1-29-09

[Mr. IWS]

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

CTO CONFIDENTIAL TIP-OFF

Thursday,January 29

*ORLANDO over Cleveland (NBA)...In first meeting this season of emerging Eastern Division heavyweights, Cleveland likely to be a bit road
weary after only one brief stop at home in 13 days! Red-hot Orlando enjoyed a team-melding four-game sweep on its recent western
swing, including visits to the Spurs, Lakers & Nuggets. LeBron making a great run at the MVP. But Magic star Dwight Howard eager to state
his own case and holds a big matchup edge at C in this one, and he’s getting better support than James overall now that PG Jameer Nelson
(17 ppg, 5.4 apg) back on track.
*ORLANDO 103 - Cleveland 90 RATING - 10


FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL over *New Orleans...Sun Belt scouts insist that Florida International could emerge as a conference darkhorse
after the injury-riddled Panthers took their lumps during pre-league play. The return of 6-6 sr. Alex Galindo (orginally at Kansas) gives FIU
not just one of the loop’s most talented players, but has also created more openings in paint for blossoming 6-10, 280 Colombian frosh
Freddy Asprilla (18 ppg & 10 rpg in last 7 thru Jan. 21). New Orleans possesses neither the perimeter firepower nor the inside muscle to
counteract that 1-2 punch.
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 67 - *New Orleans 57 RATING - 11

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

Mighty Quinn

Mighty pushed with Texas A&M (-9) Wednesday night.

Thursday it's Clemson.

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

NBA
Write-up


Thursday, January 29

Hot Teams
-- Cavaliers won last four games, by 5-1-5-7 points.
-- Spurs won five of their last six games. Suns won last two games, but are 1-5 vs spread in last six at home.

Cold Teams
-- Magic lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Orlando games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Phoenix games, five of Spurs' last six contests stayed under the total.

Back-to Back
-- Cavaliers are 5-4 vs spread if they play again the next night.

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Trend Sheet
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8:00 PM CLEVELAND vs. ORLANDO
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Orlando is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland


10:30 PM SAN ANTONIO vs. PHOENIX
San Antonio is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

NHL
Write-up


Thursday, January 29

Hot teams
-- Bruins won six of their last eight games- last three went to overtime. Devils won their last six games, allowing nine goals.
-- Tampa Bay is 5-3 in its last eight road games.
-- Stars won three of last four games, allowing seven goals.
-- Blues won last three games, outscoring foes 12-3.
-- Phoenix is 6-2 in game after its last eight losses. San Jose won three in a row and six of last seven games.
-- Chicago is 8-3 in its last eleven road games. Kings won last two games, scoring 11 goals, but they lost their last three home games.

Cold teams
-- Thrashers lost last two games, 5-3/2-0. Islanders lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Hurricanes lost six of their last eight games.
-- Panthers lost three of their last four home games. Canadiens lost three games in a row, outscored 14-7.
-- Red Wings lost last three games, allowing 15 goals.
-- Senators lost 16 of their last 18 games.
-- Toronto lost four in row, eight of last nine games.
-- Avalanche lost five of their last six games.

Totals
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Atlanta games; last five Islander games went under the total.
-- Four of last five New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Carolina games.
-- Four of last five Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Ottawa games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Colorado games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-0-1 in last nine Chicago games.

Back-to-Back
-- Lightning is 2-5 when it plays again the next night.
-- Blackhawks are 6-2 if they played the night before.

Series Records
-- Thrashers are 3-0 against the Islanders this season: 4-3/5-1/4-2.
-- Devils are 9-4 in last thirteen games against Boston.
-- Hurricanes won six of last seven games vs Tampa Bay.
-- Canadiens won last five games vs Florida, outscoring them 21-10.
-- Red Wings lost three of last four visits to Dallas.
-- Sharks are 10-4 in last fourteen games against Phoenix.
-- Kings won three of last four games against Chicago.

