Sunday 2/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358456

    Sunday 2/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358456

    #2
    Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis-$20,000 Guaranteed Pool


    February 7, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
    Pompano Park has a Super Bowl Sunday card and they are the only track in North America racing tonight. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 6. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool with a 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 6

    2-Overnight Shipper (10-1)-Needs to be 1st or 2nd turning for the wire and doesn't always get the best steer. That said can surprise and has the gate speed to get the top. This is a race where everyone bumps up to a class they haven't won at.
    5-Chav Hanover (3-1)-Barn has been ice cold but will look for an aggressive steer by Simons. Could leave to take control and not look back.
    6-Beguin Degoutier F (4-1)-Nine-time winner in 2020 gets a new pilot tonight. Wallis takes a spin, that's a ++ driver change and should be a main player.
    7-Chestnut Schofield (6-1)-Plano purchased in November at the Mixed Sale and has won 2 of 3 starts since then. Continues to step up and might be up to this challenge at a nice price. Best to respect as has shown improvement in new barn.

    Race 7

    3-Held In Balance (4-1)-Form has been dull in last 2 starts but before that cashed checks versus better. Coming right back after racing Wednesday and is in a spot to trip out. Did win on 11/15 after racing 5 days before.
    6-Uva Hanover (2-1)-Program chalk hasn't won in the last 13 starts and is 0-5 at CalX but still needs to be considered here. Kept coming in last to just miss and that was the best effort of the meet.
    7-Muscles Aplenty (9/2)-Four-year-old mare might be the best horse in this race. Starting outside doesn't help but Dinges can work a trip to win at a square price.

    Race 8

    4-Burn Notice (4-1)-Comes off back-to-back 2nd place finishes and is sharp enough to take a picture versus this crew. Has hit the board in 10 of 17 starts at PPk with 5 wins.
    6-Judge Ken (9-1)-Will toss last from the 2nd tier versus better. Previous efforts netted 2 wins and appears to fit here. Plano knows well and my guess is he will leave. Could land on tap without using much gas and not look back at a nice price.
    7-Susie's Sister (7/5)-Program chalk does like to win and has taken 4 pictures in 8 starts here. Using but doesn't offer any value at the morning line price and does break from time to time. Wallis steers for the 1st time and doesn't have much gate speed. May have to pass them all but the short field does help chances.

    Race 9

    2-Gunrneedabgrboat A (9/2)-Hasn't connected for a picture at PPk (0-7) but has been facing better than this bunch. Can leave to be 1st or 2nd the first time under the wire. Best to respect, should offer a fair price and can take top honors with a smooth trip.
    3-King Corona (5/2)-Wallis takes the lines and that should help. Drops to a spot to shine and can be put in play early at this class. Could be on the engine or making the most of a pocket trip behind #2.

    0.50 Pick 4

    2,5,6,7/3,6,7/4,6,7/2,3
    Total Bet=$36
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358456

      #3
      Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 2/7/21


      February 7, 2021
      Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

      *

      Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
      *
      The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
      *
      *
      Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


      Click to view today’s Santa Anita Workout Report


      RACE 1: Post: 11:00 PT Grade: B
      Use: 2-Raneem; 6-Jan Jan Can

      Forecast: Jan Jan Can just defeated a maiden $20,000 field with a good late kick and is realistically spotted off that win in this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 extended sprint for fillies and mares. She’s a strong fit on speed figures and today’s extra half-furlong certainly won’t hurt. The B. Baffert-trained Raneem projects as the controlling speed, and while her comeback outing vs. tougher starter’s allowance foes while uninspiring to say the least, she could produce a significant forward move for a barn that has excellent stats with the second-off-the-layoff angle. We’ll give Jan Jan Can the edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
      *
      *
      RACE 2: Post: 11:30 PT Grade: B
      Use: 2-Damn the Torpedoes; 3-Bleu Ballon; 10-Velvet

