9-5-08

[Mr. IWS]

*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

3 STAR: (960) ST. LOUIS (-$113) over Florida
(Listing Looper only)
(Risking $396 to win $300)
7:15PM Central Time

3 STAR: (966) LA DODGERS (-$123) over Arizona
(Listing Lowe only)
(Risking $369 to win $300)
9:05PM Central Time

[RedHottG2]

Re: 9-5-08

Pointwise for week of Sept. 4-8

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College selections

1--KANSAS over Louisiana Tech 52-10
1--ALABAMA over Tulane 48-3
2--Northwestern over DUKE 33-10
2--WAKE FOREST over Ole Miss 34-17
3--OKLAHOMA STATE over Houston 44-20
4--GEORGIA over Central Michigan 56-19
5--ARIZONA over Toledo 48-10
5--TEMPLE (+) over UConn 24-22

NFL Selections
3--PHILADELPHIA over St. Louis 27-16
4--ny jets over MIAMI 27-16
4--INDIANAPOLIS over Chicago 27-13
5--ATLANTA (+) over Detroit 27-26
5--Houston (+) over PITTSBURGH 26-24

[Guest]

Re: 9-5-08

SCOTT FERRALL

NCAA
Navy +8 from Ball St--I'm not sure I've ever bet on Testicle Tech

MLB - BEST IN BOLD


HALLADAY -180 over Tampa--The Rays are starting to fall apart--The Toronto ace is killing every lineup he faces these days

Baltimore -115 over Oakland at Camden

LOWE and Dodgers -125 over Arizona at Chavez Revine

SF -130 over Pirates in the Bay

Washington +135 over the Braves at Turner--The Nats have actually been hot lately and just messed up the Phillies in DC, but now they are on the road vs Jurrjens

Cincy +135 in the UPSET SPECIAL over the Cubs and Lilly at Great American Ballpark

[Guest]

Re: 9-5-08

JIM FEIST

(953) CHC Cubs
(954) CIN Reds
Take "Over"
The Cubs have pitching problems, giving up 26 runs during a 5-game skid. Carlos Zambrano's season is in jeopardy. Zambrano's valuable right shoulder could speak volumes and the Cubs seemed to be preparing for the worst, that Zambrano could be out for a long period, perhaps the rest of the season. Originally scheduled to stay and help Triple-A Iowa in the playoffs, Kevin Hart instead found himself in Cubs clubhouse Wednesday night, called up after Sean Marshall went from bullpen to rotation. Losing aces can have a dominoe effect on a team, taxing bullpens. Starter Ted Lilly goes in a hitter's park in this game, Cincy, and Lilly has allowed 30 home runs in 174 innings. He's 0-3 with a 6.32 ERA against the Reds this season. Reds starter Bronson Arroyo has allowed 25 gopher balls in 166 innings, plus has a 4.50 ERA against the Cubs and their top-ranked offense. The Reds are on a 4-1 run over the total, all at home. Looks like an offensive shootout. Play the Cubs/Reds over the total.

[Guest]

Re: 9-5-08

PlusLineSports Daily Client Information

Friday September 5, 2008:

SD(Geer) vs Milwaukee(Sabathia)

Milwaukee -1.5(-154) Runline , Moneyline(-350)

Line Origin: Pinnacle September 4

Game Time: 7:05 CST September 5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

Wizard Of Odds---Runline NL GOY

Brewers -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

kelso

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high rollers club 10 unit indians 10 unit twins 10 unit parlay

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

Marc Lawrence MLB Pick Super Play - Friday 9/5:

Play On: Boston Red Sox w/Beckett

Note: The Red Sox meet the Rangers in Texas tonight when Josh Becket takes the hill for Boston. Not only is Beckett in terrific KW form with 6 walks and 38 strikeouts in his last six starts he is also 6-1 in his last seven road starts in September. Look for Texas to drop to 0-5 in their last five tries on Fridays here tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

The Miller Group
TITLE: 4* Navy/Ball State Side Smash (18-9 run)
REASON FOR PICK: With their ultra-efficient option offense, the Midshipmen are never really out of a game, but tonight we feel it's only a matter of time before Ball State's experience wins out.

