Friday 1/1/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Stronach 5 - Race #3 - Post: 4:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#5 LADY FOX (ML=3/1)


LADY FOX - Just check out her recent fig, 61. That one fits well in this bunch. While the finish was disappointing, this horse made a good stretch move last time out at Laurel. Should do much better right here. EPS (earnings per start) is something that I believe can be a very key factor. This horse is ranked at the very top in this bunch. This filly gets a weight break of -7 pounds from last race. Should make the difference today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 RYE STREET (ML=5/2), #7 ZOLA B (ML=9/2), #3 ABILIFY (ML=8/1),

RYE STREET - I don't normally play a favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. ZOLA B - 59/54/19, are the deteriorating speed ratings for this entrant. Will not be easy for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list. ABILIFY - This mare has already been defeated as the public's choice back to back. Hard to give her another chance.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 LADY FOX to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $47000 Class Rating: 94

FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 GEAR JOCKEY 7/5
# 4 THE ANGRY MAN 5/2
# 2 EAGERLY 3/1

GEAR JOCKEY has a competitive shot to take this race. With Ortiz getting the mount, watch out for this racer. Will probably go to the lead and might never look back. Should be given a chance - I like the figures from the last competition. THE ANGRY MAN - Is difficult not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been competitive - 87 avg - of late. Posted a solid speed rating last time out. EAGERLY - Has run quite well when racing a turf route race. This gelding gets a boost with Lopez in the saddle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds

01/01/21, FG, Race 6, 3.25 CT
01/01/21,FG,6,5 1/2F [Turf About] 1:01:03 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000 (includes up to $4,000 Other Sources) (plus up to $3,000 ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. A race since then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $17,500, if for $15,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at 5 and 1/2 Furlongs.) (Rail at 15 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	9	O'L Red	8/1	Arrieta F	Gonzalez Isai V.	JL	152	30.92	1.47/$1
099.8665	4	Western Trouble	8/1	Graham J	Scherer Gary M.	W	152	30.92	1.47/$1
099.1666	12	Pat Daddy	9/2	Suarez A	Davis Christopher		152	30.92	1.47/$1
098.4258	5	Eden Grey's Kitten	8/1	Murrill M	Flint Steven B.	C	152	30.92	1.47/$1
097.8601	11	Hotfoot	4/1	Bridgmohan S	Shirer Matt A.	F	152	30.92	1.47/$1
095.0639	8	Dowse's Beach	5/1	Geroux F	Maker Michael J.	E	152	30.92	1.47/$1
094.9769	2	Lynchburg	9/2	Mena M	Calhoun W. Bret	T	199	29.65	1.33/$1
092.5236	7	Hitters Park	4/1	Pedroza M	Foley Gregory D.		152	30.92	1.47/$1
092.2728	3	Catalogue	10/1	Saez G	Lovell Michelle	S	199	29.65	1.33/$1
092.0793	1	Richard's Boy	5/1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	Asmussen Steven M.		152	30.92	1.47/$1
088.9502	6	More Abundance	20/1	Beschizza A	Sharp Joe		152	30.92	1.47/$1
088.5043	10	Bye Bye Birdstone	8/1	Hernandez C J	Broberg Karl		152	30.92	1.47/$1

Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 30.16, ROI 1.40/$1
. . . .
100.0000 9 O'L Red
[Category]Condition
[AllTurf]LastRaceWeightIsNotLessThanToday
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	11	Hotfoot	4/1	Bridgmohan S	Shirer Matt A.	F	161	33.54	1.30/$1
099.3776	7	Hitters Park	4/1	Pedroza M	Foley Gregory D.		179	34.64	1.25/$1
098.9107	2	Lynchburg	9/2	Mena M	Calhoun W. Bret	T	161	33.54	1.30/$1
098.2812	12	Pat Daddy	9/2	Suarez A	Davis Christopher		179	34.64	1.25/$1
098.0879	8	Dowse's Beach	5/1	Geroux F	Maker Michael J.	E	161	33.54	1.30/$1
097.9760	9	O'L Red	8/1	Arrieta F	Gonzalez Isai V.	JL	161	33.54	1.30/$1
097.8806	1	Richard's Boy	5/1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	Asmussen Steven M.		161	33.54	1.30/$1
097.7112	10	Bye Bye Birdstone	8/1	Hernandez C J	Broberg Karl		179	34.64	1.25/$1
096.7054	5	Eden Grey's Kitten	8/1	Murrill M	Flint Steven B.	C	161	33.54	1.30/$1
096.1128	4	Western Trouble	8/1	Graham J	Scherer Gary M.	W	161	33.54	1.30/$1
094.8788	3	Catalogue	10/1	Saez G	Lovell Michelle	S	59	18.64	1.39/$1
094.0447	6	More Abundance	20/1	Beschizza A	Sharp Joe		179	34.64	1.25/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.54, ROI 0.78/$1
. . . .
100.0000 11 Hotfoot
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceIsNotSameSurfaceAsToday

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 1, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 THE PET 4/1
# 7 BELLIGERENT 4/1
# 2 C C THE BARTENDER 5/2

THE PET has a competitive shot to take this race. This mare with Ordunarojas in the irons makes her a contender. With Ordunarojas in the saddle guiding her, this mare will most likely be able to break out quickly in here. The speed figure of 75 from her last affair looks respectable in here. BELLIGERENT - Uranga has a sharp win percentage with horses moving in dirt sprint races. Ought to be given a chance in this competition if only for the quite good Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last race. C C THE BARTENDER - Stortz makes a blinkers change (going off today), looking for better results. Has respectable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Jan 01 '21, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Georgia
Play on: Georgia -7½ -110 at Mirage

Free Pick on Georgia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Jan 01 '21, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Georgia
Play on: Cincinnati +8 +102 at pinnacle

1* on Cincinnati +8 +102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer

Jan 01 '21, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Georgia
Play on: OVER 51 -110

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 1/1:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The first play on my cut list for 2021 is with Over the Total in the Peach Bowl between Georgia and Cincinnati. Georgia (7-2) followed up their 45-16 win at South Carolina with a 49-14 win at Missouri on December 12th to close out their regular season. The Bulldogs are scoring 41.7 PPG while averaging 498.3 YPG in their last three games under QB J.T. Daniels since he took over under center. He is averaging 10.4 Yards-Per-Attempt this season. Georgia has played 15 of their last 21 games away from home Over the Total after winning two straight games against SEC foes by at least 10 points. The Bulldogs have also played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Cincinnati (9-0) won the American Athletic Conference Championship Game with their 27-24 win against Tulsa on December 19th. The Bearcats have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Cincinnati has averaged 518.3 YPG over their last three games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after averaging at least 475 YPG over their last three games. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Jan 01 '21, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Georgia
Play on: OVER 52 -110

FREE PLAY on Cincinnati/Georgia over 52 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

Jan 01 '21, 12:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | West Ham United vs Everton
Play on: West Ham United 0½ -115 at Mirage

WEST HAM +1/2 goal -115 - The Hammers have lost only 5 times in their 16 matches this season. In other words, odds are quite strong that West Ham United will pick up at least a draw here if not a win. That said, having the +1/2 goal on our side could prove very beneficial. I know that Everton has been hot but their most recent premier league match was cancelled due to their opponents coronavirus situation. That could cost them some momentum and, additionally, they my have lost a little momentum/confidence with a 2-0 loss to Manchester United in English Carabao Cup competition. There has been a little movement on the money line towards West Ham even though they are winless in their last 4 league matches while Everton is a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 league matches. That tells you that some sharps are seeing the same thing I am seeing in this one. That is, given the situation, the Hammers are absolutely a live dog in this one. WEST HAM +1/2 goal -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Bowl Week

Jan 1

Peach Bowl (Atlanta)
Cincinnati (9-0) vs Georgia (7-2)
— Cincinnati last two wins: 36-33 vs UCF, 27-24 vs Tulsa.
— Bearcats threw ball for 961 yards in their last three games.
— Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cincinnati has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cincy’s junior QB has 34 career starts.
— Under Fickell, Cincinnati is 10-5 ATS as an underdog.
— Bearcats won their last two bowls, 35-31/38-6

— Georgia won four of its last five games, scoring 41.7 ppg in last three.
— Dawgs gave up 41-44 points in losses to Alabama/Florida.
— Dawgs have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Georgia has 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Dawgs’ QB is a transfer from USC (5 starts)
— Georgia’s last six games went over the total.
— Dawgs won four of their last six bowl games.

Citrus Bowl (Orlando)
Northwestern (6-2) vs Auburn (6-4)
— Northwestern lost two of its last three games, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Northwestern has a senior QB with 30 career starts.
— Wildcats were +8 in turnovers in first five games, are minus-5 in last three.
— Seven of eight Northwestern games stayed under total.
— Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Northwestern won last three bowls, scoring 31-24-31 points.

— Auburn lost two of last three games, fired their coach.
— Tigers scored 32.7 ppg in their wins; 6-22-13-20 in losses.
— Auburn gave up 437+ yards six of last nine games.
— Tigers have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB with 23 career starts.
— Auburn is 4-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Auburn lost three of its last four bowl games.