      Forecast: Bleu Ballon was almost four lengths clear of the rest when a sharp runner-up over this course and distance in her debut last month, and so with any kind of forward move today the daughter of Air Force Blue should be hard to beat. The Beyer speed figure she just earned is better than par for the level. Velvet is considerably slower than ‘Ballon on pure numbers but easily could step forward today in just her second career outing and her first since mid-November. The daughter of American Pharoah missed by a neck over five furlongs with a good late surge and today, with an extra furlong to work with for a barn that has sensational stats (30%) with the second-time starter angle, she is a major player and the one to fear most. Damn the Torpedoes has trained okay – not great – but she’s bred for grass and may be a better type on the lawn than here dirt drills might indicate. Toss her in somewhere at 10-1 on the morning line.
      *
      *
      RACE 3: Post: 12:01 PT Grade: B
      Use: 2-Kenzou’s Rhythm; 4-Impression

      Forecast: Impression seems fairly solid in this $12,500 main track claiming miler for older horses, so we’ll put him on top but use a couple of others as well in rolling exotic play. Now in the K. Mulhall barn after being haltered for this same price in late December, the eight-year-old gelding shows consistent recent form despite changing barns in four of his last five starts and can be effective either on the front end or from a stalking position. Runner-up in his last try with a career top speed figure, the son of Smart Strike goes for a highly-capable outfit that generally does well with the first-off-the-claim angle. Kenzou’s Rhythm, away for almost 10 months, returns cheap (and not waivered protected) so his condition must be questioned, but the veteran son of Algorithms is a four-time winner over the Santa Anita main track and his recent work tab looks decent enough. You may want to include him on a few tickets as a saver or a back-up.
      *
      *
      RACE 4: Post: 12:33 PT Grade: X
      Single: 4-Greg’s Diva

      Forecast: Greg’s Diva, freshened since November, returns in a first-level allowance grass sprint that on paper appears made to order for the speedy daughter of Shackleford. Second in her last pair as the favorite but in both instances running well in defeat, the P. D’Amato-trained filly turned in a bullet work on the training track six days ago that catches the eye, and in a race that projects to have soft splits she should have no difficulty assuming the role as the controlling speed. At 8/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, she’s a short-priced rolling exotic single.
      *
      *
      RACE 5: Post: 1:03 PT Grade: X
      Use: 2-Mr. Impossible; 4-Tivoli Twirl;5-Bezos

      Forecast: Bezos has been a talking horse for several weeks and finally makes it to the post after showing a string of impressive workouts that ensures he’ll be a short-priced favored in this extended main track sprint for 3-year-olds. The son of Empire Maker looks the part – he was $400,000 yearling purchase – and if he leaves with his field the B. Baffert-trained colt could put on a show. That said, he’ll have to beat the talented Mr. Impossible, who ran quite well in his debut when second to subsequent San Vicente S.-G2 winner Concert Tour in his debut last month while winding up eight lengths clear of the rest. The son of Munnings has returned to work extremely well since that race and should run at least as well if not better with a bit of experience behind him. Tivoli Twirl is the “other” Baffert in the field and isn’t as well regarded as Bezos, but the son of Twirling Candy is a quick, athletic type and shouldn’t be overlooked.
      *
      *
      RACE 6: Post: 1:34 PT Grade: B
      Use: 6-Translate; 7-Bruja Escarlata

      Forecast: Bruja Escarlata didn’t have a whole lot behind her when finally making it to the post and winning at first asking in December of her sophomore campaign, so we’ll find out more about her today as she tackles first-level allowance fillies and mares while switching to grass. Based on the speed figure she earned in that gate-to-wire score, the daughter of Street Boss should be capable of winning right back, though she’s not likely to enjoy the easy front-running trip that came her way at Los Alamitos. The J. Sadler-trained filly continues to sizzle in the a.m., so we suspect she has plenty of room for development. Translate broke her maiden over this course and distance on New Year’s Day in stylish fashion, pressing the pace and then accelerating in the final furlong to win going away. She’s not as fast on numbers as our top pick but is proven on turf, so while we’ll prefer Bruja Escarlata on top we’ll have tickets including both in rolling exotic play.
      *
      *
      RACE 7: Post: 2:08 PT Grade: X
      Single: 4-Edgeway

