9-5-08

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

3Daily Winners

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays (MLB)
Play: Money Line: -197 Toronto Blue Jays

Play On home favorites, like Toronto with a money line of -175 to -250 with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by four runs or more. This simple system is 24-4, 85.7 percent the last three years. Blue Jays with Halladay fly away from Tampa Bay.



Joseph D'Amico

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays (MLB)
Play: Money Line: 174 Tampa Bay Rays

Today's Free Winner is the Tampa Bay Devil Ray's over the Toronto Blue Jay's. Sportsfans,this is what I don't get. The Devil Ray's have the best record in baseball at 85-53. They have a very good pitcher on the mound in Sonnanstine. They beat the Yankee's yesterday 7-5. But yet they are a HUGE 'dog today. Here are some quick facts on this matchup. Tampa Bay is 9-3 in their last 12 road games,50-16 theri last 66 games on field turf,and are 7-0 their last 7 road games versus a right-handed pitcher. The Blue Jay's are 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games. The Devil Rays start Sonnanstine. He is 6-3 on the road with a solid 4.35 ERA. In the right-hander's 12.0 innings pitched this season against Toronto,he is 2-0. Toronto starts Halladay today. He is 7-4 at home with a 2.86 ERA. In his 28.0 innings pitched vs. Tampa Bay this season,the right-hander is 1-3 with an ERA of 4.82. The D-Ray's are a respectable 32-32 n the road. I know Toronto has won 5 staright but they were against the Twin's and Yankee's. Tampa Bay has won 5 of 7 versus the Yankee's and the Oriole's. In their 15 meetings this season,T.B. has won 11 games including 2 in a row and 4 of the last 5 over Toronto. There is a reason why the Devi lRay's are 12 1/2 games ahead of the last place Blue Jay's. Take the price and make your money.

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 5


COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Navy (1-0 SU, 0-0 ATS) at Ball State (1-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
Navy and Ball State eased into the season with blowout victories in their openers against undermanned teams, and now the two will square off under the lights at Ball State Stadium in Muncie, Ind.
Ball State opened the season eight days ago with an easy 48-14 victory over Northeastern in an unlined contest. QB Nate Davis threw for 280 yards and three touchdowns as the Cardinals racked up 487 yards of total offense, including 190 on the ground behind RB MiQuale Lewis (11 carries, 95 yards, one TD).
Navy, the top rushing team in the nation the last three seasons, appears well on its way to defending that title after rushing for 558 yards in Saturday?s 41-13 rout of Towson in a non-lined game. RB Shun White had for a school-record 348 rushing yards and three TDs in the victory on just 19 carries. White broke a 27-year Middies? record by 50 rushing yards.
Navy won its final four games last season (2-2 ATS) to earn a berth in the Poinsettia Bowl, where the Midshipmen fell 35-32 to Utah, but covered as nine-point ?dogs. Navy is 49-19 ATS in its last 68 road games, but otherwise the program is on ATS slides of 3-7 in non-conference games, 1-4 against the MAC and 0-4 in Friday kickoffs.
Ball State won four of its last six (3-2 ATS) to end the 2007 campaign and earn a spot in the International Bowl against Rutgers, where the Cardinals got destroyed in a 52-30, falling way short as 11-point underdogs. Despite that result, they are on ATS runs of 11-5 overall, 7-2 in non-conference games, 11-3 against teams with a winning record and 4-0 in September contests.
These teams met almost a year ago with Ball State getting a 34-31 overtime victory, covering as a seven-point road ?dog. The teams combined for more than 1,100 total yards in the game.
The over is 8-3 in the Middies? last 11 overall, 4-1 in their last five September games, 5-0 in their last five on the road and 5-1 in their last six against teams with a winning mark. For Ball State, the over is on streaks of 10-1 in September and 5-2 in non-conference contests, but the under is 5-1 in the Cardinals? last six lined games overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER




NATIONAL LEAGUE

Philadelphia (76-64) at N.Y. Mets (79-61
The Phillies open a crucial three-game series against the Mets at Shea Stadium with Brett Myers (8-10, 4.40 ERA) on the hill opposite New York?s Michael Pelfrey (13-8, 3.66).
Philadelphia trails New York by three games in the N.L. East standings, but the Phillies have struggled against their division rivals this season, losing 10 of the 15 matchups to the Mets, including six of the last eight.
The Mets return home off a 6-2 road trip that included wins in each of their last four. They are on streaks of 37-17 overall, 20-7 at home, 19-7 against N.L. East rivals and 49-23 following an off day. Meanwhile, the Phillies are in the midst of a 10-game road trip that has them go 3-4 in the first seven games. However, Philly is on hot streaks of 5-2 coming off a loss, 5-1 following an off day and 17-8 on Friday.
Myers has been virtually unhittable in his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA, and the Phillies have won six of his last seven outings. Myers has held all seven of those opponents to three runs or less. The veteran right-hander saw the Mets on July 23 and gave up three runs on three hits in five innings of a 6-3 loss, and for his career he is 8-6 with three saves and a 5.19 ERA in 24 games against New York.
Pelfrey is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA in his last three overall, including two complete games, and 8-5 with a 2.66 ERA in 15 starts at home. The Mets have won seven of his last 10 starts. Pelfrey has given up six runs on 15 hits in two starts (10 total innings) versus the Phillies this season, and the Mets have split the two games.
Philadelphia is just 4-13 in Myers? last 17 road starts and 5-16 in his last 21 against the N.L. East, but 4-1 in his last five at Shea Stadium. Meanwhile, the Mets are 13-3 in Pelfrey?s last 16 outings overall, 8-1 in his last nine at home and 6-0 in his last six in a series opener.
For the Mets, the over is on streaks of 7-3-1 overall, 8-1-1 at home, 19-7-3 following an off day, 6-2-1 behind Pelfrey overall and 9-1-2 when he faces a team with a winning record. Conversely, the under is 6-0-1 in Myers? last seven overall, 9-4 in his last 14 at Shea, 6-2-2 in his last 10 on the highway and 21-10-2 in the Phillies? last 33 against winning teams..
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. METS



Arizona (71-68) at L.A. Dodgers (70-70)
The Diamondbacks arrive in Los Angeles for a key three-game set between N.L. West rivals, and they?ll send Danny Haren (14-7, 3.24) to the mound to face the Dodgers? Derek Lowe (11-11, 3.69).
Arizona leads Los Angeles by 1? games in the standings, but the DBacks have dropped four of the last five to the Dodgers, including two of three in the desert last weekend. For the season series, Arizona leads 8-7, including splitting six games in Hollywood.
The DBacks rallied for a 4-3 walk-off victory Thursday over St. Louis to cap a 3-3 homestand. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have followed up an eight-game losing skid with a five-game winning streak. On Wednesday, L.A. completed a three-game sweep of the Padres with a 6-4 victory.
Los Angeles is 18-6 in its last 24 at home, including 7-2 in its last nine at home against right-handed starters, but the Dodgers are just 6-16 in their last 22 following an off day. Meanwhile the DBacks are stuck in slumps of 7-3 overall, 0-4 on the road and 1-5 versus the N.L. West.
Haren has been roughed up a bit lately, posting a 5.68 ERA in his last three games, allowing 12 runs and 30 hits in 19 innings. Arizona has lost three of his last five, including Saturday?s 6-2 setback to the Dodgers when he allowed five runs on 10 hits in six innings. Haren has faced the Dodgers four times this season and the D?Backs are 2-2, but in his only outing in Los Angeles, the right-hander allowed six runs on nine hits in 4 2/3 innings of an 8-3 defeat back on April 23.
Lowe is 2-1 with a 1.33 ERA in his last three starts and he?s 8-5 with a 2.64 ERA in front of the home fans, holding the opposition to a .246 batting average in Los Angeles. In his most recent start on Sunday, Lowe blanked Arizona on four hits in six innings of work en route to an 8-1 road victory. Los Angeles is 3-1 in his four starts against Arizona this season (seven runs allowed in 22 1/3 innings). For his career, Lowe is 5-7 with a 4.01 ERA in 16 starts against Arizona.
Arizona is 12-5 in Haren?s last 17 starts overall, 5-2 in his last seven versus N.L. West rivals and 4-1 in his last five on the highway. Los Angeles is 5-1 in Lowe?s last six against N.L. West foes, but just 3-8 in his last 11 against winning teams and 1-4 in his last five starts on Fridays.
The over is 6-2 in Haren?s last eight overall, 7-1 in Arizona?s last eight overall and 5-0 in the Snakes? last five against N.L. West teams. The over is also 7-1 in the Dodgers? last eight overall and 5-1 in their past six against N.L. West opposition. Finally, the last four series meetings between these clubs have hurdled the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE:NONE

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

charlies sports

friday sept 5, 2008.

ncaaf. navy @ ball st over61 (500*)
ncaaf. ball st-6' (30*)
mlb. mets-140 (20*)
mlb. st. louis-115 (20*)
mlb. giants-115 (10*)
mlb. balitmore-125 (10*) free play

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

EddieMush

6* Ball State -7 over Navy

Their Clients are on a 26-7 winning streak on football so far this year.
Remember, their website is a different type of sports handicapping. The team listed first is the client pick(what we should bet on). Eddie likes Navy, so we should bet the opposite and take Ball State.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

Investment Playmakers 20* Friday College Pigskin Game of the Night
[ College Football ]
Date: Friday, September 05, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: If anyone knows college football it is the Investment Playmakers and we have all the stats, ratings and trends traced and ready to roll for your friday night winner in the Ball State vs Navy matchup. We give you the oppurtunity to shop for a great early line and now it is available at a nice guarantee. Grab this matchup today and come home a true winner on Friday.