Rose Bowl (Arlington, TX)
Alabama (11-0) vs Notre Dame (10-1)
— Alabama won one game this year by less than 17 points.
— Alabama did give up 46 points, 408 PY in last game, vs Florida
— Crimson Tide has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Alabama has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bama’s junior QB has made 14 starts.
— Alabama covered seven of its last eight games overall.
— Alabama is 5-2 in last seven bowls (both losses to Clemson).

— Notre Dame lost 34-10 to Clemson after winning its first ten games.
— When ND beat Clemson 47-40 Nov 7th, Trevor Lawrence didn’t play.
— Notre Dame has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Notre Dame has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Notre Dame’s senior QB has made 34 career starts.
— Notre Dame is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as an underdog.
— Notre Dame won three of its last five bowls.

Sugar Bowl (New Orleans)
Ohio State (6-0) vs Clemson (10-1)
— Ohio State scored 38+ points in five of their six games.
— Buckeyes ran ball for 307-322-399 yards in last three games.
— Buckeyes have 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ohio State’s junior QB has started 19 games.
— Since 2013, Buckeyes are 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
— OSU won three of last five bowls (both losses vs Clemson)

— Tigers’ OC Elliott will miss this game (COVID)
— Clemson won its last three games, scoring 52-45-34 points.
— Clemson ran ball for 238-219 yards in its last two games.
— Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Tigers have 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Clemson’s junior QB has made 35 starts.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.
— Clemson won five of its last seven bowls.

— Clemson won last two meetings, 31-0/29-23.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

331NOTRE DAME -332 ALABAMA
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. in the current season.

333OHIO ST -334 CLEMSON
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	NBA – Celtics over 213
2.	Gameday Network	CBB – Rice +2.5
3.	VegasSI.com	CBB – Western Kentucky -7
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	CBB – Old Dominion pk
5.	Sports Action 365	NBA – Spurs +5.5
6.	Point Spread Report	CBB – UL Monroe -2.5
7.	Lou Panelli	CBB – Cal Santa Barbara over 138
8.	Gerry “Big Cat” Andino	CBB – Akron -3
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	NBA – Hawks +6
10.	William E. Stockton	CBB – Southern Miss over 126.5
11.	Vincent Pioli	CBB – UL Lafayette -3.5
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	CBB – Wright St -7
13.	SCORE	CBB – Georgia Southern -3.5
14.	East Coast Line Movers	NBA – Grizzlies over 219.5
15.	Tony Campone	CBB – Rider -2.5
16.	Chicago Sports Group	CBB – Marist +2.5
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	CBB – Robert Morris -2.5
18.	VIP Action	NBA – Suns +4
19.	South Beach Sports	CBB – Wisc Green Bay +7
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	CBB – Canisius +4
21.	NY Players Club	NBA – Mavericks +1
22.	Fred Callahan	CBB – Western Kentucky -7
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	NBA – Bulls +14.5
24.	Michigan Sports	CBB – Old Dominion pk
25.	National Consensus Report	CBB – Southern Miss over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Jan 01 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Auburn vs Northwestern
Play on: Northwestern -4 -110 at Mirage

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Northwestern -4
The Northwestern Wildcats are excited to be playing in the Citrus Bowl after finishing second in the Big Ten to Ohio State this season. And half the battle of handicapping these bowl games is figuring out which team will be the more motivated of the two. There's no questioning Northwestern's motivation under head coach Pat Fitzgerald, who gets his teams to show up week in and week out. But there's reason to believe Auburn won't be motivated at all. They just let go of head coach Gus Malzahn, and from all reports his players liked him a lot. Now these players have to deal mentally with the realization that they are getting a new head coach that they don't even know in Bryan Harsin from Boise State. I think with the questionable motivation for Auburn, the Wildcats are rightful 4-point favorites here in a game I expect them to win by a TD or more. Give me Northwestern.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Jan 01 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | St. Peter's vs Canisius
Play on: Canisius +5½ -110 at Mirage

Free Play on Canisius +5½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Jan 01 '21, 3:00 PM in 4h
Soccer | Aston Villa vs Manchester United
Play on: Manchester United -129 at pinnacle

The Red Devils are finding ways to win. I like the momentum that they bring after a late-goal victory in a hard-fought match against Wolverhampton. Villa will push forward but that will make them vulnerable and United is likely to beat them on the counter-attack. Man U has won three with one draw in the past five h2h meetings. I say the Red Devils are playing too well right now and bring too much to the table; I expect them to keep on rolling to start the year. Consider Man. U.