      Forecast: Edgeway completely outclasses this second-level allowance field of fillies and mares based on her four-race resume from last year and she seems certain leave at a short price despite making her first start since last June. The J. Sadler-trained daughter of Competitive Edge won her debut so we knows she can fire fresh and the work tab, though not flashy, should have her fit enough. She’s a logical short-price rolling exotic single in a race that we’ll otherwise leave alone.
      *
      *
      RACE 8: Post: 4:09 PT Grade: B-
      Use: 2-Master Ryan; 3-Shady Empire; 7-Brix; 9-Hammering Lemon

      Forecast: The Super Bowl Sunday nightcap is a fairly competitive extended grass sprint for first-level state-bred allowance older horses requiring a spread in rolling play. Brix has a prior win over the local lawn and with racing luck this prototype late-running sprinter will be heard from in the final furlong. In the frame in his last three, each time closing well but too late, the son of Twirling Candy gets an extra half-furlong to work with today so with some help up front he could produce the last run. Shady Empire projects as a serious pace player in his first try on grass, and if the son of Empire Way can transfer his dirt form to the sod, he should be a major player. J. Rosario stays aboard, and a recent bullet workout tells us the lightly-raced gelding is ready for another good effort.Master Ryan is winless in five starts over the Santa Anita turf course, but his speed figures continue to gradually rise, and with another slight forward move today the P. D’Amato-trained gelding – a close fourth in the same race Brix exits – could spring a mild surprise. Hammering Lemon, away since August, has trained quite well for his comeback and may be a better type this time around. He’s 12-1 on the morning line and is worth including on your ticket.
      *
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358456

        #4
        Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Santa Anita


        February 7, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
        Bezos could be one of the most well-known non-starters that’s come down the pike in quite some time.

        On Sunday, his status as non-starter ends, and we’ll see if the popularity lives on.

        Bezos in the fifth race (4 p.m. ET), which is the first leg of the late Pick Four.

        Bezos has impressed those with the stopwatches as he’s put together a long string of works that began in early December. He worked twice in July but trainer Bob Baffert backed off for a few months. The 3-year-old Empire Maker colt was a $400,000 yearling in 2019 and is expected to be the cream of the Baffert crop. At least that’s what the early money says as Bezos is favored on some Kentucky Derby Future Wager books.

        Hall of Famer Mike Smith gets the initial ride on Bezos, who will be short on the board despite having eight opponents. It’s a quality field and he’ll have to be ready, and it looks like he is.

        Bezos is a single on the $63 suggested Pick Four ticket, which allows for some spreading out in two races.

        Here’s a look at the last three races:

        Race 6 (4:30 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

        A G INDY turns back from longer races and can behind from the sprint distance. He fits right in the mix in a race that is a ‘take your pick’ proposition. This is the biggest spread race on the ticket.

        I’M THE HERO broke her maiden in her seventh start and that victory arrived in her second race over the turf. Extremely rapid and a legit threat to break loose early.

        BYE BYE NICKY makes her first start since April, moves from Florida and gets blinkers. It’s a good sign that Prat gets the mount in this mare’s first Cali attempt.

        PRANCE has shown some late energy and could benefit from the rapid pace. Look for a good closing move under Rispoli, who is winning at a 31-percent clip.

        TRANSLATE was an easy winner in her first Santa Anita start after three seconds in New York.

        BRUJA ESCARLATA is up from a maiden-claiming win in her only start, which was on dirt at Los Al. Was never really challenged in that one and has the pedigree to take her game to the grass.

        ACAI lost photo finishes in her last two races and has shown good form on turf.


        Race 7 (5 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

        ACTING OUT passed the test in half of her six starts and most recently backed up after setting the pace in the Kalookan Queen Stakes. Can be troublesome on the front end at this level.

        HOTITUDE held on for the win in allowance company over this strip last out and can get a good stalking trip.

        EDGEWAY held on for third in the G3 Dogwood at Churchill Downs in June and has won half of her four starts. Off since the Dogwood but has very good in the morning hours.


