Monday 1/11/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359711

    Monday 1/11/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359711

    #2
    Bobby Ligs

    Event: (499) Ohio State at (500) Alabama

    Sport/League: CFB

    Date/Time: January 11, 2021 8PM EST

    Play: Total Over 75.0 (-110)
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359711

      #3
      Joe D'Amico

      Alabama
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359711

        #4
        Frank S. Walker

        Alabama
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359711

          #5
          Ian Cameron

          Alabama
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359711

            #6
            Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Late Pick 4 Analysis


            January 11, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
            Pompano Park has a 13-race card scheduled for this evening including two Pick 4 sequences. The Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6 and the 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10. I will focus on the Late Pick 4 and both sequences have a $30,000 guaranteed pool.

            Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

            Race 10

            2-Caviart Reagan (7-1)-Veteran drops to the level of last win and should offer some value. Simons shouldn't have much trouble getting on the engine and that route could lead to a picture.
            4-Loud Splash (2-1)-Recent form has been dull but Hennessey takes the lines and maybe he will be able to wake this
            5-year-old up. Might be able to fall into the pocket or get the point in front of #2 and did beat Open Handicap company here on 11/29.

            Race 11

            5-Explosivebreakaway (7/2)-Did not miss the board here until last week after breaking stride. Did have 4 straight second place finishes at this class. Will take a swing with this favorable post draw. Best to respect, did win over $53K in 2020 with only 17 starts.
            6-DG's Caviar(3-1)-Doesn't usually break but every once in a while, like last week, will take a bad step. In the previous race appeared to be fired out of a canon going down the lane. Goes right back in the box so assuming there aren't any issues. Should be a major player.
            7-Muscles For Life (3/2)-Got some revenge on #6 in last due to the miscue. Not sure Hennessey can get the top and steal a quarter. Using, but at 3/2 will hope others cross the line first.

            Race 12

            3-Pittsburgh Hanover (8-1)-Will look here and toss the 2nd chalk #1 off the ticket. Was in fine form before making a rare break in last. Should be a juicy price, Ingraham can work a stalking trip hoping for quick fractions and then roll by late.
            4-Groovey Kid (8/5)-Hennessey will look to wire this field after coming off a win. Steps-up but will be bet and will need a top effort for an encore.
            5-TT Conway (5-1)-Even effort in last after being off almost a month and now tries Lasix for the 2nd time. Versatile sort who draws well and fits if ready for a big try.

            Race 13

            2-Peter Dalt (4-1)-Comes off a win in a quick mile and could benefit from a similar trip here. Usually is camera shy and faces better but best to respect versus this bunch.
            4-Rocksapatriot (8-1)-Drops to the level of last win and tries Lasix for the first time. Has been in the money in 7 of 14 starts at PPk with 3 pictures. Has the speed to compete with this crew and will use at a nice price with the chalk stuck with post 9.
            9-Lets Roll (2-1)-Wired the field in last and has the gate speed to use the same script tonight. Has won 5 of 12 at the Pomp and if gets the top without using up much gas it will be probably be another win in south Florida. Does face a better field so will look to others as well and will likely be bet hard.

            0.50 Pick 4

            2,4/5,6,7/3,4,5/2,4,9
            Total Bet=$27
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359711

