Service Plays Thursday 2/18/21

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369690

    #31
    Doc Sports

    Rangers (Europa) (4U)
    Koepka/Spieth RD. 1 (5U)
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369690

      #32
      Robert Ferringo

      1-Unit Play. Take #754 Murray State (-15.5) over Eastern Illinois (8:30 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 18)

      3-Unit Play. Take #786 Oregon (-3) over Colorado (11 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 18)

      7-Unit Play. Take #787 Stanford (-9.5) over Washington (11 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 18)

      This Washington team has been a train wreck for the majority of this season. In fact, since a 10-2 start last year the Huskies have gone just 9-31 straight up, including just 4-16 this season. They haven't been showing any signs of improvement either. They are just 1-5 in their last six games and those losses have come by 15, 20, 12, 15 and 3 points and three of them were at home. Washington is coming off a rare win, taking out rival Washington State with a buzzer beater on Monday. They had to play without leading scorer Quade Green in that one. I think he'll be back for this game but there is no telling whether or not he will be 100 percent. That win over Washington State also came because the Cougars were without 18-point scorer Isaac Bonton. I think that they are in a letdown spot here against a far superior team. Stanford has been snake-bitten all season. Injuries, COVID, a brutal schedule; they've had all kinds of things conspire against them this year. However, the Cardinal is finally - finally - healthy. They have had a all week to rest and practice. And now they should be ready to roll. Stanford scored 91 points in a 16-point win over Washington in the first meeting on Jan. 7. The Cardinal got that win despite not having their starting backcourt of Daejon Davis and Bryce Wills. Both guys are back and their experience should pay dividends here. I think that Stanford is the better team here. I think they are motivated to get wins to build a tournament resume. Stanford hasn't been playing with a full deck all season. Yet despite that, if you run down their schedule they have zero bad losses and they have demolished all the teams they should; Stanford has beaten its opponents outside the Top 100 by an average of 15 points per game (only one has stayed within 10). I smell a blowout.

      2-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #737 Houston (-2.5) over Wichita State (7 p.m.) AND Take #778 Eastern Washington (-3) over Montana (9 p.m.)

      1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #739 Iowa (+7) over Wisconsin (7 p.m.) AND Take #762 Santa Clara (-1) over San Diego (9 p.m.)

      2-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #764 Michigan (-4) over Rutgers (9 p.m.) AND Take #787 Stanford (-4.5) over Washington (11 p.m.)

      1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #783 California (+7.5) over Washington State (10:30 p.m.) AND Take #775 Eastern Kentucky (-6.5) over UT-Martin (9 p.m.)
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369690

        #33
        Doc Sports

        7 iowa+2
        4 oregon-3
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369690

          #34
          jason Sharpe

          3 sac.st+6.5
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369690

            #35
            Alan Eastman

            *8-UNIT NCAA GAME OF THE YEAR

            Oregon -3 (8U)
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369690

              #36
              Indian Cowboy NCAAB

              4 Unit Play . #757. Take Utah -2.5 over Oregon State (Thursday @ 8:30pm est)

              We go with Utah today and we were so close to going 2-0 yesterday if Vandy could have just held on. Today, we like the Utes as we suspect they remember losing to Oregon State last year in a last second 3 pointer and the final score was 69-71. This team does have their 2nd leading scorer out as he is from Finland and has a Euro Tournament to attend to, but I think they will be fine here as this is their 3rd game without him. Note, that this team went to Stanford and lost a tight contest without Januten and Jones and they had Allen, Plummer and Carlson all play very well frankly. And, they shot 55% from 2 point field goals and less than 30% from 3 point land. I think that changes in this game, look for them to shoot much better from beyond the arc here and as good as Oregon State is, they have lost 3 straight and sure they are on a bounce-back, but note that Oregon State has not beat a team in the top 100 in their last 7 games as well. We like Utah's ability to make 2 point field goals at a good rate, I think they shoot a little better from 3 and of course a little revenge goes a long way too.
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              • Calidreaming
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2017
                • 706

                #37
                Ben Burns CBB Play Tennessee State
                Big Al NHL Play on the Blues
                Power Sports Soccer Play on Tottenham (-270)