The Cardinals return 11 starters to an offense that averaged over 31 points per game on more than 430 total yards per game a year ago. Navy's weakness is it's pass defense. Their secondary is actually weaker than it was a year ago, as we saw in last week's game when they allowed nearly 400 passing yards against Division 1-AA Towson. Ball State QB Nate Davis should have a field day picking apart this beleaguered Middies secondary, and while Navy will have the answers, a couple of stops by the Cardinals defense will allow them to pull away.

Ball State went on the road and won this game by three points last year, so it stands to reason that they should be able to improve on that performance at home here in 2008. Navy had a better team last year, lead by the electric Reggie Campbell. Meanwhile, Ball State should reach its peak this season. We'll lay the points in this spot. Take Ball State (4*).




TITLE: 4* Navy/Ball State Top Total (18-9 run)
REASON FOR PICK: When these two teams matched up last season, they put 65 points on the scoreboard in a 34-31 Ball State upset victory. Does anything change this time around? We don't believe so.

Ball State returns 11 offensive starters, including QB Nate Davis and RB Miquale Lewis. This unit averaged over 31 points per game a year ago, and picked up right where it left off in this year's opener, scoring 48 points on close to 500 total yards of offense.

There are a few new faces in the Navy offense, but most of the key pieces, minus Reggie Campbell, are back. They didn't miss a beat in their opener, putting 41 points on the board while racking up over 600 yards of total offense. Ball State is terrible against the run, and that should allow the Midshipmen to move the ball at will this evening.

The problem for Navy is that they can't defend the pass. There just isn't much talent in their secondary, and that spells trouble against Nate Davis and this pass-first Ball State offense. We should see points on the board on just about every drive from both teams tonight. Don't be shocked if this one gets into the 70s before it's all said and done. Take the over (4*).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

From ProCappersNetwork


Navy/Ball State Over 60 -1.15 (3 Unit Play) - Navy QB Enhada is still listed as out for this game but even without him last week Navy racked up 558 yards on the ground and sure it was against Towson but those are some big rushing numbers. Last year Navy rushed for 528 yards against Ball State so I see no reason why that should not happen here again tonight. The clock will run obviously but when you are gashing big yardage scores will happen. Ball State meanwhile counters with a pass happy attack that has everyone returning pretty much at the skill positions and Navy has one of the worst pass defenses in the country as even Towson was able to throw for 330 yards against them. I actually like Navy also in this game as they are always a dangerous dog but I really think we will see points tonight and I recommend this one Over the total.

I will add a baseball selection in a couple of hours but more importantly I will have at least a ten play card in the college football tomorrow as I am working on finalizing it. Visit procappersnetwork.com and pick up this weekend's plays today as my plan is to have the card sent out by midnight tonight.

Best of luck to everyone today and I wish all of you a profitable weekend.

Oscarxena Sports

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

Cajun-Sports NCAA Executive Report -Friday
2-0 on Thursday with Vanderbilt and NYG

2 STAR SELECTION
Navy +7 over BALL STATE

The will host the Midshipmen on Friday with both teams coming off easy season-opening victories over 1-AA foes. The Ken Niumatalolo got off to a terrific start, as the new Navy head coach saw his team dismantle the Towson Tigers, 41-13, while Ball State destroyed Northeastern, 48-14. These two teams squared off last season and the Cardinals grabbed a thrilling, 34-31, OT victory on the road.

The Midshipmen triple option opened the season with an outstanding performance over Towson, racking up a whopping 602 total yards. Shun White was in mid-season form for Navy, as the running back rumbled for an eye-popping 348 yards and three touchdowns. Quarterback Jarod Bryant added 75 rushing yards and one touchdown in the win, and also threw for 44 more yards to go along with a scoring strike to Bobby Doyle.

The Ball State offense was clicking on all cylinders in the team's opening win over Northeastern, as they tallied 487 total yards en route to a 34-point win. Quarterback Nate Davis was the star of the show, completing an outstanding 21-of-24 passes for 290 yards and three touchdowns.

While we usually don’t put much stock into a win over a 1-AA opponent, we have learned to play ON a team with a new head coach off a non-lined win.

With new head coaches, oddsmakers will likely take a “wait and see” attitude. A new coach can use a non-lined game against an inferior opponent to get some quality work in against a live opponent and build some confidence with a dominating win. Even with an easy win, the wagering public is likely to ignore or dismiss it, due to the level of competition. This means the line will not be adjusted against the team with the new coach, providing his team with line value.

