Service Plays Saturday 1/2/21

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369690

    #1

    Service Plays Saturday 1/2/21

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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    Twitter@cpawsports


  • dawggy
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2017
    • 1770

    #2
    OSKEIM SPORT



    Game: (495) Oregon at (496) Iowa State
    Date/Time: Jan 2 2021 4:00 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Oregon +4.0 (-110)

    The Big 12 Conference continues to be grossly overrated by the College Football Playoff committee, and the conference's overvalued status in bowl games dates back to 1995. Since 2015, Big 12 Conference teams are just 17-17 SU and ATS in bowl games, including 4-4 ATS as favorites. Big 12 teams are a money-burning 14-27 SU and 11-29-1 ATS in New Year's Six bowl games since 2002. Big 12 squads are 21-26 SU and 13-33-1 ATS in January bowl affairs since 2002. Big 12 teams are just 25-46-1 ATS in competitively-priced bowl games (+4 to -4) since 1996, including 8-18 ATS in the last 26.

    The Pac-12 has faired well in postseason play under certain parameters. Since 1995, college bowl underdogs have gone 28-16 ATS in matchups between the Big 12 and Pac-12. Since 2000, Pac-12 teams have gone 16-14 SU and 18-12 ATS in New Year's Six bowl games and 20-10 ATS in January bowl affairs. Since 2018, Oregon is 5-4 straight-up as an underdog, the best straight-up winning percentage for an underdog in that span. In contrast, Iowa State is just 10-13-1 ATS as a favorite over that time period. The Ducks have won their past three games as underdogs - victories in each of the past two Pac-12 title games and the Rose Bowl.

    Iowa State enters off an emotional 27-21 loss to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Conference title game in which quarterback Brock Purdy threw three interceptions. Oregon's two losses this season came by a combined seven points and the Ducks enter off a 31-24 upset over USC in the conference title game. Oregon's offense is 0.6 yards per play better than average (6.7 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 6.1 yards per play to a mediocre attack), which is good enough to move the chains against a strong Iowa State defense that was 0.4 yards per play better than average in 2020.

    Finally, Oregon applies to a very strong 35-9 ATS statistical profile indicator of mine that invests on certain college football teams that allowed 40 rushing yards or fewer in their previous game, provided our 'play on' team averages at least 4.8 yards per carry on the season. With Oregon standing at 8-3 ATS as a bowl underdog since 1994 and 4-0 SU and ATS in its previous four bowl games as an underdog, grab the points with the Ducks and invest with confidence.

    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369690

      #3
      Indian Cowboy

      3-Unit Play. #497. Take North Carolina +7.5 over Texas A&M (Saturday @ 8pm est)
      Great opportunity for Mack Brown and UNC to prove the quality of ACC Football here. It's hard to imagine Texas A&M, who wanted to be in the final 4, to get up for this UNC team. UNC wants to crush people. They just beat Miami 62-26, Mack Brown is a genuis coach and he will want this game bad - he used to Coach Texas, he has a lot of friends and family in the Texas area and this game means something to him. UNC is interested in winning, they will want to win big here .

      3-Unit Play. #491. Take Kentucky -2.5 over NC State (Saturday @ 12pm est)
      There is not lot of faith in Kentucky and we like them because of it. Yes, NC State has pummeled some teams of late, but they only beat Tech by 23-13 and Kentucky's front line - though they cannot pass the ball - their defensive front line is very good. Kentucky just beat South Carolina 41-18, they have a good coaching staff, they faced Florida and lost 10-34 and holding Florida to 14 points and holding Georgia to 20 points is hard. We think that Kentucky will run all over NC State and win in an ugly, high school option type of game of 27-17.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369690

        #4
        Raphael Esparza (VSI)

        8 Units - nc st +2.5
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369690

          #5
          Stanford Steve

          Iowa State -4.5
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369690

            #6
            The Bear

            Kentucky -2.5
            Ole Miss +7.5
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            Comment

            • dawggy
              Senior Member
              • Dec 2017
              • 1770

              #7
              Originally posted by dawggy
              OSKEIM SPORT



              Game: (495) Oregon at (496) Iowa State
              Date/Time: Jan 2 2021 4:00 PM EST
              Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
              Play Rating: 3%
              Play: Oregon +4.0 (-110)

              The Big 12 Conference continues to be grossly overrated by the College Football Playoff committee, and the conference's overvalued status in bowl games dates back to 1995. Since 2015, Big 12 Conference teams are just 17-17 SU and ATS in bowl games, including 4-4 ATS as favorites. Big 12 teams are a money-burning 14-27 SU and 11-29-1 ATS in New Year's Six bowl games since 2002. Big 12 squads are 21-26 SU and 13-33-1 ATS in January bowl affairs since 2002. Big 12 teams are just 25-46-1 ATS in competitively-priced bowl games (+4 to -4) since 1996, including 8-18 ATS in the last 26.

