Saturday 1/23/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Jan 23 '21, 10:00 AM in 2h
Soccer | Doncaster Rovers vs West Ham United
Play on: West Ham United -278 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on West Ham United -278

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Info Plays

Jan 23 '21, 11:00 AM in 3h
Soccer | Caykur Rizespor vs Basaksehir
Play on: Basaksehir -263 at linepros

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Basaksehir -263

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Steve Janus

Jan 23 '21, 11:00 AM in 3h
Soccer | TSV Hartberg vs AC Wolfsberger
Play on: AC Wolfsberger -156 at linepros

1* Free Sharp Play on AC Wolfsberger -156

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Kevin Dolan

Event: (201841) Betis at (201842) Real Sociedad
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: January 23, 2021 12PM EST
Play: Total Over 2.5 (-125)
After an electric start to the LaLiga season which saw Real Sociedad sit atop of the league at one point, the wheels have really come off of the White and Blues campaign of late, as they've registered just one win from their last nine league games overall, and are slipping down the table fast, currently occupying the final Europa League Playoff spot in 6th
That decline has largely been due to their defense. Prior to December, Sociedad had kept opposing offense in the league to an average of just 0.45 goals per game, keeping a clean sheet (allowing no goals) in 55% of those games also.
But since December however, Sociedad are averaging 1.38 goals per game to opposing offenses and have kept a clean sheet in just 25% of those matches, so it's definitely a noticeable drop-off in terms of defensive efficiency.
But what hasn't changed is Sociedad's attack. The Basque club have the 3rd highest xg average in the league right now, averaging 1.63 xg per game, and already torched this vulnerable Real Betis side 3-0 back in October.
And that's highly likely again here as despite Betis keeping a clean sheet last time out on the road at bottom placed Huesca, against mid to top table teams they've been exposed, giving up an average of 3 goals per game in their prior five games, including 13 goals against Barcelona, Athletic Bilbao and Levante combined. With the 3rd worst expected goals against record on the road this season at 1.56 xga per game, Sociedad should be able to breach Betis' defense multiple times here just as they did back in October.
But Betis should find success offensively also. Real Sociedad are now a bottom half team on overall xga metrics since December, and Real Betis average the 3rd most shots in the league this season, right behind heavy hitters Real Madrid and Barcelona, so I see goals in this one and expect this one to sail over the total here on Saturday.
Take the Over 2.5 as your play for Saturday's LaLiga matchup between Real Betis and Real Sociedad.
PLAY: OVER 2.5

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Brandon Lee

Jan 23 '21, 12:00 PM in 59m
NCAA-B | Virginia Tech vs Syracuse
Play on: Syracuse -1 -110 at linepros

PICK - Syracuse Orange -1
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 608
We cashed an easy 50* Top Play winner on Syracuse -3.5 in Tuesday's 83-57 blowout win at home over Miami. I'll gladly fire back with the Orange at basically a pick'em at home against Virginia Tech on Saturday.
Even though Syracuse is coming off that big win and cover, I still think they are undervalued here because of the fact that they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5. Plus, the Hokies come in having won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8. Va Tech had covered 6 of 7 before failing to cover as a 6.5-point favorite at Wake Forest in a 64-60 win.
That was only the second true road game this season for the Hokies and a big reason why I feel they are a bit overvalued in this spot. Give me the Orange -1!

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Kenny Walker

Jan 23 '21, 12:00 PM in 59m
NCAA-B | James Madison vs Northeastern
Play on: James Madison +6 -110 at Mirage

Free Pick on James Madison

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Dave Price

Jan 23 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | SMU vs UCF
Play on: UCF +4 -107 at pinnacle

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on UCF +4
The Key: The UCF Knights are hungry for a win after dropping 4 straight coming in. Remember, this is a team that upset both Florida State and Cincinnati earlier this season. But they have had to play 3 straight road games coming in and faced one of the best teams in the country in Houston twice. Now they are back home here where their only loss this season came to Houston by 9. They take on a SMU team that also lost to both Houston and Cincinnati recently and is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games with a non-cover in a win at home against Temple. UCF gets a boost with the return of Darius Perry (11.8 PPG) from a 2-game absence. SMU is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after failing to cover 3 of its last 4 ATS. The Mustangs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. SMU is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 road games. Take UCF.

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ASA

Jan 23 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | VMI vs Mercer
Play on: Mercer -8½ -111 at pinnacle

#628 ASA PLAY ON Mercer -8 over VMI, Saturday at 2:00 PM ET VMI is coming off a huge upset over the top team in the Southern Conference, Furman. It was Furman’s first loss of the conference season and the first win for VMI over the Paladins since the 2014/15 season. It was a dramatic win to say the least with VMI making a FT with 3 seconds remaining in a tie game to win 74-73. Prior to that game they had only 1 win vs a team ranked inside the top 200. On top of that, the game was at home. Now they must go on the road where they’ve been terrible this season. The Keydets are 0-6 on the road this year and 4 of those 6 losses have come by double digits. The average 12 fewer PPG on the road and shoot just 41% which is 6% lower than their season average. Bad spot here for VMI as well not only coming off a huge win as an 11 point underdog, but this will be their 5th game in 11 days and 4th in the last 8 days. Not great for a team with a thin bench (345th in bench minutes) as all 5 of their starters have played at least 30 minutes in each of their previous 4 games. Mercer is off a 20 point road win on Wednesday and they were able to spread out their minutes with 8 players playing at least 11 minutes. They will be the more rested team playing their 3rd game in 8 days here. The Bears are 2-3 in Southern Conference play but undervalued as 2 of their 3 losses went to the wire (lost by 3 @ Furman & by 3 @ Chattanooga) and 2 of their 3 league losses they played with starting guard Alvarez who averages 14 PPG and 5 assists per game. He’s back now and has scored 37 combined points in their last 2 games, both wins. Since joining the SoCon in 2015, Mercer is 6-0 at home vs VMI with their wins coming by an average of 16 PPG. We like Mercer here.

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Sal Michaels

Jan 23 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | NC State vs North Carolina
Play on: NC State +6½ -110 at Mirage

Free Play on NC State +6½ -110

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Dave Price

Jan 23 '21, 2:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | SMU vs UCF
Play on: UCF +4 -107 at pinnacle

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on UCF +4
The Key: The UCF Knights are hungry for a win after dropping 4 straight coming in. Remember, this is a team that upset both Florida State and Cincinnati earlier this season. But they have had to play 3 straight road games coming in and faced one of the best teams in the country in Houston twice. Now they are back home here where their only loss this season came to Houston by 9. They take on a SMU team that also lost to both Houston and Cincinnati recently and is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games with a non-cover in a win at home against Temple. UCF gets a boost with the return of Darius Perry (11.8 PPG) from a 2-game absence. SMU is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after failing to cover 3 of its last 4 ATS. The Mustangs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. SMU is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 road games. Take UCF.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Jan 23 '21, 2:45 PM in 1h
Soccer | Crotone vs Fiorentina
Play on: Fiorentina -137 at linepros

1* Free Play on Fiorentina -137

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Dustin Hawkins

Jan 23 '21, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Western Carolina vs Wofford
Play on: OVER 145½ -110

1 Dimer on Western Carolina vs Wofford over 145½ -110

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Black Widow

Jan 23 '21, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Duke vs Louisville
Play on: Louisville -2½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Louisville -2½ -110

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Mike Williams

Jan 23 '21, 4:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Dayton vs VCU
Play on: VCU -5 -110 at Mirage

1* on VCU -5 -110