Such is the case here. While the Middies may have changed captains, this ship is still sailing in the same direction, as not much has changed with the schemes. The Navy option appears to be as devastating as ever.

We also find the Midshipmen in good shape here according to our numbers, as they are 6-0 ATS (+14.4 ppg) on the road when not favored by 21+ points before another road game, and 12-0 ATS (+12.3 ppg) off a non-lined game when not a road favorite of 11+ points.

Revenge will also be on their minds here, and we note that non-Saturday road underdogs of more than 6 points, playing with revenge, are 4-0 ATS all-time, absolutely crushing the spread by 19 ppg!

We also have an NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM active here, which states: Play AGAINST a non-conference favorite of 3-15 points off a non-lined home contest vs. an opponent off a non-lined Saturday SU win in its last game.

With both teams coming off non-lined games, the non-conference favorites at the right price have been the wrong side, as they are 0-9 ATS, failing to cover the number by more than 17 ppg on average.

We expect another razor-thin game between these 2 as the Middies stay on the heels of the Cardinals and keep it close to the end for at least the spread victory.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: BALL STATE 35 NAVY 34

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

Yankee Capper

3 Units - Pittsburgh Pirates (+105)

2 Units - San Diego Padres (+320)

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

Plus10Club

Ethan Law
Pick: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

Opposite Action Plays
Pick: BALL ST. -6.5

Sunday Selections
Pick: CLEVELAND INDIANS

LT Profits
Pick: CINCINNATI REDS

Mike Lineback
Pick: L. A. DODGERS

Mike Rose
Pick: A's / Orioles OVER 9.5

Alex Smart
Pick: Navy / Ball St. OVER 60

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

Mr A

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

Philadelphia has lost six of the last 8 games against the Mets and four of the last five in New York.

Philadelphia's Brett Myers (8-10, 4.40) is 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 8-6 with a 5.19 ERA in 24 career outings, including 19 starts aversus the Mets.

New York's Mike Pelfrey (13-8, 3.66) is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 4.80 ERA in three career starts versus the Phillies.

Philadelphia Brett Myers is 5-1 with a 1.78 ERA in his last eight starts, but the Phillies haven't been successful on the road with Myers, dropping 13 of his last 17 road starts. Meanwhile, the Mets are 13-3 in Palfrey’s last 16 starts and have won eight of his last 9 at home. Take the New York Mets at Shea Stadium. New York has won six of their last 7 contests overall, 18-7 SU in its last 25 at home.

New York Mets - 130


NCAAF

Ball State - 7½

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

David M@linsky

Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies
PICK: 4* HOUSTON

Has anyone ever played as well for as long of a stretch at these Astros without generating any market adjustments at all? Tonight’s line tells us that. The current Houston run is at 27-10, and in truth the quality of baseball has been even better than that. No team in the Major League’s has played a more difficult schedule in that span, and they have gone an impressive 17-8 against the Cubs, Brewers, Mets and Cardinals. Since August 1st they have only played 11 games against teams that are currently under .500, but they went 10-1 ion those games, out-scoring the opposition by 35 runs.

Yet here we find them tonight against a losing team, taking a big price. It shows us market mistakes in two directions – first in not acknowledging just how good the Astros have been, and also in not recognizing how much Ubaldo Jimenez has fallen off the table. At 167.2 innings, more than double what he worked LY, Jimenez would be a prime candidate for hitting “The Wall”, and he has. Over his last five starts he has worked to a 1-3/7.36, with a 1.99 WHIP that tells us that the base numbers are not a fluke. He did not last beyond the sixth inning in any of those games, and that is despite going up against some weak competition – like the Reds and Nationals from this mound, and the Padres in Petco Park. He has labored to the tune of nine walks in 9.2 frames over his last two starts, and could easily get worse before bottoming out.

Houston counters with the under-rated Brian Moehler, who has worked to a 10-5/3.83 as a starter, with the Astros going 14-7 when he has taken the hill in that role. And in terms of competition, Moehler has started wins over the Red Sox, Cubs (twice), Brewers, Phillies and Cardinals (twice). In no way should he be an underdog of this much, and with the Houston bullpen rested and ready behind him, the latter stages are in good hands as well.