        Race 8 (5:30 p.m. ET, allowance)

        MASTER RYAN rallied well for fourth last time and looks well suited for the 6.5 furlongs.

        SHADY EMPIRE is capable of being strong on the front end and has been in front in stakes races. He does his best vs. California-bred rivals and makes her first turf attempt.

        HANDSOME CAT has been in some fast races and might be overlooked on the board. Was fourth going shorter and gets back to grass here.

        BRIX just missed at this level and gets more real estate. Has been a consistent closer and could benefit from a strong pace battle in front of him.

        EUSTACE was claimed by Blacker last out, takes a step up and loses the blinkers. Has only one turf start to his credit and that resulted in a third-place finish. Could raise a price.

        COLT FICTION was second over this turf course last year and has won three of his last four.

        Santa Anita’s Late Pick 4 on Sunday:
        5) #5 Bezos.
        6) #2 A G Indy, #3 I’m the Hero, #4 Bye Bye Nicky, #5 Prance, #6 Translate, #7 Bruja Escarlata, #9 Acai.
        7) #1 Acting Out, #3 Hotitude, #4 Edgeway.
        8) #2 Master Ryan, #3 Shady Empire, #4 Handsome Cat, #7 Brix, #10 Eustace, #11 Colt Fiction.
        50-cent Late Pick 4: 5 with 2-3-4-5-6-7-9 with 1-3-4 with 2-3-4-7-10-11 ($63)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358456

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Santa Anita - Race #2
          #6 Lady Macarena Nobody has been riding turf sprints better than Rispoli, and this filly is bred to be interesting on the lawn. Think she has a price chance.
          #3 Bleu Ballon Showed some tactical pace when staying on well in the debut run, and that was a pretty quick race that day. She's the one to beat, and she's very dangerous if she holds the form from the first try.
          #10 Velvet Another who turned in a good debut effort back in November at Del Mar, and she draws well to track the pace from the outside while adding Lasix here.
          Race Summary Lady Macarena seems to be coming into this well enough and lures the top turf sprint rider in the colony for this first trip to post. The price figures to be right, and I'll try to get her in the mi with Bleu Ballon and Velvet.
          Santa Anita - Race #4
          #4 Greg's Diva Speed doesn't meet a on of other pace in this one, and that should allow her an easy enough lead to be able to dig deep and hold these late. Tough.
          #2 Sapphire Kid She was competitive with this kind a couple starts back, and the drop into claiming company made for an easy win last time out. Versatile type should find a good spot tracking the pace.
          #5 Over Attached Doesn't figure to get the right kind of setup to possibly spring the upset, but she's a pretty reliable finisher who can probably pass a couple late.
          Race Summary Greg's Diva isn't going to be a big price, but she seems like the right one to lean on in the early multi-race plays. She's quick early and doesn't meet any serious competing pace.
          Santa Anita - Race #7
          #1 Acting Out Pace will go for it from the fence, and she should appreciate this easier spot after stopping late in the lane with stakes company last time out.
          #4 Edgeway Her only two losses have both come with stakes company, so she has a right to be tough with this group. The price will get short, but she'll be close throughout and should hit hard late.
          #1 Quality Response She'll get blinkers back, and she was a perfect 2-for-2 with them before a couple of clunkers without the hood in recent races. Tactical type can do.
          Race Summary Acting Out might be able to outrun these early, and with Edgeway likely to take a bunch of cash, she may wind up a playable price in the win pool.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358456

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park

            Santa Anita Park - Race 4
            $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 4-5-6) / $0.50 Late Pick 5 (Races 4-8) $0.10 Superfecta
            Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up CR: 101 • Purse: $63,000 • Post: 12:33
            (RAIL AT 10 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING, OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS.
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. GREG'S DIVA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GREG'S DIVA: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
            4
            GREG'S DIVA
            8/5
            2/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            4
            GREG'S DIVA
            4
            8/5
            Front-runner
            98
            102
            106.9
            97.5
            93.5
            5
            OVER ATTRACTED
            5
            8/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            103
            89
            80.6
            93.9
            89.4
            2
            SAPPHIRE KID
            2
            3/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            99
            93
            76.4
            87.9
            82.4
            3
            ALL QUALITY
            3
            3/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            96
            96
            75.4
            90.0
            81.5
            6
            MAGICAL GRAY
            6
            8/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            96
            86
            91.2
            86.2
            79.2
            1
            MISS LUCY (IRE)
            1
            9/2
            Alternator/Non-contender
            92
            87
            81.1
            77.6
            65.6
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358456

