Wednesday 1/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 05:53 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Delta Downs - Race #3

#8 Wicked Fitz	He was a good fit when catching a runaway winner in his only try at this level, and he should get a really nice run from just off the speed.
#2 Coast Guardsman	Dangerous speed nearly scored when dropped to this level last out, and he's the one to beat right back after that nice step forward when adding blinkers with similar.
#9 Friendofthecourt	He has had a couple chances with maiden claiming company, and while he may improve on the drop to this level for the first time, he seems like the type that may end up an underlay.
Race Summary	Wicked Fitz can get a good go of things from off the pace, and he should offer a playable price with the other listed pair likely to take more cash.

Delta Downs - Race #6

#8 Icy Charlie	This filly can get a really good trip here while pressing the pace similar to her last effort, and she draws outside of the forward players she's likely to be pressing.
#6 Papa Bro	Looks like the one to beat as he steps up to this next condition, and he has that dangerous combination of speed and the ability to rate that makes him very tough right back. Underlay?
#7 Mr. Production	Steps up off the win with easier, but he can get the right kind of trip from off the splits in here. Not sure if his ceiling is high enough to land this, but the trip should be there.
Race Summary	Icy Charlie is still pretty lightly raced and offers some upside here with a great trip from just off the splits waiting for her here as she faces the boys off a sharp win here in November.

Delta Downs - Race #8

#4 Wildabout Audrey	The main worry here is that she tends to give away a bit of ground in that last call, but she's in line for a brilliant trip right near the top with these. Big chance.
#1 Miss Charlie Sioux	Can't really argue much with the maiden win here last month, but she did earn that win in the off going, so she's no sure thing to repeat it from the fence while trying winners.
#7 Our Amen	Don't think she's good enough to win this, but her late-running style will give her a chance to pass some tired ones late for a piece of this.
Race Summary	Wildabout Audrey might be the right one to use in opposing flashy recent maiden winner Miss Charlie Sioux. Her style should keep her in a perfect spot, and she's likely to offer a better price than the class riser.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 05:55 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Pompano Park - Race #1

#9 LINDY BEACH	More dominant than winning margin indicates, hit the repeat button.
#4 RACE ME ROCKY	Steady check-getter, steady numbers, doesn't win alot.
#5 COLONYS BEST	Set solid pace, tired as the favorite after winless 2020.
Race Summary	Lindy Beach swept past the field with a powerful run on the final turn and was completely geared down in the stretch. He is today's Best Bet despite drawing post 9.

Northfield Park - Race #1

#7 PEARLS GIRL	Okay form in Canada, must stay flat for new connections.
#1 AKA LIL JAY	Flattened out while second-over versus 2-to-5 winner.
#3 PETEYANDTHEWOLF	Finished ahead of 'Aka' from second-tier starting spot.
Race Summary	Taking a longshot stab on Pearls Girl, who has a breaking habit but ran 1-2-3 in November at half-mile Flamboro Downs and gets first-time Lasix. Play a 1-3-7 exacta box.

