BUTLER -658 PROVIDENCE
BUTLER is 116-81 ATS (26.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts since 1997.

659GEORGE MASON -660 MASSACHUSETTS
MASSACHUSETTS are 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

661VIRGINIA -662 NOTRE DAME
VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) on the road when the total is 120-129.5 in the last 3 seasons.

663NEBRASKA -664 OHIO ST
NEBRASKA is 15-30 ATS (-18 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

571MEMPHIS -572 BOSTON
BOSTON is 29-50 ATS (-26 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.

573MILWAUKEE -574 MIAMI
MIAMI is 48-29 ATS (16.1 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

575ATLANTA -576 BROOKLYN
ATLANTA is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

575ATLANTA -576 BROOKLYN
Lloyd Pierce is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 (Coach of ATLANTA)

577CHARLOTTE -578 DALLAS
CHARLOTTE is 58-90 ATS (-41 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.

579LA LAKERS -580 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 284-217 ATS (45.3 Units) in home games after playing a road game since 1996.

581PORTLAND -582 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 51-34 ATS (13.6 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, December 30

Trend Report

Memphis @ Boston
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

Atlanta @ Brooklyn
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Milwaukee @ Miami
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Charlotte @ Dallas
Charlotte
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
Dallas is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Charlotte

LA Lakers @ San Antonio
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Portland @ LA Clippers
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Portland's last 19 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing Portland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (1 - 2) at BOSTON (2 - 2) - 12/30/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 52-37 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 144-186 ATS (-60.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (2 - 2) at MIAMI (1 - 2) - 12/30/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 101-79 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 89-69 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-6 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-6 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (3 - 0) at BROOKLYN (2 - 2) - 12/30/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (1 - 2) at DALLAS (1 - 2) - 12/30/2020, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 58-90 ATS (-41.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 200-250 ATS (-75.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
DALLAS is 74-54 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (2 - 2) at SAN ANTONIO (2 - 1) - 12/30/2020, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1126-999 ATS (+27.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 574-483 ATS (+42.7 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (2 - 1) at LA CLIPPERS (3 - 1) - 12/30/2020, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Wednesday Dec. 30
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 9-0 ATS (8.83 ppg) off a game as a dog in which Damian Lillard had at least 5 turnovers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 0-14 ATS (-8.50 ppg) at home with no rest when they won at least 2 straight vs current opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Charlotte at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Mavericks are 12-0 OU (19.29 ppg) at home off a road game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Charlotte at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Hornets are 0-10-1 OU (-16.91 ppg) with rest after they had less than 10%

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AAA Sports - NCAAB - Wed, Dec 30 at 7:00 PM
AAA'S FREE MISS ST-UGA WINNER

Mississippi State vs Georgia
Mississippi State +2 (-108) (BetAnySports)

This is a 1* (free play) on MISS ST Georgia is 7-0, but they've played a fairly pedestrian schedule and also every game has been played here in Athens. We think we're about to learn a lot more about the Bulldogs as they open SEC play vs. Miss St. Clearly, the oddsmakers aren't all that impressed as the 'Dawgs are merely a short home favorite for this Wednesday night affair. Miss State has scored more than 80 points each of the previous four games and blitzed UGA last season, 91-59 in Starkville. Take the points. PLAY ON MISS ST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Sports - NCAAB - Wed, Dec 30 at 8:00 PM
POWER'S FREE BC-NC STATE WINNER

Boston College vs NC State
Nc State -9 (-105) (BetAnySports)

1* NC State (7:00 ET): I think this line is heading in the WRONG direction here as my personal power ratings saw NC State should be a comfortable double digit favorite tonight in Raleigh. The Wolfpack, who have won their previous four home games by an average of nearly 23 points, should have no difficulty at all shredding a BC defense that has already given up 85+ points four separate times this season. The Eagles lost by 38 to Syracuse - at home. North Carolina State opened its ACC schedule by defeating North Carolina here at home. Lay the number. 1* NC State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler - NCAAF - Wed, Dec 30 at 8:00 PM
Brian’s 9* CFB Free Executive Info Winner

Florida vs Oklahoma
Florida +3 (-102) (BetAnySports)