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



              Camarero - Race 4
              Pick 4 (4-7) / Pick 3 (4-6) / Exacta /Trifecta / Daily Double 4-5
              Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 79 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:00P
              FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 7, 2020 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 22 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 7, 2020 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Lone Stalker. IT'S DEBATABLE is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * IT'S DEBATABLE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TRI COTTON: Horse has run a Good Race with in the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. VENEZUELAN WARRIOR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CU RLINS VOW: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
              3
              IT'S DEBATABLE
              9/5
              3/1
              5
              TRI COTTON
              3/1
              8/1
              4
              VENEZUELAN WARRIOR
              10/1
              8/1
              9
              CURLINS VOW
              4/1
              9/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              5
              TRI COTTON
              5
              3/1
              Front-runner
              79
              69
              53.6
              69.8
              61.8
              1
              NOBLE QUEST
              1
              10/1
              Front-runner
              68
              58
              41.8
              41.8
              25.3
              3
              IT'S DEBATABLE
              3
              9/5
              Stalker
              78
              75
              52.1
              75.8
              72.8
              8
              OLYMPIC BID
              8
              7/2
              Trailer
              76
              66
              30.0
              66.8
              56.8
              9
              CURLINS VOW
              9
              4/1
              Alternator/Trailer
              73
              69
              54.6
              69.2
              60.7
              4
              VENEZUELAN WARRIOR
              4
              10/1
              Alternator/Trailer
              80
              74
              54.0
              68.3
              63.8
              2
              GLENNEVAN
              2
              5/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              74
              68
              54.2
              63.6
              51.6
              7
              KID'S KID
              7
              2/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              70
              61
              40.0
              50.0
              33.0
              6
              MATCH PLAY
              6
              5/2
              Alternator/Non-contender
              77
              66
              22.8
              47.4
              39.4
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358456

                #8
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                Golden Hour Wagers - Race #1 - Post: 5:08pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $65,000 Class Rating: 94

                Rating:

                #3 HOTITUDE (ML=6/1)
                #5 MISS BIGLY (ML=6/1)


                HOTITUDE - Mare took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Hernandez and Mulhall getting together are a horse gambler's friend. This mare is in fine condition, having run a good race on January 10th, finishing first. That 93 fig this mare registered in her last event tells me she's a main player in today's event. MISS BIGLY - Changes tracks from last out at Churchill Downs to here. Multiple wins at different tracks tell me this horse likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. You'll be generating profits left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this jock/trainer combination.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #4 EDGEWAY (ML=6/5), #1 ACTING OUT (ML=5/2), #2 QUALITY RESPONSE (ML=3/1),

                EDGEWAY - This filly hasn't had any recent accomplishments in sprint affairs. I find it hard to wager on her in this contest. ACTING OUT - Finished sixth last time. Would have to get better to land in the top three in today's race. QUALITY RESPONSE - This filly finished out of the money on Oct 6th and wasn't even close last time out either.



                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #3 HOTITUDE on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358456

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 72

                  FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 7 DOOR BUSTER 7/2
                  # 1 LIKELY CHOICE 7/2
                  # 3 INDIAN HEART 5/1
                  DOOR BUSTER looks solid to best this field. Has been running soundly and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. With a formidable jockey who has won at a competitive 23 percent rate over the last month. This has to be one of the top selections. Could best this group here, showing very good numbers of late. LIKELY CHOICE - Has performed admirably as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 60 avg speed figure. The Lasix change (with second time Lasix) may spark a turnaround for this filly. INDIAN HEART - This pick will feel the med change - on Lasix today. A solid 76 avg class rating may give this filly a distinct class edge versus this group.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358456