              The Pac-12 has faired well in postseason play under certain parameters. Since 1995, college bowl underdogs have gone 28-16 ATS in matchups between the Big 12 and Pac-12. Since 2000, Pac-12 teams have gone 16-14 SU and 18-12 ATS in New Year's Six bowl games and 20-10 ATS in January bowl affairs. Since 2018, Oregon is 5-4 straight-up as an underdog, the best straight-up winning percentage for an underdog in that span. In contrast, Iowa State is just 10-13-1 ATS as a favorite over that time period. The Ducks have won their past three games as underdogs - victories in each of the past two Pac-12 title games and the Rose Bowl.

              Iowa State enters off an emotional 27-21 loss to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Conference title game in which quarterback Brock Purdy threw three interceptions. Oregon's two losses this season came by a combined seven points and the Ducks enter off a 31-24 upset over USC in the conference title game. Oregon's offense is 0.6 yards per play better than average (6.7 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 6.1 yards per play to a mediocre attack), which is good enough to move the chains against a strong Iowa State defense that was 0.4 yards per play better than average in 2020.

              Finally, Oregon applies to a very strong 35-9 ATS statistical profile indicator of mine that invests on certain college football teams that allowed 40 rushing yards or fewer in their previous game, provided our 'play on' team averages at least 4.8 yards per carry on the season. With Oregon standing at 8-3 ATS as a bowl underdog since 1994 and 4-0 SU and ATS in its previous four bowl games as an underdog, grab the points with the Ducks and invest with confidence.


              Game: (491) Kentucky at (492) NC State
              Date/Time: Jan 2 2021 12:00 PM EST
              Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
              Play Rating: 4%
              Play: NC State +2.5 (-110)

              My math model only favors Kentucky by 0.88 points in this game and the Wolfpack are 7-3-1 ATS in their last eleven bowl games. North Carolina State head coach Dave Doeren manufactured one of the most impressive turnarounds in college football, leading the Wolfpack to an 8-3 record after finishing last season 4-8. Despite losing starting quarterback Devin Leary to injury, the Wolfpack doubled its win total from a year ago and made significant improvements in almost every statistical metric.

              First-year offensive coordinator Tim Beck was Doeren's best hire as the Wolfpack averaged 31.1 points per game on 8.0 yards per pass attempt against teams that would combine to allow 30.8 points per game and 7.6 yards per pass play to a mediocre offense. North Carolina State finished the regular season with four consecutive wins, including a 15-14 win over a LIberty squad that just handed Coastal Carolina its only loss of the 2020 campaign.

              In contrast, Kentucky lost four of its last six games and received a bowl bid despite finishing with a 4-6 record. All four losses were by double-digits and the Wildcats scored a combined 26 points in those defeats. Kentucky was 1-3 SU versus teams with a winning record and 2-6 SU against fellow bowl teams. Kentucky's four wins on the season came against teams that are a combined 8-31. The Wildcats have been installed as bowl favorites just twice since 1980 and failed to cover the Vegas number in both games.

              The Wildcats possess one of the worst offenses in the nation, averaging just 5.1 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 6.0 yards per play to a mediocre attack. Kentucky averaged 114 total yards per game less than their opponents allowed and starting quarterback Terry Wilson eclipsed 200 yards passing just twice in ten games. Head coach Mark Stoops fired offensive coordinator Eddie Gran and quarterbacks coach Darin Hinshaw at the end of the season after Kentucky averaged just 124.4 yards per game.

              Stoops hired Los Angeles Rams assistant Liam Coen as the team's new offensive coordinator but Coen won't join the Wildcats until after the NFL season. Kentucky is ranked 107th nationally in scoring (21.7 ppg) and will struggle to move the ball against a vastly improved North Carolina State stop unit that is 0.4 yards per play better than average. Linebacker Payton Wilson led the ACC in tackles with 10.8 per game and tied for 8th in the league with 11.5 tackles for loss. Wilson is just one of seven players to surpass 100 tackles in a season in all of FBS.