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Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM NEW JERSEY vs. BOSTON
New Jersey is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
New Jersey is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Boston's last 22 games at home


7:00 PM NY ISLANDERS vs. ATLANTA
NY Islanders are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders


7:00 PM TAMPA BAY vs. CAROLINA
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 9 games at home


7:30 PM DALLAS vs. DETROIT
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Detroit is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Dallas


7:30 PM MONTREAL vs. FLORIDA
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games


8:30 PM OTTAWA vs. ST. LOUIS
Ottawa is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of St. Louis's last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games


9:00 PM TORONTO vs. COLORADO
Toronto is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto


10:30 PM CHICAGO vs. LOS ANGELES
Chicago is 7-12-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Los Angeles's last 18 games


10:30 PM PHOENIX vs. SAN JOSE
Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
San Jose is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Jose is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

THE GOLD SHEET

THURSDAY, JANUARY 29

ORLANDO 98 - Cleveland 92—Round One of potential Eastern Finals
showdown. Last season, it was advantage Orlando, which won and covered 3 of 4 at Cleveland’s expense. Magic on serious uptick since early December, winning and covering 18 of last 21 thru Jan. 21. 07-Orl +3 117-116 (OT-192), Cle +9 118-111 (197), ORL -6' 104-90 (202), Orl +2 101-86 (197) CABLE TV—TNT


PHOENIX 100 - San Antonio 93—Curious dog-oriented series trend
between these Western contenders continued in first two meetings, both won by the road dog. Will it continue? Last season, the “short” stood 6-2-1 vs. number in a series that extended into playoffs, where S.A. won first-round matchup in 5 games. Still, it’s been a coin-flip when these two have met this season, close 5 and 1-point decisions won by the road team. Remember, Spurs needed Roger Mason’s buzzer-beating triple to beat Suns by 1 at US Airways Center on Xmas Day. Note Phoenix on 4-game spread losing streak thru Jan. 17, but can see Shaq & Co. gaining revenge. 08-Pho +2 103-98 (187), San +2' 91-90 (201); 07-Pho +2 100-95 (203), San +7 84-81 (202), PHO +1' 94-87 (203), Pho +7 96-79 (197), SAN -4' 117-115 (2OT-193), SAN -2 102-96 (192), San +7 115-99
(196), PHO -3' 105-86 (200), SAN -5 92-87 (198) CABLE TV—TNT

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

THE GOLD SHEET

THURSDAY, JANUARY 29

KEY RELEASES
NORTH TEXAS by 21 over Troy (Thursday, January 29)