Florida has a bad loss to LSU but the other 2 losses have come against Alabama and Texas A&amp;M no slouches. Oklahoma is getting hammered by the public they have pushed this line up to the key number of 3 and I would be shocked if it went higher then 3. Tremendous value here getting this Gators team with plus points I see them finally showing up and winning the big game. Look for an outrite Florida win but take the points for safety reasons. Sooners are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games as a favorite. Investment of 9 units on Florida plus the points rotation #315

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness - NCAAB - Wed, Dec 30 at 8:30 PM
Larry free CBB winner (Penn St / Indiana)

Penn State vs Indiana
Indiana -5.5 (-107) (BetAnySports)

My free play is on Indiana at 8:30 ET. The Penn State Nittany Lions are 3-3 (0-2 Big Ten) as they visit the 5-4 Indiana Hoosiers (also 0-2 in Bg Ten) with both teams looking to not fall too far behind in the competitive Big Ten (NINE schools were ranked in the Monday's AP poll!). Penn St was 21-10 last season but the Nittany Lions went through some turmoil right as practices started when head coach Pat Chambers resigned in late October following an investigation into inappropriate conduct. Penn State interim head coach is Jim Ferry. Archie Miller spent six years at Dayton, winning 20-plus games in five seasons. Over his final four at the school, the Flyers averaged 25.5 wins per season and went to four straight NCAA tourneys. He got the Indiana job beginning with the 2017-18 season and was just 16-15 and 19-16. However, last year's team was 20-12 before the season was "called off!" Penn State is still searching for its identity after losing front-court starters Lamar Stevens (17.6 &amp; 6.9) and Mike Watkins (9.7 &amp; 7.6) from last season's team. However, the Nittany Lions do have four players averaging in double figures; the 6-7 Izaiah Brockington (15.2 &amp; 5.2) and 6-7 Seth Lundy (13.0 &amp; 3.5) up front plus two guards Myreon Jones (13.3) and Sam Sessoms (11.8 &amp; 3.3 APG). PG Wheeler (5.3-4.0-4.7) runs the offense The 6-9 Harrar (6.7 &amp; 6.0) is the team's leading rebounder. The Hoosiers are led by the 6-9 Jackson-Davis (20.0 &amp; 8.6) and the 6-8 Thompson (9.8 &amp; 6.6) up front plus guards Franklin (13.6 &amp; 4.8), Durham (8.8-4.1-3.1) and Phinisee (6.7). With just 11 weeks to complete their 20-game league schedules, there's precious little time for Big Ten teams to celebrate victories and, more important, solve problems that spring up. Both schools are coming off losses to Illinois. Penn State jumped to an early 19-4 lead but couldn't sustain that high level of play for 40 minutes, in an 98-81 loss on Dec 23. In contrast, Indiana is returning home after a 69-60 loss at then-No. 18 Illinois on Dec 26, in a game in which the Hoosiers led by FIVE points in the middle of the second half but couldn't make big shots and big plays down the stretch. "We were good enough to win the game," Miller said. "We had our opportunities in terms of execution late, being able to hit a couple of shots." I believe those shots will fall against Penn St. Lay the points. Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard - NCAAB - Wed, Dec 30 at 8:30 PM
BRYAN LEONARD'S PENN ST/INDIANA FREE PLAY

Penn State vs Indiana
Penn State +6 (-107) (BetAnySports)

695 Penn State at Indiana Prefer the Nittany Lions here who have played well on the road thus far. A 20 point victory at Virginia Tech, and a 4 point loss at Michigan. This is a team that ranks 26th in offensive turnover percentage, and 81st in defensive turnover percentage. At 0-2 in Big Ten play this is an all out game for the visitor. Indiana doesn’t have very good guard play, which is a concern here. They also struggle on the offensive boards which is a concern. Our numbers have this being a much closer contest. PLAY PENN STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Sports - NBA - Wed, Dec 30 at 8:35 PM
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR, WEDNESDAY, 12/30:

Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks
Charlotte Hornets +8 (-105) (BetAnySports)

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last plays I cut on Wednesday in the NBA is with the Charlotte Hornets plus the points versus the Dallas Mavericks. Charlotte (1-2) comes off a 106-104 upset win against Brooklyn as an 11.5-point underdog on Sunday. The Hornets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win. Charlotte is also 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Dallas (1-2) comes off a blowout 123-73 win in Los Angeles against the Clippers as a 3-point underdog on Sunday. The Mavericks return home to play their first game of the new season — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on their home court. Dallas has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit win. Take Charlotte plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.