              With Kentucky standing at 10-18-1 ATS as a favorite over the last five seasons, grab the points with North Carolina State and invest with confidence.

              Comment

              • dawggy
                Senior Member
                • Dec 2017
                • 1770

                #8
                L.V CRIS



                Game: (495) Oregon at (496) Iowa State
                Date/Time: Jan 2 2021 4:00 PM EST
                Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                Play Rating: 4%
                Play: Iowa State -4.0 (-110)

                Iowa State -4 (4%)

                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369690

                  #9
                  Northcoast

                  Bowl GOY: 5* Texas A&M (-7.5) North Carolina (Orange Bowl) (Sat 1/2)
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                  Comment

                  • dawggy
                    Senior Member
                    • Dec 2017
                    • 1770

                    #10
                    L.V CRIS



                    Game: (495) Oregon at (496) Iowa State
                    Date/Time: Jan 2 2021 4:00 PM EST
                    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                    Play Rating: 4%
                    Play: Iowa State -4.0 (-110)

                    Iowa State -4 (4%)




                    Game: (497) North Carolina at (498) Texas A&M
                    Date/Time: Jan 2 2021 8:00 PM EST
                    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                    Play Rating: 4%
                    Play: Texas A&M -7.0 (-117)

                    Texas A&M -7 -117 (4%) I have recently changed my proifile. Please take a moment to read member notes
                    This is the top Bowl play of the year for me. This has gone back and forth to 7 7.5 for days. of course, I'm picking my nose waiting for a line available to everyone. Bookmaker has this line, Plenty of other shops have weak 7.5's to buy down to 7, if need be, I've said it before and I didn't follow through. There are going to be some occasions in the future where lines are a bit tougher to get than others. I need to be able to share my information ASAP and its causing too many games and clients to lose value, for the sake of some that don't have access to lots of places/ There are plenty of games I release with BETTER numbers available. If you you feel I intentionally try and cheat lines, and give out lines unavailable. I suggest changing investment consultants. I don't see any other consultant that ever even mentions their angst at getting available lines to clients. In the future< i'm going to release some games with lines that aren't the easiest, but they are there. IF YOU CANT GET A LINE< SKIP IT OR PLAY IT FOR LESS. I do the very best I can to provide fair and reasonable information to bet with. I'm told I'm the only one that is as available as I am via DM. If I was in this for pick sales, I'd have my 5% TAM out there < and I would have my eight 5% per month out there/ I'm a bettor doing my best to translate to investors. In the future, Since so many buyers do chase that shiny object<I will Likely do 5% game of the week or something of that nature. Read my profile for my thoughts


                    [/QUOTE]

                    Comment

                    • golden contender
                      Senior Member
                      • Jun 2010
                      • 2863

                      #11
                      Rob V: Saturday Comp Play

                      On Saturday the 100% 7* Bowl Game of the Year headlines in football along with an Early Top rated Total. In Hoops we have an NCAAB Platinum Supreme Play Headlining a powerful card. Big 10 comp play below

                      The Big 10 Comp play is on Iowa at 2:00 eastern. The Hawkeyes have won 8 of 10 this year with only losses to Gonzaga and Minnesota. They take on a Rutgers team that has been solid at home and are off a come from behind win over Purdue. Iowa has won 3 of 4 here and covered 7 of 9 vs. 600 or better teams. Iowa is ranked 14 spots higher than Rutgers in stat Indicators. Look for Iowa to get the cover here. The 7* Bowl play of the year with a Perfect Bowl system headlines a big Bowl card and we also have a Powerful Hoops card with a Platinum Supreme play and a big Total. See us on facebook to jump on. For the free NCAAB Play. Go with Iowa. Rob V- GC Sports.

                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369690

                        #12
                        Jack Jones

                        20* Texas A&M -7

                        20* Iowa St CFB
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369690

                          #13
                          Larry Ness CFB

                          10* Game of the Year

                          Iowa State -3.5
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369690

                            #14
                            Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

                            NC State +2.5
                            Indiana -8
                            Iowa State -4
                            Texas A&M -7.5
                            A&M-UNC under 65
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                            Comment

                            • joejoe99
                              Senior Member
                              • Oct 2020
                              • 107

                              #15
                              Big Al 7-0 yesterday and 14-1 last 15 plays
                              Bowls
                              Ole miss
                              Kentucky
                              BEEN THE BEST IN BOWLS

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