BALL STATE -6 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

David Malinsky

Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies
PICK: 4* HOUSTON

Has anyone ever played as well for as long of a stretch at these Astros without generating any market adjustments at all? Tonight’s line tells us that. The current Houston run is at 27-10, and in truth the quality of baseball has been even better than that. No team in the Major League’s has played a more difficult schedule in that span, and they have gone an impressive 17-8 against the Cubs, Brewers, Mets and Cardinals. Since August 1st they have only played 11 games against teams that are currently under .500, but they went 10-1 ion those games, out-scoring the opposition by 35 runs.

Yet here we find them tonight against a losing team, taking a big price. It shows us market mistakes in two directions – first in not acknowledging just how good the Astros have been, and also in not recognizing how much Ubaldo Jimenez has fallen off the table. At 167.2 innings, more than double what he worked LY, Jimenez would be a prime candidate for hitting “The Wall”, and he has. Over his last five starts he has worked to a 1-3/7.36, with a 1.99 WHIP that tells us that the base numbers are not a fluke. He did not last beyond the sixth inning in any of those games, and that is despite going up against some weak competition – like the Reds and Nationals from this mound, and the Padres in Petco Park. He has labored to the tune of nine walks in 9.2 frames over his last two starts, and could easily get worse before bottoming out.

Houston counters with the under-rated Brian Moehler, who has worked to a 10-5/3.83 as a starter, with the Astros going 14-7 when he has taken the hill in that role. And in terms of competition, Moehler has started wins over the Red Sox, Cubs (twice), Brewers, Phillies and Cardinals (twice). In no way should he be an underdog of this much, and with the Houston bullpen rested and ready behind him, the latter stages are in good hands as well.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

Matt Fargo:

Ball St.... 2 Units

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

EZ Winners 5* CFL play is OVER in the Navy\Ball St game.

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

Analyst: Bobby Esposito
20,000 Dime WInner #2 In A Row


College Football

20,000 Dime - Ball St. -7.5 over Navy

Baseball

5000 Dime - N.Y.M. -130 over Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

BOB BALFE

Major League Baseball
Indians -140 over Royals
Reyes/Duckworth
_________________

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

indian cowboy

Pass on Football, 1 WNBA Play Today.

Chicago Sky (+9.5) (POD)

Based on my handicapping, it would make no sense for me not to take the Sky here. This was the same team that won as outright dogs at New York (similar margin of a dog to Conn here but just smaller around 7 to 8 points), won outright at Washington, won outright at home against Detroit and recently lost at home to Seattle. So what? Seattle is a solid team with the likes of Sue Bird and Swin Cash. Chicago has beaten the Sky once already this year outright at home and the previous 2 times have lost by margins of 7 and 2. Who is to say the Sky can't be competitive here coming off a tough loss at home as they look to bounce-back? Worried about the Sky playing back to back? Well, they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 ballgames with 0 days rest and 4-1 ATS following a straight up loss while the Sun face a tough feat at home meeting the high demands of being a public favorite in the eyes of Vegas as they are 3-9 ATS at home.

Research that went into this game:

Note, that Connecticut is a big favorite over Chicago today, but the question begs does the Sky really need to be nearly 10 point dogs on the road. After all, this is the same team that beat Detroit at home, Washington on the road and New York on the road Outright. Sure, they lost to Seattle at home but Seattle is a solid team. Furthermore, Chicago is a great bounce-back team as their ATS results over the past 10 games looks as well L, W, W, W, L, L, W, W, W, W. Notice a trend? This team is 7-3 ATS of late and the only time they lost back to back ATS ballgames was at San Antonio and at Houston in back to back ballgames which is tough for any team. Chicago has never done worse than lose by 7 to the Sun, including a 2 point loss and winning outright once earlier this year.
__________________

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-08

Nsa 20* Navy

[timbob]

Re: 9-5-08

The Hitman Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, September 05, 2008
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5000 LARGE DIAMOND BASEBALL WINNER
Chicago White Sox w/Buehrle -160 8:10 EST