Dover Downs - Race #3

#9 BFF HANOVER	Had excuses, good price and Dunn offset second-tier starting spot.
#7 SAY ITS NOT SO	Had tune-up after solid 5yo season, can surpass $100k today.
#6 IDEAL IN CASH	Chased the 3-1 winner around the track in latest.
Race Summary	BFF Hanover stayed in as the outer flow developed two back, losing all chance, then was no factor from post 8 on the drop to this level. She's worth a price shot with Dunn getting the drive despite another difficult post.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 05:56 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#3 Country Singer	Battled early and finished second last out at GPW and could be a stayer at a similar this level; should be tough vs. these..
#4 Wicksters Dream	Drops in class after a second-place finish and is significantly lower than the price at which he was claimed two races back.
#1 Bold Envoy	Makes his second start for Pletcher, who is hitting at 27 percent; takes a sizable drop.
Race Summary	Country Singer faces a lot of rivals that have been at much higher levels and is in good form; overdue to get back to the winner's circle.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#2 Game Boy Benny	Was fourth in a Claiming Crown race last time out and has the talent to score at this level.
#4 Soldollie	Comes off a runner-up finish at this level in his first off the claim by Amado; has the speed to battle with any of these early on.
#3 Vinnie Van Go	Was dull in his last two vs. higher levels and should appreciate this drop in class; would not be a surprise.
Race Summary	Game Boy Benny gave a good effort last time and has improved since dropping to the bottom price in June; he's back in good form and fits well here.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#4 Danceteria	Invades from Australia, where he was outrun in some of the top graded races; surfaces here for Motion barn and has trained well for his return.
#4 Artie's Rumor	Closed well for fourth in a Claiming Crown race and won a similar race two back at Keeneland
#9 Endorsed	Has been in some outstanding races over dirt and makes his first over the turf; Mott is 7 of his last 14.
Race Summary	Danceteria has been in some classy events in Australia can give a good account of himself in his first in the U.S.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 11:11 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 9	W-P-S / Daily Double / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 9-10-11)
Claiming $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $15,600 • Post: 9:28P
FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 13 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PURE SPRING is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PURE SPRING: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LORD JACQUE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MY DEVILS CHILD: H orse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. OWIN: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). WELL BORN: Horse has run a Good Rac e within the last 30 days.
3	PURE SPRING	5/1	3/1
5	LORD JACQUE	5/2	8/1
8	MY DEVILS CHILD	3/1	9/1
7	OWIN	12/1	10/1
2	WELL BORN	8/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	PURE SPRING	3	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	78	71	56.6	64.4	58.9
5	LORD JACQUE	5	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	64	70	76.2	64.8	57.3
1	MANATEE	1	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	71	69	64.0	57.8	48.3
8	MY DEVILS CHILD	8	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	71	69	60.8	68.4	61.9
4	POCOPSON STATION	4	20/1	Trailer	75	67	29.6	60.2	46.2
2	WELL BORN	2	8/1	Trailer	77	70	27.0	69.2	57.7
7	OWIN	7	12/1	Alternator/Trailer	82	75	55.0	60.4	51.9
9	PECOS BILL	9	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	58	50.6	53.0	37.5
6	TALENTED SON	6	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	93	86	47.4	61.0	53.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 11:31 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 4	$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 4-5) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) $.50 Pick 5 (Races 4-5-6-7-8)
Maiden Claiming $3,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 56 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 2:00P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SWEET REGARDS: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Today is a sprint and the horse' s last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SWEET RYAN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2	SWEET REGARDS	4/1	9/5
7	SWEET RYAN	3/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	SWEET REGARDS	2	4/1	Front-runner	72	61	71.0	36.2	34.2
4	LAURA BELLE	4	5/1	Front-runner	51	45	58.2	29.6	22.6
7	SWEET RYAN	7	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	58	61	38.8	43.4	37.9
1	NAVARONES SPARKLE	1	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	42	38	23.0	35.4	27.4
6	HOMEMADE LOVIN	6	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	40	37	56.0	29.4	20.4
3	LETHAL ENTITY	3	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	31.0	15.6	5.1
5	WHAT'S THE DEAL	5	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.9	0.0

Unknown Running Style: CAT IN THE PULPIT (2/1) [Jockey: Stevens Scott A - Trainer: Powell Leonard].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 11:33 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,500 Class Rating: 54

Rating:

#3 SKIPSHOT LILLY (ML=5/2)

SKIPSHOT LILLY - When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after her last outing, it generally means she's fit. This filly should be at the fitness peak, this far into her form cycle. The most recent speed rating of 51 is the highest last race speed fig in the group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ANGELINA (ML=3/1), #4 DEVIL'S ADVOCATE (ML=4/1), #6 MINE ALONE (ML=9/2),

ANGELINA - The result of seventh in the last event shows me that this animal may be going out of form. This steed ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating in the last race. She shouldn't improve and will probably lose today running that figure. Where is the pace? None to be found in here to set things up for this racer. DEVIL'S ADVOCATE - 4/1 is too short of a price to take on this thoroughbred. MINE ALONE - This filly finished off the board on August 13th and wasn't even close last time around the track either.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SKIPSHOT LILLY - I like to check out the TrackMaster Platinum PPs to look for the top mount in earnings per start. This fine animal looks good to me so I'm making a prime bet on her.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #3 SKIPSHOT LILLY to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with 5
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 11:34 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 66

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 U S CONSTITUTION 3/1
# 1 MYHESSEXPRESS 9/2
# 2 EXPLAIN 5/1

I've got to go with U S CONSTITUTION. Has performed admirably recently in route races, posting a nifty 59 avg speed figure. This horse enters today's contest on Lasix. Tough to pass on this colt with Silvera in the saddle. MYHESSEXPRESS - Formidable average speed figs in dirt route races make this pony a contender. Kulp has him trained soundly to break sharply out of the starting gate. EXPLAIN - The Equibase class rating of today's affair is much lower than his last contest. The price could be just right on this horse.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 11:35 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

01/13/21, TAM, Race 9, 4.50 ET
01/13/21,TAM,9,1M [Turf] 1:33:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $13,350 (includes up to $850 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $16,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $16,000 And SinceThen Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $16,000 Or More.). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	Dancing in Fire	4/1	Trejos J	Munoz Carlos	SFE	52	38.46	1.34/$1
099.2971	14	Bee Danna	7/2	Castanon J L	Harty Eoin G.		40	47.50	1.27/$1
099.1205	13	Patsy's Big Girl	2/1	Garcia W A	Hamm Timothy E.		40	47.50	1.27/$1
098.9311	1	Charlita(b-)	9/2	Spieth S	Gonzalez Aldana	L	47	34.04	1.23/$1
098.5112	12	Gold Country	10/1	Mena R	Fisher David		40	47.50	1.27/$1
097.7733	8	Lovely Trophy Girl	5/2	Castanon J L	Stidham Michael		146	25.34	0.95/$1
097.7265	11	El Valor	8/1	Wales G	Wright Michael W.		40	47.50	1.27/$1
097.1394	10	Pretty Princess	8/1	Santos A	Philipp Karyn	W	47	34.04	1.23/$1
095.4323	9	Silver Sky Smooth	12/1	Camacho S	David Carlos A.	T	47	34.04	1.23/$1
095.1002	6	May Beau	20/1	Coa K J	Wasiluk. Jr. Peter		146	25.34	0.95/$1
095.0489	5	C'Est Parti	3/1	Alencar W	Laurato Michael V.		47	34.04	1.23/$1
094.0692	2	Lustrous	30/1	Burgos A	Wasiluk. Jr. Peter		146	25.34	0.95/$1
094.0333	3	Bodacious Blend	20/1	Suarez G	Eckert Brittany E.		146	25.34	0.95/$1
092.5401	7	Bill's Beauty(b+)	15/1	Mejia T B	Ali Alnaz	C	146	25.34	0.95/$1

Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 7.69, ROI 0.38/$1
. . . .
100.0000 4 Dancing in Fire
[Category]Condition
[TurfMdnMClm]BestSpeed
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	13	Patsy's Big Girl	2/1	Garcia W A	Hamm Timothy E.		127	33.86	1.11/$1
099.5831	8	Lovely Trophy Girl	5/2	Castanon J L	Stidham Michael		127	33.86	1.11/$1
099.3689	4	Dancing in Fire	4/1	Trejos J	Munoz Carlos	SE	127	33.86	1.11/$1
099.2834	14	Bee Danna	7/2	Castanon J L	Harty Eoin G.		127	33.86	1.11/$1
098.3624	1	Charlita(b-)	9/2	Spieth S	Gonzalez Aldana	FL	127	33.86	1.11/$1
097.8709	5	C'Est Parti	3/1	Alencar W	Laurato Michael V.		127	33.86	1.11/$1
097.0157	11	El Valor	8/1	Wales G	Wright Michael W.		127	33.86	1.11/$1
095.7243	10	Pretty Princess	8/1	Santos A	Philipp Karyn	W	127	33.86	1.11/$1
095.7143	12	Gold Country	10/1	Mena R	Fisher David		127	33.86	1.11/$1
094.6633	3	Bodacious Blend	20/1	Suarez G	Eckert Brittany E.		127	33.86	1.11/$1
094.5301	9	Silver Sky Smooth	12/1	Camacho S	David Carlos A.	T	277	39.35	1.11/$1
092.6202	7	Bill's Beauty(b+)	15/1	Mejia T B	Ali Alnaz	C	277	39.35	1.11/$1
092.2679	6	May Beau	20/1	Coa K J	Wasiluk. Jr. Peter		127	33.86	1.11/$1
089.5987	2	Lustrous	30/1	Burgos A	Wasiluk. Jr. Peter		127	33.86	1.11/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 26.09, ROI 0.62/$1
. . . .
100.0000 13 Patsy's Big Girl
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]*RaceEntriesGreaterThan9
*Scratches may change this condition

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 11:36 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 95

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 13, 2020. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000, FOR EACH $5,000 TO $25,000 1 LB.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 11 SOVEREIGN WARRIOR 5/1
# 8 THREE OUTLAWS 8/1
# 5 KANTHAROS' IMAGE 4/1

I lean toward SOVEREIGN WARRIOR here. Have to sense that this one will run well following the quick return to the track. THREE OUTLAWS - Earned a solid speed figure last time out. KANTHAROS' IMAGE - Displays the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 91 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the most competitive in this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 11:37 AM

Hakeem Profit

Event: (305913) Lyon-Villeurbanne at (305914) Panathinaikos
Sport/League: EBB
Date/Time: January 13, 2021 2PM EST
Play: Lyon-Villeurbanne +5.0 (-110)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 11:40 AM

Kevin Dolan

Event: (203981) Sparta Rotterdam at (203982) Fortuna Sittard
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: January 13, 2021 2PM EST
Play: Sparta Rotterdam -0.25 (-110)
PLAY: SPARTA ROTTERDAM -0.25

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 01:31 PM

Hunter Price

Jan 13 '21, 2:45 PM in 13m
Soccer | Mansfield Town vs Oldham Athletic
Play on: Mansfield Town +140 at SC Consensus

1* Free Pick on Mansfield Town +140

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 02:22 PM

43MONTREAL -44 TORONTO
TORONTO is 40-34 ATS (2.6 Units) in home games at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.

49ST LOUIS -50 COLORADO
ST LOUIS are 205-201 ATS (-16.1 Units) at home when the total is 5.5 since 1996.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2021, 02:23 PM

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 13

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PITTSBURGH (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 1/13/2021, 5:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-34 ATS (+1.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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MONTREAL (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at TORONTO (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 1/13/2021, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 40-34 ATS (-13.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

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CHICAGO (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 1/13/2021, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 123-58 ATS (+201.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-7 ATS (+7.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at EDMONTON (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 1/13/2021, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 46-40 ATS (+95.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 4-4 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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ST LOUIS (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at COLORADO (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 1/13/2021, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-3 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 6-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

Wednesday 1/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Wednesday 1/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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