Michigan St. over IOWA by 6 to 8—07-IOWA +9' 43-36, MSU -15' 66-52
TV—ESPN
Arkansas-L.R. over FLORIDA ATLANTIC by 1 to 3—07-ALR -9 80-76, Alr -
2' 66-60 (CT-neut.)
Clemson over VIRG. TECH by 1 to 2—07-CLEM -9' 70-69 TV—ESPN2
Wright St. over YOUNGSTOWN ST. by 4 to 6—08-WSU -13 60-59; 07-
WSU -11' 66-55, Wsu -3 50-47
CLEVELAND ST. over Detroit by 14 to 17—08-Csu -8' 53-44; 07-Csu -2' 74-
64, CSU -9' 60-56
MIDDLE TENN. ST. over La.-Lafayette by 10 to 13—07-Mts +7' 57-51
DAYTON over Saint Louis by 9 to 12—07-Day -4' 68-57 (OT), DAY -7' 63-
36, Day -5' 63-62 (CT-OT-neut.)
LOUISIANA TECH 64 - Hawaii 63—With La Tech’s 2nd-leading scorer and
top rebounder 6-10, 260 C Cooper (11 ppg, 8 rpg) suspended for year, grab any
available points with Hawaii, now fortified with return of PG H. Thompson
(missed recent games on mainland due to hamstring injury). Warriors’
aggressive forecourt (+6 rpg), led by 6-7 F Fleming (18 ppg, 6 rpg), will take
advantage of Bulldogs’ now-vulnerable frontline. 08-HI -6 65-64; 07-HI -15 71-
57, LTU +5 69-62
ARKANSAS ST. over Western Kentucky by 3 to 5—07-WKY -17' 77-68
NORTH TEXAS 92 - Troy 71—Since Troy continues to live and die
beyond the arc (converting 9 of 25 tries pg; nailed season-high 16 triples in
upset of S. Alabama Jan. 15), expect Trojans to meet an early demise again at
the Super Pit, where they’ve been smashed by 36 and 41 last two years.
Refreshed Mean Green (6 prep days) should unleash devastating transition
game (79 ppg) vs. soft Troy defense allowing a whopping 82 ppg away. UNT
showed plenty of moxie in overcoming 17-pt. hafltime deficit in eventual 69-62
home win vs. Denver Jan. 15. 07-TROY +2 91-88 (OT), UNT -10' 90-64
NEW ORLEANS over Florida Intl. by 2 to 4—07-FIU +2 75-62
Washington 75 - ARIZONA 70—Chemistry advantage held by emerging UDub
bunch that has won 11 of last 12 thru Jan. 22 and proved it could succeed
on Pac-10 trail with recent thumpings of the Oregon schools. Meanwhile,
Arizona continues to find ways to lose close games (foolish last-second foul at
USC Jan. 17 was second time Cats have gifted a game to the opposition, as they
did in gut-wrenching preseason NIT loss vs. UAB). ARI -8' 84-69, WASH -2 75-66
ARIZONA ST. 64 - Washington St. 47—Tony Bennett’s slowdown tactics
might keep Wazzu within earshot for a while, but Cougs’ lack of firepower will
eventually cause margin to increase. Sun Devil aces G Harden (22.1 ppg) & F
Pendergraph (13.8 ppg) prove difference. 07-Wsu -3 56-55, WSU -10 59-47
Nevada 65 - UTAH ST. 64—Maturing Nevada gained confidence it could win
on the road with recent sweep at New Mexico State & La Tech. Despite froshsoph
laden lineup, Wolf Pack developing a couple of compelling offensive
weapons, with 6-9 frosh F Babbitt (15.7 ppg) & 6-3 soph G A. Johnson (14.8 ppg)
emerging as forces in WAC. 07-USU -4 77-63, NEV -6' 85-80
NEW MEXICO ST. over San Jose St. by 4 to 6—08-Nms +2 75-73; 07-Nms
-5 83-81, NMS -16 88-65
MINNESOTA over Illinois by 5 to 7—07-Ill +5 84-60, ILL -4' 67-58, Ill -2 54-
50 (CT-neut.)
SETON HALL over Rutgers by 5 to 7—07-Shu -2 84-71 (OT), Rut +8 64-61
CABLE TV—ESPN2
ARKANSAS over Alabama by 7 to 9—07-ARK -9 71-67 (OT), ALA P 59-56
CABLE TV—ESPN2
DENVER over South Alabama by 1 to 3—07-USA -15' 71-33
San Diego over PORTLAND by 1 to 3—07-Usd +1 64-61, USD -11' 78-61
IDAHO over Boise St. by 3 to 5—07-Bsu -9 95-84, BSU -15' 78-64
SAN FRANCISCO over Pepperdine by 13 to 16—07-Usf +4' 85-82, USF -3'
88-63
SANTA CLARA over Loyola-Marymount by 12 to 15—07-SCU -15 58-35,
Scu -10' 66-46
LNG BEACH ST. over CS Fullerton by 5 to 7—07-Csf -8 91-75, CSF -17 85-51
UCLA over California by 4 to 6—07-Ucla -4 70-58, UCLA -15' 81-80, UCLA
-13 88-66 (CT)
Stanford over SOUTHERN CAL by 1 to 3—07-STAN -7' 52-46, USC +1 77-64
UC RIVERSIDE over UC Irvine by 2 to 4—07-UCI -13 67-53, UCR +8 85-76
UC SANTA BARBARA over CS Northridge by 1 to 3—07-Csn +7' 88-84,
Ucsb +3 77-66 CABLE TV—ESPNU
GONZAGA 77 - Saint Mary’s 74—Gonzaga’s firepower proving too much for
lower-level foes in the WCC to handle. But no manpower edge held by Zags
over deep and experienced SMC, which owns a heady backcourt leader in
Aussie PG Mills to dictate tempo and keep Gaels in the hunt. 07-STM -3 89-85
(OT), GON -7 88-76 CABLE TV—ESPN2

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

Dave Cokin

(721) WESTERN KENTUCKY
(722) ARKANSAS STATE
Take "(721) WESTERN KENTUCKY"

Free opinion for Thursday is the Sun Belt clash between Western Kentucky and Arkansas State. I'm a little surprised the Hilltoppers are the dog here, as they are coming on some while Arkansas State is sliding a bit. I like taking dogs that are trending forward against favorites trending in reverse, particularly when it's kind of a subtle rise or fall, which is thus not overly adjusted into the number. Even though it's a very short price, Western Kentucky is nevertheless the dog and has value.