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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369690

                  #38
                  Cleveland Insider Sports

                  Raptors +6
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                  • Player1
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2018
                    • 199

                    #39
                    Worlds Worst Picker

                    Raptors


                    WE TAKE: Bucks

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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369690

                      #40
                      Sports Picks Weekly


                      NBA:
                      LA Lakers -2 (-118)

                      NCAAB:
                      *Utah -2 (-118)
                      *Illinois St. +3 (-118)
                      Penn St. +5 (-118)
                      Iowa +2 (-118)

                      NHL:
                      *LA/Arizona Under -5.5
                      *New York/Pittsburgh Over +5.5
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369690

                        #41
                        Root

                        Reserve UCLA

                        Gold Standard Oregon St
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369690

                          #42
                          Doug Upstone

                          6* Iowa +2
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369690

                            #43
                            Dr bob

                            Best Bet – (744) *BRADLEY (-2) over Illinois State at -3 or less
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369690

                              #44
                              Martin Green

                              Slavia Prague vs. Leicester City (12:55 p.m. ET)

                              Leicester City to win (+110)

                              Leicester City should be full of confidence as it prepares to head to the Czech capital for the first leg of its Europa League clash with Slavia Prague. The Foxes picked up an emphatic 3-1 win against Premier League champion Liverpool over the weekend, courtesy of goals from James Maddison, Jamie Vardy and Harvey Barnes. Leicester is now third in the Premier League standings, and it is one of the best teams in the Europa League this season.

                              Manager Brendan Rodgers may be tempted to rest key players for this game, so it might be worth checking the lineups before betting on it. If Vardy and Wilfred Ndidi start, Leicester should win this match. Slavia Prague is unbeaten in its domestic league, with 19 wins and two draws in 21 games, but there is a vast gulf in quality between the English Premier League and the Czech First League, so a full-strength Leicester should prevail.

                              Benfica vs. Arsenal (3 p.m. ET)

                              Arsenal draw no bet (-140)

                              This game will be played at the neutral venue of Rome's Stadio Olimpico due to COVID-19 travel restrictions between Portugal and England. Arsenal has plenty of quick, talented forwards in its ranks - including Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Bukayo Saka, who could cause problems for Benfica's veteran defensive duo. Nicolas Otamendi and Jan Vertonghen are both 33 years old and well past their prime, so they may struggle to deal with Arsenal's pace and movement.

                              The Gunners have been inconsistent in the Premier League so far this season, but they returned to form with a 4-2 win against Leeds over the weekend. Arsenal dominated its Europa League group, whereas Benfica finished second to Rangers in Group D. It has won just once in its last five games, and it is now fourth in the Primeira Liga table, 13 points behind local rival Sporting Lisbon.

                              RB Salzburg vs. Villarreal (3 p.m. ET)

                              Both teams to score (-170)

                              This should be an entertaining game between two teams blessed with a wealth of attacking talent. Salzburg has fired in 54 goals in 17 Austrian Bundesliga games so far this season, and it is on course to win its eighth consecutive title. It finished third in a difficult Champions League group, which also featured Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid, so it has dropped down to the Europa League.

                              Salzburg is strong on attack, but it is not so hot defensively, and that should allow Villarreal to create plenty of chances in this game. Manager Unai Emery won this competition three times during his time in charge of Sevilla, and he took Arsenal to the final a couple of years ago. His forward line at Villarreal includes the supremely talented Gerard Moreno and Paco Alcacer, so the club should have no problem getting on the scoresheet in this match.

                              Lille vs. Ajax (3 p.m. ET)

                              Lille draw no bet (-110)

                              AC Milan to beat Red Star Belgrade on the road at -110 looks tempting, and so does both teams to score in the game between Real Sociedad and Manchester United, but this match between Lille and Ajax really stands out. Lille is the underdog, which is surprising when you consider it is a point clear of PSG at the top of the Ligue 1 table. PSG just thrashed Barcelona 4-1 in the Champions League.

