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5% Brooklyn Nets -1.5 (Durant being out has moved this 6 pts to +4.5 now)
Play- 5% Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets -1.5
The Brooklyn Nets won their first two games and have since lost four of the last five games to drop below 0.500 with 3-4 record. The problems for the Nets losing ways are consistent in the game of basketball. Too many turnovers, defensive lapses, and poor rebounding are all culprits for losses. The Nets Kevin Durant is coming off a 28-point game but had a horrid six turnovers. Kevin Durant's teams are 55-35-2 ATS for 61% winning bets when he is coming off a game with six or more turnovers. While a member of the Warriors, he and his teammates earned an 11-5-1 ATS record for 69% winning bets, and this game is the first with the Nets where he is coming off a game with six or more turnovers.The good news for the Nets is they are coached by Steve Nash, who was elected to the NBA Hall of Fame in 2018 on the merit of having played 1,217 games, averaged 14.3 PPG, 8.5 assist-per-game, 49% shooting, and making 90.4% of his free throws. Although a rookie head coach, his player experience will be more than enough to fix the very talented Nets' defensive issues quickly. Further, the Nets rank second in the NBA, scoring an average of 118.0 PPG, and Utah dead last, forcing opponents an average of just 10.8 turnovers-per-game. As a result, the Nets will have an excellent opportunity to minimize their turnovers and play far more efficient basketball than they have over their last five games.Betting on teams that are coming off a loss as a favorite, had ten or more turnovers than the previous opponent, shot at least 46% from the field, and allowed 11 or more offensive rebounds have earned a respectable 34-20 ATS for 63% winning bets since 1997 and an even better 14-3 ATS for 82.3% winning bets since 2015.
From the machine-learning models: The Nets are 33-8 SU and 31-9-1 ATS for 78% winning bets in home games, scoring at least 111 points, getting 24 or more assists, and having a better assist-to-turnover ratio than their opponent in games played since 2011. Bet the Nets and expect them to cover easily as a top-rated 5% Best Bet.
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