              #7
              Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


              Delta Downs - Race #2
              #7 Wise Anchor He might be worth a look at a price here, as he has been moving in the right direction around two turns locally. He'll get another good trip from close range, and the price should be right to see if he's got another move forward in him.
              #6 Chu Chu's Legacy Might appreciate getting back on dry land after fading effort in the mud at Fair Grounds, and he'll likely get bet here while trying two turns for the first time. Standing against.
              #5 Standing Perfect That was a surprisingly good effort from off the pace when trying stakes company off the Louisiana Downs maiden win, and he should be able to find a good spot tracking the pace here.
              Race Summary Wise Anchor may get overlooked on the hike, but he has been improving through his local starts and may be competitive here with a good trip looming if he's able to move forward one more time.
              Delta Downs - Race #3
              #3 Courageous Is Back Finished up with some enthusiasm in the debut going 5f, and he may appreciate the added ground here while trying two turns in this second career start.
              #7 Sarah's Vision Looks like the clear one to beat off the fast turf effort at Fair Grounds last out, but he's sure to get bet here and has a two-turn question to answer at a likely short price.
              #4 Gimmeasound Owns a bit of pace on the stretch around two turns, and he stuck around nicely when fourth last time out in a good effort. Not impossible if he gets the right trip.
              Race Summary Courageous Is Back rallied well at a tricky 5f trip to finish into, and a more leisurely two-turn pace may allow him to sit a bit closer and outfinish these.
              Delta Downs - Race #6
              #1 Ashley's New Shoes She has really turned a corner for the Broberg operation since the claim, and she's quick enough to work out a good spot from the fence while tracking the splits.
              #8 The Complete Court She has done nothing wrong in two starts, and while she's taking another step up today, she's not exposed after just two starts and should flash some pace on the stretchout.
              #3 Saber Cut Might get a decent finishing trip in a spot with a couple of pace elements signed on, and she should appreciate the class relief after trying stakes company last time out.
              Race Summary Ashley's New Shoes brings solid recent form for her new team, and while the price probably won't be much, she looks like a handful here and should be a good one to lean on in the multi-race plays.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359711

                #8
                Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


                Mahoning Valley - Race #1
                #1 Kissinger Rallied for fourth in his first one over this strip and can improve in his return; can improve with a ground-saving run.
                #6 Sweet Lemon Drop Ran fourth in a stakes race after a maiden win; capable of a big effort in this N2L spot.
                #5 Henry Mac Was an easy winner two back and was second at this level last time out; can vie for the lead from the start of this one.
                Race Summary Kissinger will get a good pace ahead of him and can produce the best late move here.
                Mahoning Valley - Race #3
                #3 Power Banker Was a factor from the start and won going this distance last out; tough vs. the state-breds.
                #7 Somuchsugar Gave way in her only distance race, but that was in a stakes race in the mud; rebounded with an easy sprint win last time.
                #6 Biscayne Bay Was claimed when winning last out and is back up to allowance company; stretches out and should be a pace factor.
                Race Summary Power Banker dug in nicely last time and proved a willingness to get a longer distance; can resist the challenges here.
                Mahoning Valley - Race #6
                #2 Vintage Ready Crushed maidens at Mountaineer last out and will be seriously tough to catch if she can run back to that one.
                #4 Sole Factor Was a non-threatening second last time and has been on the board in her last nine; will be around late.
                #7 Valley of Mo'ara Was an easy allowance winner and last out and has run well in some good races; can battle from the start.
                Race Summary Vintage Ready beat open company last time and can be tough on the front end vs. this group.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359711

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

                  Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 5
                  Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8) 50% Carryover
                  Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 85 • Purse: $11,800 • Post: 2:36P
                  FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * UYEDA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. EMPIREMEISTER: Today is a sprint and the horse's last s tart was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. THE FILTER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
                  6
                  UYEDA
                  2/1
                  4/1
                  1
                  EMPIREMEISTER
                  4/1
                  4/1
                  4
                  THE FILTER
                  3/1
                  9/1