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Oaklawn Park

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $82000 Class Rating: 75

                    FOR ARKANSAS BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 11 LOVELY LOU 5/1
                    # 1 MY DAMS ATITUDE 8/1
                    # 9 STORMY SUNRISE 30/1
                    I've got to go with LOVELY LOU. Could provide positive profits based on competitive recent speed figures with an average of 64. The speed rating of 62 from her most recent race looks solid in here. Formidable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a key contender. MY DAMS ATITUDE - Change in Lasix (with second time Lasix) may be the recipe to a return to the races. Puhl has a reliable 17 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. STORMY SUNRISE - The equipment change of blinkers going off today ought to make a difference.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358456

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Tampa Bay Downs - Race #7 - Post: 3:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $14,350 Class Rating: 75

                      Rating:

                      #3 MONETIZED (ML=8/1)
                      #10 PASCAL (ML=10/1)
                      #12 MUST BE A MONSTER (ML=15/1)


                      MONETIZED - Burgos and Robinson partnered together are a horseplayer's friend. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him. Finished out of the money last out at Tampa Bay Downs, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 8/1 makes me think he's got a chance. PASCAL - First time starter here. An overlooked stat is the breeding, especially the dam. Dam's foals have won 50 percent of the time as first-timers. I like the fact that this first time starter's recent works have been over this track. Hemingway is giving this one Lasix for the first time. Very nice. MUST BE A MONSTER - Look at this pattern of improvement. 46/49/60 are the last 3 speed ratings.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DRAMATIC KITTEN (ML=3/1), #8 SWIFT KID (ML=4/1), #9 RED HOOD (ML=5/1),

                      DRAMATIC KITTEN - Tough to keep following this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. Finished third in his most recent race with a substandard fig. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group. SWIFT KID - This animal doesn't have a conquering make-up. Very often finishes in the place or show spot. RED HOOD - I cannot play this continual non-winner. Gets the job completed occasionally.



                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 MONETIZED to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,10,12]

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      Box [3,10,12] Total Cost: $6
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                      SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
                      Skip
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358456

                        #12
                        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct



                        02/07/21, AQU, Race 3, 2.23 ET
                        02/07/21,AQU,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STAKES. Ruthless Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nominations; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,000 (along with theentry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners of a Sweepstake other than State-Bred allowed 2 lbs.; of a race other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-Bred allowance allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, January 23, 2021 with 16Nominations.
                        . . . .
                        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                        After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
                        100.0000 4 Little Huntress 7/2 Carmouche K Russell Brittany T. JTL 43 27.91 1.43/$1
                        099.0258 1 Miss Brazil Even Cancel E Dutrow Anthony W. SEW 43 27.91 1.43/$1
                        097.4118 5 Gulf Coast 2/1 Franco M Brisset Rodolphe FC 43 27.91 1.43/$1
                        096.7228 2 Dealing Justice 4/1 Davis D Handal Raymond 43 27.91 1.43/$1
                        094.5030 3 It Can 30/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Rohena Rafael Jose 43 27.91 1.43/$1
                        Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.15, ROI 0.77/$1
                        Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.9742
                        [Category]Condition
                        [AllDirt]ActualPostNotGreaterThan9AndDistance7fOr71/2f
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358456

                          #13
                          Marco D'Angelo

                          Event: (101) Kansas City Chiefs at (102) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

                          Sport/League: NFL

                          Date/Time: February 7, 2021 6PM EST

                          Play: Total Under 56.0 (-115)

                          Free Play: KC/TB Under 56
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358456

                            #14
                            Gianni the Greek

                            Event: (101) Kansas City Chiefs at (102) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

                            Sport/League: NFL

                            Date/Time: February 7, 2021 6PM EST

                            Play: (101) Total Combined Sacks : Over 3.5 (-150)

                            101) Total Combined Sacks : Over 3.5 (-150)…(2%)
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358456

                              #15
                              Cappers Access

                              Kansas City Chiefs
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