                              Ajax is very strong in its domestic league, where it sits comfortably atop the table, but it has sold key players like Frenkie de Jong and Donny van de Beek in recent years. It also will miss new signing Sebastien Haller, as a farcical administrative error left him off the club's Europa League squad. Lille is unbeaten in eight games and it has dangerous forwards like Jonathan David, Jonathan Bamba and Jonathan Ikone, so it could get a result in this match
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                              • dawggy
                                Senior Member
                                • Dec 2017
                                • 1770

                                #45
                                OSKEIM


                                • Game: (573) Miami Heat at (574) Sacramento Kings
                                  Date/Time: Feb 18 2021 10:05 PM EST
                                  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                                  Play Rating: 5%
                                  Play: Total Over 226 (-110)

                                  This game qualifies as one of my strongest NBA totals releases this season and is destined to land over the posted total. The OVER falls into a 100% perfect 19-0 situation of mine that involves the Sacramento Kings if they (1) are underdogs (2) playing with rest and (3) enter off a home contest.
                                  The Kings are 25-11-1 OVER at home since January 2, 2020 and 16-5-1 OVER as home underdogs since January 10, 2020. Sacramento is 22-10 OVER in its last 32 games off a loss, 22-7 OVER in its last 29 games after failing to cover the spread in its previous game, and 6-1 OVER in its last seven games as home underdogs. Let's also note that the OVER is a profitable 14-5 in the past nineteen meetings in this series.
                                  Take the OVER and invest with confidence.
                                • Game: (739) Iowa at (740) Wisconsin
                                  Date/Time: Feb 18 2021 7:00 PM EST
                                  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                                  Play Rating: 4%
                                  Play: Iowa +1.5 (-110)

                                  My math model favors Iowa by 1.9 points in this game despite the likely absence of CJ Frederick, who has been sidelined with a lower leg injury since February 10 and is listed as questionable for tonight's game. The Hawkeyes responded with a lot of focus and energy in their first game without Frederick, defeating Michigan State 88-58 on the road.
                                  The Hawkeyes' success this season has been based on a prolific offense that is averaging 87.4 points per game on 47.5% shooting from the field and 39.6% from beyond the arc. Iowa's attack travels well as the Hawkeyes are averaging 84.1 points per game on 39.3% shooting from three-point territory.
                                  From a technical standpoint, Iowa applies to a very good 158-92 ATS momentum system of mine that invests on certain road teams priced between +3 and -3 following a blowout win by 20 or more points. Wisconsin's suffocating defense is not predicated on creating turnovers, which is significant in that the Hawkeyes are a profitable 23-10 ATS versus poor pressure teams (i.e. forcing fewer than 14 turnovers per game) over the last two seasons.
                                  Finally, Iowa continues to be undervalued by the betting market as evidenced by the fact that the Hawkeyes are 33-18 ATS over the last two years, including 13-3 ATS following a road game and 14-5 ATS after covering the spread in two of their previous three affairs. With the road team standing at 7-3-1 ATS in the last eleven meetings in this series, grab the point(s) with Iowa and invest with confidence.
                                • Game: (785) Colorado at (786) Oregon
                                  Date/Time: Feb 18 2021 11:00 PM EST
                                  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                                  Play Rating: 3%
                                  Play: Colorado +3.5 (-109)

                                  The point spread in this game is grossly inflated due to the team's disparate results in their previous contest. Oregon is on a three-game win streak, including upsetting Arizona 63-61 as 1.5-point underdogs on February 13. In contrast, Colorado enters off a lackluster 71-62 loss to California as 9-point favorites.
                                  Head coach Tad Boyle was furious following that loss and I expect a much better effort from the Buffaloes in Eugene tonight. "It's frustrating as hell is what it is," Boyle said following Saturday's loss. "It's frustrating. I t doesn't matter what league you're in. It doesn't matter if you're in the Big Ten or the Pac-12 or the Big Sky, you name the league. You'd better be ready to play every night you step out, because you can get beat."
                                  Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss and 4-1 ATS in its last five clashes with .601 or greater opposition, whereas the Ducks have failed to cover the Vegas number in four of their past five home games. Finally, my math model actually favors Colorado by 0.87 points in this game and the Buffa

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