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  6
                  UYEDA
                  6
                  2/1
                  Stalker
                  77
                  90
                  82.0
                  78.8
                  72.8
                  3
                  MY KINDA KID
                  3
                  6/1
                  Stalker
                  77
                  73
                  58.0
                  61.8
                  50.3
                  4
                  THE FILTER
                  4
                  3/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  80
                  83
                  51.6
                  73.4
                  62.9
                  1
                  EMPIREMEISTER
                  1
                  4/1
                  Trailer
                  91
                  83
                  67.4
                  79.0
                  73.5
                  8
                  LOVEATTURKEYCLUB
                  8
                  20/1
                  Trailer
                  84
                  73
                  26.4
                  75.0
                  65.5
                  2
                  BEYOND GONE
                  2
                  5/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  86
                  74
                  86.8
                  72.0
                  68.0
                  5
                  GOOD LUCK JUSTICE
                  5
                  12/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  88
                  84
                  66.6
                  66.6
                  57.1
                  7
                  NETAS
                  7
                  20/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  76
                  76
                  34.8
                  56.6
                  42.6
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359711

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing



                    Parx Racing - Race 9
                    Daily Double / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
                    Starter Allowance $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 93 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 4:01P
                    (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS SINCE JANUARY 11, 2019. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
                    Contenders
                    Race Analysis
                    P#
                    Horse
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds

                    Race Type: Lone Trailer. MONTELEONE is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * FLASHY KYEM: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" desig nation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. FACTOR THIS IN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MANOLETE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. AMERICAN TALENT: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                    5
                    FLASHY KYEM
                    9/2
                    5/1
                    7
                    FACTOR THIS IN
                    7/2
                    5/1
                    1
                    MANOLETE
                    3/1
                    7/1
                    10
                    AMERICAN TALENT
                    8/1
                    9/1

                    P#
                    Horse (In Running Style Order)
                    Post
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style
                    Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure
                    Finish Figure
                    Platinum
                    Figure
                    10
                    AMERICAN TALENT
                    11
                    8/1
                    Front-runner
                    96
                    90
                    86.6
                    75.0
                    67.0
                    2
                    KING'S HOUSE
                    1
                    15/1
                    Front-runner
                    89
                    81
                    79.8
                    81.2
                    64.2
                    1A
                    FRAN'S WORRIER
                    6
                    3/1
                    Front-runner
                    87
                    90
                    68.2
                    80.0
                    62.0
                    9
                    CATCH FIRE
                    10
                    20/1
                    Stalker
                    85
                    72
                    70.0
                    74.0
                    56.0
                    7
                    FACTOR THIS IN
                    8
                    7/2
                    Stalker
                    95
                    89
                    68.6
                    91.4
                    88.4
                    1
                    MANOLETE
                    4
                    3/1
                    Stalker
                    94
                    96
                    63.2
                    81.8
                    75.3
                    11
                    GENGHIS
                    12
                    12/1
                    Stalker
                    89
                    82
                    62.5
                    78.5
                    63.0
                    6
                    NICK THE CARDSHARK
                    7
                    8/1
                    Stalker
                    87
                    78
                    62.4
                    78.2
                    68.2
                    5
                    FLASHY KYEM
                    5
                    9/2
                    Alternator/Stalker
                    94
                    91
                    68.0
                    85.6
                    81.6
                    3
                    MONTELEONE
                    2
                    6/1
                    Trailer
                    93
                    86
                    49.8
                    81.4
                    67.4
                    4
                    KINGSVILLE
                    3
                    12/1
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    81
                    80
                    55.0
                    71.0
                    51.5
                    8
                    BOLITA BOYZ
                    9
                    15/1
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    81
                    76
                    42.0
                    77.0
                    59.5
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359711

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 12:58pm - Maiden Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 53

                      Rating:

                      #5 MERRY MARIE (ML=2/1)


                      MERRY MARIE - She has the highest (EPS) earnings per start. Take a long look at this thoroughbred.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 PAJAMA QUEEN (ML=7/2), #2 TAHOE BLUE (ML=5/1), #6 OYE COMO VA (ML=5/1),

                      PAJAMA QUEEN - The finish of third in the last affair shows me that this horse may be getting out of condition. Hard to put any money on this mare on the top end. Likes to land in the money though. This mare just doesn't seem to like the rail post position. Her running lines show that she doesn't fare well from there. This mare recorded a speed figure in her last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event. TAHOE BLUE - This filly hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint contests. I find it hard to bet on her in this race. Hasn't been getting close at all recently. OYE COMO VA - Should have at least finished in the money in the last 60 days in a sprint affair to be worth the risk at modest odds in a sprint.