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

Jim Feist

(739) ALABAMA
(740) ARKANSAS
Take "Under"

Looks like a defensive game out of the SEC. Alabama is on a 2-0 run under the total and is coming off a 61-51 loss to Kentucky, a physical, defensive game under interim head coach Philip Pearson. It's been a tumultuous week as Pearson took over the reins of the Crimson Tide program following head coach Mark Gottfried's resignation on Monday afternoon. While that loss saw the Tide's offense struggle, the defense assembled its best effort of the season, holding UK to 19 first-half points and its second-fewest points this season. Arkansas is on a 3-0 run under the total, including getting just 51 points the last game in a home loss to Auburn. Play Alabama/Arkansas under the total.

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

Alex Smart


Troy @ North Texas u161.5
Thu Jan 29 '09 8:00p
North Texas and visiting Troy the Sun Belt's top two scoring offenses are ready to go head to head at the Super Pit tonight. The linesmakers know how the public will perceive this tilt and have hung a pretty hefty number out for bettors to bet into.

The Mean Green and the Trojans are averaging 77.7 and 76.9 points per game respectively , and will of course, make sure they concentrate on shoring up their defensive schemes, against each others explosive attacks. This I believe will contribute to a combined score, that stays below the number. My own scoring projections have both teams sticking to their season offensive averages, which when combined beats this opening number comfortably.

Final notes & Key Trends: The Trojans have gone under in 10 of their L/14 road games. In HC Jones (Mean Green) last 51 home games as a favorite, an average combined score of 145.1 PPG have gone on the score board.

Play UNDER

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

LT Profits


Troy +6.0 (-110)
Thu Jan 29 '09 8:00p
Two hot clubs square off tonight when the North Texas Mean Green host the Troy Trojans in Sun Belt Conference play, and we will side with the underdog Trojans with these generous points here.

After all, Troy has turned their season around lately, winning four straight games to go over the .500 mark for the season at 11-10 straight up. Even more impressive has been their play on the road, where they have now won three straight after upsetting Arkansas-Little Rock in Little Rock on Saturday 63-58 as eight-point underdogs.

The key to the Troy turnaround has been their shooting, as they have hit 47.6 percent of their shots from the floor while averaging 78.4 points over the last five games. They now rank a respectable 61 in the country in effective field goal percentage at 52.4 percent, and they have hit 51.5 percent of their two-point attempts, ranking 49.

The Trojans also do an excellent job of holding on to the ball, turning the ball over on just 17.9 percent of their possessions to rank 32 in that category, and therein may lie the key to this game. Yes, North Texas has won four consecutive games themselves and they are 12-7 for the season. However, one thing they have not done well is force turnovers.

The Mean Green is only allowing turnovers on 18.1 percent of opponents possessions, so look for Troy to continue the nice offensive flow they have had the last five games again tonight, resulting in a safe cover and quite possibly an outright upset.

CBB Free Pick: Troy +6 (-110)

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

NSA's Selection
CBB Washington St @ Arizona St 9:00 20* Arizona St -10.5
CBB California @ UCLA 10:30 10* UCLA -8.5
CBB St Mary's @ Gonzaga 11:00 10* St Mary's +8.5
CBB Illinois @ Minnesota 9:00 10* Illinois -1.5
NBA Cleveland @ Orlando 8:05 10* Cleveland +4.5
NBA San Antonio @ Phoenix 10:35 10* San Antonio +1.5

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

Lenny Del Genio's Cbb Vegas Icon Game (1st Ever!) In Hoops.

Play On Seton Hall -7.5 (9:00)
Won Both His Selections Last Night. Pd & Confirmed

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

Tom Strykers 4* Cbb Statement Game Of The Month!!!

Play Is On Ucla - 9 (10:30) Start

[Guest]

Re: 1-29-09

Carlo Campanella

Game: Illinois at Minnesota Jan 29 2009 9:00PM
Prediction: Illinois
Reason: After Minnesota (17-3) opened the season at 12-0 against non-conference foes, they're just 5-3 SU & 4-5 ATS against Big 10 rivals, including losing 2 of their last 3 games outright. They host another Conference foe as Illinois (17-3) blows into town on Thursday night as very small road Favorites. Minnesota is 0-7 ATS as a home Dogs of 3 points or less (including pick'ems) and has trouble winning the "close ones," which is horrible considering they face an Illinois squad that's dominated this series owning an incredible 21-1 SU record during the past 22 meetings! Illinois matches-up too well with Minnesota, backing them to easily take another in this series.
10* play On Illinois