                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #5 MERRY MARIE on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
                      EXACTA WAGERS: None

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      Skip
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359711

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.




                        Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 50

                        FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 11 SWANEE BEACH 12/1
                        # 9 CHICKEN OR THE EGG 5/2
                        # 2 SWEET PERFECTION 7/2
                        SWANEE BEACH looks to be the bet in here especially at a such a nice price. I like the jock on this filly - very strong chance to win the contest. With a nice class fig average of 70, has one of the top class advantages in this group of animals. Has longshot possibilities and could score at high odds. CHICKEN OR THE EGG - Ran a sharp last race. SWEET PERFECTION - Gelner has her trained well to break quickly out of the gate.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359711

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.




                          Race 7 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8800 Class Rating: 78

                          FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.

                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 7 PREACHINATDINNER 6/1
                          # 5 GO NOW GO 7/5
                          # 4 SHARPSHOOTINGEORGE 8/1
                          PREACHINATDINNER looks respectable to best this field. The Equibase Speed Figure of 78 from his most recent race looks solid in here. Has been racing soundly in races of this distance, going 1 for 3 under similar conditions. GO NOW GO - The Equibase Speed Figure of 81 from his last contest looks very strong in here. SHARPSHOOTINGEORGE - Could beat this field given the 71 speed rating posted in his last outing. Has some interesting handicapping angles which make this one a play.
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359711

                            #14
                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                            Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #3 - Post: 1:40pm - Allowance - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,500 Class Rating: 63

                            Rating:

                            #6 BISCAYNE BAY (ML=6/1)
                            #4 CRISTALINDA (ML=3/1)
                            #7 SOMUCHSUGAR (ML=2/1)


                            BISCAYNE BAY - This racer coming off a sharp effort in the last thirty days is a win candidate in my book. This filly looks like a natural router, based on efforts in last 2 sprint races. CRISTALINDA - Taking a big class drop in class figure points from her December 7th race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. Based on that valuable data, I will give this animal the advantage. A filly like this one, almost always in the money, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. SOMUCHSUGAR - When Bracho and Gonzalez work together on horses the win pct has been tremendous at 38. Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Certainly on edge for a good one today.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #3 POWER BANKER (ML=4/1), #1 MOBIL SONG (ML=5/1),

                            POWER BANKER - She had to show me more against that weaker field in the last race on Dec 14th to get my support today. May bounce off of that last extreme effort. MOBIL SONG - Will be tough for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list.

                            GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CRISTALINDA - This thoroughbred has recorded gains in her speed figures over her last two affairs. Don't overlook this filly in your betting.





                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 BISCAYNE BAY to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better
                            EXACTA WAGERS: 6 with [4,7]

                            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                            Box [4,6,7] Total Cost: $6
                            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359711

                              #15
                              Tony Finn

                              Event: (523) New York Knicks at (524) Charlotte Hornets
                              Sport/League: NBA
                              Date/Time: January 11, 2021 7PM EST
                              Play: Charlotte Hornets -4.0 (-110)
                              The Hornets catch the Knicks on the second leg of a back-to-back on Monday night. The Knicks have overachieved in the early stages of this 2020-21 season while the Hornets young core is catching up to the veterans on the team and the first-round point guard Ball is beginning to get the hang of the speed that is the NBA, something that is nearly impossible to emulate.
                              The youngest of the Ball brothers registered his first triple-double on Saturday night and he's in line for a second when the Knicks visit North Carolina Monday night.
                              The Hornets have gotten more productive in nearly every facet of the game since their season opener and that shows itself when Charlotte wires the Knicks by double-digits.
                              The Monday Night Basketball play is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the small number
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